Severe Thunderstorm Warning 212, NWS Norman, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
335 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG/SEVERE STORMS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE AT THE BEGINNING OF
THIS FORECAST CYCLE...7 PM CDT. HOWEVER...WITHIN A FEW HOURS...THE
EVENT SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH QUICKLY. ONLY THE FAR SOUTHEAST
PART OF OUR FORECAST AREA WILL STILL HAVE A CHANCE OF RAIN BY
EARLY SATURDAY.

AFTER A DRY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN CHANCES WILL
REENTER OUR FORECAST AREA IN THE WEST ON SUNDAY. THIS EPISODE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS UNLIKELY TO INVOLVE SEVERE
STORMS...AS THE SURFACE FRONT AND LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE WELL
SOUTH OF US.

A CHANCE OF RAIN WILL PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...THEN DRY
WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT 10 DEGREES BELOW THE SEASONAL AVERAGE
THIS WEEKEND...THEN WARM BACK ABOVE AVERAGE BY THE END OF NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  51  71  47  68 /  50   0   0   0
HOBART OK         45  70  45  68 /  20   0   0  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  52  74  50  72 /  20   0   0   0
GAGE OK           40  66  40  61 /  20   0  10  30
PONCA CITY OK     49  70  45  68 /  80  10   0   0
DURANT OK         62  77  54  75 /  70  10   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

68/23

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1202 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-301715-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1202 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

LOCATION...
THE ENHANCED RISK AREA COVERS LOCATIONS EAST AND SOUTH OF A LINE
FROM WICHITA FALLS TEXAS...TO ALTUS...TO LAWTON...TO PAULS VALLEY TO
ADA. THIS ENHANCED RISK AREA IS SURROUNDED BY SLIGHT AND MARGINAL
RISKS.

TIMING...
MAINLY 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

IMPACTS...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF TENNIS BALLS WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARD...
WITH DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 75 MPH AND TORNADOES ALSO POSSIBLE

DISCUSSION...
BEFORE 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON...ISOLATED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA.
THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ELEVATED IN NATURE...WHICH WILL
BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AS WELL AS SOME HAIL UP TO THE SIZE
OF HALF-DOLLARS.

AROUND 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON...NEW STORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED
OVER SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS AHEAD OF A
DRYLINE AND NEAR A WARM FRONT. THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY BEGIN AS
SUPERCELL STORMS WITH VERY LARGE HAIL AS THE MAIN IMPACT. STORMS
THAT ARE ORIENTED CLOSE TO THE WARM FRONT WILL ALSO HAVE A HIGHER
CHANCE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
STORMS MAY ORGANIZE INTO LINES OR CLUSTERS AS THEY MOVE EAST LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING AND AFFECT LOCATIONS MAINLY ACROSS
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS
EXPECTED TO END BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

.SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE
RISK AREAS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS
THROUGH THIS EVENING.

.HEAVY RAINFALL...
ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BRING SOME HEAVY RAINFALL
TO PARTS OKLAHOMA THROUGH TONIGHT. LOCALIZED FLOODING IS POSSIBLE
THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER OVER FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING BUT SEVERE STORMS ARE UNLIKELY.

ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR LATE SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY. SEVERE POTENTIAL SUNDAY AND MONDAY REMAINS LOW.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

MBS

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
605 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

OKZ043-047-048-051-052-300000-
ATOKA OK-COAL OK-BRYAN OK-MARSHALL OK-JOHNSTON OK-
605 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ATOKA...SOUTH CENTRAL COAL...
BRYAN...EAST CENTRAL MARSHALL AND SOUTHEASTERN JOHNSTON COUNTIES
UNTIL 700 PM CDT...

AT 604 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ACHILLE...
MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...
MINOR FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DURANT...ATOKA...COLBERT...CADDO...BOKCHITO...ACHILLE...WAPANUCKA...
BENNINGTON...SILO...TUSHKA...CANEY...KENEFIC...KEMP...MEAD...ARMSTRONG...
HENDRIX...LANE...NIDA...ALBANY AND BLUE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE ALERT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

LAT...LON 3416 9581 3416 9598 3412 9594 3393 9592
      3386 9596 3387 9600 3386 9600 3384 9615
      3376 9618 3377 9629 3369 9635 3378 9643
      3377 9650 3382 9653 3385 9663 3388 9659
      3390 9663 3449 9642 3436 9578 3422 9578
TIME...MOT...LOC 2304Z 200DEG 40KT 3387 9637

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
606 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 NNW SHAWNEE           35.38N 96.94W
04/29/2016  M58 MPH          POTTAWATOMIE       OK   MESONET

&&

SC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
612 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     HAIL             SHAWNEE                 35.34N 96.92W
04/29/2016  E1.75 INCH       POTTAWATOMIE       OK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            60 TO 65 MPH WIND GUSTS AS WELL.

&&

SC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
623 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0618 PM     HAIL             3 N LITTLE              35.39N 96.68W
04/29/2016  E2.00 INCH       SEMINOLE           OK   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

SC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
628 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0625 PM     HAIL             7 N SEMINOLE            35.33N 96.67W
04/29/2016  E2.50 INCH       SEMINOLE           OK   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

SC