Severe Thunderstorm Warning 29, NWS San Angelo, TX

936 
WWUS54 KSJT 200112
SVSSJT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
812 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

TXC327-413-200145-
/O.CON.KSJT.SV.W.0029.000000T0000Z-160420T0145Z/
MENARD TX-SCHLEICHER TX-
812 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN MENARD AND SOUTHEASTERN SCHLEICHER COUNTIES...

AT 811 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER FORT MCKAVETT...
OR 18 MILES WEST OF MENARD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT WIND 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FORT MCKAVETT AND CAMP SOL MAYER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

THIS STORM IS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY
STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3072 10021 3093 10025 3100 9986 3072 9982
TIME...MOT...LOC 0111Z 244DEG 16KT 3085 10009 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

162 
WWUS54 KSJT 200128
SVSSJT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
828 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

TXC327-413-200145-
/O.CON.KSJT.SV.W.0029.000000T0000Z-160420T0145Z/
MENARD TX-SCHLEICHER TX-
828 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN MENARD AND EAST CENTRAL SCHLEICHER COUNTIES...

AT 827 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR FORT MCKAVETT...
OR 14 MILES WEST OF MENARD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT WIND 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FORT MCKAVETT AND CAMP SOL MAYER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3073 10015 3094 10016 3100 9986 3074 9982
TIME...MOT...LOC 0127Z 240DEG 17KT 3089 10003 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
639 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Cloud bases are currently VFR (3500-4500 ft) but will deteriorate
by late evening, eventually falling below 1000 ft across much of
the CWA late tonight. IFR conditions will prevail through mid-
morning with ceilings gradually rising and scattering out by
midday. Winds will be light and variable much of the TAF period,
becoming north to northeast on Wednesday in the wake of a weak
surface boundary. Scattered convection is expected tonight, but
confidence that any particular terminal will be affected is low.
VCSH remarks were included at various times for all sites, mainly
during the 02-05z period. Additional isolated convection will be
possible Wednesday afternoon, mainly southeast of a KSOA-KBWD
line.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 350 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Wednesday)

Isolated showers and thunderstorms have developed this afternoon
in the vicinity of Fort Stockton, where MLCAPEs are 1000-1500
J/kg and convective inhibition has eroded. Breaks in the clouds
have developed across parts of west central Texas, but persistent
cloud cover has limited the instability in our area. Other showers
and thunderstorms have developed near and north of Lubbock, ahead
of a shortwave trough.

Forecast remains problematic with placement of convection across
our area tonight. If sufficient shower/thunderstorm development
occurs from Midland south to Fort Stockton, some of this could
move east/northeast into some of our western counties. Appears
that the highest rain chance tonight will be across the area north
of a Roby to Abilene to San Saba line. Additional convective
development is anticipated this evening northwest of our area and
possibly into the Big Country, as the aforementioned shortwave
moves east toward North Texas. A weak cold front will sag south
into the Big Country overnight. Could have additional
shower/thunderstorm development ahead of this front. This setup
may result in scattered to numerous thunderstorms affecting our
northern and northeastern counties. A marginal risk for severe
thunderstorms remains in place for much of west central Texas this
evening and tonight.

On Wednesday, carrying low chance PoPs across the southeastern
part of our area. With less cloud cover, temperatures will be
warmer Wednesday. Highs are expected to range from the mid to
upper 70s across the northern and eastern parts of our area, to
the lower 80s across part of the western Concho Valley into
Crockett County.

LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Tuesday)

The upper low that has influenced the region the past few days
will weaken as it moves east from Midwest states
 and into the
Great Lakes region by Thursday. A shortwave on the back side of
the upper low will approach the area Wednesday evening, with an
associated weak cold front dropping south across West Central
Texas Wednesday night and early Thursday. Medium range models
develop convection north of the area in advance of the front
Wednesday night, with this activity moving south across the
forecast area as a possible MCS overnight into Thursday morning.
Indications are that the front will likely exit far southern
portions of the forecast area by late afternoon, with only some
lingering precipitation along the I-10 corridor through early
evening.

Friday and Saturday will dry and pleasant as upper level ridging
moves into the region. Still looking at another chance for
precipitation late next weekend into early next week as another
upper level system potentially impacts the region. Confidence
remains low concerning the eventual evolution of this system, so
POPs were kept low for Sunday and Sunday night.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 	 58  76  59  75 /  50  10  50  50
San Angelo 	 59  80  61  77 /  40  10  30  40
Junction 	 61  79  61  77 /  40  30  20  40

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.

&&

Johnson

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
258 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-202000-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
258 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. THE MAIN
THREATS ARE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM...
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF AN OZONA TO
BRADY TO BROWNWOOD LINE. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
654 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

TXZ072-077-200045-
TOM GREEN TX-SCHLEICHER TX-
654 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN SCHLEICHER AND
SOUTHEASTERN TOM GREEN COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM CDT...

AT 654 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES SOUTH OF
CHRISTOVAL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  CHRISTOVAL AROUND 715 PM CDT.

LAT...LON 3087 10043 3102 10064 3133 10045 3111 10015
TIME...MOT...LOC 2354Z 218DEG 17KT 3107 10048

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
712 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

TXZ072-073-077-168-200100-
CONCHO TX-TOM GREEN TX-SCHLEICHER TX-MENARD TX-
712 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN MENARD...
NORTHEASTERN SCHLEICHER...SOUTHEASTERN TOM GREEN AND SOUTHWESTERN
CONCHO COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM CDT...

AT 711 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 16 MILES NORTHWEST
OF FORT MCKAVETT...OR 17 MILES NORTHEAST OF ELDORADO...MOVING EAST AT
25 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHWESTERN
MENARD...NORTHEASTERN SCHLEICHER...SOUTHEASTERN TOM GREEN AND
SOUTHWESTERN CONCHO COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS: THE
INTERSECTION OF US-190 AND RANCH ROAD 2084 AND CAMP SOL MAYER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3081 10038 3105 10047 3123 10002 3083 9991
TIME...MOT...LOC 0011Z 251DEG 21KT 3097 10033

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
726 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

TXZ077-078-168-169-200115-
KIMBLE TX-SCHLEICHER TX-SUTTON TX-MENARD TX-
726 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN MENARD...
NORTHEASTERN SUTTON...SOUTHEASTERN SCHLEICHER AND NORTHWESTERN KIMBLE
COUNTIES UNTIL 815 PM CDT...

AT 725 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF FORT MCKAVETT...OR 24 MILES EAST OF ELDORADO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
15 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  FORT MCKAVETT AROUND 755 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE CAMP SOL MAYER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3059 10028 3085 10034 3097 9993 3062 9985
TIME...MOT...LOC 0025Z 229DEG 14KT 3075 10021