Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 319

July 3, 2016McDonald County, Newton County, Missouri; 51 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 3, 2016, 3:17 PM CDT for McDonald County, Newton County, Missouri; 51 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 3, 2016, 3:17 PM CDT (20:17 UTC)
Expired
Jul 3, 2016, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 53 counties

McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, Adair County, OK, Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Caddo County, OK, Canadian County, OK, Carter County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Cleveland County, OK, Coal County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Grady County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Kay County, OK, Latimer County, OK, Lincoln County, OK, Logan County, OK, Love County, OK, Marshall County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McClain County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Murray County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Noble County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Oklahoma County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Payne County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pottawatomie County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

29 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 3, 3:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNPayne47 min
Jul 3, 4:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNLincoln, Logan, Payne50 min
Jul 3, 4:12 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedOUNPayne48 min
Jul 3, 4:15 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNLincoln, Logan30 min
Jul 3, 4:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNPayne62 min
Jul 3, 4:44 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNLincoln, Logan31 min
Jul 3, 4:47 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSANowata, Osage, Pawnee, Rogers, Washington6 hr
Jul 3, 4:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNNoble, Payne20 min
Jul 3, 4:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNPayne25 min
Jul 3, 5:14 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNLincoln31 min
Jul 3, 5:16 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSACraig, Nowata5 hr
Jul 3, 5:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNLincoln, Oklahoma43 min
Jul 3, 5:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCotton, Jefferson, Stephens23 min
Jul 3, 5:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNLincoln, Oklahoma, Pottawatomie32 min
Jul 3, 6:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNLincoln, Oklahoma45 min
Jul 3, 6:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNLincoln49 min
Jul 3, 6:28 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSACraig, Mayes, Rogers5 hr
Jul 3, 6:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCleveland, Lincoln, Oklahoma, Pottawatomie39 min
Jul 3, 6:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCotton, Jefferson23 min
Jul 3, 6:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Okfuskee16 min
Jul 3, 6:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCleveland, McClain, Pottawatomie38 min
Jul 3, 7:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNLincoln, Pottawatomie, Seminole45 min
Jul 3, 7:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCleveland, Pottawatomie40 min
Jul 3, 7:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNJefferson39 min
Jul 3, 7:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCleveland, Pottawatomie, Seminole45 min
Jul 3, 7:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNJefferson33 min
Jul 3, 8:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNPottawatomie, Seminole39 min
Jul 3, 8:30 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNCleveland, McClain, Pottawatomie2 hr
Jul 3, 9:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNHughes, Pontotoc, Seminole52 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 109 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2016-07-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1279 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2016-07-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 194 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1279 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-47 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
859 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
194 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
241 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.3
Supercell composite
9.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 3, 2:24 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCape Girardeau, Mississippi, New Madrid, Scott8 hr
Jul 3, 5:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCape Girardeau, Mississippi, New Madrid, Scott, Stoddard97 min
Jul 2, 9:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Beaver, Grant, Harper, Texas, Woods and 1 more85 min
Jul 3, 2:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Cherokee, Cleveland, Coal, Creek, Garvin and 24 more2 hr
Jul 3, 2:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCimarron119 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.