Special Weather Statement, NWS Springfield, MO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
649 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 330 PM CDT Wed Jul 13 2016

The line of storms that produced widespread wind damaging across
central Missouri has now pushed each of the area this afternoon.
Showers and scattered storms have developed behind the line. These
storms are elevated in nature and moving across an area where the
atmosphere has been worked over from the line of storms that
passed through these areas early. So, not anticipating any severe
weather with this activity with cloud to ground lightning strikes
the main risk.

This evening there are then questions are how things will unfold.
The outflow boundary from the line of storms has stalled across
southern Missouri. There is also a surface boundary located
across southeastern Kansas into northwestern Missouri this
afternoon. Southern Missouri did not get affected by the storms
today as they remained north across central MO. Eastern Kansas
was affected earlier in the day but occurred earlier enough that
temperatures have been able recovered there. Additional storm
develop is possible along these features early this evening then
will sag south through the area into the overnight hours. There
will be a severe wind risk with this activity along with hail to
the size of quarters with the stormer storms, especially  across
areas that were not affected by the line early today across
extreme southeastern Kansas and southwestern Missouri.

The active pattern will continue into Thursday as yet another
complex of storms is expected to develop across Kansas and
track east across the area Thursday afternoon and evening. Given
the time of day of the convection and with a moist and unstable
air mass in place, a severe risk will occur. Damaging straight
line winds and hail to the size of quarters will be the risk,
along with frequent lightning and brief heavy rainfall. The track
of this complex may be a little farther south than where today's
storms tracked. The exact location will be dependent on where the
storms develop across Kansas.

Highs on Tuesday will again warm into the 90s, though where the
storms track will impact temperatures when they move though.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday Night through Wednesday)
Issued at 330 PM CDT Wed Jul 13 2016

A cold front will push south through the area Thursday night into
Friday. Storms will be possible along the front on Friday, but
with drier air working in the severe risk should be lower. May
still have just enough instability across far southern Missouri
for a few strong storms on Friday.

The region remains in northwest flow through Saturday night. Will
not be a washout by any means but there will be chances for
showers and storms at times during this period. The severe risk
will be low. Cooler conditions will occur both Friday and
Saturday as highs warm into the 80s behind the frontal passage.

The front will lift back to the north as a warm front Sunday as an
upper level ridge of high pressure spreads over the region by
early next week. This will bring hot conditions to the area next
week as highs warm well into the 90s, as heat index values of 100
to 108 will be possible. The upper level ridge will end the
active weather pattern that the area has been in of late. However,
it will not completely end storm chances all together as pulse
time storms will be possible. These will be the typical hit and
miss summer time storms and will not be widespread in nature.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday evening)
Issued at 644 PM CDT Wed Jul 13 2016

Showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop across the
region this evening and impact area terminals during the
overnight hours. Timing and coverage remains a question and have
opted for Tempo or vicinity wording in the forecast. Where storms
occur, celings and visibilities will be impacted and fall to MVFR
or IFR.

Additional storms are anticipated for early Thursday morning as
well.

&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Wise
LONG TERM...Wise
AVIATION...Hatch

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
530 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-142230-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
530 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.
  ELEVATED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  SCATTERED STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK TO THE EAST ACROSS
  CENTRAL MISSOURI INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS
  EXPECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY. OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND
  LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN RISK.

  HEAT INDICES IN THE UPPER 90S TO NEAR 105 DEGREES WILL CONTINUE
  ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI INTO EARLY
  THIS EVENING.

  ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
  KANSAS INTO THE MISSOURI OZARKS THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT
  HOURS. THERE WILL BE A RISK FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH
  DAMAGING WINDS TO 60 MPH...HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND AN
  ISOLATED TORNADO WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. THE BEST CHANCES
  WILL BE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI.
  FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
  WILL BE A RISK WITH THE STORMS.

  LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR AREAS GENERALLY NORTH
  OF HIGHWAY 54...ESPECIALLY IN THOSE AREAS THAT RECEIVED HEAVY
  RAINS EARLIER TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

  ADDITIONAL COMPLEXES OF STORMS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY AFTERNOON
  AND EVENING. DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS UP TO 70 MPH AND HAIL
  TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS WILL BE THE RISK WITH THIS ACTIVITY.

  STORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE AT TIMES THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AS
  A FRONT REMAIN IN THE AREA. WHILE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND
  HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE MOST COMMON HAZARDS. IF REPEATED
  ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL OCCUR OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS...THEN
  FLOODING COULD EVENTUALLY BECOME A CONCERN.

  HEAT INDICES WILL REACH THE UPPER 90S ON THURSDAY. HEAT INDICES
  WILL THEN INCREASE AGAIN BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED IN THE NEXT SIX HOURS FOR
  LOCATIONS ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND ALONG AND
  SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44. THE REMAINDER OF THE OZARKS MAY SEE
  ACTIVATION POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT AND OVERNIGHT.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

HATCH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
538 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

MOZ083-132330-
DENT MO-
538 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DENT COUNTY UNTIL 630 PM CDT...

AT 537 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10
MILES WEST OF SALEM...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
MONTAUK STATE PARK...             SALEM...
BUNKER...                         STONE HILL...
HOWES MILL...                     GLADDEN...
ANUTT...                          BOSS...
DARIEN...                         HOWES...
TURTLE...                         LENOX...
JADWIN...                         MONTAUK...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3759 9131 3751 9131 3750 9121 3742 9121
      3743 9175 3760 9176 3760 9181 3776 9180
      3777 9131 3770 9130 3769 9116 3759 9116
TIME...MOT...LOC 2237Z 278DEG 55KT 3762 9172

GRIFFIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
623 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ROLLA                   37.95N 91.77W
07/13/2016                   PHELPS             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS LARGE TREE AND POWER LINES BLOWN DOWN ACROSS THE
            COUNTY. A FEW TREES WERE BLOWN ONTO CARS. ONE TREE WAS
            BLOWN ON TO A HOUSE CAUSING STRUCTURAL DAMAGE.

&&

MGRIFFIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
638 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 PM     TSTM WND DMG     STOVER                  38.44N 92.99W
07/13/2016                   MORGAN             MO   PUBLIC

            SEVERAL LARGE TREES DOWN IN STOVER. TIME BASED ON RADAR
            ESTIMATE.

&&

TOLSEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
647 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0125 PM     TSTM WND DMG     TUNAS                   37.85N 93.03W
07/13/2016                   DALLAS             MO   PUBLIC

            TRAMPOLINE TROWN INTO A TREE AND DESTROYED. PICTURE FROM
            SOCIAL MEDIA. TIME WAS ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

&&

MGRIFFIN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
657 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

MOZ057-069-070-081-140030-
LACLEDE MO-MILLER MO-CAMDEN MO-PULASKI MO-
657 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL LACLEDE...
NORTHWESTERN PULASKI...SOUTHEASTERN MILLER AND SOUTHEASTERN CAMDEN
COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM CDT...

AT 656 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10
MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAMDENTON...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
WAYNESVILLE...                    RICHLAND...
CROCKER...                        STOUTLAND...
SLEEPER...                        MONTREAL...
OZARK SPRINGS...                  SWEDEBORG...
LAQUEY...                         WET GLAIZE...
DECATURVILLE...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 137 AND 139...AND
BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 141 AND 155.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3803 9218 3801 9216 3775 9224 3776 9268
      3793 9277 3809 9238
TIME...MOT...LOC 2356Z 258DEG 23KT 3786 9266

HATCH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
710 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

MOZ056-057-140100-
MILLER MO-MORGAN MO-
710 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN MORGAN AND
NORTHWESTERN MILLER COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM CDT...

AT 710 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
VERSAILLES...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
LAKE OF THE OZARKS...             ELDON...
VERSAILLES...                     BARNETT...
GRAVOIS MILLS...                  OLEAN...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3844 9264 3843 9255 3843 9241 3839 9241
      3829 9282 3846 9294 3854 9276
TIME...MOT...LOC 0010Z 246DEG 23KT 3842 9280

HATCH