Alert archive / Wisconsin / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 939

June 15, 201630 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 15, 2016, 3:44 PM CDT for 30 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 15, 2016, 3:44 PM CDT (20:44 UTC)
Expired
Jun 15, 2016, 5:45 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 30 counties

Adams County, WI, Brown County, WI, Calumet County, WI, Columbia County, WI, Dodge County, WI, Fond du Lac County, WI, Forest County, WI, Green Lake County, WI, Juneau County, WI, Langlade County, WI, Lincoln County, WI, Manitowoc County, WI, Marathon County, WI, Marquette County, WI, Menominee County, WI, Oconto County, WI, Oneida County, WI, Outagamie County, WI, Ozaukee County, WI, Portage County, WI, Price County, WI, Shawano County, WI, Sheboygan County, WI, Taylor County, WI, Vilas County, WI, Washington County, WI, Waupaca County, WI, Waushara County, WI, Winnebago County, WI, Wood County, WI

The radar

The Green Bay radar (KGRB), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 119 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2016-06-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2016-06-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 4 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
511 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
4 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-2 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

445 
ACUS11 KWNS 152044
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 152044 
WIZ000-MIZ000-152245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0939
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0344 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...WI

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 259...

VALID 152044Z - 152245Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 259 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...SEVERE/ISOLATED TORNADO RISK CONTINUES ACROSS TORNADO
WATCH 259 IN WI.

DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR LOOP SHOWS A BROKEN BAND OF STRONG/LOCALLY
SEVERE STORMS MOVING EWD ACROSS NRN AND CENTRAL WI.  THE STRONGEST
CELL -- CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS ERN JACKSON CO -- CONTINUES TO
EXHIBIT SOME LOW-LEVEL ROTATION.  WITH THE AIRMASS NEAR AND S OF
THIS CELL -- I.E. ACROSS THE SRN HALF OF WI -- CONTINUING TO
GRADUALLY DESTABILIZE DOWNSTREAM OF THE NERN MN UPPER LOW...RISK FOR
HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO
WILL CONTINUE.

..GOSS.. 06/15/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...MKX...DLH...ARX...

LAT...LON   44319059 45059051 45899064 46269016 46078887 44268747
            43038768 43168967 44319059

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 14, 8:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuffalo, Crawford, Grant, Iowa, Jackson, La Crosse and 6 more84 min
Jun 15, 12:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Calumet, Chippewa, Clark, Columbia and 24 more2 hr
Jun 15, 2:13 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Brown, Calumet, Columbia, Dodge, Fond du Lac and 21 more6 hr
Jun 15, 5:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Calumet, Columbia, Dodge, Fond du Lac, Green Lake and 6 more92 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Wisconsin, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.