Severe Thunderstorm Warning 843, NWS Norman, OK

808 
WWUS54 KOUN 060416
SVSOUN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1116 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2016

OKC073-060426-
/O.CAN.KOUN.SV.W.0843.000000T0000Z-161006T0445Z/
KINGFISHER OK-
1116 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL KINGFISHER COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3627 9743 3620 9736 3606 9757 3610 9768
      3615 9767 3630 9755
TIME...MOT...LOC 0416Z 222DEG 21KT 3616 9754 

$$

OKC047-083-103-060445-
/O.CON.KOUN.SV.W.0843.000000T0000Z-161006T0445Z/
LOGAN OK-NOBLE OK-GARFIELD OK-
1116 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN LOGAN...SOUTHWESTERN NOBLE AND SOUTHEASTERN GARFIELD
COUNTIES...

AT 1116 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES EAST OF
MARSHALL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MARSHALL...LUCIEN AND HAYWARD. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3627 9743 3620 9736 3606 9757 3610 9768
      3615 9767 3630 9755
TIME...MOT...LOC 0416Z 222DEG 21KT 3616 9754 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

MAD

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
941 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Updated forecast will include increasing mins slightly east of
dryline and increasing pops across north-central Oklahoma. High
Rest models all continue to increase coverage of showers and
storms overnight near nose of low-level jet across Kansas and
northern Oklahoma. Post convective subsidence and continuing
convection across northern Texas may inhibit storm development
first part of the night across central and southwest Oklahoma so
pops were not significantly changed there. With deep layer shear
sufficient there could be a few severe storms overnight with large
hail the main impact.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 645 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2016/

AVIATION...
For 00Z TAFs, VFR conditions expected to be seen most terminals.
Isolated to scattered storms south and west of KLAW/KSPS will be
monitored for terminals impacts with amendments as needed. More
numerous showers and storms possible overnight and tomorrow with
most impacts toward and after end of forecast period as frontal
boundary approaches from Kansas.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 248 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2016/

DISCUSSION...

Several runs of the operational HRRR indicate a few storms may
develop by late afternoon across western north Texas and far
southern Oklahoma. This will mainly occur along and near a
dryline. Instability and shear will certainly support a few severe
storms with hail and wind.

During evening and overnight, surface winds will back and better
moisture will return to western Oklahoma. This may result in
additional showers and thunderstorms. Overnight, better chances
for showers and storms should shift into northern Oklahoma as
strong low level flow gradually decreases across southern Kansas.

A little uncertain about showers and thunderstorm chances Thursday
morning and early afternoon, but some cloud cover will linger
through the morning.

By late afternoon, a cold front will enter far northern Oklahoma as
a trough lifts from the central Rockies into the central
Plains.  Better height falls will remain north of the area, but a
deep enough frontal boundary will result in scattered to numerous
showers and storms along and just behind the front. Moderate
instability ahead of the front will allow for strong to severe
storms, with strong winds and hail.

The front will clear southern Oklahoma and western north Texas by
early morning Friday.  Therefore, some rain and showers may linger
near the Red River early but better chances for rain will be
across northern and central Texas.

Mainly dry conditions are expected over the weekend.  A trough will
skirt northwestern Oklahoma late in the weekend/early Monday.
Some elevated showers and storms may develop as a result.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  71  87  54  67 /  30  30  80  20
Hobart OK         69  86  54  68 /  30  40  80  20
Wichita Falls TX  72  89  59  70 /  30  10  70  50
Gage OK           60  87  45  70 /  10  30  40  10
Ponca City OK     70  88  51  67 /  50  50  90  20
Durant OK         71  88  65  75 /  10  10  40  30

&&

.OUN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

11/14

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1020 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2016

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-061700-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1020 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
SCATTERED STRONG STORMS WILL DEVELOP FROM WESTERN NORTH TEXAS
NORTHWARD INTO CENTRAL AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. A FEW OF THE STORMS
MAY BRIEFLY REACH SEVERE LEVELS AND PRODUCE HAIL SLIGHTLY LARGER
THAN QUARTERS. THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS ACROSS
ALL BUT EXTREME WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON
NEAR AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT ACROSS NORTHERN AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA.
SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS THE MAIN CONCERNS. INITIALLY...EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL BE A
CONCERN BEFORE THE STORMS ORGANIZED INTO A SQUALL LINE LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
STORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS A LARGE PART OF NORTHERN
AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN OKLAHOMA
SUNDAY AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
710 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2016

TXZ087-088-060045-
KNOX TX-BAYLOR TX-
710 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN KNOX AND WEST
CENTRAL BAYLOR COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM CDT...

AT 708 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GOREE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...

LAT...LON 3343 9955 3343 9977 3369 9960 3368 9943
      3362 9930
TIME...MOT...LOC 0008Z 217DEG 18KT 3352 9955

MAD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
717 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2016

OKZ037-TXZ085-060045-
TILLMAN OK-WILBARGER TX-
717 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN TILLMAN AND EAST
CENTRAL WILBARGER COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM CDT...

AT 716 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR OKLAUNION...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...

LAT...LON 3407 9919 3437 9913 3437 9900 3428 9887
      3420 9893 3421 9895 3418 9895 3403 9907
TIME...MOT...LOC 0016Z 202DEG 28KT 3415 9911

MAD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
726 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2016

TXZ088-089-060115-
ARCHER TX-BAYLOR TX-
726 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL ARCHER AND
SOUTHEASTERN BAYLOR COUNTIES UNTIL 815 PM CDT...

AT 724 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHWEST
OF WESTOVER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...
MINOR FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE...

LAT...LON 3348 9917 3355 9923 3374 9905 3367 9890
      3356 9888
TIME...MOT...LOC 0024Z 238DEG 20KT 3356 9910

MAD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
750 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2016

TXZ087-088-060115-
KNOX TX-BAYLOR TX-
750 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL KNOX AND WEST
CENTRAL BAYLOR COUNTIES UNTIL 815 PM CDT...

AT 748 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR RED SPRINGS...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH DIAMETER...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...

LAT...LON 3350 9947 3359 9964 3375 9945 3370 9931
      3359 9927
TIME...MOT...LOC 0048Z 232DEG 11KT 3360 9946

MAD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1006 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2016

OKZ018-060330-
KINGFISHER OK-
1006 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL KINGFISHER COUNTY UNTIL
1030 PM CDT...

AT 1003 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER KINGFISHER...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH DIAMETER...
WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH...

LAT...LON 3605 9771 3593 9767 3592 9768 3576 9799
      3584 9810 3609 9785
TIME...MOT...LOC 0303Z 226DEG 33KT 3587 9794

MAD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1031 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2016

OKZ012-018-019-060400-
LOGAN OK-KINGFISHER OK-GARFIELD OK-
1031 PM CDT WED OCT 5 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN LOGAN...NORTHEASTERN
KINGFISHER AND SOUTH CENTRAL GARFIELD COUNTIES UNTIL 1100 PM CDT...

AT 1030 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES EAST OF
HENNESSEY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...

LAT...LON 3593 9778 3606 9796 3630 9782 3629 9764
      3619 9755
TIME...MOT...LOC 0330Z 214DEG 35KT 3609 9782

MAD