Severe Thunderstorm Warning 164, NWS Raleigh, NC

335 
WWUS52 KRAH 052319
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
719 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2016

NCC195-060000-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0164.000000T0000Z-160706T0000Z/
WILSON NC-
719 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT
FOR WILSON COUNTY...

AT 719 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER WILSON...OR 18
MILES SOUTH OF NASHVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WILSON...ELM CITY...SHARPSBURG...LUCAMA...STANTONSBURG...
BLACK CREEK...SARATOGA...SIMS...WILLBANKS AND NEW HOPE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES...POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE
MOBILE HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AS FLYING DEBRIS
GENERATED BY DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE DEADLY.

CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS
STORM.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING
KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT FOR
CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3558 7781 3559 7782 3559 7800 3560 7804
      3569 7806 3578 7806 3585 7787 3584 7785
      3587 7783 3582 7775 3574 7772 3568 7766
TIME...MOT...LOC 2319Z 266DEG 21KT 3570 7795 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

26

394 
WWUS52 KRAH 052333
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
733 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2016

NCC195-060000-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0164.000000T0000Z-160706T0000Z/
WILSON NC-
733 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT
FOR EASTERN WILSON COUNTY...

AT 733 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER WILSON...OR 18
MILES SOUTH OF ROCKY MOUNT...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WILSON...ELM CITY...SHARPSBURG...STANTONSBURG...
SARATOGA AND WILLBANKS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS
STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S
LEADING KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE
ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT FOR
CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3558 7781 3559 7782 3559 7788 3570 7796
      3583 7793 3585 7787 3584 7785 3587 7783
      3582 7775 3574 7772 3568 7766
TIME...MOT...LOC 2333Z 255DEG 16KT 3570 7790 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

26

350 
WWUS52 KRAH 052338
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
738 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2016

NCC195-052348-
/O.CAN.KRAH.SV.W.0164.000000T0000Z-160706T0000Z/
WILSON NC-
738 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN WILSON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND HAS EXITED THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE...THE WARNING HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.  HOWEVER...HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING ARE
STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT FOR
CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
RALEIGH.

LAT...LON 3558 7781 3559 7782 3559 7788 3570 7796
      3583 7793 3585 7787 3584 7785 3587 7783
      3582 7775 3574 7772 3568 7766
TIME...MOT...LOC 2336Z 266DEG 21KT 3570 7786 

$$

26

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
255 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Central North Carolina will maintain its position on the southern
fringe of the westerlies in broad cyclonic flow aloft through
Thursday. A shortwave ridge will temporarily build over the region
Friday into Friday night, however, cyclonic flow aloft will
return over the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /Today and Tonight/...
As of 255 pm Tuesday...

...A heat advisory remains in effect this afternoon across eastern
portions of the Sandhills and southern coastal plain counties...

A weak-low amplitude mid-level shortwave trough over the lower TN
Valley will move slowly eastward into the Southern Appalachians by
late tonight.  Meanwhile, Bermuda High Pressure is strongly seated
over the Southeast Coast, as a lee-side surface trough resides over
the Piedmont of the Carolinas.

Afternoon temperatures in the mid 90s, combined with muggy dewpoints air
in the mid 70s, are supporting heat indices of 105 to 108 F across
eastern Sandhills and southern coastal plain counties. Will allow heat
advisory to expire at 7 pm.

With the approach of the weak upper trough from the west late in the
day, the better upper forcing is expected to remain north/west of
central NC this afternoon, though DPVA will increase over the N/NW
Piedmont later this evening into tonight. Strong surface heating
within a moisture-laden airmass (PWATS 1.8-2.1") should support
MLCAPE of 2000-3000 J/KG, with the least destabilization expected
across the W/NW Piedmont, on the western periphery of a lee surface
trough where dewpoints will be lowest.

With the above in mind, expect scattered convection to develop
across western portions of the state and move/spread east
throughout the afternoon and early evening, diminishing
overnight as BL cools and stabilizes.

With respect to severe threat, strong DCAPE (1000-1300 J/kg),
heighten by the presence of mid-level dry air suggest an enhanced
downburst/damaging wind/ threat with any deep convection that
develops this afternoon/early this evening.

Once convective clouds dissipate, skies are expected to clear out.
Lows in the lower to mid 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /Wednesday and Wednesday night/...
As of 255 pm Tuesday...

The aforementioned weak/low-amplitude shortwave trough over the
Southern Appalachians will drift slowly eastward into the area on
Wednesday. Associated mid/upper cloud cover and resultant earlier
convective initiation should keep highs Wednesday a few degrees shy
of todays temperatures, but still in the general ballpark of low to
mid 90s. The more significant change will be with sfc dewpoints,
with models showing dewpoints falling/mixing out into the mid/upper
60s to lower 70s, which should keep heat indices below advisory
criteria.

As previously alluded to, DPVA coincident with daytime heating will
support scattered shower and storms, as early as mid to late morning
in the west, moving eastward by the early afternoon. This is likely
the primary reason why models indicate less destabilization than
recent days, with MLCAPE of only 1000 to 1500 J/KG. Additionally,
mid-level flows is significantly less (15-20kts)than recent days. So
severe threat will be isolated at best.

Mild overnight lows once again in the lower to mid 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM /Thursday through Tuesday/...
As of 200 PM Tuesday...

A lingering trough will still be over the region on Thursday. Weak
low-level moisture convergence invof of this feature combined with
strong afternoon insolation within a moist airmass will support
isolated to scattered convection during the afternoon and evening
hours. Temps will remain in the low to mid 90s range, with overnight
lows in the mid 70s.

For Friday and into the early part of the weekend, a broad ridge to
our south will expand slightly to the north and east towards our
region. This will act to increase our temps and also decrease our
convective coverage as a cap develops. The warmest days are expected
to be Friday and Saturday when highs should range from the mid 90s
across the north to near 100 degrees across the south. These temps,
combined with a persistent moist airmass may result in heat advisory
criteria across southern and central portions of the forecast area.

Then a front is expected to approach the area for the latter half of
the weekend as a shortwave trough moves through New England/SE
Canada. Models are in general agreement that the front will push
through the area, but given the time of year, this will have to be
monitored as it may end up stalling somewhere over the region
through early next week. Regardless, temps should fall slightly, but
likely remain in the 90s. In addition, precip chances should
increase (closer to climo) as disturbances may track close to the
region along the stalled front.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Tuesday through Sunday/...
As of 140 pm Tuesday...

24-hr TAF Period: Sub-VFR conditions assoc/w scattered showers and
thunderstorms will be possible at all terminals from mid/late
afternoon through midnight tonight. Latest convection allowing
models suggest greatest coverage across the northern tier, thus
will include a tempo for thunder at all TAF sites except FAY.
Once the convection diminishes with loss of heating, expect
predominately VFR conditions overnight with some patchy sub-VFR
fog possible in areas that received heavy rain.

Sub-VFR conditions associated with scattered showers and storms are
expected again on Wednesday.

Long Term: Afternoon/evening convection and patchy early morning fog
will remain possible Wed/Thu in association with a relatively active
summer pattern of broad cyclonic flow aloft. VFR conditions appear
likely Fri/Fri night as a shortwave ridge builds over the region,
however, cyclonic flow aloft will return for the weekend and chances
for convection will increase once again as an attendant cold front
approaches from the NW.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 7 PM EDT this evening for NCZ078-085-086-088-089.

&&

SYNOPSIS...VINCENT
NEAR TERM...CBL
SHORT TERM...CBL
LONG TERM...KRD
AVIATION...CBL/VINCENT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
623 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2016

NCZ007>011-024>028-040>043-075>077-083-084-062230-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-
EDGECOMBE-CHATHAM-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-ANSON-
RICHMOND-
623 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2016

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 325 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

NCZ021>023-038-039-073-074-062230-
FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-
623 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

NCZ078-085-086-088-089-062230-
WAYNE-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
623 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2016

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 325 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAT ADVISORY.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
550 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0535 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NW STALEY             35.82N 79.58W
07/05/2016                   RANDOLPH           NC   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE DOWN BLOCKING THE ROAD.

&&

SC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
557 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2016

NCZ028-043-052300-
WILSON   NC-EDGECOMBE   NC-
557 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2016

 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF WILSON AND
SOUTHWESTERN EDGECOMBE COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM EDT...

AT 557 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
WILSON...OR 19 MILES SOUTH OF NASHVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WILSON...ELM CITY...LUCAMA...STANTONSBURG...BLACK CREEK...
MACCLESFIELD...SARATOGA...SIMS...WILLBANKS AND NEW HOPE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS
50 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL OR WEAKENED TREES AND
BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER
LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL QUICKLY REDUCE VISIBILITY AND RESULT IN
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. DRIVERS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN AND USE
EXTRA CAUTION TO AVOID HYDROPLANING.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT FOR
CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3559 7781 3558 7782 3558 7795 3559 7801
      3560 7805 3559 7806 3559 7809 3575 7812
      3581 7799 3587 7768 3568 7765
TIME...MOT...LOC 2157Z 269DEG 28KT 3569 7800

30

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
608 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2016

NCZ009-011-026>028-052315-
HALIFAX   NC-VANCE   NC-NASH   NC-EDGECOMBE   NC-FRANKLIN   NC-
608 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2016

 ...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
HALIFAX...SOUTHWESTERN VANCE...NORTHERN NASH...NORTHERN EDGECOMBE AND
FRANKLIN COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM EDT...

AT 608 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM ROXOBEL TO NEAR LOUISBURG.
MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROCKY MOUNT...NASHVILLE...LOUISBURG...SCOTLAND NECK...FRANKLINTON...
DORTCHES...BUNN...RED OAK...ENFIELD AND SPRING HOPE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS
40 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN TREE LIMBS.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT FOR
CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3609 7732 3600 7741 3597 7739 3591 7829
      3613 7852 3617 7850 3620 7851 3622 7812
      3621 7811 3620 7801 3623 7799 3627 7741
      3624 7738 3621 7738 3616 7727 3610 7723
TIME...MOT...LOC 2208Z 268DEG 25KT 3620 7723 3611 7836

22

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
631 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2016

NCZ042-077-088-089-052330-
JOHNSTON   NC-CUMBERLAND   NC-HARNETT   NC-SAMPSON   NC-
631 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2016

 ...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
JOHNSTON...NORTHERN CUMBERLAND...HARNETT AND NORTHWESTERN SAMPSON
COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM EDT...

AT 630 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR ANGIER TO 7 MILES WEST
OF POPE AFB. MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FAYETTEVILLE...LILLINGTON...FORT BRAGG...DUNN...ANGIER...BENSON...
GODWIN...POPE AFB...SPRING LAKE AND ERWIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS
40 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN TREE LIMBS.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT FOR
CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3514 7911 3519 7910 3521 7915 3524 7917
      3554 7879 3542 7816 3539 7815 3532 7824
      3531 7829 3528 7830 3505 7857
TIME...MOT...LOC 2230Z 275DEG 33KT 3552 7878 3520 7913

22

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
632 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0620 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NW LUCAMA             35.67N 78.04W
07/05/2016                   WILSON             NC   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREE DOWN.

&&

SC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
657 PM EDT TUE JUL 5 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0540 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNE FRANKLINVILLE     35.76N 79.68W
07/05/2016                   RANDOLPH           NC   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREE DOWN IN FRANKLINVILLE.

&&

NWS RALEIGH NC
IRIS SYSTEM