Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 322

July 4, 201619 counties in Minnesota; 32 counties in North Dakota; 8 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 4, 2016, 3:00 PM CDT for 19 counties in Minnesota; 32 counties in North Dakota; 8 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 4, 2016, 3:00 PM CDT (20:00 UTC)
Expired
Jul 4, 2016, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 59 counties

Becker County, MN, Beltrami County, MN, Clay County, MN, Clearwater County, MN, Grant County, MN, Hubbard County, MN, Kittson County, MN, Lake of the Woods County, MN, Mahnomen County, MN, Marshall County, MN, Norman County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Pennington County, MN, Polk County, MN, Red Lake County, MN, Roseau County, MN, Traverse County, MN, Wadena County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Barnes County, ND, Benson County, ND, Bottineau County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Cass County, ND, Cavalier County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Eddy County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Foster County, ND, Grand Forks County, ND, Griggs County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McHenry County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, Nelson County, ND, Pembina County, ND, Pierce County, ND, Ramsey County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Rolette County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Sheridan County, ND, Steele County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Towner County, ND, Traill County, ND, Walsh County, ND, Wells County, ND, Brown County, SD, Campbell County, SD, Day County, SD, Edmunds County, SD, Marshall County, SD, McPherson County, SD, Roberts County, SD, Walworth County, SD

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 112 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 4, 3:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBenson, Towner44 min
Jul 4, 4:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBenson, Ramsey47 min
Jul 4, 4:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBenson, Eddy, Nelson, Ramsey, Walsh61 min
Jul 4, 5:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDickey42 min
Jul 4, 5:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRBrown, McPherson37 min
Jul 4, 5:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFEddy, Grand Forks, Griggs, Nelson, Steele54 min
Jul 4, 6:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISFoster45 min
Jul 4, 6:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRBrown28 min
Jul 4, 6:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBarnes, Cass, Griggs, Steele, Traill52 min
Jul 4, 7:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFGrand Forks, Traill22 min
Jul 4, 7:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBarnes, Cass, Ransom, Richland, Steele47 min
Jul 4, 8:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFClay47 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 178 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2016-07-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 378 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2016-07-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 88 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
378 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-274 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1829 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
88 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
108 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 4, 1:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBecker, Beltrami, Clay, Clearwater, Grant, Hubbard and 12 more2 hr
Jul 4, 5:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBecker, Big Stone, Clay, Clearwater, Grant, Kittson and 12 more85 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.