Alert archive / Tennessee / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 1850

November 29, 20166 counties in Alabama; 4 counties in Georgia; 7 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Nov 29, 2016, 11:17 PM CST for 6 counties in Alabama; 4 counties in Georgia; 7 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 118 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 29, 2016, 11:17 PM CST (05:17 UTC)
Expired
Nov 30, 2016, 1:15 AM CST
In force
118 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties DeKalb County, AL, Jackson County, AL, Lawrence County, AL, Limestone County, AL, Madison County, AL, Morgan County, AL, Catoosa County, GA, Dade County, GA, Walker County, GA, Whitfield County, GA, Bradley County, TN, Franklin County, TN, Grundy County, TN, Hamilton County, TN, Lincoln County, TN, Marion County, TN, Sequatchie County, TN

The radar

The Northeast Alabama radar (KHTX), 16 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 5.3 hours before the alert went out and 157 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2016-11-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2016-11-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 321 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1648 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
90 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
321 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
354 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

941 
ACUS11 KWNS 300518
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 300517 
TNZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-300715-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1850
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1117 PM CST TUE NOV 29 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TN...NORTHERN AL...NORTHWEST GA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 507...509...510

VALID 300517Z - 300715Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 507...509...510 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE SEVERE-THUNDERSTORM/TORNADO RISK CONTINUES ACROSS
TORNADO WATCHES 507...509...AND 510.

DISCUSSION...ONGOING SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS/CLUSTERS CONTINUE
TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD WITHIN A ZONE OF MODEST WARM ADVECTION ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY REGION AND VICINITY. ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION IN MS WILL ALSO ADVANCE INTO PORTIONS OF THE AREA DURING
THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. LOW-LEVEL SOUTHERLIES WILL CONTINUE TO
ENCOURAGE MOIST/UNSTABLE INFLOW FOR THE CONVECTION. MIDDLE 60S
SURFACE DEWPOINTS...CHARACTERIZING THE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER FEEDING
THIS CONVECTION...ARE SUPPORTING AROUND 250-750 J/KG OF MLCAPE --
STRONGEST FROM NORTH-CENTRAL INTO NORTHEAST AL AND FAR NORTHWEST GA.
SUBSTANTIALLY ELONGATED HODOGRAPHS FEATURING LOW-LEVEL CURVATURE
WILL CONTINUE SUPPORTING TORNADIC-SUPERCELL POTENTIAL THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. DAMAGING STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...
AS HIGH-MOMENTUM AIR ABOVE THE GROUND MAY BE TRANSFERRED TO THE
SURFACE IN STRONGER DOWNDRAFTS.

REMAINING-VALID PORTIONS OF WATCH 507 IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TN
SHOULD BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE BY 06Z...AS THE MORE SUBSTANTIAL SEVERE
RISK WILL EXIST FARTHER SOUTH/EAST.

..COHEN.. 11/30/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...

LAT...LON   34338582 34378750 34618782 35158679 35588510 35208472
            34748492 34338582

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 29, 6:43 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColbert, Fayette, Franklin, Lamar, Lauderdale, Lawrence and 6 more92 min
Nov 29, 6:47 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCCullman, DeKalb, Jackson, Lawrence, Limestone, Madison and 2 more8 hr
Nov 29, 8:03 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChoctaw, Fayette, Greene, Hale, Lamar, Pickens and 2 more2 hr
Nov 29, 8:50 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBibb, Blount, Fayette, Greene, Hale, Jefferson and 7 more8 hr
Nov 29, 9:28 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCullman, DeKalb, Jackson, Lawrence, Limestone, Madison and 2 more62 min
Nov 29, 10:28 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCColbert, Cullman, DeKalb, Franklin, Jackson, Lauderdale and 5 more5 hr
Nov 29, 11:37 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFayette, Lamar, Pickens113 min
Nov 30, 1:07 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlount, Cullman, DeKalb, Fayette, Jackson, Madison and 5 more53 min
Nov 30, 2:54 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBibb, Blount, Calhoun, Cherokee, Chilton, Cleburne and 22 more7 hr
Nov 30, 4:57 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCChoctaw, Clarke, Mobile, Washington7 hr
Nov 30, 5:10 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBibb, Blount, Calhoun, Cherokee, Chilton, Clay and 27 more95 min
Nov 30, 9:00 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Baldwin, Bibb, Blount, Bullock, Butler and 37 more2 hr
Nov 30, 11:06 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBaldwin, Barbour, Bullock, Butler, Chambers, Coffee and 17 more6 hr
Nov 30, 12:59 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarbour, Bullock, Coffee, Covington, Crenshaw, Dale and 7 more2 hr
Nov 30, 1:55 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarbour, Coffee, Covington, Dale, Geneva, Henry and 2 more2 hr
Nov 29, 10:11 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCCatoosa, Chattooga, Dade, Walker, Whitfield5 hr
Nov 30, 2:23 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaldwin, Bibb, Bleckley, Columbia, Crisp, Dooly and 22 more3 hr
Nov 30, 4:43 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Elbert, Glascock, Hancock, Lincoln, McDuffie and 5 more92 min
Nov 30, 4:45 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaker, Calhoun, Decatur, Dougherty, Early, Grady and 7 more30 min
Nov 29, 11:46 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Blount, Campbell, Claiborne, Grainger, Hamblen and 6 more119 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Alabama, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.