Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Warnings in 2016
Tornado Warning 44, NWS Paducah, KY
NWS Paducah, KY issued this tornado warning at May 10, 2016, 5:44 PM CDT for Muhlenberg County, Kentucky. It was in force for 31 min. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- May 10, 2016, 5:44 PM CDT (22:44 UTC)
- Expired
- May 10, 2016, 6:15 PM CDT
- In force
- 31 min
- Issued by
- NWS Paducah, KY
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Tornado
- Observed
- Damage threat
- Considerable
- Hail
- 1.75 in
County Muhlenberg County, KY
The radar
The Ft Campbell radar (KHPX), 60 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 5:46 PM CDT | HAIL 2.75 | 1 S Greenville, KY | |
| May 10, 5:48 PM CDT | HAIL 1 | Beech Creek, KY | |
| May 10, 5:49 PM CDT | HAIL 1.75 | Beech Creek, KY | TIME OF EVENT ESTIMATED. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 12:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 9 hr |
| May 10, 5:06 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 125 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 62 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -131 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 818 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 43 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 339 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 332 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
962
WFUS53 KPAH 102244
TORPAH
KYC177-102315-
/O.NEW.KPAH.TO.W.0044.160510T2244Z-160510T2315Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
544 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL MUHLENBERG COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
* UNTIL 615 PM CDT
* AT 543 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR GREENVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.
THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.
SOURCE...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO.
IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. FLYING DEBRIS
MAY BE DEADLY TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE
HOMES WILL BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO HOMES...
BUSINESSES...AND VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE
DESTRUCTION IS POSSIBLE.
* THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
CENTRAL MUHLENBERG COUNTY...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS:
WEIR HEADING TOWARD HIGHWAY 181 AND DRAKESBORO.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TO REPEAT...A LARGE...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY DEADLY
TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE...TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE
TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY
BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A MOBILE HOME...OR IN
A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.
&&
LAT...LON 3718 8692 3715 8693 3706 8719 3720 8726
3734 8701 3732 8699 3727 8698 3726 8696
3724 8694 3724 8692 3723 8692 3721 8690
3719 8691 3718 8689
TIME...MOT...LOC 2243Z 239DEG 53KT 3718 8711
TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL...1.75IN
$$
MLWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at May 10, 3:19 PM CDT, 2 hours 25 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 10, 3:19 PM CDT, 2 hours 25 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 319 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016 .SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Thursday night) Issued at 319 PM CDT Tue May 10 2016 Primary focus today has been on ongoing severe weather event. Scattered supercells with all severe weather elements including tornadoes expected to continue, mainly across west Kentucky through sunset. Once the convection passes, clearing skies and light or calm winds will lead to either fog or very low cloud development possibly before midnight. Haven't had much time to look at the convective potential for Wednesday and Thursday, but still figure that we will have a relatively dry period tonight through much of Wednesday, with thunderstorms spreading east into the area later Wednesday night. More development is likely on Thursday as the larger-scale trough approaches the area. .LONG TERM...(Friday through Tuesday) Issued at 319 PM CDT Tue May 10 2016 The extended period will start out under northwest flow aloft and surface ridging. In the fast northwesterly flow, a reinforcing shot of cool dry air is progged to sweep into the PAH forecast area late Friday night. This feature will have little deep moisture to work with, therefore the probability of measurable rainfall will be rather low, about 1 out of 3. At this time, there seems to be enough lack of instability to preclude the mention of thunder. Saturday looks dry under another surface ridge, however it is possible for rain to occur in the southern half of the region Saturday night due to the presence of a developing boundary between high pressure to the north and increasing low pressure in the southern Plains. The medium range models, while in reasonable agreement, are more vague with the path of the southern Plains low and the quasi- stationary boundary to its east, with the ECMWF keeping it farther south than the GFS. For the time being, there will be a gradually increasing chance of showers from the latter half of the weekend through Day 7. Increasing moisture/instability should allow at least scattered tstm activity by Monday. Expect a cooldown through the weekend, with highs not reaching 70 Saturday and Sunday, and lows dipping below 50 Saturday night. A modest rebound in temps by Day 7. && .AVIATION... Issued at 1248 PM CDT Tue May 10 2016 A cluster of storms will hit KOWB in the next hour, and once it pushes east, all TAF sites should be dry for the remainder of the forecast. MVFR ceilings will impact KCGI and KPAH for a few hours this afternoon before lifting to VFR. It appears that MVFR ceilings will be tied to convection at KOWB only. Clearing is eventually expected along with light or calm winds tonight. There is a strong signal for LIFR or lower ceiling development possibly before 06Z depending on timing of the clearing. The low ceilings and/or dense fog development seems like a good bet. The low ceilings/fog should lift/dissipate by late morning. && .PAH Watches/Warnings/Advisories... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. && SHORT TERM...DRS LONG TERM...DB AVIATION...DRS
Hazardous weather outlook, May 10, 3:10 PM CDT, 2 hours 34 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 310 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-111000- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 310 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST ACROSS WEST KENTUCKY...THE SOUTHERN TIP OF ILLINOIS AND FAR SOUTHEAST MISSOURI THROUGH SUNSET. SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF WEST KENTUCKY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...THEN AGAIN MONDAY. AT THIS TIME...THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THEN AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON HAVE THE BEST SEVERE POTENTIAL. THE PRIMARY CONCERN WILL BE DAMAGING HAIL AND WINDS WITHIN CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND LIGHTNING WILL BE A SECONDARY HAZARD. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED IN WEST KENTUCKY...THE SOUTHERN TIP OF ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. DRS
In the hours before
Local storm report, May 10, 5:05 PM CDT, 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
505 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0501 PM FUNNEL CLOUD CROFTON 37.05N 87.48W
05/10/2016 CHRISTIAN KY TRAINED SPOTTER
NEAR CROFTON
&&
DBLocal storm report, May 10, 5:15 PM CDT, 29 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
515 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0503 PM HAIL CROFTON 37.05N 87.48W
05/10/2016 M1.00 INCH CHRISTIAN KY TRAINED SPOTTER
0504 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 2 E HANSON 37.42N 87.44W
05/10/2016 HOPKINS KY TRAINED SPOTTER
LOOKING EAST FROM I-69 HANSON EXIT
0504 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 2 E HANSON 37.42N 87.44W
05/10/2016 HOPKINS KY TRAINED SPOTTER
LOOKING EAST FROM HANSON EXIT I-69
&&
DBLocal storm report, May 10, 5:28 PM CDT, 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
528 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0413 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 N LAKE CITY 37.06N 88.25W
05/10/2016 LIVINGSTON KY EMERGENCY MNGR
MANY TREES DOWN. DAMAGE TO CELL TOWERS. NEAR MM 34 ON
I-24/69.
&&
DBLocal storm report, May 10, 5:30 PM CDT, 14 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
530 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0514 PM HAIL 3 WSW SACRAMENTO 37.40N 87.32W
05/10/2016 M1.50 INCH HOPKINS KY PUBLIC
&&
DBLocal storm report, May 10, 5:31 PM CDT, 13 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
531 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0514 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 4 E HANSON 37.42N 87.40W
05/10/2016 HOPKINS KY EMERGENCY MNGR
&&
DBLocal storm report, May 10, 5:36 PM CDT, 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
536 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0247 PM TORNADO MAYFIELD 36.74N 88.65W
05/10/2016 GRAVES KY LAW ENFORCEMENT
*** 8 INJ *** 8 NON LIFE-THREATENING INJURIES REPORTED BY
KY STATE POLICE.
&&
DBThe office that day
Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 9:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Fulton | 51 min |
| May 9, 10:11 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | PAH | Ballard | 49 min |
| May 9, 10:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Ballard, Carlisle | 37 min |
| May 9, 10:51 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | PAH | Fulton, Graves, Hickman, Livingston, McCracken, Marshall | 69 min |
| May 10, 11:45 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | PAH | Daviess, Henderson, Union, Webster | 3 hr |
| May 10, 12:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Daviess, Henderson, McLean | 24 min |
| May 10, 12:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Daviess, Henderson, McLean, Webster | 32 min |
| May 10, 12:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Daviess | 34 min |
| May 10, 1:10 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Daviess | 35 min |
| May 10, 1:20 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | PAH | Daviess | 3 hr |
| May 10, 2:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Carlisle, Graves, Hickman | 32 min |
| May 10, 2:46 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Graves | 29 min |
| May 10, 2:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Graves, Marshall | 48 min |
| May 10, 3:07 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Calloway, Graves, Marshall | 23 min |
| May 10, 3:30 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Lyon, Marshall, Trigg | 45 min |
| May 10, 4:05 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | PAH | Daviess | 3 hr |
| May 10, 4:05 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Caldwell, Crittenden, Hopkins, Webster | 25 min |
| May 10, 4:11 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Caldwell, Lyon, Trigg | 34 min |
| May 10, 4:37 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Caldwell, Christian, Hopkins, Trigg | 23 min |
| May 10, 4:42 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Hopkins, McLean | 33 min |
| May 10, 4:59 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Christian, Hopkins, Muhlenberg | 46 min |
| May 10, 5:20 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Daviess, McLean, Muhlenberg | 29 min |
| May 10, 5:57 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Union | 33 min |
| May 10, 6:00 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Muhlenberg | 18 min |
| May 10, 6:11 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Union | 34 min |
| May 10, 6:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Christian | 37 min |
| May 10, 6:32 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Crittenden | 28 min |
| May 10, 6:36 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Caldwell, Christian | 39 min |
Nearby
Tornado Warnings in Kentucky, 2016Every tornado warning in 2016Tornadoes in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.