Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 8, NWS Raleigh, NC

February 24, 2016Edgecombe County, Wilson County, North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Feb 24, 2016, 1:32 PM EST for Edgecombe County, Wilson County, North Carolina. It was in force for 43 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Feb 24, 2016, 1:32 PM EST (18:32 UTC)
Expired: Feb 24, 2016, 2:15 PM EST
In force: 43 min
Issued by: NWS Raleigh, NC
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Edgecombe County, NC, Wilson County, NC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Feb 24, 1:35 PM EST	TSTM WND DMG	1 Ese Saratoga, NC	FEW REPORTS OF SOME TREES DOWN.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 3 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Feb 24, 11:16 AM EST	Tornado Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 6.5 hours before the alert went out and 127 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 502 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -10 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 595 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 333 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 386 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 2.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

360 
WUUS52 KRAH 241832
SVRRAH
NCC065-195-241915-
/O.NEW.KRAH.SV.W.0008.160224T1832Z-160224T1915Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
132 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN EDGECOMBE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
  SOUTHEASTERN WILSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 215 PM EST

* AT 131 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
  CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN
  EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR FARMVILLE...AND
  MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  TARBORO...PRINCEVILLE...PINETOPS...STANTONSBURG...MACCLESFIELD...
  SARATOGA...CONETOE AND SPEED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS
NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF ONE IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO
A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WIND DAMAGE. THIS IS A VERY
DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EST FOR CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3582 7735 3583 7739 3583 7741 3581 7742
      3580 7747 3576 7752 3558 7782 3561 7783
      3601 7743 3601 7741 3590 7734
TIME...MOT...LOC 1831Z 225DEG 45KT 3559 7769 

$$

26

4 follow-up statements

737 
WWUS52 KRAH 241841
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
141 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

NCC195-241851-
/O.CAN.KRAH.SV.W.0008.000000T0000Z-160224T1915Z/
WILSON NC-
141 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN WILSON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3582 7735 3583 7739 3583 7741 3581 7742
      3580 7747 3576 7752 3568 7766 3573 7771
      3601 7743 3601 7741 3600 7741 3590 7734
TIME...MOT...LOC 1841Z 217DEG 58KT 3571 7757 

$$

NCC065-241915-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0008.000000T0000Z-160224T1915Z/
EDGECOMBE NC-
141 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM EST
FOR SOUTHEASTERN EDGECOMBE COUNTY...

AT 141 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70
MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTH OF FARMVILLE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TARBORO...PRINCEVILLE...PINETOPS...MACCLESFIELD...CONETOE AND SPEED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. ALTHOUGH A
TORNADO IS NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF ONE IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY
AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A
BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WIND DAMAGE. THIS IS A VERY
DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EST FOR CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3582 7735 3583 7739 3583 7741 3581 7742
      3580 7747 3576 7752 3568 7766 3573 7771
      3601 7743 3601 7741 3600 7741 3590 7734
TIME...MOT...LOC 1841Z 217DEG 58KT 3571 7757 

$$

26

080 
WWUS52 KRAH 241851
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
151 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

NCC065-241915-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0008.000000T0000Z-160224T1915Z/
EDGECOMBE NC-
151 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM EST
FOR SOUTHEASTERN EDGECOMBE COUNTY...

AT 150 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70
MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR TARBORO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50
MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TARBORO...PRINCEVILLE...CONETOE AND SPEED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES...POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE
MOBILE HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AS FLYING DEBRIS
GENERATED BY DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE DEADLY.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WIND DAMAGE. THIS IS A VERY
DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EST FOR CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3582 7735 3583 7739 3583 7741 3581 7742
      3580 7747 3576 7752 3574 7755 3580 7758
      3582 7762 3601 7743 3601 7741 3600 7741
      3590 7734
TIME...MOT...LOC 1850Z 214DEG 45KT 3582 7752 

$$

26

372 
WWUS52 KRAH 241902
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
202 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

NCC065-241915-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0008.000000T0000Z-160224T1915Z/
EDGECOMBE NC-
202 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM EST
FOR EAST CENTRAL EDGECOMBE COUNTY...

AT 201 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70
MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTH OF BETHEL...OR 9 MILES EAST
OF TARBORO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SPEED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES...POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE
MOBILE HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AS FLYING DEBRIS
GENERATED BY DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE DEADLY.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EST FOR CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3582 7735 3583 7739 3583 7741 3581 7743
      3581 7744 3591 7743 3597 7747 3601 7743
      3601 7741 3600 7741 3590 7734
TIME...MOT...LOC 1901Z 225DEG 45KT 3592 7739 

$$

26

838 
WWUS52 KRAH 241908
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
208 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

NCC065-241915-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0008.000000T0000Z-160224T1915Z/
EDGECOMBE NC-
208 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM EST
FOR EAST CENTRAL EDGECOMBE COUNTY...

AT 208 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH.
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BETHEL...OR 9 MILES EAST OF TARBORO...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 70 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SPEED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES...POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE
MOBILE HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AS FLYING DEBRIS
GENERATED BY DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE DEADLY.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EST FOR CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3582 7735 3583 7739 3583 7741 3581 7743
      3591 7742 3598 7746 3601 7743 3601 7741
      3600 7741 3590 7734
TIME...MOT...LOC 1908Z 211DEG 60KT 3587 7739 

$$

26

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Feb 24, 12:30 PM EST, 1 hour 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 24, 12:30 PM EST, 1 hour 2 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1230 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

.SYNOPSIS...A POWERFUL UPPER LEVEL LOW AND ACCOMPANYING SURFACE
CYCLONE THAT WILL TRACK THROUGH THE TN AND OH VALLEYS. A TRAILING
COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP EAST ACROSS OUR REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. BLUSTERY CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
EAST TONIGHT AND THU.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 1245 PM WEDNESDAY...

...STRONG WINDS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON...

TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 PM...WITH WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
THE POTENTIALLY STRONGEST LINE IS MOVING ACROSS THE YADKIN RIVER
INTO THE WESTERN PIEDMONT...WILL REACH THE TRIAD BETWEEN 1 AND 2
PM...AND INTO THE TRIANGLE AREA 3-4 PM. OVERALL FORECAST TRENDS ARE
ON TRACK.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSIONS...WEDGE HAS ERODED OUT OF ALL BUT THE FAR
NORTHWEST PIEDMONT COUNTIES THIS MORNING...SETTING TABLE FOR SOME
MODEST DESTABILIZATION HEADING INTO THE AFTERNOON. WINDS HAVE BEEN
ON THE UPTICK DUE TO THE MIXING...WITH GUSTS EXCEEDING 30 MPH
BECOMING MORE NUMEROUS. SOME MINOR UPDATES TO REFLECT TIMING OF
THESE TRENDS ARE IN ORDER...OTHERWISE THE SEVERE THREAT IS ON TRACK
PER DISCUSSION BELOW.

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL SWING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES
TODAY...WHILE THE ASSOCIATED JET STREAK STRENGTHENS FROM THE GULF
COAST TOWARD THE CAROLINAS AND AN INTENSE LOW-LEVEL JET (60 KT AT
850MB AT KFFC) TRANSLATES ACROSS CENTRAL NC...ALL CONCURRENT WITH A
STABILIZES AIRMASS IN THE WAKE OF AN INLAND RETREATING WEDGE/COASTAL
WARM FRONTS.  THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR A MULTIFACETED AND
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SEVERE WEATHER SITUATION.

GIVEN THE LARGE SCALE FORCING...IT APPEARS THERE WILL BE A COUPLE
TIME PERIODS FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE WEATHER.  THE FIRST WILL UNFOLD
THIS MORNING (AND MAY ALREADY BE GETTING GOING WITH AN ELEVATED
SUPERCELL APPROACHING RICHMOND COUNTY AT 3AM) AS WARM ADVECTION AND
MUCAPE INCREASE ATOP THE STUBBORN WEDGE AIRMASS WHICH IS STILL NEAR
THE COAST.  THE WEDGE FRONT AND EVENTUALLY THE TRUE WARM SECTOR ARE
PROGGED TO SLOWLY MIX INLAND THIS MORNING AND THEN MORE QUICKLY BY
MIDDAY...WITH THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT LIKELY TO BREAK OUT BY 2PM.
MANY OF THE CAMS SHOW CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION TO OUR
SOUTH THAT MOVES NORTH...AND WITH TIME SURFACE BASED CONVECTION WILL
BE MORE LIKELY...WITH A GROWING CONCERN FOR THOSE STORMS
INTERSECTING THE HELICITY LADEN WARM FRONT (0-3KM SRH OF 300-400
M2/S2). THE BEST TIME FRAME FOR THIS APPEARS TO BE FROM 5 AM THROUGH
11AM...MAINLY IN THE COASTAL PLAIN.

AND THEN THIS AFTERNOON MODELS SEEM TO BE KEYING IN ON DEVELOPMENT
FORCED BY THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH AND ALONG A CONFLUENCE ZONE (AHEAD
OF THE MAIN COLD FRONT) THAT IS CURRENTLY OVER CENTRAL AL. THIS LINE
WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO STRENGTHEN RAPIDLY AS IT ENCOUNTERS THE
WARM SECTOR...CHARACTERIZED BY TEMPS IN THE UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S AND
DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 60S...AND 500-1000 J/KG MLCAPE. THE WELL-TIMED
ARRIVAL OF A DRY SLOT MAY ALSO HELP TO ENHANCE INSTABILITY...AS WELL
AS DCAPE. LOW-LEVEL WINDS WILL HAVE VEERED TO MORE SOUTHERN BY
THEN...BUT 0-3KM SRH WILL STILL BE 200-300 M2/S2 AND LONG HODOGRAPHS
WILL SUPPORT BOWING LINE SEGMENTS AND SUPERCELLS.  THE TIME FRAME
FOR THIS APPEARS TO BETWEEN NOON AND 6PM.  THE HRRR HAS REALLY
LATCHED ONTO THIS IN THE PAST 3 OR 4 RUNS.

SPC HAS UPGRADED A PORTION OF THE AREA TO A MODERATE RISK (FROM THE
TRIANGLE NORTH AND EAST)...OWING TO THE BEST OVERLAP OF KINEMATICS
AND EVENTUALLY DESTABILIZATION.  DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR
NEARLY ALL OF CENTRAL NC (POSSIBLY MISSING THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT
IF THEY DO NOT BREAK OUT PRIOR TO THE SECOND LINE OF CONVECTION)
...IF NOT FROM CONVECTION THEN FROM 20-25MPH WINDS AND GUSTS TO 40-
45MPH (ENHANCED EVEN BY SUB-SEVERE SHOWERS AND STORMS). A FEW
TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE AND A STRONG...LONG TRACK TORNADO CANNOT
BE RULED OUT. THE CURRENT WIND ADVISORY WILL CONTINUE FROM 9AM
THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

THE CONVECTIVE LINE SHOULD RACE EAST OF THE AREA BY 7PM OR SO...WITH
A FEW ADDITIONAL SHOWERS POSSIBLE ALONG THE MAIN COLD FRONT.  LOWS
WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE 41-48 RANGE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 355 AM WEDNESDAY...

SHORT WAVE ENERGY WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY
AROUND THE MAIN UPPER TROF THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH THE
FINAL AND STRONGEST SHORT WAVE SHIFTING THE TROF AXIS OFFSHORE BY
FRIDAY MORNING. MOISTURE WILL BE SQUEEZED OUT OVER THE WESTERN
SLOPES...WITH SCATTERED TO BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS (PERHAPS A STRAY
SPRINKLE OR TWO IN THE TRIAD) SPILLING ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER.

COLD AIR WILL BE REINFORCED...WITH A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT
LINGERING THURSDAY FEATURING SUSTAINED WESTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH...AND WITH A FEW INFREQUENT GUSTS
INTO THE UPPER 30S TO NEAR 40S KTS POSSIBLE. HIGHS WILL BE A
CATEGORY OR SO BELOW NORMAL...WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED BLUSTERY
CONDITIONS AND AN ASSOCIATED CHILLIER FEEL THAN TEMPERATURES IN THE
LOW TO MID 50S WOULD OTHERWISE SUGGEST. SKIES WILL BECOME CLEAR
OVERNIGHT...WITH THE DIURNAL TEMPERATURE FALL TEMPERED BY GOOD
MIXING TO KEEP FRIDAY MORNING MINS MOSTLY IN THE LOWER 30S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 1000 AM WEDNESDAY...

COOL AIR ADVECTION DUE TO BROAD TROFFING ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS
WILL RESULT IN DRY WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH HIGHS
STRUGGLING TO REACH 50 ON BOTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. MORNING MINS
WILL BE IN THE 30S SATURDAY AND SUNDAY MORNINGS.

A FINAL MOISTURE STARVED SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA
LATER SATURDAY...INITIATING A SHORT-LIVED WARMING TREND THAT WILL
BEGIN SUNDAY AS PROGRESSIVE SHORT WAVE RIDGING MOVES ACROSS
CONCURRENT WITH MILD HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE SOUTH. HIGHS
SUNDAY WILL REACH NEAR NORMAL...MID TO UPPER 50S...AND REACH 60 TO
65 ON MONDAY AHEAD OF OUR NEXT WEAK AND DRY COLD FRONT WHICH WILL
MOVE THROUGH LATER MONDAY TO COOL US BACK INTO THE MID AND UPPER 50S
ON TUESDAY. THE FRONT WILL DISSIPATE AND LIFT NORTH WITH MILD RETURN
FLOW DEVELOPING MID WEEK AS A STRONGER FRONTAL SYSTEM TAKES SHAPE
OVER THE LOWER PLAINS...WITH EXPECTED IMPACTS NOT EXPECTED TO REACH
THE EAST COAST UNTIL THURSDAY. HIGHS WEDNESAY SHOULD REACH THE LOW
TO MID 60S.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 1230 PM WEDNESDAY...

MAIN HAZARD WILL BE SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON...INITIAL COLD AIR
WEDGE HAS ERODED AND AN INTITIAL LINE OF POTENTIALLY SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOVING EAST...INTO THE TRIAD TAF SITES
(GSO/INT) BETWEEN 18 AND 20Z. EASTERN SITES MAY EXPECT SCATTERED
ACTIVITY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...WITH THE MAIN LINE REACHING THE
SITES 19-22Z. GUSTS ACCOMPANYING THE STORMS COULD REACH 50 KNOTS AND
POSSIBLY PRODUCE A TORNADO OR TWO.

MEANWHILE...THE PREVAILING CONDITIONS THROUGH 00Z WILL FEATURE
ROUNDS OF SHOWERS WITH MVFR CEILINGS AND SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY WINDS
15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. AFTER THE CONVECTION
WANES...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...WITH SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS SUBSIDING TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS GUSTING 20 TO 25
OVERNIGHT. CONDITIONS THURSDAY REMAIN VFR...BUT WINDS WILL PICK UP
AGAIN BY MIDMORNING...WITH SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 GUSTING
TO 30 KNOTS AFTER 15Z...SUBSIDING TO LESS THAN 10 KNOTS AROUND 00Z
TOMORROW EVENING (BEYOND THE VALID TAF PERIOD).

FRIDAY AND BEYOND...VFR CONDITIONS WITH NO PRECIPITATION ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND...LIKELY LINGERING INTO MIDWEEK.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WIND ADVISORY THROUGH MIDNIGHT
 EST TONIGHT FOR NCZ008>011-024>028-040>043-073>078-083>086-088-089.

&&

SYNOPSIS...26/MLM
NEAR TERM...22/MLM
SHORT TERM...26/MLM
LONG TERM...MLM
AVIATION...MLM

Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 24, 11:27 AM EST, 2 hours 5 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1127 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

NCZ007-021>023-038-039-251630-
PERSON-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-
1127 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...TORNADO WATCH 26 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

STRONG...BLUSTERY WINDS ARE LIKELY ON THURSDAY...WITH SUSTAINED
SPEEDS AROUND 20 MPH AND GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NCZ008>011-024>028-040>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-251630-
GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-
CHATHAM-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-
WAYNE-ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
1127 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...TORNADO WATCH 26 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

STRONG...BLUSTERY WINDS ARE LIKELY ON THURSDAY...WITH SUSTAINED
SPEEDS AROUND 20 MPH AND GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

26

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 24, 9:47 AM EST, 3 hours 45 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
947 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0935 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST ROCKINGHAM APT          34.89N  79.76W
02/24/2016  M39 MPH          RICHMOND           NC   AWOS

            KRCZ REPORTED A PEAK WIND GUST OF 39 MPH AT 935 AM EST.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1600391

VINCENT

Local storm report, Feb 24, 10:19 AM EST, 3 hours 13 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1019 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0920 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST MACKALL ARMY AIRFIELD   35.04N  79.50W
02/24/2016  M39 MPH          RICHMOND           NC   AWOS

            KHFF REPORTED A PEAK WIND GUST OF 39 MPH AT 920 AM EST.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1600392

VINCENT

Local storm report, Feb 24, 11:25 AM EST, 2 hours 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1125 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1105 AM     FUNNEL CLOUD     9 SSE HOPE MILLS        34.84N  78.90W
02/24/2016                   CUMBERLAND         NC   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            ROTATING FUNNEL CLOUD OBSERVED IN HEAVY RAIN IN
            SOUTHWESTERN CUMBERLAND COUNTY NEAR THE BLADEN COUNTY
            LINE. LOCATION IS APPROXIMATE. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1600393

BLAES

Special weather statement, Feb 24, 12:08 PM EST, 1 hour 24 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1208 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

NCZ042-043-078-241800-
JOHNSTON NC-WILSON NC-WAYNE NC-
1208 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
JOHNSTON...WILSON AND CENTRAL WAYNE COUNTIES UNTIL 100 PM EST...

AT 1208 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SMITHFIELD...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GOLDSBORO...WILSON...ELM CITY...FREMONT...MICRO...PINE LEVEL...
KENLY...PRINCETON...LUCAMA AND STANTONSBURG.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS UP TO 50
MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH
CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR
OBJECTS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EST FOR CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3557 7782 3547 7783 3522 7824 3541 7842
      3586 7782 3584 7776 3582 7775 3573 7772
      3568 7766
TIME...MOT...LOC 1708Z 227DEG 34KT 3538 7825

VINCENT

Special weather statement, Feb 24, 12:26 PM EST, 1 hour 6 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1226 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

NCZ078-089-241830-
WAYNE NC-SAMPSON NC-
1226 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN WAYNE
AND SAMPSON COUNTIES UNTIL 130 PM EST...

AT 1226 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES NORTH OF LAGOON...OR 7 MILES EAST OF
ELIZABETHTOWN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 80 MPH.

WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GOLDSBORO...CLINTON...MOUNT OLIVE...WALNUT CREEK...HARRELLS...
ROSEBORO...GARLAND...SALEMBURG...TURKEY AND SEVEN SPRINGS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS
50 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL OR WEAKENED TREES AND
BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER
LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EST FOR CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3461 7831 3467 7832 3470 7837 3476 7840
      3495 7860 3547 7783 3539 7780 3534 7782
      3518 7783 3515 7790 3519 7802 3518 7807
      3519 7816 3490 7815 3474 7820 3471 7813
      3472 7811 3471 7811 3455 7825
TIME...MOT...LOC 1726Z 218DEG 70KT 3466 7848

BLAES

Local storm report, Feb 24, 1:28 PM EST, 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
128 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1255 PM     TSTM WND GST     ROCKY MOUNT WILSON APT  35.86N  77.88W
02/24/2016  M43 MPH          NASH               NC   ASOS

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1600394

MLM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Feb 24, 3:09 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Richmond	51 min
Feb 24, 10:53 AM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Cumberland	31 min
Feb 24, 12:08 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Wilson	52 min
Feb 24, 12:26 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	RAH	Sampson	64 min
Feb 24, 12:36 PM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Sampson	24 min
Feb 24, 12:45 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Sampson	9 min
Feb 24, 1:03 PM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Wayne	27 min
Feb 24, 1:04 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Davidson, Forsyth, Guilford, Randolph	56 min
Feb 24, 1:43 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Anson, Montgomery, Richmond, Stanly	47 min
Feb 24, 1:59 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Davidson, Forsyth, Guilford, Randolph	46 min
Feb 24, 2:25 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Anson, Montgomery, Richmond, Stanly	65 min
Feb 24, 2:44 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Alamance, Chatham, Guilford, Randolph	61 min
Feb 24, 3:00 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Moore	60 min
Feb 24, 3:09 PM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Chatham, Lee, Moore, Randolph	33 min
Feb 24, 3:11 PM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Chatham, Lee, Randolph	34 min
Feb 24, 3:30 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Anson, Richmond	45 min
Feb 24, 3:35 PM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Alamance, Chatham, Durham, Orange	40 min
Feb 24, 3:43 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Chatham, Durham, Granville, Orange, Person	62 min
Feb 24, 3:47 PM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Hoke, Moore, Richmond, Scotland	43 min
Feb 24, 3:53 PM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Chatham, Lee, Moore	37 min
Feb 24, 3:59 PM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Granville, Person	19 min
Feb 24, 4:04 PM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Durham, Granville, Person, Vance	56 min
Feb 24, 4:13 PM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Chatham, Durham, Orange	47 min
Feb 24, 4:20 PM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Chatham, Harnett, Lee, Wake	40 min
Feb 24, 4:36 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Durham, Franklin, Granville, Harnett, Vance, Wake and 1 more	69 min
Feb 24, 4:40 PM EST	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Chatham, Durham, Franklin, Granville, Vance, Wake	50 min
Feb 24, 5:03 PM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Franklin, Granville, Vance, Warren	26 min
Feb 24, 5:04 PM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Cumberland, Harnett, Hoke, Sampson	26 min
Feb 24, 5:21 PM EST	Tornado Warning Emergency	RAH	Cumberland, Harnett, Sampson	39 min
Feb 24, 5:21 PM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Vance, Warren	24 min
Feb 24, 5:22 PM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Franklin, Vance, Wake	23 min
Feb 24, 5:31 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Durham, Wake	44 min
Feb 24, 5:41 PM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Franklin, Vance, Wake, Warren	49 min
Feb 24, 5:52 PM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Johnston, Wayne	38 min
Feb 24, 5:58 PM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Cumberland, Sampson	32 min
Feb 24, 6:13 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Durham, Franklin, Granville, Vance, Wake, Warren	62 min
Feb 24, 6:15 PM EST	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Franklin, Halifax, Vance, Wake, Warren	45 min
Feb 24, 6:25 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Edgecombe, Wayne, Wilson	50 min
Feb 24, 6:29 PM EST	Tornado Warning	RAH	Johnston, Sampson, Wayne, Wilson	21 min
Feb 24, 6:37 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RAH	Sampson	23 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2016 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.