Alert archive / Wisconsin / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 941

June 15, 201612 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 15, 2016, 5:43 PM CDT for 12 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 92 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 15, 2016, 5:43 PM CDT (22:43 UTC)
Expired
Jun 15, 2016, 7:15 PM CDT
In force
92 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Brown County, WI, Calumet County, WI, Columbia County, WI, Dodge County, WI, Fond du Lac County, WI, Green Lake County, WI, Marquette County, WI, Outagamie County, WI, Shawano County, WI, Waupaca County, WI, Waushara County, WI, Winnebago County, WI

The radar

The Green Bay radar (KGRB), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 51 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2016-06-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2016-06-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 4 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
511 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
4 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-2 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

892 
ACUS11 KWNS 152244
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 152243 
WIZ000-160015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0941
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0543 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN WI

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 259...

VALID 152243Z - 160015Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 259 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THREAT FOR A FEW DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...HAIL AND A COUPLE
OF TORNADOES WILL PERSIST UNTIL AROUND 0030-01Z OVER ERN WI.

DISCUSSION...BROKEN LINE OF STORMS WITH A FEW EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS
EXTENDS FROM NERN THROUGH SCNTRL WI MOVING EAST AT 25 KT. ACTIVITY
IS FORMING WITHIN ZONE OF DEEP ASCENT ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT AUGMENTED BY A SEWD-MOVING VORTICITY MAXIMUM. GRB VWP SHOW
CURVED LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS WITH VEERING LOW-LEVEL WINDS AND 0-1 KM
STORM RELATIVE HELICITY AROUND 230 M2/S2 IMMEDIATELY DOWNSTREAM FROM
THE STORMS. MOREOVER...A LAKE BREEZE HAS MOVED INLAND AND CONTINUES
WWD. THE TORNADO THREAT MAY UNDERGO SOME INCREASE THROUGH 00Z AS THE
SUPERCELLS INTERACT WITH THE LAKE BREEZE...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL
DECREASE AS THE STORMS MOVE INTO THE MORE STABLE REGIME NEAR THE
COAST.

..DIAL.. 06/15/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GRB...MKX...

LAT...LON   45088904 44848840 44588781 44108792 43428818 43288889
            43568958 44698935 45088904

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 14, 8:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuffalo, Crawford, Grant, Iowa, Jackson, La Crosse and 6 more84 min
Jun 15, 12:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Calumet, Chippewa, Clark, Columbia and 24 more2 hr
Jun 15, 2:13 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Brown, Calumet, Columbia, Dodge, Fond du Lac and 21 more6 hr
Jun 15, 3:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Calumet, Columbia, Dodge, Fond du Lac and 24 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Wisconsin, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.