Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 71, NWS Paducah, KY
NWS Paducah, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 10, 2016, 8:28 PM CDT for Todd County, Kentucky. It was in force for 17 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 10, 2016, 8:28 PM CDT (01:28 UTC)
- Expired
- May 10, 2016, 8:45 PM CDT
- In force
- 17 min
- Issued by
- NWS Paducah, KY
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Hail
- 1.0 in
- Wind
- 50.0 mph
County Todd County, KY
The radar
The Ft Campbell radar (KHPX), 10 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 12:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 9 hr |
| May 10, 5:06 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 1.5 hours before the alert went out and 82 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1257 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -9 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1467 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 40 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 116 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 276 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.4
- Supercell composite
- 6.3
The text
As transmitted.
843 WUUS53 KPAH 110128 SVRPAH KYC219-110145- /O.NEW.KPAH.SV.W.0071.160511T0128Z-160511T0145Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 828 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHWESTERN TODD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY... * UNTIL 845 PM CDT * AT 828 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR OAK GROVE... MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... GUTHRIE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. && A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY. LAT...LON 3664 8715 3664 8733 3669 8733 TIME...MOT...LOC 0128Z 285DEG 14KT 3665 8732 HAIL...1.00IN WIND...<50MPH $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 10, 6:42 PM CDT, 1 hour 46 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 10, 6:42 PM CDT, 1 hour 46 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 642 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016 .UPDATE... Issued at 642 PM CDT Tue May 10 2016 Severe Thunderstorms Watch 159 will be allowed to expire at 00Z. We will start chewing away at the Tornado Watch shortly. The AVIATION section has been updated for the 00Z TAF issuance. && .SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Thursday night) Issued at 319 PM CDT Tue May 10 2016 Primary focus today has been on ongoing severe weather event. Scattered supercells with all severe weather elements including tornadoes expected to continue, mainly across west Kentucky through sunset. Once the convection passes, clearing skies and light or calm winds will lead to either fog or very low cloud development possibly before midnight. Haven't had much time to look at the convective potential for Wednesday and Thursday, but still figure that we will have a relatively dry period tonight through much of Wednesday, with thunderstorms spreading east into the area later Wednesday night. More development is likely on Thursday as the larger-scale trough approaches the area. .LONG TERM...(Friday through Tuesday) Issued at 319 PM CDT Tue May 10 2016 The extended period will start out under northwest flow aloft and surface ridging. In the fast northwesterly flow, a reinforcing shot of cool dry air is progged to sweep into the PAH forecast area late Friday night. This feature will have little deep moisture to work with, therefore the probability of measurable rainfall will be rather low, about 1 out of 3. At this time, there seems to be enough lack of instability to preclude the mention of thunder. Saturday looks dry under another surface ridge, however it is possible for rain to occur in the southern half of the region Saturday night due to the presence of a developing boundary between high pressure to the north and increasing low pressure in the southern Plains. The medium range models, while in reasonable agreement, are more vague with the path of the southern Plains low and the quasi- stationary boundary to its east, with the ECMWF keeping it farther south than the GFS. For the time being, there will be a gradually increasing chance of showers from the latter half of the weekend through Day 7. Increasing moisture/instability should allow at least scattered tstm activity by Monday. Expect a cooldown through the weekend, with highs not reaching 70 Saturday and Sunday, and lows dipping below 50 Saturday night. A modest rebound in temps by Day 7. && .AVIATION... Issued at 642 PM CDT Tue May 10 2016 A few showers may flirt with KOWB over the next few hours, otherwise the TAFs are dry. It is looking more likely that all sites will be clear for much of the night, so as winds die off overnight, low cloud and/or fog formation is likely. IFR conditions are a good bet, and lower conditions are possible. Ceilings may take a while to improve, but the afternoon should be VFR. Our next round of convection should hold off until after this forecast period. && .PAH Watches/Warnings/Advisories... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. && UPDATE...DRS SHORT TERM...DRS LONG TERM...DB AVIATION...DRS
Hazardous weather outlook, May 10, 3:10 PM CDT, 5 hours 18 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 310 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-111000- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 310 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST ACROSS WEST KENTUCKY...THE SOUTHERN TIP OF ILLINOIS AND FAR SOUTHEAST MISSOURI THROUGH SUNSET. SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF WEST KENTUCKY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...THEN AGAIN MONDAY. AT THIS TIME...THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THEN AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON HAVE THE BEST SEVERE POTENTIAL. THE PRIMARY CONCERN WILL BE DAMAGING HAIL AND WINDS WITHIN CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND LIGHTNING WILL BE A SECONDARY HAZARD. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED IN WEST KENTUCKY...THE SOUTHERN TIP OF ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. DRS
In the hours before
Local storm report, May 10, 7:24 PM CDT, 1 hour 4 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
724 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0722 PM TORNADO BUFFALO 36.92N 87.69W
05/10/2016 TRIGG KY FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
TORNADO SIGHTED SOUTH OF CERULEAN IN THE BUFFALO AREA.
&&
DBLocal storm report, May 10, 7:39 PM CDT, 49 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
739 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0727 PM TORNADO CERULEAN 36.96N 87.71W
05/10/2016 TRIGG KY EMERGENCY MNGR
DEBRIS SEEN ON GROUND.
0725 PM TORNADO 4 SSE CERULEAN 36.91N 87.68W
05/10/2016 TRIGG KY LAW ENFORCEMENT
TROOPER SIGHTED TORNADO NEAR BUFFALO ROAD AND HIGHWAY
128. DAMAGE TO HOUSE REPORTED...OCCUPANTS FLED.
&&
DBLocal storm report, May 10, 7:49 PM CDT, 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
749 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0716 PM TORNADO 2 SSE CERULEAN 36.93N 87.70W
05/10/2016 TRIGG KY LAW ENFORCEMENT
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE ALONG KY HIGHWAY 126 JUST NORTH OF
HIGHWAY 128.
0724 PM TORNADO 1 SE CERULEAN 36.95N 87.70W
05/10/2016 TRIGG KY TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
DBLocal storm report, May 10, 7:53 PM CDT, 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
753 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0747 PM TORNADO 3 N HOPKINSVILLE 36.90N 87.49W
05/10/2016 CHRISTIAN KY TRAINED SPOTTER
TORNADO SIGHTED AT LAKE BLYTHE.
&&
DBLocal storm report, May 10, 8:04 PM CDT, 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
804 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0705 PM HAIL CERULEAN 36.96N 87.71W
05/10/2016 M2.50 INCH TRIGG KY PUBLIC
&&
DBLocal storm report, May 10, 8:08 PM CDT, 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
808 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0803 PM TORNADO 5 NE HOPKINSVILLE 36.91N 87.43W
05/10/2016 CHRISTIAN KY TRAINED SPOTTER
REPORTED AT JOHNSON ROAD AND PILOT ROCK ROAD.
&&
DBThe office that day
Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 7:01 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Christian, Trigg | 29 min |
| May 10, 7:14 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Christian | 46 min |
| May 10, 7:28 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Christian, Trigg | 47 min |
| May 10, 7:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Christian | 30 min |
| May 10, 7:41 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Christian, Trigg | 34 min |
| May 10, 7:52 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Christian | 23 min |
| May 10, 8:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Todd | 28 min |
| May 10, 8:08 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Christian | 14 min |
| May 10, 8:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Christian | 13 min |
| May 10, 8:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Christian | 26 min |
| May 10, 8:44 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Christian | 31 min |
| May 10, 8:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Christian, Todd | 19 min |
| May 11, 1:44 AM CDT | Dense Fog Advisory | PAH | Daviess, Henderson, Union | 7 hr |
| May 11, 6:24 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | PAH | Todd | 21 min |
| May 11, 8:01 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Todd | 3 hr |
| May 11, 9:54 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Todd | 66 min |
| May 11, 11:11 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | PAH | Muhlenberg | 2 hr |
| May 11, 5:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Henderson, Union | 38 min |
| May 11, 6:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Daviess | 63 min |
| May 11, 6:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Henderson, McLean, Union, Webster | 60 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2016Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.