Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Warnings in 2016

Tornado Warning 30, NWS Paducah, KY

May 10, 2016Lyon County, Marshall County, Trigg County, Kentucky

NWS Paducah, KY issued this tornado warning at May 10, 2016, 3:30 PM CDT for Lyon County, Marshall County, Trigg County, Kentucky. It was in force for 45 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 10, 2016, 3:30 PM CDT (20:30 UTC)
Expired: May 10, 2016, 4:15 PM CDT
In force: 45 min
Issued by: NWS Paducah, KY
Area: Storm-based polygon
Tornado: Observed
Damage threat: Considerable
Hail: 0.75 in

Counties Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, Trigg County, KY

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 49 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 10, 12:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	9 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 172 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 62 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -131 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 818 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 339 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 332 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

192 
WFUS53 KPAH 102030
TORPAH
KYC143-157-221-102115-
/O.NEW.KPAH.TO.W.0030.160510T2030Z-160510T2115Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
330 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  MARSHALL COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
  SOUTHWESTERN LYON COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
  WEST CENTRAL TRIGG COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 415 PM CDT

* AT 329 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO
  WAS LOCATED OVER BENTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

  THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! 

  HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. 

  SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. 

  IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. FLYING DEBRIS 
           MAY BE DEADLY TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE 
           HOMES WILL BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO HOMES...
           BUSINESSES...AND VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE 
           DESTRUCTION IS POSSIBLE. 

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  LAND BETWEEN THE LAKES AREA AND ENERGY AROUND 355 PM CDT. 

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE
ROCKCASTLE AND HARDIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A LARGE...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY DEADLY
TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE...TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE
TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY
BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A MOBILE HOME...OR IN
A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3690 8848 3699 8825 3698 8824 3700 8821
      3707 8803 3681 8793 3675 8840
TIME...MOT...LOC 2029Z 246DEG 28KT 3683 8832 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

ML

1 follow-up statement

065 
WWUS53 KPAH 102106
SVSPAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
401 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

KYC157-102111-
/O.CAN.KPAH.TO.W.0030.000000T0000Z-160510T2115Z/
MARSHALL KY-
401 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR MARSHALL COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
THE TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT
OF THE WARNED AREA THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR
WESTERN KENTUCKY.

LAT...LON 3689 8813 3695 8815 3698 8815 3707 8803
      3685 8795 3684 8808
TIME...MOT...LOC 2101Z 246DEG 28KT 3693 8804 

$$

KYC143-221-102115-
/O.CON.KPAH.TO.W.0030.000000T0000Z-160510T2115Z/
LYON KY-TRIGG KY-
401 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL LYON AND WEST CENTRAL TRIGG COUNTIES...
    
AT 401 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR ENERGY...OR 7
MILES NORTH OF LAND BETWEEN THE LAKES AREA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30
MPH.

HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. 

SOURCE...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A POSSIBLE TORNADO. 

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT 
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE 
         TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE DAMAGE IS 
         LIKELY. 

THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL LYON AND WEST CENTRAL TRIGG COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS: ROCKCASTLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS POSSIBLE. TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A
BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY
BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A MOBILE HOME...OR
IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3689 8813 3695 8815 3698 8815 3707 8803
      3685 8795 3684 8808
TIME...MOT...LOC 2101Z 246DEG 28KT 3693 8804 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

ML

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at May 10, 3:19 PM CDT, 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 10, 3:19 PM CDT, 11 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
319 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Thursday night)
Issued at 319 PM CDT Tue May 10 2016

Primary focus today has been on ongoing severe weather event.
Scattered supercells with all severe weather elements including
tornadoes expected to continue, mainly across west Kentucky
through sunset.

Once the convection passes, clearing skies and light or calm winds
will lead to either fog or very low cloud development possibly
before midnight.

Haven't had much time to look at the convective potential for
Wednesday and Thursday, but still figure that we will have a
relatively dry period tonight through much of Wednesday, with
thunderstorms spreading east into the area later Wednesday night.
More development is likely on Thursday as the larger-scale trough
approaches the area.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 319 PM CDT Tue May 10 2016

The extended period will start out under northwest flow aloft and
surface ridging. In the fast northwesterly flow, a reinforcing shot
of cool dry air is progged to sweep into the PAH forecast area late
Friday night. This feature will have little deep moisture to work
with, therefore the probability of measurable rainfall will be
rather low, about 1 out of 3. At this time, there seems to be
enough lack of instability to preclude the mention of thunder.

Saturday looks dry under another surface ridge, however it is
possible for rain to occur in the southern half of the region
Saturday night due to the presence of a developing boundary between
high pressure to the north and increasing low pressure in the
southern Plains.

The medium range models, while in reasonable agreement, are more
vague with the path of the southern Plains low and the quasi-
stationary boundary to its east, with the ECMWF keeping it farther
south than the GFS. For the time being, there will be a gradually
increasing chance of showers from the latter half of the weekend
through Day 7. Increasing moisture/instability should allow at least
scattered tstm activity by Monday.

Expect a cooldown through the weekend, with highs not reaching 70
Saturday and Sunday, and lows dipping below 50 Saturday night. A
modest rebound in temps by Day 7.

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued at 1248 PM CDT Tue May 10 2016

A cluster of storms will hit KOWB in the next hour, and once it
pushes east, all TAF sites should be dry for the remainder of the
forecast. MVFR ceilings will impact KCGI and KPAH for a few hours
this afternoon before lifting to VFR. It appears that MVFR
ceilings will be tied to convection at KOWB only. Clearing is
eventually expected along with light or calm winds tonight. There
is a strong signal for LIFR or lower ceiling development possibly
before 06Z depending on timing of the clearing. The low ceilings
and/or dense fog development seems like a good bet. The low
ceilings/fog should lift/dissipate by late morning.

&&

.PAH Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...DRS
LONG TERM...DB
AVIATION...DRS

Hazardous weather outlook, May 10, 3:10 PM CDT, 20 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
310 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-111000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
310 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST
ACROSS WEST KENTUCKY...THE SOUTHERN TIP OF ILLINOIS AND FAR
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI THROUGH SUNSET. SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF WEST KENTUCKY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING...THEN AGAIN MONDAY.

AT THIS TIME...THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND THEN AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON HAVE THE BEST SEVERE
POTENTIAL. THE PRIMARY CONCERN WILL BE DAMAGING HAIL AND WINDS
WITHIN CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND LIGHTNING WILL
BE A SECONDARY HAZARD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED IN WEST KENTUCKY...THE SOUTHERN
TIP OF ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI.

DRS

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 10, 1:36 PM CDT, 1 hour 54 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
136 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1241 PM     HAIL             WEST LOUISVILLE         37.70N 87.29W
05/10/2016  E2.00 INCH       DAVIESS            KY   PUBLIC

&&

DRS

Local storm report, May 10, 2:50 PM CDT, 40 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
250 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0247 PM     TORNADO          4 ENE FANCY FARM        36.78N 88.73W
05/10/2016                   GRAVES             KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DRS

Local storm report, May 10, 2:54 PM CDT, 36 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
254 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0251 PM     TORNADO          2 NNW MAYFIELD          36.76N 88.66W
05/10/2016                   GRAVES             KY   PUBLIC

            TORNADO ON THE GROUND CROSSING HIGHWAY 121

&&

JIMP

Local storm report, May 10, 2:58 PM CDT, 32 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
258 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0255 PM     TORNADO          2 N MAYFIELD            36.77N 88.65W
05/10/2016                   GRAVES             KY   NWS EMPLOYEE

            TORNADO ON THE GROUND CROSSING HIGHWAY 45. DAMAGE/DEBRIS
            HAVE BEEN CONFIRMED.

&&

JIMP

Local storm report, May 10, 3:12 PM CDT, 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
312 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0306 PM     TORNADO          10 NE MAYFIELD          36.84N 88.52W
05/10/2016                   GRAVES             KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TORNADO ON THE GROUND PRODUCING DAMAGE ON THE
            GRAVES/MARSHALL COUNTY LINE.

&&

JIMP

Local storm report, May 10, 3:30 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
330 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     TORNADO          2 WSW BENTON            38.00N 88.95W
05/10/2016                   FRANKLIN           IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TORNADO ON THE GROUND NEAR MILE MARKER 40 ON THE PURCHASE
            PARKWAY.

&&

JIMP

The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 9, 9:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Fulton	51 min
May 9, 10:11 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Ballard	49 min
May 9, 10:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Ballard, Carlisle	37 min
May 9, 10:51 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Fulton, Graves, Hickman, Livingston, McCracken, Marshall	69 min
May 10, 11:45 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PAH	Daviess, Henderson, Union, Webster	3 hr
May 10, 12:06 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Daviess, Henderson, McLean	24 min
May 10, 12:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Daviess, Henderson, McLean, Webster	32 min
May 10, 12:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Daviess	34 min
May 10, 1:10 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Daviess	35 min
May 10, 1:20 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PAH	Daviess	3 hr
May 10, 2:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Carlisle, Graves, Hickman	32 min
May 10, 2:46 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Graves	29 min
May 10, 2:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Graves, Marshall	48 min
May 10, 3:07 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	PAH	Calloway, Graves, Marshall	23 min
May 10, 4:05 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PAH	Daviess	3 hr
May 10, 4:05 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Caldwell, Crittenden, Hopkins, Webster	25 min
May 10, 4:11 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Caldwell, Lyon, Trigg	34 min
May 10, 4:37 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Caldwell, Christian, Hopkins, Trigg	23 min
May 10, 4:42 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Hopkins, McLean	33 min
May 10, 4:59 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Christian, Hopkins, Muhlenberg	46 min
May 10, 5:20 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Daviess, McLean, Muhlenberg	29 min
May 10, 5:44 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threat	PAH	Muhlenberg	31 min
May 10, 5:57 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Union	33 min
May 10, 6:00 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Muhlenberg	18 min
May 10, 6:11 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Union	34 min
May 10, 6:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Christian	37 min
May 10, 6:32 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Crittenden	28 min
May 10, 6:36 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Caldwell, Christian	39 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Kentucky, 2016 Every tornado warning in 2016 Tornadoes in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.