Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 146

May 7, 201610 counties in Nebraska; Laramie County, Wyoming

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 7, 2016, 4:04 PM MDT for 10 counties in Nebraska; Laramie County, Wyoming. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 7, 2016, 4:04 PM MDT (22:04 UTC)
Expired
May 7, 2016, 9:00 PM MDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Arthur County, NE, Banner County, NE, Cheyenne County, NE, Deuel County, NE, Garden County, NE, Keith County, NE, Kimball County, NE, Lincoln County, NE, Morrill County, NE, Perkins County, NE, Laramie County, WY

The radar

The Cheyenne radar (KCYS), 167 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

1 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 7, 4:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSLaramie46 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 179 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2016-05-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 5 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2016-05-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -38 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
5 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-219 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
776 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
64 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-38 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
163 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 7, 11:29 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Elbert, Kit Carson, Logan, Morgan and 5 more91 min
May 7, 12:31 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Cheyenne, Elbert, Kit Carson, Lincoln and 7 more8 hr
May 7, 4:23 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKit Carson, Logan, Morgan, Phillips, Sedgwick, Washington and 1 more97 min
May 7, 2:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCChase, Dundy, Frontier, Hayes, Hitchcock, Red Willow9 hr
May 7, 5:37 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChase, Dundy, Frontier, Hayes, Hitchcock, Red Willow83 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wyoming, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.