Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 326

July 5, 201616 counties in Iowa; 25 counties in Minnesota; 11 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 5, 2016, 4:10 PM CDT for 16 counties in Iowa; 25 counties in Minnesota; 11 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 5, 2016, 4:10 PM CDT (21:10 UTC)
Expired: Jul 5, 2016, 11:00 PM CDT
In force: 7 hr
Issued by: the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected: 2 in
Strongest gust expected: 70 kt

All 52 counties

Cerro Gordo County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Emmet County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Howard County, IA, Humboldt County, IA, Kossuth County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, Palo Alto County, IA, Pocahontas County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Worth County, IA, Wright County, IA, Anoka County, MN, Blue Earth County, MN, Carver County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Dodge County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Houston County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Le Sueur County, MN, Martin County, MN, Mower County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Rice County, MN, Scott County, MN, Steele County, MN, Wabasha County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Washington County, MN, Winona County, MN, Barron County, WI, Buffalo County, WI, Chippewa County, WI, Dunn County, WI, Eau Claire County, WI, Pepin County, WI, Pierce County, WI, Polk County, WI, Rusk County, WI, Saint Croix County, WI, Trempealeau County, WI

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 62 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes: 20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes: 2%
Ten or more severe wind reports: 90%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more: 40%
Ten or more severe hail reports: 60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more: 30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports: 95%

Warnings issued inside it

25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 5, 5:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Anoka, Hennepin	59 min
Jul 5, 5:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Dakota, Hennepin, Ramsey, Washington	63 min
Jul 5, 6:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Washington	65 min
Jul 5, 6:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Carver, McLeod, Sibley	47 min
Jul 5, 6:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Pierce	41 min
Jul 5, 6:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Le Sueur, Rice, Scott	58 min
Jul 5, 6:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Washington	12 min
Jul 5, 6:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Blue Earth, Le Sueur, Nicollet	63 min
Jul 5, 7:16 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MPX	Anoka, Hennepin, Ramsey	4 hr
Jul 5, 7:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Dakota, Rice, Scott	55 min
Jul 5, 7:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Carver, Dakota, Hennepin, Ramsey, Scott	29 min
Jul 5, 7:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Dakota, Goodhue	64 min
Jul 5, 7:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ARX	Dodge, Olmsted, Wabasha	72 min
Jul 5, 7:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Steele, Waseca	64 min
Jul 5, 8:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Pepin, Pierce	62 min
Jul 5, 8:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ARX	Buffalo, Trempealeau	38 min
Jul 5, 8:26 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	ARX	Wabasha	34 min
Jul 5, 8:26 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Pepin, Pierce	34 min
Jul 5, 8:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Dunn, Pepin	61 min
Jul 5, 8:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ARX	Winona	56 min
Jul 5, 9:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ARX	Olmsted, Wabasha	45 min
Jul 5, 9:08 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	ARX	Buffalo	37 min
Jul 5, 9:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Eau Claire	55 min
Jul 5, 9:29 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	ARX	Buffalo, Trempealeau	46 min
Jul 5, 9:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ARX	Houston, Winona	56 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 5, 2:57 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Cherokee, Lyon, O'Brien, Osceola, Plymouth, Sioux and 1 more	63 min
Jul 5, 3:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	Buena Vista, Cherokee, Clay, Dickinson, Ida, Lyon and 5 more	7 hr
Jul 4, 8:29 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Becker, Big Stone, Clay, Clearwater, Grant, Kittson and 12 more	91 min
Jul 4, 11:57 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Chippewa, Kandiyohi, Lac qui Parle, Redwood, Renville, Stevens and 2 more	93 min
Jul 5, 1:19 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Anoka, Benton, Big Stone, Carver, Chippewa, Douglas and 15 more	56 min
Jul 5, 2:06 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	Benton, Big Stone, Brown, Chippewa, Cottonwood, Douglas and 24 more	6 hr
Jul 5, 5:08 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Anoka, Benton, Big Stone, Brown, Carver, Chippewa and 30 more	97 min
Jul 5, 5:17 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Itasca, Lake, Saint Louis	118 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2016 Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2016 Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2016 Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.