Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 167, NWS Springfield, MO
NWS Springfield, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 13, 2016, 1:14 PM CDT for 9 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 61 min. 9 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 13, 2016, 1:14 PM CDT (18:14 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 13, 2016, 2:15 PM CDT
- In force
- 61 min
- Issued by
- NWS Springfield, MO
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Hail
- 1.0 in
- Wind
- 60.0 mph
Counties Benton County, MO, Camden County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Maries County, MO, Miller County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Pulaski County, MO
The radar
The Springfield radar (KSGF), 145 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 1:20 PM CDT | TSTM WND DMG | Urbana, MO | SEVERAL TREES WERE UPROOTED NEAR URBANA. |
| Jul 13, 1:25 PM CDT | TSTM WND DMG | Tunas, MO | TRAMPOLINE TROWN INTO A TREE AND DESTROYED. PICTURE FROM SOCIAL MEDIA. TIME WAS ESTIMATED BY RADAR. |
| Jul 13, 1:27 PM CDT | TSTM WND DMG | Roach, MO | THREE-INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMB DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED. |
| Jul 13, 1:40 PM CDT | TSTM WND DMG | 1 Ne Camdenton, MO | 8 TO 12 INCH TREE UPROOTED AT HWY 5 AND HWY 54. POWER OUT FROM OLD HWY5 TO NEW HWY 5. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR. |
| Jul 13, 1:42 PM CDT | TSTM WND GST 47 | Osage Beach, MO | 47 MPH WIND GUST AT OSAGE BEACH - KAIZ. |
| Jul 13, 1:45 PM CDT | HAIL 1 | Camdenton, MO | DIME TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL ON BEAR PAW ROAD. |
| Jul 13, 1:50 PM CDT | TSTM WND GST 50 | 3 Se Camdenton, MO | 50 MPH WIND GUST REPORTED AT KOZS AWOS |
| Jul 13, 2:00 PM CDT | TSTM WND DMG | Ulman, MO | NUMEROUS LARGE TREES AND POWER LINES WERE BLOWN DOWN AROUND ULMAN AND ACROSS MILLER COUNTY. VIDEO WAS ON SOCIAL MEDIA. |
| Jul 13, 2:05 PM CDT | TSTM WND GST 63 | Richland, MO | 63 MPH WIND GUST. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 7 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 6 minutes after it went out.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 11:14 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 6.2 hours before the alert went out and 196 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1257 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -152 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1195 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 32 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 289 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 248 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 3.9
The text
As transmitted.
917
WUUS53 KSGF 131814
SVRSGF
MOC015-029-059-085-105-125-131-141-169-131915-
/O.NEW.KSGF.SV.W.0167.160713T1814Z-160713T1915Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
114 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN DALLAS COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI...
NORTHWESTERN MARIES COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...
NORTHWESTERN LACLEDE COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI...
MORGAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...
NORTHWESTERN PULASKI COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...
MILLER COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...
EASTERN HICKORY COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...
CAMDEN COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...
SOUTHEASTERN BENTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...
* UNTIL 215 PM CDT
* AT 114 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM VERSAILLES TO 8 MILES WEST OF MACKS CREEK...MOVING
EAST AT 60 MPH.
HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE
TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LAKE OF THE OZARKS... POMME DE TERRE LAKE...
POMME DE TERRE STATE PARK... LAKE OF THE OZARKS STATE PARK...
HA HA TONKA STATE PARK... ELDON...
OSAGE BEACH... CAMDENTON...
VERSAILLES... VILLAGE OF FOUR SEASONS...
RICHLAND... LAKE OZARK...
PITTSBURG... CROCKER...
STOVER... LAURIE...
IBERIA... HERMITAGE...
SUNRISE BEACH... URBANA...
THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 134 AND 147.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
SPRINGFIELD.
IF ON OR NEAR LAKE OF THE OZARKS...GET AWAY FROM THE WATER AND MOVE
INDOORS OR INSIDE A VEHICLE. REMEMBER...LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE OUT TO
15 MILES FROM THE PARENT THUNDERSTORM. IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU
ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER NOW.
DO NOT BE CAUGHT ON THE WATER IN A THUNDERSTORM.
&&
LAT...LON 3860 9284 3844 9264 3843 9241 3834 9240
3834 9229 3832 9224 3834 9220 3829 9219
3829 9205 3771 9241 3783 9339 3868 9286
3868 9284
TIME...MOT...LOC 1814Z 273DEG 52KT 3842 9282 3797 9313
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
$$
GRIFFIN4 follow-up statements
755
WWUS53 KSGF 131835
SVSSGF
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
135 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016
MOC015-131844-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0167.000000T0000Z-160713T1915Z/
BENTON MO-
135 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BENTON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.
LAT...LON 3844 9264 3843 9241 3834 9240 3834 9229
3832 9224 3834 9220 3829 9219 3829 9205
3771 9241 3782 9326 3807 9310 3807 9306
3813 9306 3856 9279
TIME...MOT...LOC 1834Z 273DEG 52KT 3840 9246 3796 9278
$$
MOC029-059-085-105-125-131-141-169-131915-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0167.000000T0000Z-160713T1915Z/
DALLAS MO-MARIES MO-LACLEDE MO-MORGAN MO-PULASKI MO-MILLER MO-
HICKORY MO-CAMDEN MO-
135 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN DALLAS...NORTHWESTERN MARIES...NORTHWESTERN LACLEDE...
SOUTHEASTERN MORGAN...NORTHWESTERN PULASKI...MILLER...EASTERN HICKORY
AND CAMDEN COUNTIES...
AT 134 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR HICKORY HILL TO NEAR CAMDENTON...MOVING EAST AT
50 MPH.
HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LAKE OF THE OZARKS... LAKE OF THE OZARKS STATE PARK...
HA HA TONKA STATE PARK... ELDON...
OSAGE BEACH... CAMDENTON...
VERSAILLES... VILLAGE OF FOUR SEASONS...
RICHLAND... LAKE OZARK...
CROCKER... LAURIE...
IBERIA... SUNRISE BEACH...
URBANA... SAINT ELIZABETH...
ST. ELIZABETH... MACKS CREEK...
LINN CREEK... TUSCUMBIA...
THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 134 AND 147.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
SPRINGFIELD.
IF ON OR NEAR LAKE OF THE OZARKS...GET AWAY FROM THE WATER AND MOVE
INDOORS OR INSIDE A VEHICLE. REMEMBER...LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE OUT TO
15 MILES FROM THE PARENT THUNDERSTORM. IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU
ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER NOW.
DO NOT BE CAUGHT ON THE WATER IN A THUNDERSTORM.
&&
LAT...LON 3844 9264 3843 9241 3834 9240 3834 9229
3832 9224 3834 9220 3829 9219 3829 9205
3771 9241 3782 9326 3807 9310 3807 9306
3813 9306 3856 9279
TIME...MOT...LOC 1834Z 273DEG 52KT 3840 9246 3796 9278
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
$$
GRIFFIN610
WWUS53 KSGF 131845
SVSSGF
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
145 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016
MOC085-141-131855-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0167.000000T0000Z-160713T1915Z/
MORGAN MO-HICKORY MO-
145 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN MORGAN AND
EASTERN HICKORY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.
LAT...LON 3843 9241 3834 9240 3834 9229 3832 9224
3834 9220 3829 9219 3829 9205 3771 9241
3780 9309 3804 9291 3819 9287 3819 9277
3822 9276 3822 9270 3835 9269 3835 9263
3843 9262
TIME...MOT...LOC 1845Z 273DEG 52KT 3839 9228 3795 9260
$$
MOC029-059-105-125-131-169-131915-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0167.000000T0000Z-160713T1915Z/
DALLAS MO-MARIES MO-LACLEDE MO-PULASKI MO-MILLER MO-CAMDEN MO-
145 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN DALLAS...NORTHWESTERN MARIES...NORTHWESTERN
LACLEDE...NORTHWESTERN PULASKI...MILLER AND CAMDEN COUNTIES...
AT 145 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR ST. THOMAS TO 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAMDENTON...
MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.
HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LAKE OF THE OZARKS... LAKE OF THE OZARKS STATE PARK...
HA HA TONKA STATE PARK... ELDON...
OSAGE BEACH... CAMDENTON...
VILLAGE OF FOUR SEASONS... RICHLAND...
LAKE OZARK... CROCKER...
IBERIA... SUNRISE BEACH...
SAINT ELIZABETH... ST. ELIZABETH...
MACKS CREEK... LINN CREEK...
TUSCUMBIA... STOUTLAND...
EUGENE... OLEAN...
THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 134 AND 147.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
SPRINGFIELD.
&&
LAT...LON 3843 9241 3834 9240 3834 9229 3832 9224
3834 9220 3829 9219 3829 9205 3771 9241
3780 9309 3804 9291 3819 9287 3819 9277
3822 9276 3822 9270 3835 9269 3835 9263
3843 9262
TIME...MOT...LOC 1845Z 273DEG 52KT 3839 9228 3795 9260
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
$$
GRIFFIN933
WWUS53 KSGF 131900
SVSSGF
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
200 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016
MOC059-131910-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0167.000000T0000Z-160713T1915Z/
DALLAS MO-
200 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN DALLAS COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.
LAT...LON 3834 9240 3834 9229 3832 9224 3834 9220
3829 9219 3829 9205 3771 9241 3777 9286
3843 9241
TIME...MOT...LOC 1900Z 275DEG 55KT 3831 9219 3787 9251
$$
MOC029-105-125-131-169-131915-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0167.000000T0000Z-160713T1915Z/
MARIES MO-LACLEDE MO-PULASKI MO-MILLER MO-CAMDEN MO-
200 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN MARIES...NORTHWESTERN LACLEDE...NORTHWESTERN
PULASKI...MILLER AND SOUTHEASTERN CAMDEN COUNTIES...
AT 200 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR ST. THOMAS TO 6 MILES WEST OF RICHLAND...MOVING
EAST AT 65 MPH.
HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LAKE OF THE OZARKS... LAKE OF THE OZARKS STATE PARK...
OSAGE BEACH... RICHLAND...
CROCKER... IBERIA...
SAINT ELIZABETH... ST. ELIZABETH...
TUSCUMBIA... STOUTLAND...
EUGENE... BRUMLEY...
DECATURVILLE... SLEEPER...
MARYS HOME... MONTREAL...
OZARK SPRINGS... SWEDEBORG...
ELDRIDGE... KAISER...
THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 134 AND 147.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
SPRINGFIELD.
&&
LAT...LON 3834 9240 3834 9229 3832 9224 3834 9220
3829 9219 3829 9205 3771 9241 3777 9286
3843 9241
TIME...MOT...LOC 1900Z 275DEG 55KT 3831 9219 3787 9251
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
$$
GRIFFIN675
WWUS53 KSGF 131923
SVSSGF
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
223 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016
MOC029-105-125-131-169-131933-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0167.000000T0000Z-160713T1915Z/
MARIES MO-LACLEDE MO-PULASKI MO-MILLER MO-CAMDEN MO-
223 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN MARIES...
NORTHWESTERN LACLEDE...NORTHWESTERN PULASKI...MILLER AND SOUTHEASTERN
CAMDEN COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...
THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.
LAT...LON 3834 9240 3834 9229 3832 9224 3834 9220
3829 9219 3829 9205 3771 9241 3777 9286
3843 9241
TIME...MOT...LOC 1921Z 273DEG 52KT 3831 9219 3787 9251
$$
GRIFFINWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 13, 12:46 PM CDT, 28 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 13, 12:46 PM CDT, 28 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Springfield MO 1246 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016 ...Update to Aviation for 18Z TAFS... .MESOSCALE DISCUSSION... Issued at 1032 AM CDT Wed Jul 13 2016 A complex of storms is currently spreading east across eastern Kansas. Overall the trend with this line has been weakening. However, with the heating of the day instability is starting to increase and will continue to increase across the area. A nice instability gradient is going to setup generally along the I-44 corridor over the next several hours. Expect the line of storms to continue to track east and remain along/just north of the instability axis and Theta-E gradient. As the line moves east into the increasing instability late this morning and this afternoon expect the line to increase in intensity and race across the area, generally along and north of Interstate 44. Wind gusts up to 70 mph will be the main risk along with frequent lightning and brief heavy rain. A few of the stronger updrafts will also be capable of hail up to the size of quarters. The outflow boundary from the current convection should lay out from west to east this afternoon, roughly long Interstate 44 and then slowly slide south. Storm development long this outflow will be possible. These storms will likely not form into a line so hail to the size of quarters and damaging straight line winds will be possible. Will also have watch for additional storms developing across Kansas and diving southeast into the area this afternoon and tonight. The exact track of this will likely be dependent on the track of the current convection, as it may affect locations just south of this morning's line. Heat index values may warm to around 105 degrees this afternoon, after the storms/clouds clear from this morning. && .SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight) Issued at 215 AM CDT Wed Jul 13 2016 Scattered showers and storms were developing just north of the CWA early this morning, generally along Interstate 70. A 50 kt low level jet had developed and was nosing into Southern Kansas aiding in this convection. An additional cluster of storms was in Northwest Kansas moving eastward. Short term models have struggled with handling convective chances tonight, however there is some consensus that highest chances of showers and storms will occur north of Interstate 44 and closer to Interstate 70. Sufficient instability and wind shear is present that if storms can congeal into an MCS and develop a cold pool that a damaging wind threat would exist. Corfidi vectors are aligned north to south so any cluster would move more southerly into our area. High moisture content and training storm motions would allow for a heavy rainfall threat if this materializes... Just like Tuesday, the early morning convection will play havoc with temperatures Today. Storms will likely impact the northern half of the area during the morning hours before ending by afternoon as warmer air aloft moves in from the west. Heat index values across western Missouri and Southeast Kansas could come close to 105 this afternoon however this is highly contingent on morning convection/cloud cover. The nocturnal low level jet will crank up again tonight, however nosing more into southeast Kansas and southwest Missouri. A passing mid level impulse will also likely aid in the development of a cluster of showers and thunderstorms. If an MCS forms it would likely track through the northeast half of the area with a threat for damaging winds, large hail and heavy rainfall. Both the NAM and GFS show this occurring however placement issues exist. The NAM shows a strong MCS with a deep cold pool moving through most of the area overnight and this will bear watching for the damaging wind threat. .LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday) Issued at 215 AM CDT Wed Jul 13 2016 There will likely be some ongoing showers and storms Thursday morning before shifting east and ending by late morning. 700mb temps are forecasted to warm to near 15C on Thursday therefore the airmass will likely be capped early on. By afternoon scattered storms are forecast to form along a warm front somewhere near the Kansas Oklahoma border as a subtle shortwave initiates convection out there. Placement of this boundary will be key since ample instability and 35 to 40 kts of effective bulk shear is forecasted to develop by afternoon and evening. Storms will likely grow upscale into an MCS and it appears that SE Kansas and the southwest half of the area could be impacted by a severe MCS Thursday evening, especially as the low level jet strengthens overnight into Friday. Ongoing storms are possible Friday morning with additional storm chances Friday afternoon and evening as additional weak impulses approach the area and interact with a moist and unstable airmass. While several rounds of heavy rainfall are possible through this week, it is unclear as to where each heavy round occurs. Some locations will likely end up with a couple inches of rainfall through week's end. Any flooding threat will likely be a mesoscale forecast challenge. Saturday into Sunday morning could feature the last of the precip chances as a strong summer time high pressure aloft develops Sunday through most of next week. Next week is looking hot and dry at this point. && .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon) Issued at 1245 PM CDT Wed Jul 13 2016 For the KSGF, KJLN, and KBBG TAFS: A complex of storms continues to track east in central Missouri early this afternoon. The bulk of the convection will remain north of the TAF sites with this initial line. An outflow boundary from the convection is moving south of the convection and just passed through the KJLN area and will move through the KSGF and KBBG sites early this afternoon. A wind shift to the north/northwest will occur with the outflow and winds may gust up to 25kt briefly. There may be a brief shower/rumble of thunder on the outflow but over all not expecting much convection at the TAF site with this system, the storms will remain to the north overall. An hour or so after the front passage winds will return to the south southwest. This afternoon/evening the atmosphere should recover fairly quickly after the passage of the outflow boundary with not much convection occurring on the outflow across southern Missouri. Additional storms may then develop across Kansas and dive south southeast through the area this evening. Overall VFR conditions will occur, expect with a passage of a storm when MVFR and possibly IFR conditions can be expected briefly. && .SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories... MO...NONE. KS...NONE. && MESOSCALE...Wise SHORT TERM...Burchfield LONG TERM...Burchfield AVIATION...Wise
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 13, 9:48 AM CDT, 3 hours 26 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 948 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016 KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-141500- BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON- ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS- LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON- LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE- TANEY-OZARK-OREGON- 948 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED... ELEVATED HAIL RISK. ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK. SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK. ELEVATED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK. DISCUSSION... A LINE OF STORMS IS CURRENTLY PUSHING EAST ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS THIS MORNING. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST INTO EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND FAR WESTERN MISSOURI LATE THIS MORNING THEN INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON. GENERALLY AFFECTING LOCATIONS NORTH OF A PITTSBURG KANSAS TO SALEM MISSOURI LINE. DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS UP TO 70MPH AND HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS WILL BE THE MAIN RISK WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO OCCUR WITH THESE STORMS. HEAT INDICES WILL REACH THE UPPER 90S TO NEAR 105 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON. STORMS AND INCREASED CLOUD COVER COULD BRING A BRIEF COOL DOWN AFTER THE STORMS PASS, BUT ONCE THE CLOUDS CLEAR TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY WARM. ANOTHER COMPLEX OF STORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO THE AREA THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT. CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING... LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL BE THE MAIN RISKS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. ADDITIONAL COMPLEXES OF STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH EVENING AND NIGHT FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. WHILE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE MOST COMMON HAZARDS...A DAMAGING WIND RISK IS POSSIBLE BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY EVENINGS WITH A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS ALSO CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THURSDAY NIGHT HAS THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR STORMS ACROSS THE AREA. IF REPEATED ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL OCCUR OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS...THEN FLOODING COULD EVENTUALLY BECOME A CONCERN. HEAT INDICES WILL REACH THE UPPER 90S ON THURSDAY. HEAT INDICES WILL THEN INCREASE AGAIN BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 54 LATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON, THEN ACROSS MUCH OF THE REST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA THIS EVENING. && MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT: HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE) THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER... HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE) WISE
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 13, 10:42 AM CDT, 2 hours 32 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1042 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016
KSZ073-097-131630-
CRAWFORD KS-BOURBON KS-
1042 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN CRAWFORD AND BOURBON
COUNTIES UNTIL 1130 AM CDT...
AT 1042 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR LA HARPE TO NEAR
CHANUTE...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.
DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
FORT SCOTT... GIRARD...
ARMA... MARMATON...
MULBERRY... FRANKLIN...
BRONSON... ARCADIA...
UNIONTOWN... WALNUT...
FULTON... REDFIELD...
HEPLER... MAPLETON...
BURGESS... PETERSBURG...
PORTERVILLE... GREENBUSH...
DEVON... BRAZILTON...
THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI.
LAT...LON 3804 9508 3803 9461 3750 9461 3748 9462
3752 9509 3774 9509
TIME...MOT...LOC 1542Z 278DEG 49KT 3797 9526 3766 9541
GRIFFINSpecial weather statement, Jul 13, 11:16 AM CDT, 1 hour 58 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1116 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016
MOZ066-077-131700-
BARTON MO-VERNON MO-
1116 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR VERNON AND BARTON COUNTIES UNTIL
NOON CDT...
AT 1115 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR FULTON TO 7 MILES EAST
OF HEPLER...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.
NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
PRAIRIE STATE PARK... NEVADA...
LAMAR... GOLDEN CITY...
LIBERAL... SHELDON...
MULBERRY... MINDENMINES...
MONTEVALLO... ARCADIA...
WALKER... SCHELL CITY...
BRONAUGH... LAMAR HEIGHTS...
MOUNDVILLE... RICHARDS...
MILO... DEERFIELD...
IRWIN... BURGESS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS
AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER
THREATEN.
&&
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI. A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.
LAT...LON 3802 9462 3806 9461 3805 9424 3803 9423
3805 9421 3804 9419 3806 9413 3804 9411
3805 9410 3803 9406 3736 9408 3748 9462
TIME...MOT...LOC 1615Z 263DEG 74KT 3796 9474 3764 9483
GRIFFINSpecial weather statement, Jul 13, 11:26 AM CDT, 1 hour 48 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1126 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016
KSZ097-101-MOZ077-088-093-131730-
CRAWFORD KS-CHEROKEE KS-JASPER MO-BARTON MO-NEWTON MO-
1126 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN CRAWFORD...CHEROKEE...
NORTHWESTERN NEWTON...JASPER AND SOUTHWESTERN BARTON COUNTIES UNTIL
1230 PM CDT...
AT 1124 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTH OF MCCUNE TO
NEAR ALTAMONT...AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.
DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS. GUST FRONT WILL BE AHEAD OF THE BROKEN LINE OF STORMS
WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH POSSIBLE.
LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
JOPLIN... PITTSBURG...
CARTHAGE... WEBB CITY...
CARL JUNCTION... BAXTER SPRINGS...
FRONTENAC... COLUMBUS...
GALENA... ORONOGO...
CARTERVILLE... DUQUESNE...
DUENWEG... JASPER...
LOMA LINDA... CHEROKEE...
AIRPORT DRIVE... WEIR...
LEAWOOD... LOWELL...
THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 0 AND 16.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS
AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER
THREATEN.
&&
LAT...LON 3751 9508 3748 9462 3735 9408 3699 9443
3700 9507
TIME...MOT...LOC 1624Z 280DEG 52KT 3746 9502 3721 9521
GRIFFINSpecial weather statement, Jul 13, 11:56 AM CDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1156 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016
MOZ067-078-089-131800-
DADE MO-ST. CLAIR MO-CEDAR MO-
1156 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN DADE...CEDAR AND ST.
CLAIR COUNTIES UNTIL 100 PM CDT...
AT 1155 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR RICH HILL TO
NEAR SHELDON...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.
NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
STOCKTON LAKE... STOCKTON STATE PARK...
TRUMAN LAKE... EL DORADO SPRINGS...
STOCKTON... APPLETON CITY...
OSCEOLA... LOWRY CITY...
DADEVILLE... JERICO SPRINGS...
COLLINS... ROSCOE...
ARCOLA... VISTA...
UMBER VIEW HEIGHTS... GERSTER...
FILLEY... CEDAR SPRINGS...
MASTERS... MONEGAW SPRINGS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS
AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER
THREATEN.
&&
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.
LAT...LON 3821 9351 3820 9350 3792 9351 3791 9357
3783 9357 3783 9362 3743 9362 3744 9408
3821 9405
TIME...MOT...LOC 1655Z 261DEG 40KT 3809 9431 3764 9421
GRIFFINSpecial weather statement, Jul 13, 12:02 PM CDT, 1 hour 12 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1202 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016
MOZ055-056-067-069-131800-
BENTON MO-ST. CLAIR MO-CAMDEN MO-MORGAN MO-
1202 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MORGAN...NORTHEASTERN ST.
CLAIR...NORTHWESTERN CAMDEN AND BENTON COUNTIES UNTIL 100 PM CDT...
AT 1201 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR SMITHTON TO 8 MILES
NORTHEAST OF LOWRY CITY...AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH. BOATERS ON
TRUMAN LAKE AND LAKE OF THE OZARKS NEED TO SEEK SAFE HARBOR.
NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
LAKE OF THE OZARKS... TRUMAN STATE PARK...
TRUMAN LAKE... LAKE OF THE OZARKS STATE PARK...
OSAGE BEACH... VERSAILLES...
VILLAGE OF FOUR SEASONS... WARSAW...
LINCOLN... COLE CAMP...
STOVER... LAURIE...
LOWRY CITY... SUNRISE BEACH...
LINN CREEK... BARNETT...
SYRACUSE... GRAVOIS MILLS...
CLIMAX SPRINGS... IONIA...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
IF ON OR NEAR TRUMAN AND LAKE OF THE OZARKS...GET OUT OF THE WATER
AND MOVE INDOORS OR INSIDE A VEHICLE. REMEMBER...LIGHTNING CAN
STRIKE OUT TO 15 MILES FROM THE PARENT THUNDERSTORM. IF YOU CAN HEAR
THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE TO
SAFE SHELTER NOW. DO NOT BE CAUGHT ON THE WATER IN A THUNDERSTORM.
&&
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI.
LAT...LON 3868 9284 3860 9284 3843 9263 3835 9263
3835 9269 3822 9270 3821 9265 3807 9268
3806 9377 3821 9378 3821 9353 3851 9351
3851 9330 3854 9329 3853 9307 3869 9306
TIME...MOT...LOC 1701Z 263DEG 33KT 3863 9317 3822 9362
GRIFFINLocal storm report, Jul 13, 1:13 PM CDT, 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
113 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1250 PM TSTM WND GST 3 E FRISTOE 38.12N 93.22W
07/13/2016 E50 MPH BENTON MO PUBLIC
ESTIMATED 40-50 MPH WINDS.
&&
MTERRYThe office that day
Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 11:16 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | SGF | Barton, Vernon | 44 min |
| Jul 13, 11:26 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | SGF | Jasper | 64 min |
| Jul 13, 11:30 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Vernon | 45 min |
| Jul 13, 11:56 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | SGF | Cedar, St. Clair | 64 min |
| Jul 13, 12:02 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | SGF | Benton, Morgan | 58 min |
| Jul 13, 12:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barton, Cedar, Dade, Hickory, Polk, St. Clair and 1 more | 60 min |
| Jul 13, 12:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Benton, Camden, Morgan, St. Clair | 57 min |
| Jul 13, 1:47 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | SGF | Benton, Camden, Cedar, Dallas, Hickory, Morgan and 3 more | 3 hr |
| Jul 13, 1:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Camden, Dent, Laclede, Maries, Miller, Phelps and 1 more | 61 min |
| Jul 13, 4:16 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | SGF | Camden, Miller | 44 min |
| Jul 13, 5:38 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | SGF | Dent | 52 min |
| Jul 13, 6:57 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | SGF | Pulaski | 33 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2016Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.