Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 181, NWS Memphis, TN
NWS Memphis, TN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Nov 29, 2016, 4:14 PM CST for Calhoun County, Tallahatchie County, Yalobusha County, Mississippi. It was in force for 46 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 29, 2016, 4:14 PM CST (22:14 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 29, 2016, 5:00 PM CST
- In force
- 46 min
- Issued by
- NWS Memphis, TN
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Hail
- 2.0 in
- Wind
- 60.0 mph
Counties Calhoun County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS
The radar
The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 134 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 3:48 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 105 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1496 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 92 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 180 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 338 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
314
WUUS54 KMEG 292214
SVRMEG
MSC013-135-161-292300-
/O.NEW.KMEG.SV.W.0181.161129T2214Z-161129T2300Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
414 PM CST TUE NOV 29 2016
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
EAST CENTRAL TALLAHATCHIE COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTHERN YALOBUSHA COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHWESTERN CALHOUN COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI...
* UNTIL 500 PM CST
* AT 413 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HOLCOMB...OR
12 MILES WEST OF GRENADA...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.
HAZARD...TWO INCH HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT
WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COFFEEVILLE...PITTSBORO...VELMA...SCOBEY...BIG CREEK...PINE
VALLEY...BRYANT...LEVERETT...RETREAT...TYSON...ROSEBLOOM...
BOUNDS...SPEARMAN...ELLARD...GUMS...SHEPHERD...BENWOOD...SKUNA...
CASCILLA AND TILLATOBA.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
THIS STORM IS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY
STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS!
&&
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CST FOR NORTHEASTERN
AND NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI.
LAT...LON 3381 9012 3387 9014 3416 8947 3416 8946
3388 8931 3383 8951 3387 8951 3387 8977
3390 8977 3390 8992 3382 8993 3382 8998
3381 8998
TIME...MOT...LOC 2213Z 249DEG 38KT 3381 9002
HAIL...2.00IN
WIND...60MPH
$$3 follow-up statements
137
WWUS54 KMEG 292229
SVSMEG
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
429 PM CST TUE NOV 29 2016
MSC135-292238-
/O.CAN.KMEG.SV.W.0181.000000T0000Z-161129T2300Z/
TALLAHATCHIE MS-
429 PM CST TUE NOV 29 2016
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL TALLAHATCHIE
COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA.THEREFORE...THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CST FOR NORTHEASTERN
AND NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI.
LAT...LON 3387 8951 3387 8977 3390 8977 3390 8992
3391 8992 3396 8993 3416 8947 3416 8946
3388 8931 3383 8951
TIME...MOT...LOC 2228Z 249DEG 38KT 3386 8986
$$
MSC013-161-292300-
/O.CON.KMEG.SV.W.0181.000000T0000Z-161129T2300Z/
YALOBUSHA MS-CALHOUN MS-
429 PM CST TUE NOV 29 2016
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CST
FOR SOUTHERN YALOBUSHA AND NORTHWESTERN CALHOUN COUNTIES...
AT 428 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SCOBEY...OR
NEAR GRENADA...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.
HAZARD...TWO INCH HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT
WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COFFEEVILLE...PITTSBORO...VELMA...SCOBEY...BIG CREEK...PINE VALLEY...
BRYANT...RETREAT...TYSON...BOUNDS...SPEARMAN...ELLARD...GUMS...
SHEPHERD...BENWOOD AND SKUNA.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
THIS STORM IS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY
STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
&&
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CST FOR NORTHEASTERN
AND NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI.
LAT...LON 3387 8951 3387 8977 3390 8977 3390 8992
3391 8992 3396 8993 3416 8947 3416 8946
3388 8931 3383 8951
TIME...MOT...LOC 2228Z 249DEG 38KT 3386 8986
HAIL...2.00IN
WIND...60MPH
$$359
WWUS54 KMEG 292240
SVSMEG
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
440 PM CST TUE NOV 29 2016
MSC013-161-292300-
/O.CON.KMEG.SV.W.0181.000000T0000Z-161129T2300Z/
YALOBUSHA MS-CALHOUN MS-
440 PM CST TUE NOV 29 2016
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CST
FOR SOUTHEASTERN YALOBUSHA AND NORTHWESTERN CALHOUN COUNTIES...
AT 439 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR COFFEEVILLE...
OR 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF GRENADA...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.
HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS.
IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT
WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COFFEEVILLE...PITTSBORO...VELMA...BIG CREEK...PINE VALLEY...BRYANT...
RETREAT...TYSON...BOUNDS...SPEARMAN...ELLARD...GUMS...SHEPHERD...
BENWOOD AND SKUNA.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF ONE IS SPOTTED ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A
PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A STORM SHELTER
OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
THIS STORM IS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY
STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
&&
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CST FOR NORTHEASTERN
AND NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI.
LAT...LON 3387 8951 3387 8973 3391 8974 3402 8974
3416 8947 3416 8946 3388 8931 3383 8951
TIME...MOT...LOC 2239Z 249DEG 38KT 3391 8972
HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
$$347
WWUS54 KMEG 292244
SVSMEG
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
444 PM CST TUE NOV 29 2016
MSC013-161-292300-
/O.CON.KMEG.SV.W.0181.000000T0000Z-161129T2300Z/
YALOBUSHA MS-CALHOUN MS-
444 PM CST TUE NOV 29 2016
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CST
FOR SOUTHEASTERN YALOBUSHA AND NORTHWESTERN CALHOUN COUNTIES...
AT 443 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR COFFEEVILLE...
OR 11 MILES NORTHEAST OF GRENADA...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.
HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS.
IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT
WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COFFEEVILLE...PITTSBORO...VELMA...BIG CREEK...PINE VALLEY...
RETREAT...TYSON...BOUNDS...SPEARMAN...ELLARD...GUMS...SHEPHERD...
BENWOOD AND SKUNA.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMAIN ALERT FOR A POSSIBLE TORNADO! TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY
FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU SPOT A TORNADO GO AT ONCE INTO THE
STORM SHELTER OR SMALL CENTRAL ROOM IN A STURDY STRUCTURE.
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
THIS STORM IS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY
STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
&&
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CST FOR NORTHEASTERN
AND NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI.
LAT...LON 3387 8951 3387 8967 3392 8969 3405 8968
3416 8947 3416 8946 3388 8931 3383 8951
TIME...MOT...LOC 2243Z 249DEG 38KT 3392 8970
TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Nov 29, 2:16 PM CST, 1 hour 58 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 29, 2:16 PM CST, 1 hour 58 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Memphis TN 216 PM CST Tue Nov 29 2016 .DISCUSSION... ...Moderate risk of severe weather over parts of North Mississippi... Currently...Monitoring for potential severe weather this evening. Warm front continues to lift north with lower 60s dewpoints beginning to push into northern MS. Meanwhile a potent shortwave over Texas is rotating around the main Central U.S. upper trough. This is spreading lift across the Lower Mississippi Valley. The associated cold front is pushing east into the Arklatex at this time. Thunderstorms are beginning to develop to the south of our region. Late this afternoon into Tonight...Increasingly concerned about the possibility of significant severe weather across Nortehast Mississippi. As the warm front lifts into North Mississippi and the cold front approaches from the west a surface wave develops over Western Mississippi early this evening and tracks NE across North Mississippi. MLCAPES of 500-1000 j/kg work into NE Mississippi as the moist and unstable airmass moves north ahead of the wave. Hodographs are strongly curved with 0-1km helicity values above 300 m2/s2 and 0-6 km bulk shear values greater than 70 kts. We are most concerned about this evening since discrete supercells are possible as the surface wave moves through. Attm it appears the best chance of a strong tornado or two will be across Northeast Mississippi from about 6 pm to 11 pm. Damaging winds and hail are also threats. Parts of North Mississippi have been upgraded to a moderate risk. By about midnight the convection will probably be organized into a line with an isolated severe threat until about 3 am across Northeast Mississippi. Most of the lingering activity should end by sunrise. Wednesday through Friday...Cold front pushes east and a cooler and drier airmass filters in. Expect seasonably cool temps with highs in the 50s and lows in 30s. Saturday through Tuesday...Models still having some trouble during this time frame as an upper low cuts off over Mexico. Looks like a couple good chances for rain. First one as a trough moves through this weekend and another as that upper low ejects east early next week. Subsequent forecasts will drill down on the details over the next few days but the overall summary is cool and wet. SJM && .AVIATION... 18Z TAF cycle VFR conditions will continue through most of the forecast period. Showers and thunderstorms will move across the region starting late this afternoon and continuing through the overnight hours. Some severe thunderstorms are possible especially over portions of northeast Mississippi this evening. IFR ceilings are expected to move into northeast Mississippi tonight as well. Winds will be mainly from the south at around 10 knots with some higher gusts during the afternoon hours. ARS && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 29, 3:12 PM CST, 1 hour 2 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 312 PM CST TUE NOV 29 2016 ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-302315- ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY- COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR- DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD- HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE- LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION- PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN- RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON- TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA- 312 PM CST TUE NOV 29 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS... THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT THERE IS AN MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS OVER MUCH OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI FOR TONIGHT...ROUGHLY SOUTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM CHARLESTON MISSISSIPPI TO OXFORD MISSISSIPPI TO BOONEVILLE... INCLUDING THE CITY OF TUPELO. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND WEST TENNESSEE. A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO IS POSSIBLE FROM 5 PM CST TO 11 PM CST IN THE MODERATE RISK AREA. OTHERWISE DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN THREAT WITH LARGE HAIL A SECONDARY THREAT. THE SEVERE THREAT WILL BECOME MORE ISOLATED BY MIDNIGHT AND END BY 3 AM CST. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT. SJM
The office that day
Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 3:34 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Tallahatchie, Yalobusha | 41 min |
| Nov 29, 4:56 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Calhoun, Chickasaw, Pontotoc | 49 min |
| Nov 29, 5:08 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Calhoun, Chickasaw, Pontotoc | 37 min |
| Nov 29, 5:40 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Chickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Pontotoc | 50 min |
| Nov 29, 5:47 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Calhoun, Yalobusha | 43 min |
| Nov 29, 5:53 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Calhoun, Chickasaw, Lafayette, Pontotoc, Yalobusha | 3 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Mississippi, 2016Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.