Alert archive / Texas / Special Weather Statements in 2016

Special Weather Statement, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

September 15, 2016Culberson County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this special weather statement at Sep 15, 2016, 9:13 PM CDT for Culberson County, Texas. It was in force for 62 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Sep 15, 2016, 9:13 PM CDT (02:13 UTC)
Expired: Sep 15, 2016, 10:15 PM CDT
In force: 62 min
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

County Culberson County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 226 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 2.2 hours before the alert went out and 225 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1190 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -26 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1881 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 22 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 57 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Sep 15, 9:09 PM CDT, 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 15, 9:09 PM CDT, 4 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
909 PM CDT THU SEP 15 2016

.DISCUSSION...

With the exception of a persistent supercell in srn Culberson
County, convection has been slowly weakening over the past couple
of hours as loss of daytime heating allows things to stabilize.
Thus, the watch has been allowed to expire as scheduled. We'll do
a quick update to remove this, and update other parameters as
necessary. Updates out shortly.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 210 PM CDT THU SEP 15 2016/

DISCUSSION...
An upper trough located over the Northern Rockies this morning
extends south to Mexico while the ridge over the east extends from
the Gulf to the Great Lakes.  The trough will tear in two with a
portion of it digging back to the SW and forming a cut off low by
Saturday.  Models eventually weaken this feature before sweeping it
east next week.

Models have been advertising fropas but these fronts have tended not
to end up making it here.  Now it appears do not have a significant
front arriving till the end of next week. As a result temps warm
above normal next week into the 90s.

Had morning storms over SE NM that have lingered into this afternoon
and drifted into Southern Lea and Western Permian Basin.  High pops
Friday and Friday night north as models develop good qpf along an E-
W trough/boundary.  Latest SWODY1 has SE NM in a slight risk severe
due to a lingering boundary... surface heating... good shear... and
nose of upper jet... now A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect
until 02z.  Also SE NM... Upper Trans Pecos... and much of the
Permian Basin are in a marginal risk of excessive rainfall tonight.
Have increased pops tonight NW and will mention severe/flooding
potential in the HWO.  Rain chances will continue through the
weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     70  90  69  88 /  40  30  50  30
Carlsbad                       66  89  65  86 /  50  30  20  30
Dryden                         71  94  72  92 /  10  10  10  20
Fort Stockton                  69  92  69  91 /  30  20  20  20
Guadalupe Pass                 62  86  63  80 /  50  30  20  30
Hobbs                          64  84  63  84 /  50  50  40  40
Marfa                          58  85  58  83 /  30  40  20  30
Midland Intl Airport           68  91  69  88 /  40  30  30  20
Odessa                         68  90  68  87 /  40  30  30  20
Wink                           69  92  68  90 /  40  30  30  20

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

80/44

Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 15, 2:01 PM CDT, 7 hours 12 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
201 PM CDT THU SEP 15 2016

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-161915-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
201 PM CDT THU SEP 15 2016 /101 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WESTERN TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING ACROSS
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...WITH THE PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDING LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT
FOR EDDY AND LEA COUNTIES UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING. SEE THE
WATCH PRODUCT FOR DETAILS.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF THE AREA THROUGH
TONIGHT. GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL COULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING
CONCERNS...PARTICULARLY IN LOW LYING AREAS AND AREAS WITH POOR
DRAINAGE...AS WELL AS ANY LOCATIONS THAT RECEIVED RECENT RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
FRIDAY. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG...CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING WINDS TO 50 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES...AND
HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 15, 6:51 PM CDT, 2 hours 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
651 PM CDT THU SEP 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0649 PM     HAIL             5 S ARTESIA             32.78N 104.43W
09/15/2016  E1.00 INCH       EDDY               NM   PUBLIC

            549 PM MDT.

&&

CMR

Local storm report, Sep 15, 6:56 PM CDT, 2 hours 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
656 PM CDT THU SEP 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0650 PM     HAIL             4 S ARTESIA             32.79N 104.43W
09/15/2016  E1.75 INCH       EDDY               NM   PUBLIC

            REPORTED 550 PM MDT.

&&

CMR

Local storm report, Sep 15, 7:34 PM CDT, 1 hour 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
734 PM CDT THU SEP 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     HAIL             DAYTON                  32.73N 104.39W
09/15/2016  E1.75 INCH       EDDY               NM   PUBLIC

            10 MILES SOUTH OF ARTESIA AT 6 PM MDT.

&&

CMR

Special weather statement, Sep 15, 8:32 PM CDT, 41 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
832 PM CDT THU SEP 15 2016

TXZ057-074-160230-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR TX-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA TX-
832 PM CDT THU SEP 15 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL CULBERSON COUNTY
UNTIL 930 PM CDT...

AT 832 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 15
MILES NORTH OF VAN HORN...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF WEST CENTRAL
CULBERSON COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN MIDLAND.

&&

LAT...LON 3121 10480 3131 10481 3134 10446 3114 10445
TIME...MOT...LOC 0132Z 265DEG 13KT 3125 10475

44

Special weather statement, Sep 15, 8:36 PM CDT, 37 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
836 PM CDT THU SEP 15 2016

TXZ074-075-160230-
PECOS TX-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA TX-
836 PM CDT THU SEP 15 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN BREWSTER...EAST CENTRAL
JEFF DAVIS AND WEST CENTRAL PECOS COUNTIES UNTIL 930 PM CDT...

AT 835 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10
MILES NORTHEAST OF FORT DAVIS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHERN
BREWSTER...EAST CENTRAL JEFF DAVIS AND WEST CENTRAL PECOS COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN MIDLAND.

&&

LAT...LON 3068 10389 3077 10389 3073 10331 3045 10354
TIME...MOT...LOC 0135Z 305DEG 20KT 3070 10377

44

Special weather statement, Sep 15, 9:13 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
913 PM CDT THU SEP 15 2016

TXZ057-058-074-160315-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS TX-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR TX-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA TX-
913 PM CDT THU SEP 15 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL CULBERSON AND NORTH
CENTRAL JEFF DAVIS COUNTIES UNTIL 1015 PM CDT...

AT 913 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10
MILES NORTHWEST OF BORACHO...OR 18 MILES NORTHWEST OF KENT...MOVING
EAST AT 25 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KENT.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 170 AND 184.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN MIDLAND.

&&

LAT...LON 3118 10461 3133 10462 3134 10411 3096 10409
TIME...MOT...LOC 0213Z 274DEG 20KT 3120 10448

44

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Sep 15, 7:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Culberson, Jeff Davis	61 min
Sep 15, 7:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Jeff Davis, Reeves	24 min
Sep 15, 8:32 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Culberson	58 min
Sep 15, 8:36 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF		54 min
Sep 15, 11:37 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Dawson	38 min
Sep 16, 12:07 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Dawson, Gaines	23 min
Sep 16, 12:40 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Gaines	3 hr
Sep 16, 1:14 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Borden, Dawson	4 hr
Sep 16, 1:29 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Scurry	4 hr
Sep 16, 1:56 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Andrews	34 min
Sep 16, 3:16 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Pecos	44 min
Sep 16, 3:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Borden, Dawson	53 min
Sep 16, 3:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos	31 min
Sep 16, 3:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos	65 min
Sep 16, 4:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Borden, Scurry	67 min
Sep 16, 4:18 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Brewster, Pecos	3 hr
Sep 16, 4:29 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Ward	46 min
Sep 16, 4:31 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Borden	44 min
Sep 16, 4:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Mitchell, Scurry	62 min
Sep 16, 4:53 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Pecos	37 min
Sep 16, 5:14 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Ward	46 min
Sep 16, 5:24 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Scurry	3 hr
Sep 16, 5:27 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Howard	3 hr
Sep 16, 5:38 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Crane, Pecos, Ward	52 min
Sep 16, 5:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster, Pecos	62 min
Sep 16, 5:58 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Mitchell	3 hr
Sep 16, 6:06 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Ward	39 min
Sep 16, 6:19 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Mitchell	41 min
Sep 16, 6:22 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Reeves	38 min
Sep 16, 6:24 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF		51 min
Sep 16, 6:26 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Ector	49 min
Sep 16, 6:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Mitchell	49 min
Sep 16, 6:29 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Glasscock	46 min
Sep 16, 6:37 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster	53 min
Sep 16, 6:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Ector	29 min
Sep 16, 6:51 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Brewster	39 min
Sep 16, 6:56 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Ector	3 hr
Sep 15, 7:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy	60 min
Sep 15, 7:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy	54 min
Sep 15, 9:45 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Eddy	60 min
Sep 15, 9:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy	66 min
Sep 15, 10:45 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Eddy	60 min
Sep 15, 11:06 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy	54 min
Sep 16, 3:47 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Lea	43 min
Sep 16, 4:46 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Lea	44 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Texas, 2016 Every special weather statement in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.