Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 353

July 7, 201626 counties in Kansas; 43 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 7, 2016, 8:21 PM CDT for 26 counties in Kansas; 43 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 7, 2016, 8:21 PM CDT (01:21 UTC)
Expired
Jul 8, 2016, 2:00 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 69 counties

Allen County, KS, Anderson County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Butler County, KS, Chase County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Elk County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Labette County, KS, Linn County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Marion County, KS, Miami County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Morris County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Osage County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Audrain County, MO, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cass County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Cole County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Maries County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Newton County, MO, Osage County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Polk County, MO, Saline County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 71 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

19 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 7, 8:40 PM CDTTornado WarningICTChase, Greenwood50 min
Jul 7, 9:06 PM CDTTornado WarningICTButler, Greenwood39 min
Jul 7, 9:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPAnderson, Coffey40 min
Jul 7, 9:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTButler, Chase, Greenwood56 min
Jul 7, 9:44 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedICTElk, Greenwood46 min
Jul 7, 10:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTButler, Greenwood66 min
Jul 7, 10:27 PM CDTTornado WarningICTElk, Greenwood, Wilson, Woodson48 min
Jul 7, 11:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTAllen, Neosho43 min
Jul 7, 11:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBourbon, Crawford54 min
Jul 7, 11:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTAllen, Labette, Montgomery, Neosho, Wilson48 min
Jul 7, 11:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarton, Vernon66 min
Jul 7, 11:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarton, Vernon65 min
Jul 7, 11:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCherokee, Crawford57 min
Jul 8, 12:04 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarton, Jasper56 min
Jul 8, 12:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCedar, Dade52 min
Jul 8, 12:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarry, Lawrence, Newton61 min
Jul 8, 12:41 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFGreene, Polk64 min
Jul 8, 12:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarry, Christian, McDonald, Stone, Taney62 min
Jul 8, 1:05 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFCherokee6 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KFOE), launched 00:00Z, 1.4 hours before the alert went out and 88 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2016-07-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3276 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2016-07-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 14 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3276 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-14 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1220 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
14 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
46 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 7, 8:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Chase, Coffey, Crawford and 16 more119 min
Jul 7, 11:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Cherokee, Coffey and 10 more119 min
Jul 8, 3:27 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHamilton93 min
Jul 8, 5:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Rawlins, Sherman59 min
Jul 8, 1:45 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHowell, Oregon, Ozark, Ripley90 min
Jul 8, 1:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Dent, Douglas and 19 more2 hr
Jul 8, 2:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCButler, Carter, Douglas, Dunklin, Howell, Mississippi and 11 more5 hr
Jul 8, 4:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Carter, Dunklin, Mississippi, New Madrid, Oregon and 5 more63 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.