Alert archive / Colorado / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 167, NWS Pueblo, CO

July 8, 2016Pueblo County, Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 8, 2016, 6:21 PM MDT for Pueblo County, Colorado. It was in force for 24 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 8, 2016, 6:21 PM MDT (00:21 UTC)
Expired: Jul 8, 2016, 6:45 PM MDT
In force: 24 min
Issued by: NWS Pueblo, CO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

County Pueblo County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 41 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 8, 3:31 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	4 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 00:00Z, 0.4 hours before the alert went out and 217 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 45 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -167 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 3146 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 35 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 101 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: -0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

104 
WUUS55 KPUB 090021
SVRPUB
COC101-090045-
/O.NEW.KPUB.SV.W.0167.160709T0021Z-160709T0045Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
621 PM MDT FRI JUL 8 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL PUEBLO COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO...

* UNTIL 645 PM MDT

* AT 621 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER BLENDE...OR
  NEAR PUEBLO...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE 
           TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  SALT CREEK AND BLENDE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3818 10463 3827 10457 3824 10441 3818 10419
      3797 10441
TIME...MOT...LOC 0021Z 293DEG 11KT 3821 10453 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

28

2 follow-up statements

257 
WWUS55 KPUB 090029
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
629 PM MDT FRI JUL 8 2016

COC101-090045-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0167.000000T0000Z-160709T0045Z/
PUEBLO CO-
629 PM MDT FRI JUL 8 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM MDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL PUEBLO COUNTY...

AT 629 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BLENDE...OR 8
MILES EAST OF PUEBLO...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BLENDE AND AVONDALE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3821 10458 3826 10454 3824 10441 3818 10419
      3797 10441
TIME...MOT...LOC 0029Z 278DEG 22KT 3822 10446 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

28

023 
WWUS55 KPUB 090044
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
644 PM MDT FRI JUL 8 2016

COC101-090053-
/O.EXP.KPUB.SV.W.0167.000000T0000Z-160709T0045Z/
PUEBLO CO-
644 PM MDT FRI JUL 8 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL PUEBLO COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 645 PM MDT...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL PUEBLO
COUNTY...HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN
IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER HAIL THE SIZE OF NICKEL AND HEAVY RAIN
ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO.

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING STILL REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN PUEBLO COUNTY.

LAT...LON 3821 10458 3826 10454 3824 10441 3818 10419
      3797 10441
TIME...MOT...LOC 0040Z 293DEG 11KT 3822 10446 

$$

28

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 8, 3:43 PM MDT, 2 hours 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 8, 3:43 PM MDT, 2 hours 38 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
343 PM MDT FRI JUL 8 2016

.UPDATE...
Issued at 343 PM MDT Fri Jul 8 2016

...Updated zones/grids to include Baca...Bent...Crowley
...Huerfano...Kiowa...Las Animas...Otero...Prowers and
Pueblo counties in a severe thunderstorm watch until 8
PM MDT...

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 327 PM MDT Fri Jul 8 2016

...Active evening then quieter Saturday...

Shortwave will move onto the plains and interact with deep surface
moisture next several hours. Likely to see increased convection
over the Palmer Divide...organizing and tracking southeast across
the plains through the evening. Also...more discrete convection
likely elsewhere along and east of the mountains. Primary threats
will include large hail to golf ball size...winds around 70
mph...heavy rain...flooding and lightning with a small chance of
an isolated tornado.

Warmer and drier Saturday with much more isolated activity.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 327 PM MDT Fri Jul 8 2016

Not many adjustments required from previous meteorological
thinking with primary longer term issues being temperatures,
pops, the potential for strong to possibly severe thunderstorms
at times into Saturday evening and then again by next Thursday as
well as elevated fire weather concerns at times.

Latest longer range forecast model soundings. PV analysis and
computer simulations indicate that upper disturbances will
continue to interact with adequate atmospheric moisture into
Saturday night...capable of producing isolated to scattered
showers and thunderstorms...strong to possibly severe at times as
projected Saturday evening localized capes, LI's and deep layer
shear values challenge 2000 J/KG...-6C and 45 knots at times.
WFO Pueblo will continue to monitor closely.

It still appears that a return to generally drier conditions
should be experienced across the forecast district from Sunday
into at least mid-week thanks to drier southwesterly to zonal
upper flow. In addition, it still appears that the highest
potential for elevated fire weather concerns should be noted from
Sunday into Tuesday, with Monday expected to have the highest
potential of more widespread near critical to critical fire
weather conditions at times. Then a return to more unsettled
conditions is projected by next Thursday and Friday as next
system impacts the forecast district.

Finally, maximum and minimum temperatures should continue to run
near or above early July climatological averages during the
longer term in combination with gusty gradient winds from later
Sunday into Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 327 PM MDT Fri Jul 8 2016

Forecast remains on track. Another round of evening storms expected
across the flight area, primarily affecting the Palmer Divide
region, eastern mountains and plains. Main threats are large hail,
strong winds, heavy rain, lightning. Most activity should be east of
flight area after midnight. Tomorrow is showing warming and drying
with much more isolated activity than today. MVFR/IFR/LIFR
conditions possible in storms. KCOS...KPUB and KALS sites could all
see storms generally 20Z-02z.

&&

.PUB Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 8, 11:46 AM MDT, 6 hours 35 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1146 AM MDT FRI JUL 8 2016

COZ058>089-093>099-091800-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA  VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY  ABOVE 8500FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FEET-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1146 AM MDT FRI JUL 8 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEAST COLORADO
TODAY. STORMS WILL MOST LIKELY GET GOING OVER THE MOUNTAINS
AFTER 1 PM...AND THEN SPREAD SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE PLAINS
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR
SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE OVER THE PIKES PEAK REGION
INITIALLY AND THEN SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE PLAINS. THE PRIMARY
STORM THREATS TODAY WILL BE HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE...WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...HEAVY RAIN...FLOODING AND LIGHTNING. THERE
IS ALSO SOME THREAT OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH
DAY...MAINLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHEAST PLAINS. THE MAIN
THREATS FROM STORMS WILL BE LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL
BE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE PIKES PEAK REGION
AND SOUTHEAST PLAINS.

50/50

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 8, 5:43 PM MDT, 38 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
543 PM MDT FRI JUL 8 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0355 PM     HAIL             3 ENE AIR FORCE ACADEMY 39.02N 104.82W
07/08/2016  M1.00 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            .

&&

AL

Local storm report, Jul 8, 5:44 PM MDT, 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
544 PM MDT FRI JUL 8 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0348 PM     HAIL             2 ESE MONUMENT          39.09N 104.84W
07/08/2016  M2.50 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            .

&&

AL

Local storm report, Jul 8, 5:45 PM MDT, 36 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
545 PM MDT FRI JUL 8 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0406 PM     HAIL             2 N BLACK FOREST        39.05N 104.71W
07/08/2016  M0.88 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            .

&&

AL

Local storm report, Jul 8, 5:48 PM MDT, 33 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
548 PM MDT FRI JUL 8 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0538 PM     HAIL             3 SE COLORADO CITY      37.91N 104.80W
07/08/2016  M1.00 INCH       PUEBLO             CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            .

0527 PM     HAIL             2 SE COLORADO CITY      37.93N 104.82W
07/08/2016  M1.00 INCH       PUEBLO             CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            .

0505 PM     HAIL             6 SE PEYTON             38.95N 104.41W
07/08/2016  M0.75 INCH       EL PASO            CO   PUBLIC

            .

0453 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SE SECURITY           38.74N 104.72W
07/08/2016                   EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RUNOFF IS FLOWING OVER THE CURB AND IS
            IMPACTING TRAFFIC FLOW. .

0444 PM     HAIL             2 SE SECURITY           38.73N 104.70W
07/08/2016  M0.75 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            .

0438 PM     HAIL             1 NE SECURITY           38.75N 104.73W
07/08/2016  M0.75 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            .

0431 PM     HAIL             2 E FALCON              38.93N 104.58W
07/08/2016  M0.75 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            .

0430 PM     HAIL             3 E BLACK FOREST        39.01N 104.64W
07/08/2016  M0.88 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            .

0430 PM     HAIL             3 N FALCON              38.97N 104.62W
07/08/2016  M1.00 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            . THE DURATION OF THE HAIL EVENT WAS 10
            MINUTES.

0425 PM     HAIL             2 SW BLACK FOREST       39.00N 104.72W
07/08/2016  M1.25 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            .

0420 PM     HAIL             4 SSW BLACK FOREST      38.96N 104.72W
07/08/2016  M1.25 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            .

0418 PM     HAIL             1 N AIR FORCE ACADEMY   39.02N 104.87W
07/08/2016  M1.00 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            .

0414 PM     HAIL             4 SSW BLACK FOREST      38.96N 104.73W
07/08/2016  M1.25 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            .

0406 PM     HAIL             2 N BLACK FOREST        39.05N 104.71W
07/08/2016  M0.88 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            .

0355 PM     HAIL             3 ENE AIR FORCE ACADEMY 39.02N 104.82W
07/08/2016  M1.00 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            .

0348 PM     HAIL             2 ESE MONUMENT          39.09N 104.84W
07/08/2016  M2.50 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            .

&&

NWS PUEBLO CO
IRIS SYSTEM

Local storm report, Jul 8, 6:17 PM MDT, 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
617 PM MDT FRI JUL 8 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0354 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     3 SW BLACK FOREST       38.98N 104.73W
07/08/2016                   EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LASTED FOR 30 SECONDS.

&&

NWS PUEBLO CO
IRIS SYSTEM

Local storm report, Jul 8, 6:18 PM MDT, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
618 PM MDT FRI JUL 8 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 PM     HAIL             5 SSW BLACK FOREST      38.95N 104.73W
07/08/2016  M1.75 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            .

&&

NWS PUEBLO CO
IRIS SYSTEM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 8, 6:08 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PUB	Huerfano	37 min
Jul 8, 6:25 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	PUB	Crowley	65 min
Jul 8, 6:36 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PUB	Custer, Huerfano, Pueblo	39 min
Jul 8, 6:46 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	PUB	Pueblo	29 min
Jul 8, 7:17 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PUB	Crowley, Pueblo	28 min
Jul 8, 7:42 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PUB	Crowley	33 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Colorado, 2016 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.