Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 119

April 28, 201638 counties in North Carolina; 36 counties in Virginia; 36 counties in West Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 28, 2016, 4:21 PM EDT for 38 counties in North Carolina; 36 counties in Virginia; 36 counties in West Virginia. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 28, 2016, 4:21 PM EDT (20:21 UTC)
Expired
Apr 28, 2016, 10:59 PM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 110 counties

Alamance County, NC, Alexander County, NC, Alleghany County, NC, Ashe County, NC, Burke County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, Caswell County, NC, Catawba County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Davie County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Granville County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Iredell County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Lee County, NC, Nash County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Orange County, NC, Person County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Rowan County, NC, Stokes County, NC, Surry County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilkes County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Yadkin County, NC, Alleghany County, VA, Bath County, VA, Bedford County, VA, Bland County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, Brunswick County, VA, Buchanan County, VA, Carroll County, VA, City of Buena Vista, VA, City of Covington, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Galax, VA, City of Lexington, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, City of Radford, VA, City of Roanoke, VA, City of Salem, VA, Craig County, VA, Floyd County, VA, Franklin County, VA, Giles County, VA, Grayson County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Henry County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Montgomery County, VA, Patrick County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Pulaski County, VA, Roanoke County, VA, Rockbridge County, VA, Smyth County, VA, Tazewell County, VA, Wythe County, VA, Barbour County, WV, Boone County, WV, Braxton County, WV, Cabell County, WV, Calhoun County, WV, Clay County, WV, Doddridge County, WV, Fayette County, WV, Gilmer County, WV, Greenbrier County, WV, Harrison County, WV, Jackson County, WV, Kanawha County, WV, Lewis County, WV, Lincoln County, WV, Logan County, WV, Mason County, WV, McDowell County, WV, Mercer County, WV, Mingo County, WV, Monroe County, WV, Nicholas County, WV, Pocahontas County, WV, Putnam County, WV, Raleigh County, WV, Randolph County, WV, Ritchie County, WV, Roane County, WV, Summers County, WV, Taylor County, WV, Upshur County, WV, Wayne County, WV, Webster County, WV, Wirt County, WV, Wood County, WV, Wyoming County, WV

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
90%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

27 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 28, 4:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPDavie, Iredell, Rowan51 min
Apr 28, 4:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHChatham, Lee, Wake24 min
Apr 28, 4:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKHalifax, Pittsylvania91 min
Apr 28, 4:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHAlamance, Chatham, Durham, Orange60 min
Apr 28, 4:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKRockingham, Stokes35 min
Apr 28, 5:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXRandolph30 min
Apr 28, 5:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPDavie, Rowan33 min
Apr 28, 5:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHFranklin, Johnston, Wake51 min
Apr 28, 5:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHAlamance, Forsyth, Guilford, Orange55 min
Apr 28, 5:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHCumberland, Harnett, Sampson48 min
Apr 28, 5:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAlexander, Iredell29 min
Apr 28, 5:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBarbour, Taylor26 min
Apr 28, 5:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXWood33 min
Apr 28, 6:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHFranklin, Nash, Wake32 min
Apr 28, 6:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHGranville, Person44 min
Apr 28, 6:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHAlamance, Guilford, Orange42 min
Apr 28, 6:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHJohnston, Wayne40 min
Apr 28, 6:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQMecklenburg25 min
Apr 28, 6:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXCalhoun, Gilmer, Ritchie, Wirt, Wood46 min
Apr 28, 6:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHJohnston, Sampson, Wayne45 min
Apr 28, 6:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHAlamance, Chatham, Durham, Orange48 min
Apr 28, 7:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHEdgecombe, Halifax, Nash37 min
Apr 28, 7:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXCalhoun, Gilmer, Ritchie32 min
Apr 28, 7:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHFranklin, Granville, Vance, Warren22 min
Apr 28, 7:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKHalifax, Pittsylvania53 min
Apr 28, 7:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHChatham, Harnett, Lee, Wake49 min
Apr 28, 9:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHJohnston, Wake36 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 129 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2016-04-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2016-04-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 80 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1309 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
80 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
143 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 28, 3:56 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Alleghany, Ashe, Caswell, Chatham, Davidson and 14 more64 min
Apr 28, 7:03 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Beaufort, Bertie, Camden, Caswell, Chatham and 34 more87 min
Apr 28, 3:53 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Clinton, Fayette, Greene, Hamilton, Montgomery and 2 more97 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Carolina, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in West Virginia, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.