Alert archive / Illinois / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 458

April 26, 20165 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 26, 2016, 2:42 PM CDT for 5 states. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 26, 2016, 2:42 PM CDT (19:42 UTC)
Expired
Apr 26, 2016, 4:45 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 85 counties

Alexander County, IL, Bond County, IL, Clay County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Massac County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Washington County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Gibson County, IN, Posey County, IN, Spencer County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Warrick County, IN, Ballard County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Logan County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Union County, KY, Webster County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Madison County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Perry County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Washington County, MO, Wayne County, MO, Benton County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Obion County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Weakley County, TN

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 268 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2016-04-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 36 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2016-04-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 148 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
36 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-100 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1318 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
148 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
129 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

462 
ACUS11 KWNS 261943
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261942 
KYZ000-TNZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-262145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0458
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0242 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...SE MO...SRN IL...FAR SW IND...NW TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 106...

VALID 261942Z - 262145Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 106
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...A LINE OF SEVERE STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AND HAIL...WILL MOVE ESEWD ACROSS SE MO...SRN IL..SW IND AND
WRN KY THIS AFTERNOON. A NEW WW MAY BE NEEDED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF WW
106.

DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR TRENDS SHOW A WELL-DEVELOPED BOWING LINE
SEGMENT ACROSS FAR WRN IL EXTENDING SWWD INTO SE MO. THE LINE IS
LOCATED TO THE SOUTH OF A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT IN A MOIST AIRMASS.
AHEAD OF THE BOW...SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S F COMBINED
WITH SFC TEMPS IN THE LOWER 80S F ARE CONTRIBUTING TO MODERATE
INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE OF 2000-2500 J/KG ACCORDING TO MESOSCALE
ANALYSIS. THIS SHOULD HELP THE LINE TO BE MAINTAINED THROUGH THE
REST OF THE AFTERNOON AND POSSIBLY INTO THE EARLY EVENING. THE
LATEST HRRR RUN MOVES THE BOWING LINE SEGMENT ESEWD ACROSS SRN IL
INTO SW IND AND WRN KY BY 23Z TO 00Z. THE ST LOUIS AIRPORT RECENTLY
REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 53 KNOTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LINE AND THIS
POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS SHOULD CONTINUE IN AREAS TO THE
EAST OF THE MS RIVER ACROSS SRN IL AND WRN KY.

..BROYLES/CORFIDI.. 04/26/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...ILX...MEG...LSX...SGF...

LAT...LON   39139023 38129070 37689140 37129106 35988835 36048736
            36418702 37398663 38068685 38988860 39139023

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 26, 10:03 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Greene, Jersey, Monroe, Randolph, Saint Clair117 min
Apr 26, 11:52 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBond, Calhoun, Christian, Clay, Clinton, Effingham and 18 more7 hr
Apr 26, 12:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Lawrence3 hr
Apr 26, 3:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlexander, Clark, Coles, Crawford, Cumberland, Edgar and 19 more6 hr
Apr 26, 5:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDearborn, Fayette, Franklin, Ohio, Ripley, Switzerland and 1 more115 min
Apr 26, 5:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDearborn, Fayette, Franklin, Ohio, Ripley, Switzerland and 2 more6 hr
Apr 26, 2:18 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Cass, Clay and 12 more117 min
Apr 26, 4:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuchanan, Cass, Clay, Clinton, Jackson, Johnson and 4 more83 min
Apr 26, 6:23 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAndrew, Audrain, Bates, Benton, Boone, Buchanan and 30 more7 hr
Apr 26, 7:18 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Boone, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Chariton and 16 more87 min
Apr 26, 6:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Clay, Clinton, DeKalb and 3 more61 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.