Special Weather Statement, NWS Springfield, MO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
558 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 246 PM CDT Thu Aug 25 2016

A surface boundary was located from southeast Kansas into northern
Missouri early this afternoon. Instability has developed south and
east of the boundary with surface based CAPES of 3000-4000 j/kg
over the Ozarks. 0-6 bulk shear was between 30-40kts. Main focus
over the short term period will be with convection potential,
especially over our northwestern 1/3 of the CWA.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 246 PM CDT Thu Aug 25 2016

For the remainder of this afternoon and tonight, we are
anticipating some scattered convection to begin firing up shortly
over extreme southeast Kansas and the Missouri Ozarks. More
organized convection is expected to our north and west again
tonight. PW values along the front to our northwest tonight will
be between 1.7 and 1.9 in. and our surrounding WFO neighbors to
our north and west will be issuing a flash flood watch for
tonight, given the already heavy rainfall from last night. Over
our area, main concern will be in our northwest 1/3 of the CWA
which could get the eastern extent of this convection tonight, but
at this time we are not expecting enough in the way to warrant a
watch in our cwa and we also did not get the rainfall as did the
areas to our northwest last night.

.LONG TERM...(Friday Night through Thursday)
Issued at 246 PM CDT Thu Aug 25 2016

The front is expected to hang around the area through the weekend
with continued chances for scattered convection anticipated. At
this time we are not expecting organized severe storms, but could
see some strong storms develop during the afternoon on Friday near
the frontal boundary. Cloud cover and scattered convection will
keep temperatures down slightly with highs generally in the mid to
upper 80s.

Can't rule out thunderstorm chances on a daily basis given the
high moisture content and weak disturbances pushing through the
area. Little change in daily temperatures is expected through the
period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday evening)
Issued at 555 PM CDT Thu Aug 25 2016

Scattered convection will occur for a few hours this evening,
mainly affecting the JLN terminal. Have also thrown in a vcts for
SGF at the onset. Additional convection will fire up overnight as
the low level jet develops with most of that activity remaining
north and west of the CWA. Within the convection do bring down to
MVFR and outside of convection keep in VFR.

&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...Lindenberg
SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Lindenberg

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
813 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-270115-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
813 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED HAIL RISK.
  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST INTO THE LATE
  EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS WILL
  CONTAIN DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...AND LARGE
  HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS.

  FLASH FLOODING IS ALSO EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHWEST MISSOURI.
  AREAS OF SOUTHWESTERN POLK COUNTY WILL EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT
  FLASH FLOODING DUE TO TRAINING THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

  THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN BE POSSIBLE ON A DAILY BASIS FROM
  FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY.

  AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 90S WILL
  REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND
  EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS INTO NEXT MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

CRAMER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
747 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0746 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MORRISVILLE             37.48N 93.43W
08/25/2016                   POLK               MO   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            LOCAL FIRE DEPARTMENT OBSERVED MULTIPLE TREES DOWN IN
            MORRISVILLE FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS.

&&

DCRAMER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
752 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     HAIL             5 E SENECA              36.84N 94.52W
08/25/2016  E1.00 INCH       NEWTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

DCRAMER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
753 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

MOZ055-260130-
BENTON MO-
753 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN BENTON COUNTY UNTIL
830 PM CDT...

AT 752 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
WARSAW...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
TRUMAN STATE PARK...              TRUMAN LAKE...
WARSAW...                         RACKET...
WHITAKERVILLE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3814 9349 3832 9351 3837 9325 3816 9321
TIME...MOT...LOC 0052Z 270DEG 13KT 3821 9346

TERRY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
754 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SENECA                  36.84N 94.61W
08/25/2016                   NEWTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE LIMBS DOWN IN SENECA

&&

BURCHFIELD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
818 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

MOZ055-067-260200-
BENTON MO-ST. CLAIR MO-
818 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN ST. CLAIR AND
SOUTHWESTERN BENTON COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM CDT...

AT 818 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
LOWRY CITY...OR 15 MILES SOUTH OF CLINTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30
MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
TRUMAN STATE PARK...              TRUMAN LAKE...
WARSAW...                         OSCEOLA...
LOWRY CITY...                     ICONIUM...
PALO PINTO...                     RACKET...
WHITAKERVILLE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

IF ON OR NEAR TRUMAN LAKE...GET OUT OF THE WATER AND MOVE INDOORS OR
INSIDE A VEHICLE. REMEMBER...LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE OUT TO 15 MILES
FROM THE PARENT THUNDERSTORM. IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE
CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER NOW.
DO NOT BE CAUGHT ON THE WATER IN A THUNDERSTORM.

&&

LAT...LON 3817 9323 3798 9377 3817 9394 3821 9388
      3820 9356 3822 9357 3822 9356 3821 9353
      3844 9351 3845 9349
TIME...MOT...LOC 0118Z 235DEG 27KT 3814 9374

GRIFFIN

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