Alert archive / Colorado / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 361

July 8, 201610 counties in Colorado; 9 counties in New Mexico

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 8, 2016, 3:31 PM MDT for 10 counties in Colorado; 9 counties in New Mexico. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 8, 2016, 3:31 PM MDT (21:31 UTC)
Expired
Jul 8, 2016, 8:00 PM MDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Baca County, CO, Bent County, CO, Crowley County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Otero County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Colfax County, NM, Curry County, NM, De Baca County, NM, Guadalupe County, NM, Harding County, NM, Mora County, NM, Quay County, NM, San Miguel County, NM, Union County, NM

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 170 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 8, 3:39 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQDe Baca, Guadalupe51 min
Jul 8, 4:03 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBEl Paso42 min
Jul 8, 4:03 PM MDTTornado WarningABQColfax, Harding, Mora27 min
Jul 8, 4:27 PM MDTTornado WarningABQColfax, Harding21 min
Jul 8, 4:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQGuadalupe21 min
Jul 8, 4:32 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso, Pueblo28 min
Jul 8, 4:32 PM MDTTornado WarningABQColfax, Harding, Mora28 min
Jul 8, 4:39 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso36 min
Jul 8, 4:44 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBEl Paso3 hr
Jul 8, 4:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQColfax, Harding, Union43 min
Jul 8, 4:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso, Pueblo20 min
Jul 8, 5:09 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso51 min
Jul 8, 5:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBHuerfano, Las Animas, Pueblo29 min
Jul 8, 6:02 PM MDTTornado WarningABQMora28 min
Jul 8, 6:08 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBHuerfano37 min
Jul 8, 6:21 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBPueblo24 min
Jul 8, 6:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQMora23 min
Jul 8, 6:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBCuster, Huerfano, Pueblo39 min
Jul 8, 7:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQChaves, De Baca15 min
Jul 8, 7:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBCrowley, Pueblo28 min
Jul 8, 7:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBCrowley33 min

The nearest sounding before it

Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 12:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 294 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM at 12:00Z on 2016-07-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM at 12:00Z on 2016-07-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 23 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2967 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
23 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
26 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 8, 2:27 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCProwers93 min
Jul 8, 3:12 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBent, Crowley, Otero, Pueblo2 hr
Jul 8, 4:31 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Kit Carson, Logan, Morgan, Phillips and 4 more59 min
Jul 8, 4:11 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEddy, Lea94 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Mexico, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.