Severe Thunderstorm Warning 89, NWS Paducah, KY

120 
WWUS53 KPAH 120015
SVSPAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
715 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

KYC059-120025-
/O.CAN.KPAH.SV.W.0089.000000T0000Z-160512T0030Z/
DAVIESS KY-
715 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR DAVIESS COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN KENTUCKY. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT FOR NORTHWESTERN KENTUCKY.

LAT...LON 3767 8682 3763 8695 3756 8704 3768 8741
      3773 8739 3778 8727 3782 8732 3790 8730
      3784 8716 3778 8711 3780 8707 3790 8704
      3793 8698 3792 8698 3790 8699 3790 8691
      3784 8691 3784 8686 3779 8682 3771 8686
TIME...MOT...LOC 0012Z 274DEG 18KT 3780 8687 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
110 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday night)
Issued at 108 PM CDT Wed May 11 2016

The old boundary left over from last night's convection runs from
near KMVN to just south of KOWB and is likely to be a focus for
thunderstorm development. Meanwhile, a line of thunderstorms
moving into the KSTL metro area will push eastward into northern
portions of southern Illinois and eventually intersect the old
boundary. A severe thunderstorm watch has been issued until 00Z
for our northern 8 counties of southern Illinois.

The flow aloft is rather weak, so individual storms should be
pulsy, but the amount of instability available may allow them to
briefly reach severe levels with damaging winds and large hail
possible. However, the line moving out of KSTL may develop a cold
pool, which could lead to a larger-scale damaging wind threat in
the Watch area.

After sunset, loss of diurnal fuel and warm sector lifting north,
should see more widely scattered/less amplified cells...at least
until late tonight-early tmrw, when cold front makes approach.
Pinwheel jet energy will interact during daytime hours tmrw, and
reinitiate storm/svr chances, slgt risk shifting eastward across
remainder of fa.

Cold fropa occurs tmrw evening, and convection chances end with
it. Thu night thru Fri then looking cooler/drier per post frontal
airmass. Warm/soupy before.

Troffing Ohio valley long wave will bring a smallish
chance of pcpn in again Friday night, as another piece of energy
rounds base of trof. While instability parameters and moisture are
lacking, nw flow/upper pva inducement may lead to a clap of
thunder or at least its mention in forecast per collab pic.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 1256 PM CDT Wed May 11 2016

Long term pattern transition will bring some changes to the
extended. Surface High pressure under nwlys aloft yield a still
cooler/drier Saturday. But long range modeling of height falls out
west, combined with transitioning Great Lakes Low (pattern
change), mean upper flow will be backing and becoming increasingly
active with time for Mid Ms Valley.

We'll see pops enter forecast southwest to northeast by Sunday,
though we'll lay off thunder mention til better/deeper
destabilization occurs Sunday night into Monday.

Monday-Wednesday then looks like an active/wet pattern, as mean
southwest U.S. trof shoots pieces of energy across southern Plains
and lower to mid Ms valley with time. Pops ramp up to high chance
or likely cats thru this period with several periods of
showers/storms and potentially decent QPF setting up in addition
to strong/possibly svr storm chances.

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued at 1256 PM CDT Wed May 11 2016

Conditional forecast of Thunderstorms is best at KEVV and KOWB,
but not so much so farther west. A cold front will approach the
area near the end of the forecast, and there is a fairly strong
signal for IFR/LIFR ceilings to develop ahead of it, possibly with
some fog as well.

&&

.PAH Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
340 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-121000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
340 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL PUSH EASTWARD ALONG THE I-64
CORRIDOR OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA THIS
AFTERNOON. VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORRENTIAL
RAINS...AND EVEN ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS. OTHER STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS MAY MOVE EASTWARD INTO
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
WILL BE THE PRIMARY CONCERNS WITH THIS ACTIVITY.

MORE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE EASTWARD INTO THE REGION
LATER TONIGHT. AT THIS TIME...SEVERE WEATHER CANNOT BE RULED
OUT...BUT LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CREATE SOME FLOODING
ISSUES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS THAT RECEIVED HEAVY RAINS LAST NIGHT
AND THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY. A FEW SEVERE STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE PRIMARILY OVER WEST KENTUCKY IN THE AFTERNOON.
LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING ISSUES WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE.

A SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST MAINLY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME...SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS TO THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY. AT THIS TIME...SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED TO THE NORTH OF A PINCKNEYVILLE
ILLINOIS TO ROCKPORT INDIANA LINE THIS AFTERNOON. ACTIVATION
CANNOT BE RULED OUT FARTHER SOUTH THROUGH SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.

DRS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
549 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0540 PM     HEAVY RAIN       OWENSVILLE              38.27N 87.69W
05/11/2016  M3.00 INCH       GIBSON             IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            3 INCHES OF RAIN AND A FEW STREETS UNDER WATER IN
            OWENVILLE.

&&

RST

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
551 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0538 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 SE EVANSVILLE         37.96N 87.52W
05/11/2016  E60 MPH          VANDERBURGH        IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            50 TO 60 MPH WINDS IN ANGEL MOUNDS

&&

RST

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
553 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0535 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 SW BELKNAP            37.96N 87.71W
05/11/2016  E50 MPH          POSEY              IN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SMALL LIMBS DOWN

&&

RST

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
602 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0553 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     5 ENE HENDERSON         37.87N 87.50W
05/11/2016                   HENDERSON          KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 41 AND THE AUDUBON PARKWAY

&&

RST

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
609 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0602 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 SE EVANSVILLE         37.96N 87.52W
05/11/2016  E60 MPH          VANDERBURGH        IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            50 TO 60 MPH WINDS IN ANGEL MOUNDS AGAIN

&&

RST

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
611 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0516 PM     TSTM WND DMG     OWENSVILLE              38.27N 87.69W
05/11/2016                   GIBSON             IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            4 LARGE TREES SHREDDED ON MONTGOMERY STREET STRIPPED OF
            BARK AND LEAVES

&&

RST