Special Weather Statement, NWS Springfield, MO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
558 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 246 PM CDT Thu Aug 25 2016

A surface boundary was located from southeast Kansas into northern
Missouri early this afternoon. Instability has developed south and
east of the boundary with surface based CAPES of 3000-4000 j/kg
over the Ozarks. 0-6 bulk shear was between 30-40kts. Main focus
over the short term period will be with convection potential,
especially over our northwestern 1/3 of the CWA.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 246 PM CDT Thu Aug 25 2016

For the remainder of this afternoon and tonight, we are
anticipating some scattered convection to begin firing up shortly
over extreme southeast Kansas and the Missouri Ozarks. More
organized convection is expected to our north and west again
tonight. PW values along the front to our northwest tonight will
be between 1.7 and 1.9 in. and our surrounding WFO neighbors to
our north and west will be issuing a flash flood watch for
tonight, given the already heavy rainfall from last night. Over
our area, main concern will be in our northwest 1/3 of the CWA
which could get the eastern extent of this convection tonight, but
at this time we are not expecting enough in the way to warrant a
watch in our cwa and we also did not get the rainfall as did the
areas to our northwest last night.

.LONG TERM...(Friday Night through Thursday)
Issued at 246 PM CDT Thu Aug 25 2016

The front is expected to hang around the area through the weekend
with continued chances for scattered convection anticipated. At
this time we are not expecting organized severe storms, but could
see some strong storms develop during the afternoon on Friday near
the frontal boundary. Cloud cover and scattered convection will
keep temperatures down slightly with highs generally in the mid to
upper 80s.

Can't rule out thunderstorm chances on a daily basis given the
high moisture content and weak disturbances pushing through the
area. Little change in daily temperatures is expected through the
period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday evening)
Issued at 555 PM CDT Thu Aug 25 2016

Scattered convection will occur for a few hours this evening,
mainly affecting the JLN terminal. Have also thrown in a vcts for
SGF at the onset. Additional convection will fire up overnight as
the low level jet develops with most of that activity remaining
north and west of the CWA. Within the convection do bring down to
MVFR and outside of convection keep in VFR.

&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...Lindenberg
SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Lindenberg

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
339 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-262045-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
339 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED HAIL RISK.
  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE
  EVENING...MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR.
  SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 60
  MPH AND HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS.

  ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...BUT WILL MAINLY
  BE CONFINED TO SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO WEST CENTRAL AND CENTRAL
  MISSOURI.

  AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 90S WILL
  REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND EXTREME
  SOUTHEASTERN THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

  THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN BE POSSIBLE ON A DAILY BASIS FROM
  FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY.

  AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 90S WILL
  REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND EXTREME
  SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS INTO NEXT MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

LINDENBERG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
625 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

MOZ056-260015-
MORGAN MO-
625 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN MORGAN COUNTY UNTIL
715 PM CDT...

AT 624 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR LAURIE...OR 14 MILES SOUTH OF VERSAILLES...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
20 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
LAKE OF THE OZARKS...             LAURIE...
BARNETT...                        GRAVOIS MILLS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3844 9264 3835 9265 3835 9269 3832 9269
      3819 9284 3820 9295 3822 9293 3823 9296
      3821 9297 3821 9299 3835 9291 3846 9280
      3848 9272
TIME...MOT...LOC 2324Z 214DEG 17KT 3823 9291

TERRY

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
742 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 SW MORRISVILLE        37.46N 93.45W
08/25/2016  E60 MPH          POLK               MO   CO-OP OBSERVER

            SECOND SET OF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ESIMATED AT 60 MPH
            OCCURED AT RESIDENCE OF COOP OBSERVER

&&

BURCHFIELD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
747 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0746 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MORRISVILLE             37.48N 93.43W
08/25/2016                   POLK               MO   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            LOCAL FIRE DEPARTMENT OBSERVED MULTIPLE TREES DOWN IN
            MORRISVILLE FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS.

&&

DCRAMER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
752 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     HAIL             5 E SENECA              36.84N 94.52W
08/25/2016  E1.00 INCH       NEWTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

DCRAMER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
753 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

MOZ055-260130-
BENTON MO-
753 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN BENTON COUNTY UNTIL
830 PM CDT...

AT 752 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
WARSAW...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
TRUMAN STATE PARK...              TRUMAN LAKE...
WARSAW...                         RACKET...
WHITAKERVILLE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3814 9349 3832 9351 3837 9325 3816 9321
TIME...MOT...LOC 0052Z 270DEG 13KT 3821 9346

TERRY