Alert archive / Virginia / Special Weather Statements in 2016

Special Weather Statement, NWS Charleston, WV

May 1, 2016Dickenson County, Virginia

NWS Charleston, WV issued this special weather statement at May 1, 2016, 8:01 PM EDT for Dickenson County, Virginia. It was in force for 59 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 1, 2016, 8:01 PM EDT (00:01 UTC)
Expired: May 1, 2016, 9:00 PM EDT
In force: 59 min
Issued by: NWS Charleston, WV

County Dickenson County, VA

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 0.0 hours before the alert went out and 241 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 977 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -11 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 992 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 96 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 100 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.5
Supercell composite: 2.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Charleston, WV wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 1, 7:43 PM EDT, 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 1, 7:43 PM EDT, 18 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
743 PM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
UNSTABLE WITH COLD FRONT SINKING SOUTHEAST TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
UNSETTLED INTO TUESDAY AS A WAVE PASSES. LARGE UPPER TROUGH
BRINGS COOL AND UNSETTLED WEATHER FOR LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
730 PM UPDATE...
THUNDERSTORMS STRONGEST...HEAVIEST AND MOST NUMEROUS ACROSS
SOUTHERN HALF OF WARNING AREA...WHERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 134
REMAINS IN EFFECT. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD WANE A BIT WITH THE
SUNSET AND THEN MOVE EAST OF THE AREA BY MIDNIGHT OR SO.

ANOTHER LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS SET UP AHEAD OF COLD FRONT...ACROSS
EASTERN OHIO INTO THE UPPER OHIO RIVER VALLEY. THIS WILL CROSS
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT.

OTHERWISE FORECAST ON TRACK.

PREVIOUS DISCN...
BREAKS IN CLOUDS OFFER A CHANCE TO DESTABILIZE ATMOSPHERE FOR A
ROUND OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS.

LIS < 4 AND CAPE > 1000 J/KG AND EVEN UP TO 2000 J/KG IN SOME
LOCATIONS SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO GENERATE A ROUND OF STORMS THIS
AFTERNOON.  THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAIN...POSING A THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING...AND A SMALL
CHANCE FOR DAMAGING WIND AND/OR HAIL. THE MAIN CONCERN IS STORMS
TRAIPSING ACROSS AREAS ALREADY HARD HIT BY LAST NIGHTS RAIN. SO
WILL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE OUT FOR FLASH FLOODING.

A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS OVERNIGHT AS WE GET A LITTLE BREAK IN THE
WEATHER BEFORE ANOTHER SYSTEM ARRIVES MONDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
COLD FRONT...WITH A SURFACE WAVE ALONG IT...EXITS TO THE EAST
MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. HAVE LIKELY POPS MONDAY NIGHT WITH
SHOWERS LINGERING TUESDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND
LOBE OF VORTICITY CROSS. SHOULD GET A MAINLY DRY PERIOD TUESDAY
NIGHT. USED A CONSENSUS BLEND FOR TEMPERATURES WITH ONLY MINIMAL
CHANGE TO PREVIOUS FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
UPPER LEVEL LOW SINKS INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY
BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES WITH PERIODS OF PRECIPITATION. THIS
LOW LINGERS INTO THE WEEKEND SO MAINTAIN GENERALLY CHANCE POPS
THROUGH SATURDAY. MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT MOVING IT OUT TO
SEA SUNDAY. STUCK CLOSE TO WPC FOR TEMPERATURES...BUT DID UNDERCUT
THEM A BIT WITH THE UPPER LOW OVERHEAD. MAY EVEN BE COLD ENOUGH
FOR SOME FLAKES OF SNOW MIXING IN WITH RAIN AT THE HIGHEST
ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS
FRIDAY AND AGAIN SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /23Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVES SOUTHWARD THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN OHIO AND
NORTHERN WV THIS PERIOD. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE
IMPACTING SOUTHERN WV AND EASTERN KENTUCKY WELL OUT AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...THESE WILL DIMINISH LATER THIS EVENING.

A LINE OF SH0OWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FARTHER NORTH...CLOSER TO
THE FRONT...WILL IMPACT PKB THIS EVENING AND CKB AND PERHAPS EKN
OVERNIGHT. MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THUNDERSTORMS
THAT DIRECTLY IMPACT AN AIRPORT...OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS
TONIGHT...AND THEN SOME MVFR MIST OVERNIGHT...AND MVFR STRATOCU
MONDAY MORNING.

CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON...BUT
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP
WITH THE COLD FRONT STILL IN THE AREA.

SURFACE FLOW WILL BE MAINLY LIGHT SW WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE W TO
SW FLOW ALOFT.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: TIMING AND INTENSITY OF SHOWERS AND STORMS
COULD VARY. HEAVIER SHOWERS SHOULD PRODUCE IFR...BUT NOT CONFIDENT
ENOUGH IN THE TIMING TO PUT IN TAF EXCEPT FIRST HOUR CRW AND BKW.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

UTC 1HRLY       22   23   00   01   02   03   04   05   06   07   08   09
EDT 1HRLY       18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01   02   03   04   05
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H

AFTER 00Z TUESDAY...
NO WIDESPREAD IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR WVZ005>011-
     013>020-024>040-046-047.
OH...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR OHZ066-067-
     075-076-083>087.
KY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR KYZ101>103-
     105.
VA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR VAZ003-004.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TRM/JW/MZ
NEAR TERM...JW
SHORT TERM...MZ
LONG TERM...MZ
AVIATION...TRM

Hazardous weather outlook, May 1, 4:25 PM EDT, 3 hours 36 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
425 PM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

OHZ066-067-075-076-083>085-WVZ009-022030-
PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-WOOD-
425 PM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST OHIO
AND PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA LOWLANDS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY CONTAIN
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED
FLOODING CONCERNS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ086-087-WVZ005>008-013>016-024>026-022030-
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-WAYNE-CABELL-
MASON-JACKSON WV-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-ROANE-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-
425 PM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 134 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEAST OHIO...AND MUCH OF THE CENTRAL WEST
VIRGINIA...SOUTHERN AND WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA LOWLANDS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED
FLOODING CONCERNS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

VAZ003-004-WVZ010-011-017>020-027>040-046-047-022030-
DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-PLEASANTS-TYLER-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-
CLAY-BRAXTON-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-
FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
425 PM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...PORTIONS
OF THE NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA LOWLANDS...AND THE WEST VIRGINIA
MOUNTAINS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HAIL AND STRONG...GUSTY WINDS ARE THE MAIN
THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED
FLOODING CONCERNS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

TRM

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 1, 7:32 PM EDT, 29 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
732 PM EDT SUN MAY 01 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     HAIL             MULLENS                 37.58N  81.39W
05/01/2016  E1.10 INCH       WYOMING            WV   TRAINED SPOTTER

            BETWEEN QUARTER AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1600944

MEC

Local storm report, May 1, 7:38 PM EDT, 23 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
738 PM EDT SUN MAY 01 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     HAIL             VERDUNVILLE             37.85N  82.06W
05/01/2016  E2.00 INCH       LOGAN              WV   TRAINED SPOTTER

            BETWEEN VERDUNVILLE AND HOLDEN

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1600945

MEC

Local storm report, May 1, 7:39 PM EDT, 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
739 PM EDT SUN MAY 01 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0725 PM     HAIL             VERDUNVILLE             37.85N  82.06W
05/01/2016  E2.00 INCH       LOGAN              WV   TRAINED SPOTTER

            BETWEEN VERDUNVILLE AND HOLDEN

&&

CORRECTED EVENT TIME

EVENT NUMBER RLX1600945

MEC

Local storm report, May 1, 7:49 PM EDT, 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
749 PM EDT SUN MAY 01 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     HAIL             2 E DANESE              37.93N  80.87W
05/01/2016  E1.00 INCH       FAYETTE            WV   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1600946

MEC

Local storm report, May 1, 7:58 PM EDT, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
758 PM EDT SUN MAY 01 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0705 PM     HAIL             OAK HILL                37.98N  81.15W
05/01/2016  E1.00 INCH       FAYETTE            WV   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ALSO REPORTED ESTIMATED 50 MPH WIND GUST.

&&

CORRECTED EVENT TIME

EVENT NUMBER RLX1600942

MEC

Special weather statement, May 1, 8:01 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
801 PM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

VAZ003-004-020100-
BUCHANAN-DICKENSON-
801 PM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT DICKENSON AND
SOUTHWESTERN BUCHANAN COUNTIES...

AT 801 PM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM CEDARVILLE TO NEAR ASHCAMP TO WHITAKER...AND MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CLINTWOOD...HAYSI...JOHN FLANNAGAN LAKE...DAVENPORT...BREAKS INTERSTATE...
TRAMMEL...CLINCHCO...MCCLURE AND NORA.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3697 8237 3702 8248 3713 8255 3720 8256
      3724 8245 3727 8235 3728 8234 3728 8232
      3735 8224 3707 8202 3705 8204 3704 8208
      3705 8210 3704 8212 3704 8217 3699 8226
      3700 8227 3700 8229 3696 8236
TIME...MOT...LOC 0001Z 333DEG 27KT 3733 8234 3723 8248 3717 8271

14

The office that day

Everything else NWS Charleston, WV issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 2, 1:57 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Jackson, Mason, Roane, Wirt, Wood	48 min
May 2, 2:58 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RLX	Gilmer, Ritchie, Wirt	62 min
May 2, 3:06 AM EDT	Flash Flood Watch	RLX	Barbour, Boone, Braxton, Cabell, Calhoun, Clay and 22 more	18 hr
May 2, 6:04 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RLX	Pocahontas	26 min
May 2, 2:17 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RLX	McDowell	43 min
May 2, 2:20 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RLX	Raleigh, Wyoming	40 min
May 2, 2:37 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Boone, Logan, Mingo	53 min
May 2, 2:56 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RLX	Raleigh	49 min
May 2, 3:38 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RLX	Boone, Logan, McDowell, Mingo, Raleigh, Wyoming	6 hr
May 2, 3:48 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RLX	McDowell	42 min
May 2, 3:55 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	McDowell, Wyoming	35 min
May 2, 4:02 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RLX	Cabell, Kanawha, Lincoln, Putnam, Wayne	4 hr
May 2, 4:27 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	McDowell, Raleigh, Wyoming	33 min
May 2, 4:58 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RLX	Braxton, Calhoun, Clay, Fayette, Nicholas, Roane and 1 more	4 hr
May 2, 5:36 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RLX	Pocahontas	39 min
May 2, 5:44 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Pocahontas	31 min
May 1, 9:54 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RLX	Perry	36 min
May 2, 1:20 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RLX	Gallia, Meigs	55 min
May 1, 8:14 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Buchanan, Dickenson	46 min
May 2, 1:04 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RLX	Buchanan	26 min
May 2, 1:33 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RLX	Buchanan	42 min
May 2, 3:51 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RLX	Buchanan, Dickenson	4 hr
May 2, 4:33 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RLX	Buchanan, Dickenson	4 hr

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Virginia, 2016 Every special weather statement in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.