Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 7, NWS Lubbock, TX

April 10, 2016Dickens County, Texas

NWS Lubbock, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 10, 2016, 6:10 PM CDT for Dickens County, Texas. It was in force for 50 min. 4 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Apr 10, 2016, 6:10 PM CDT (23:10 UTC)
Expired: Apr 10, 2016, 7:00 PM CDT
In force: 50 min
Issued by: NWS Lubbock, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.25 in
Wind: 50.0 mph

County Dickens County, TX

The radar

The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 94 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Apr 10, 6:17 PM CDT	HAIL 1.75	Dickens, TX
Apr 10, 6:20 PM CDT	HAIL 2.5	Dickens, TX
Apr 10, 6:25 PM CDT	HAIL 2	Dickens, TX
Apr 10, 6:30 PM CDT	HAIL 2.5	Dickens, TX	EXTENSIVE HAIL DAMAGE TO CARS.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 4 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 7 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Apr 10, 3:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 196 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 2830 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 164 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 194 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

713 
WUUS54 KLUB 102310
SVRLUB
TXC125-110000-
/O.NEW.KLUB.SV.W.0007.160410T2310Z-160411T0000Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
610 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL DICKENS COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 700 PM CDT

* AT 610 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES WEST OF
  DICKENS...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

  HAZARD...HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  DICKENS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW
INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS!

&&

LAT...LON 3356 10099 3369 10098 3380 10052 3355 10052
TIME...MOT...LOC 2310Z 262DEG 21KT 3362 10089 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

MCZ

2 follow-up statements

674 
WWUS54 KLUB 102320
SVSLUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
620 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

TXC125-110000-
/O.CON.KLUB.SV.W.0007.000000T0000Z-160411T0000Z/
DICKENS TX-
620 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT
FOR CENTRAL DICKENS COUNTY...

AT 617 PM CDT...LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL IN
DICKENS. THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER DICKENS...MOVING
EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...HAIL UP TO TWO INCHES IN DIAMETER. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT DAMAGE 
         TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DICKENS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM HAS A LONG HISTORY OF PRODUCING SEVERE HAIL. SEEK SHELTER
NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3357 10095 3369 10093 3380 10052 3355 10052
TIME...MOT...LOC 2317Z 262DEG 21KT 3363 10084 

HAIL...2.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

MCZ

940 
WWUS54 KLUB 102344
SVSLUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
644 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

TXC125-110000-
/O.CON.KLUB.SV.W.0007.000000T0000Z-160411T0000Z/
DICKENS TX-
644 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL DICKENS COUNTY...

AT 642 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES EAST-
NORTHEAST OF DICKENS...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. 

HAZARD...HAIL TO PING PONG BALL SIZE. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT DAMAGE 
         TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. 

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EAST
CENTRAL DICKENS COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DAMAGING HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW
INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3362 10076 3370 10076 3377 10052 3361 10052
TIME...MOT...LOC 2342Z 262DEG 21KT 3365 10066 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

MCZ

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 10, 4:04 PM CDT, 2 hours 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 10, 4:04 PM CDT, 2 hours 6 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
404 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

.SHORT TERM...
NO MAJOR CHANGES FROM THE EARLIER FORECAST UPDATE ISSUED AT 1238 PM.
WEAVING DRYLINE WAS UNDERGOING A NORTHWARD SURGE INTO THE SOUTHERN
PANHANDLE /DUE TO STRONG MOISTURE ADVECTION/ WHILE FARTHER SOUTH
THIS BDRY WAS BEGINNING TO BULGE EWD TO THE SOUTH OF YOAKUM AND
TERRY COUNTIES. CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION HAS BEEN COMPLICATED BY EARLIER
ELEVATED STORMS ON THE SOUTH PLAINS THAT ARE ONLY NOW BEGINNING TO
INGEST SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY IN THE SRN ROLLING PLAINS. IN THE
WAKE OF THIS ACTIVITY...COLD POOL MODIFICATION IS SUPPORTING
ADDITIONAL BDRY LAYER DESTABILIZATION AND DEEP CONVECTION.
OVERALL...FEEL THE GREATEST NEAR TERM SVR THREAT WILL BE ACROSS OUR
NRN ZONES WHERE BOTH SHEAR AND CAPE ARE ADEQUATE...HOWEVER AS
STRONGER DEEP LAYER SHEAR SPREADS FARTHER EAST INTO THE ROLLING
PLAINS WE EXPECT THIS REGION OF LARGER CAPE TO GAIN THE FOCUS FOR
ORGANIZED SVR AND SUPERCELLS. AS AN UPPER LOW CONTINUES EAST FROM
SRN AZ...DEEPER WESTERLIES WILL PUSH THE DRYLINE OUT OF THE REGION
OVERNIGHT WITH THE BRUNT OF CONVECTION LIKELY PRECEDING THIS EXODUS.
DRIED POPS MORE AGGRESSIVELY FROM W-E AFTER MIDNIGHT WHICH FITS THE
OVERALL NWP AND WPC QPF THEME WELL.

.LONG TERM...
WILL KEEP THE EXTENDED SHORT IN ANTICIPATION OF CONVECTION.  WEAK
RIDGING WILL RETURN MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.  AS NEXT STORM SYSTEM
COMES ASHORE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA.  THE LATEST RUNS SHOW THIS SYSTEM
REALLY WEAKENING AS IT MOVES INTO ARIZONA LEAVING LITTLE OTHER THAN
A BIT OF SEPARATION IN THE MEAN FLOW THOUGH SOME REGENERATION OCCURS
ONCE WELL EAST OF OUR AREA.  NEXT SYSTEM DIVES INTO THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION BY LATE FRIDAY AND THIS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BRING US
THE BEST CHANCE FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG TSTMS.

POSTFRONTAL PRECIP LOOKS MUCH LESS LIKELY FOR MONDAY NIGHT THAN IT
DID 24 HOURS AGO AND SO HAVE GONE AHEAD AND DRIED THINGS OUT DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.  SOME HINTS AT PRECIPITATION CONTINUE BE SHOWN
BY DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE FOR TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY THOUGH THE BULK
OF THE ACTIVITY LOOKS TO REMAIN OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL NEW
MEXICO.  HAVE FURTHER TRIMMED THE POPS LEAVING MAINLY THE SOUTHWEST
EXPOSED AT THIS TIME ON TUESDAY.  WEDNESDAY REMAINS A BIT LESS CLEAR
AS THE LOW TRANSITIONS THE REGION.  THURSDAY SHOULD SEE A FAIRLY
TRANQUIL DAY THOUGH MOISTURE RETURN WILL BEGIN WITH A RETURN OF
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...SOME SEVERE...ON FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

93/26

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 10, 4:07 PM CDT, 2 hours 3 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
407 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

TXZ021>044-112115-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
407 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS...ROLLING
PLAINS AND THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
MOST OF THE SOUTH PLAINS...SOUTH TEXAS PANHANDLE AND ROLLING
PLAINS THROUGH THIS EVENING. SUPERCELL STORMS WITH VERY LARGE
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER AND DOWNBURST WINDS AROUND 70 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS EFFECT
FOR ALL BUT YOAKUM COUNTY UNTIL 10 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

STRONG AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY INTO THIS EVENING.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 10, 4:40 PM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
440 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0422 PM     HAIL             3 W SLATON              33.44N 101.69W
04/10/2016  E1.50 INCH       LUBBOCK            TX   PUBLIC

            HAIL SIZE ESTIMATED FROM PHOTO ON FACEBOOK. TIME OF
            HAIL ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1600032

GDS

Local storm report, Apr 10, 5:02 PM CDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
502 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0501 PM     HAIL             9 S RALLS               33.55N 101.38W
04/10/2016  E1.25 INCH       CROSBY             TX   STORM CHASER

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1600033

GDS

Special weather statement, Apr 10, 5:31 PM CDT, 39 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
531 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

TXZ022-023-102300-
CASTRO TX-SWISHER TX-
531 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN CASTRO AND NORTHERN
SWISHER COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM CDT...

AT 530 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10
MILES NORTHEAST OF HART...OR 14 MILES WEST OF TULIA...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 25 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TULIA...HAPPY AND NAZARETH.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR
CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3475 10150 3459 10158 3445 10213 3464 10216
      3475 10199
TIME...MOT...LOC 2230Z 229DEG 20KT 3452 10203

Local storm report, Apr 10, 5:35 PM CDT, 35 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
535 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0510 PM     HAIL             7 SSE RALLS             33.58N 101.34W
04/10/2016  E2.50 INCH       CROSBY             TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL OBSERVED ON THE GROUND AT FM 40 ABOUT 2 MILES EAST
            OF HWY 207. TIME OF HAIL FALL IS ESTIMATED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1600034

GDS

Special weather statement, Apr 10, 5:36 PM CDT, 34 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
536 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

TXZ021-022-102300-
CASTRO TX-PARMER TX-
536 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN PARMER AND
SOUTHWESTERN CASTRO COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM CDT...

AT 536 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
LAZBUDDIE...OR 15 MILES NORTHEAST OF MULESHOE...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DIMMITT.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR
CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3432 10250 3436 10261 3466 10259 3453 10230
TIME...MOT...LOC 2236Z 193DEG 21KT 3438 10252

Local storm report, Apr 10, 5:44 PM CDT, 26 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
544 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0502 PM     HAIL             10 S LORENZO            33.53N 101.53W
04/10/2016  E1.25 INCH       CROSBY             TX   PUBLIC

            RECEIVED VIA SOCAIL MEDIA. TIME AND HAIL SIZE
            ESTIMATED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1600035

GDS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Lubbock, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 10, 3:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Castro, Hale, Lamb, Swisher	38 min
Apr 10, 3:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Lubbock, Lynn	52 min
Apr 10, 4:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Cottle, King	27 min
Apr 10, 4:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Crosby, Lubbock	46 min
Apr 10, 4:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Castro	27 min
Apr 10, 5:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Crosby, Dickens	46 min
Apr 10, 5:31 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LUB	Swisher	29 min
Apr 10, 5:36 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LUB	Castro	24 min
Apr 10, 6:16 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LUB	Swisher	29 min
Apr 10, 6:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Hale, Swisher	31 min
Apr 10, 6:38 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LUB	Parmer	37 min
Apr 10, 6:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Floyd, Hale, Swisher	33 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2016 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.