Alert archive / Louisiana / Tornado Watches in 2016

Tornado Watch 512

November 30, 20164 counties in Alabama; 23 parishes in Louisiana; 18 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 30, 2016, 4:57 AM CST for 4 counties in Alabama; 23 parishes in Louisiana; 18 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 30, 2016, 4:57 AM CST (10:57 UTC)
Expired
Nov 30, 2016, 12:00 PM CST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 45 counties

Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Washington County, AL, Ascension Parish, LA, Assumption Parish, LA, East Baton Rouge Parish, LA, Iberia Parish, LA, Iberville Parish, LA, Jefferson Parish, LA, Lafourche Parish, LA, Livingston Parish, LA, Orleans Parish, LA, Plaquemines Parish, LA, Saint Bernard Parish, LA, Saint Charles Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint James Parish, LA, Saint John the Baptist Parish, LA, Saint Martin Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, St. Mary Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Terrebonne Parish, LA, Vermilion Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Baton Rouge Parish, LA, Clarke County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jones County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Marion County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Stone County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Wayne County, MS

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
50%

Warnings issued inside it

2 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 30, 10:11 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXHarrison19 min
Nov 30, 11:32 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBMobile43 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 00:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 42 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Slidell Radar S, LA at 00:00Z on 2016-11-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1629 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Slidell Radar S, LA at 00:00Z on 2016-11-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 237 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1629 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
576 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
64 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
237 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
249 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.8
Supercell composite
9.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

992 
WWUS20 KWNS 301054
SEL2  
SPC WW 301054
ALZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-301800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 512
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
455 AM CST WED NOV 30 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA
  SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA
  SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI
  COASTAL WATERS

* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 455 AM UNTIL NOON CST.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...TWO BANDS OF CONVECTION -- ONE CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM
NORTHERN ALABAMA TO OFFSHORE THE LOUISIANA COAST...THE OTHER A
SMALLER LINE OVER SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA
-- WILL POSE A RISK OF DAMAGING GUSTS AND MOSTLY SMALL/BRIEF
TORNADOES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING HOURS WHILE CROSSING
THE WATCH AREA.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE MILES
EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HOUMA LA TO 55
MILES SOUTHEAST OF MERIDIAN MS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE
WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 508. WATCH NUMBER 508 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
455 AM CST. CONTINUE...WW 511...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN
STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.

...EDWARDS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 29, 6:43 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColbert, Fayette, Franklin, Lamar, Lauderdale, Lawrence and 6 more92 min
Nov 29, 6:47 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCCullman, DeKalb, Jackson, Lawrence, Limestone, Madison and 2 more8 hr
Nov 29, 8:03 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChoctaw, Fayette, Greene, Hale, Lamar, Pickens and 2 more2 hr
Nov 29, 8:50 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBibb, Blount, Fayette, Greene, Hale, Jefferson and 7 more8 hr
Nov 29, 9:28 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCullman, DeKalb, Jackson, Lawrence, Limestone, Madison and 2 more62 min
Nov 29, 10:28 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCColbert, Cullman, DeKalb, Franklin, Jackson, Lauderdale and 5 more5 hr
Nov 29, 11:17 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDeKalb, Jackson, Lawrence, Limestone, Madison, Morgan118 min
Nov 29, 11:37 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFayette, Lamar, Pickens113 min
Nov 30, 1:07 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlount, Cullman, DeKalb, Fayette, Jackson, Madison and 5 more53 min
Nov 30, 2:54 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBibb, Blount, Calhoun, Cherokee, Chilton, Cleburne and 22 more7 hr
Nov 30, 5:10 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBibb, Blount, Calhoun, Cherokee, Chilton, Clay and 27 more95 min
Nov 30, 9:00 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Baldwin, Bibb, Blount, Bullock, Butler and 37 more2 hr
Nov 30, 11:06 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBaldwin, Barbour, Bullock, Butler, Chambers, Coffee and 17 more6 hr
Nov 30, 12:59 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarbour, Bullock, Coffee, Covington, Crenshaw, Dale and 7 more2 hr
Nov 30, 1:55 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarbour, Coffee, Covington, Dale, Geneva, Henry and 2 more2 hr
Nov 29, 6:06 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaldwell, Catahoula, Concordia, East Carroll, Franklin, Grant and 6 more114 min
Nov 29, 9:47 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCConcordia58 min
Nov 30, 3:33 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberia, Iberville and 14 more87 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2016Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2016Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.