Severe Thunderstorm Warning 164, NWS Springfield, MO

705 
WWUS53 KSGF 131646
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1146 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

KSC011-131656-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0164.000000T0000Z-160713T1715Z/
BOURBON KS-
1146 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN BOURBON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3804 9461 3806 9461 3806 9449 3805 9424
      3802 9423 3805 9421 3804 9419 3806 9413
      3804 9411 3805 9410 3803 9406 3764 9408
      3765 9461 3767 9462
TIME...MOT...LOC 1646Z 268DEG 39KT 3802 9445 3774 9446 

$$

MOC217-131715-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0164.000000T0000Z-160713T1715Z/
VERNON MO-
1146 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 PM CDT
FOR VERNON COUNTY...

AT 1146 AM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF RICH HILL TO 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
NEVADA...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NEVADA...                         SHELDON...
MONTEVALLO...                     WALKER...
SCHELL CITY...                    BRONAUGH...
MOUNDVILLE...                     RICHARDS...
MILO...                           DEERFIELD...
METZ...                           HARWOOD...
STOTESBURY...                     HORTON...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
SPRINGFIELD.

&&

LAT...LON 3804 9461 3806 9461 3806 9449 3805 9424
      3802 9423 3805 9421 3804 9419 3806 9413
      3804 9411 3805 9410 3803 9406 3764 9408
      3765 9461 3767 9462
TIME...MOT...LOC 1646Z 268DEG 39KT 3802 9445 3774 9446 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

GRIFFIN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
643 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 215 AM CDT Wed Jul 13 2016

Scattered showers and storms were developing just north of the CWA
early this morning, generally along Interstate 70. A 50 kt low
level jet had developed and was nosing into Southern Kansas aiding
in this convection. An additional cluster of storms was in
Northwest Kansas moving eastward. Short term models have
struggled with handling convective chances tonight, however there
is some consensus that highest chances of showers and storms will
occur north of Interstate 44 and closer to Interstate 70.
Sufficient instability and wind shear is present that if storms
can congeal into an MCS and develop a cold pool that a damaging
wind threat would exist. Corfidi vectors are aligned north to
south so any cluster would move more southerly into our area.
High moisture content and training storm motions would allow for a
heavy rainfall threat if this materializes...

Just like Tuesday, the early morning convection will play havoc
with temperatures Today. Storms will likely impact the northern
half of the area during the morning hours before ending by
afternoon as warmer air aloft moves in from the west. Heat index
values across western Missouri and Southeast Kansas could come
close to 105 this afternoon however this is highly contingent on
morning convection/cloud cover.

The nocturnal low level jet will crank up again tonight, however
nosing more into southeast Kansas and southwest Missouri. A
passing mid level impulse will also likely aid in the development
of a cluster of showers and thunderstorms. If an MCS forms it
would likely track through the northeast half of the area with a
threat for damaging winds, large hail and heavy rainfall. Both
the NAM and GFS show this occurring however placement issues
exist. The NAM shows a strong MCS with a deep cold pool moving
through most of the area overnight and this will bear watching for
the damaging wind threat.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 215 AM CDT Wed Jul 13 2016

There will likely be some ongoing showers and storms Thursday
morning before shifting east and ending by late morning. 700mb
temps are forecasted to warm to near 15C on Thursday therefore
the airmass will likely be capped early on. By afternoon scattered
storms are forecast to form along a warm front somewhere near the
Kansas Oklahoma border as a subtle shortwave initiates convection
out there. Placement of this boundary will be key since ample
instability and 35 to 40 kts of effective bulk shear is
forecasted to develop by afternoon and evening. Storms will
likely grow upscale into an MCS and it appears that SE Kansas and
the southwest half of the area could be impacted by a severe MCS
Thursday evening, especially as the low level jet strengthens
overnight into Friday.

Ongoing storms are possible Friday morning with additional storm
chances Friday afternoon and evening as additional weak impulses
approach the area and interact with a moist and unstable airmass.
While several rounds of heavy rainfall are possible through this
week, it is unclear as to where each heavy round occurs. Some
locations will likely end up with a couple inches of rainfall
through week's end. Any flooding threat will likely be a mesoscale
forecast challenge.

Saturday into Sunday morning could feature the last of the precip
chances as a strong summer time high pressure aloft develops Sunday
through most of next week. Next week is looking hot and dry at
this point.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Thursday morning)
Issued at 626 AM CDT Wed Jul 13 2016

For the KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: VFR conditions will be in place to
start. We will see increasing chances for thunderstorms with
mvfr/ifr conditions at times late in the taf period with a front
moving in from the northwest. Moderately gusty s-ssw winds will
occur as the late night inversion mixes out toward 15z.

&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Burchfield
LONG TERM...Burchfield
AVIATION...DSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
948 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-141500-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
948 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.
  ELEVATED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  A LINE OF STORMS IS CURRENTLY PUSHING EAST ACROSS EASTERN
  KANSAS THIS MORNING. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST
  INTO EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND FAR WESTERN MISSOURI LATE
  THIS MORNING THEN INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON.
  GENERALLY AFFECTING LOCATIONS NORTH OF A PITTSBURG KANSAS TO
  SALEM MISSOURI LINE. DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS UP TO 70MPH
  AND HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS WILL BE THE MAIN RISK WITH
  THE STRONGEST STORMS. FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES AND BRIEF
  HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO OCCUR WITH THESE STORMS.

  HEAT INDICES WILL REACH THE UPPER 90S TO NEAR 105 DEGREES THIS
  AFTERNOON. STORMS AND INCREASED CLOUD COVER COULD BRING A BRIEF
  COOL DOWN AFTER THE STORMS PASS, BUT ONCE THE CLOUDS CLEAR
  TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY WARM.

  ANOTHER COMPLEX OF STORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS KANSAS
  THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO THE AREA THIS EVENING
  INTO TONIGHT. CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING... LOCALLY HEAVY
  RAINFALL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL BE THE MAIN
  RISKS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

  ADDITIONAL COMPLEXES OF STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH EVENING
  AND NIGHT FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. WHILE CLOUD TO
  GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE MOST COMMON
  HAZARDS...A DAMAGING WIND RISK IS POSSIBLE BOTH THURSDAY AND
  FRIDAY EVENINGS WITH A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS ALSO CAPABLE
  OF PRODUCING HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS. AT THIS TIME...IT
  APPEARS THAT THURSDAY NIGHT HAS THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR
  STORMS ACROSS THE AREA. IF REPEATED ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL
  OCCUR OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS...THEN FLOODING COULD EVENTUALLY
  BECOME A CONCERN.

  HEAT INDICES WILL REACH THE UPPER 90S ON THURSDAY. HEAT INDICES
  WILL THEN INCREASE AGAIN BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 54
  LATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON, THEN ACROSS MUCH OF
  THE REST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA THIS EVENING.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

WISE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1042 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

KSZ073-097-131630-
CRAWFORD KS-BOURBON KS-
1042 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN CRAWFORD AND BOURBON
COUNTIES UNTIL 1130 AM CDT...

AT 1042 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR LA HARPE TO NEAR
CHANUTE...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
FORT SCOTT...                     GIRARD...
ARMA...                           MARMATON...
MULBERRY...                       FRANKLIN...
BRONSON...                        ARCADIA...
UNIONTOWN...                      WALNUT...
FULTON...                         REDFIELD...
HEPLER...                         MAPLETON...
BURGESS...                        PETERSBURG...
PORTERVILLE...                    GREENBUSH...
DEVON...                          BRAZILTON...

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3804 9508 3803 9461 3750 9461 3748 9462
      3752 9509 3774 9509
TIME...MOT...LOC 1542Z 278DEG 49KT 3797 9526 3766 9541

GRIFFIN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1116 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

MOZ066-077-131700-
BARTON MO-VERNON MO-
1116 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR VERNON AND BARTON COUNTIES UNTIL
NOON CDT...

AT 1115 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR FULTON TO 7 MILES EAST
OF HEPLER...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
PRAIRIE STATE PARK...             NEVADA...
LAMAR...                          GOLDEN CITY...
LIBERAL...                        SHELDON...
MULBERRY...                       MINDENMINES...
MONTEVALLO...                     ARCADIA...
WALKER...                         SCHELL CITY...
BRONAUGH...                       LAMAR HEIGHTS...
MOUNDVILLE...                     RICHARDS...
MILO...                           DEERFIELD...
IRWIN...                          BURGESS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS
AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER
THREATEN.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI. A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3802 9462 3806 9461 3805 9424 3803 9423
      3805 9421 3804 9419 3806 9413 3804 9411
      3805 9410 3803 9406 3736 9408 3748 9462
TIME...MOT...LOC 1615Z 263DEG 74KT 3796 9474 3764 9483

GRIFFIN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1126 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

KSZ097-101-MOZ077-088-093-131730-
CRAWFORD KS-CHEROKEE KS-JASPER MO-BARTON MO-NEWTON MO-
1126 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN CRAWFORD...CHEROKEE...
NORTHWESTERN NEWTON...JASPER AND SOUTHWESTERN BARTON COUNTIES UNTIL
1230 PM CDT...

AT 1124 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTH OF MCCUNE TO
NEAR ALTAMONT...AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS. GUST FRONT WILL BE AHEAD OF THE BROKEN LINE OF STORMS
WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH POSSIBLE.

LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
JOPLIN...                         PITTSBURG...
CARTHAGE...                       WEBB CITY...
CARL JUNCTION...                  BAXTER SPRINGS...
FRONTENAC...                      COLUMBUS...
GALENA...                         ORONOGO...
CARTERVILLE...                    DUQUESNE...
DUENWEG...                        JASPER...
LOMA LINDA...                     CHEROKEE...
AIRPORT DRIVE...                  WEIR...
LEAWOOD...                        LOWELL...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 0 AND 16.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS
AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER
THREATEN.

&&

LAT...LON 3751 9508 3748 9462 3735 9408 3699 9443
      3700 9507
TIME...MOT...LOC 1624Z 280DEG 52KT 3746 9502 3721 9521

GRIFFIN