Severe Thunderstorm Warning 165, NWS Pueblo, CO

467 
WWUS55 KPUB 082341
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
541 PM MDT FRI JUL 8 2016

COC055-071-101-090000-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0165.000000T0000Z-160709T0000Z/
PUEBLO CO-LAS ANIMAS CO-HUERFANO CO-
541 PM MDT FRI JUL 8 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM MDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN PUEBLO...NORTH CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS AND NORTHEASTERN
HUERFANO COUNTIES...

AT 541 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 14 MILES EAST OF
GREENHORN MOUNTAIN...OR 27 MILES SOUTH OF PUEBLO...MOVING SOUTHEAST
AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COLORADO CITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3788 10487 3809 10485 3786 10429 3763 10447
TIME...MOT...LOC 2341Z 304DEG 27KT 3789 10474 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

28

195 
WWUS55 KPUB 082359
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
559 PM MDT FRI JUL 8 2016

COC055-071-101-090007-
/O.EXP.KPUB.SV.W.0165.000000T0000Z-160709T0000Z/
PUEBLO CO-LAS ANIMAS CO-HUERFANO CO-
559 PM MDT FRI JUL 8 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN PUEBLO...NORTH
CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS AND NORTHEASTERN HUERFANO COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT
600 PM MDT...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS
WEAKENED...AND THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTH
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PUEBLO COUNTY AND NORTHEAST HUERFANO COUNTY.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO.

LAT...LON 3788 10487 3809 10485 3786 10429 3763 10447
TIME...MOT...LOC 2356Z 301DEG 31KT 3789 10474 

$$

28

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
343 PM MDT FRI JUL 8 2016

.UPDATE...
Issued at 343 PM MDT Fri Jul 8 2016

...Updated zones/grids to include Baca...Bent...Crowley
...Huerfano...Kiowa...Las Animas...Otero...Prowers and
Pueblo counties in a severe thunderstorm watch until 8
PM MDT...

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 327 PM MDT Fri Jul 8 2016

...Active evening then quieter Saturday...

Shortwave will move onto the plains and interact with deep surface
moisture next several hours. Likely to see increased convection
over the Palmer Divide...organizing and tracking southeast across
the plains through the evening. Also...more discrete convection
likely elsewhere along and east of the mountains. Primary threats
will include large hail to golf ball size...winds around 70
mph...heavy rain...flooding and lightning with a small chance of
an isolated tornado.

Warmer and drier Saturday with much more isolated activity.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 327 PM MDT Fri Jul 8 2016

Not many adjustments required from previous meteorological
thinking with primary longer term issues being temperatures,
pops, the potential for strong to possibly severe thunderstorms
at times into Saturday evening and then again by next Thursday as
well as elevated fire weather concerns at times.

Latest longer range forecast model soundings. PV analysis and
computer simulations indicate that upper disturbances will
continue to interact with adequate atmospheric moisture into
Saturday night...capable of producing isolated to scattered
showers and thunderstorms...strong to possibly severe at times as
projected Saturday evening localized capes, LI's and deep layer
shear values challenge 2000 J/KG...-6C and 45 knots at times.
WFO Pueblo will continue to monitor closely.

It still appears that a return to generally drier conditions
should be experienced across the forecast district from Sunday
into at least mid-week thanks to drier southwesterly to zonal
upper flow. In addition, it still appears that the highest
potential for elevated fire weather concerns should be noted from
Sunday into Tuesday, with Monday expected to have the highest
potential of more widespread near critical to critical fire
weather conditions at times. Then a return to more unsettled
conditions is projected by next Thursday and Friday as next
system impacts the forecast district.

Finally, maximum and minimum temperatures should continue to run
near or above early July climatological averages during the
longer term in combination with gusty gradient winds from later
Sunday into Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 327 PM MDT Fri Jul 8 2016

Forecast remains on track. Another round of evening storms expected
across the flight area, primarily affecting the Palmer Divide
region, eastern mountains and plains. Main threats are large hail,
strong winds, heavy rain, lightning. Most activity should be east of
flight area after midnight. Tomorrow is showing warming and drying
with much more isolated activity than today. MVFR/IFR/LIFR
conditions possible in storms. KCOS...KPUB and KALS sites could all
see storms generally 20Z-02z.

&&

.PUB Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1146 AM MDT FRI JUL 8 2016

COZ058>089-093>099-091800-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA  VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY  ABOVE 8500FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FEET-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1146 AM MDT FRI JUL 8 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEAST COLORADO
TODAY. STORMS WILL MOST LIKELY GET GOING OVER THE MOUNTAINS
AFTER 1 PM...AND THEN SPREAD SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE PLAINS
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR
SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE OVER THE PIKES PEAK REGION
INITIALLY AND THEN SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE PLAINS. THE PRIMARY
STORM THREATS TODAY WILL BE HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE...WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...HEAVY RAIN...FLOODING AND LIGHTNING. THERE
IS ALSO SOME THREAT OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH
DAY...MAINLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHEAST PLAINS. THE MAIN
THREATS FROM STORMS WILL BE LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL
BE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE PIKES PEAK REGION
AND SOUTHEAST PLAINS.

50/50

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
449 PM MDT FRI JUL 8 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0436 PM     HAIL             3 ESE MONUMENT          39.08N 104.82W
07/08/2016  E0.75 INCH       EL PASO            CO   PUBLIC

            .

&&

RMG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
450 PM MDT FRI JUL 8 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     HAIL             3 N FALCON              38.97N 104.62W
07/08/2016  M1.00 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            . THE DURATION OF THE HAIL EVENT WAS 10
            MINUTES.

&&

AL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
457 PM MDT FRI JUL 8 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0453 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SE SECURITY           38.74N 104.72W
07/08/2016                   EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RUNOFF IS FLOWING OVER THE CURB AND IS
            IMPACTING TRAFFIC FLOW. .

&&

AL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
505 PM MDT FRI JUL 8 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0505 PM     HAIL             6 SE PEYTON             38.95N 104.41W
07/08/2016  M0.75 INCH       EL PASO            CO   PUBLIC

            .

&&

AL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
529 PM MDT FRI JUL 8 2016

COZ079-086-087-090000-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT CO-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000FT CO-
PUEBLO VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FEET CO-
529 PM MDT FRI JUL 8 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN PUEBLO AND
NORTHEASTERN HUERFANO COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM MDT...

AT 528 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 14
MILES NORTHEAST OF GREENHORN MOUNTAIN...OR 21 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
PUEBLO...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SOUTHWESTERN PUEBLO AND COLORADO CITY.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO.

LAT...LON 3796 10494 3822 10488 3821 10447 3771 10449
TIME...MOT...LOC 2328Z 301DEG 31KT 3800 10480

PGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
530 PM MDT FRI JUL 8 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     HAIL             2 NNE FOUNTAIN          38.70N 104.69W
07/08/2016  M1.00 INCH       EL PASO            CO   PUBLIC

            .

&&

NWS PUEBLO CO
IRIS SYSTEM