Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 1545

August 16, 20165 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 16, 2016, 4:55 PM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 95 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 16, 2016, 4:55 PM EDT (20:55 UTC)
Expired
Aug 16, 2016, 6:30 PM EDT
In force
95 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 41 counties

New Castle County, DE, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Cecil County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Kent County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Camden County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Berks County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Chester County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, Pike County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Arlington County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Loudoun County, VA

The radar

The Dover AFB radar (KDOX), 134 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 139 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2016-08-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 364 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2016-08-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 117 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
364 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-175 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
773 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
117 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
98 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 16, 3:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCNew Castle4 hr
Aug 16, 1:40 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaltimore, Carroll, Frederick, Howard, Montgomery, Prince George's and 2 more2 hr
Aug 16, 6:40 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Garrett2 hr
Aug 16, 2:57 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Butler, Crawford, Erie, Lawrence, Mercer and 2 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Maryland, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in New Jersey, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.