Alert archive / Kentucky / Special Weather Statements in 2016
Special Weather Statement, NWS Louisville, KY
NWS Louisville, KY issued this special weather statement at Mar 31, 2016, 4:08 PM EDT for 17 counties in Kentucky; Clark County, Indiana. It was in force for 22 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 31, 2016, 4:08 PM EDT (20:08 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 31, 2016, 4:30 PM EDT
- In force
- 22 min
- Issued by
- NWS Louisville, KY
Counties Clark County, IN, Anderson County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Clark County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Henry County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Washington County, KY, Woodford County, KY
The radar
The Louisville radar (KLVX), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1156 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 58 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 354 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 371 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Mar 31, 3:14 PM EDT, 54 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 31, 3:14 PM EDT, 54 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Louisville KY 314 PM EDT THU MAR 31 2016 .SHORT TERM (Now through Friday Night)... Issued at 310 PM EDT Thu Mar 31 2016 ...Strong to Severe Storms Likely into This Evening... Line of convection has solidified along a pre-frontal trof over western Kentucky, and will be pushing into central Kentucky during the afternoon commute. Wind reports associated with these storms are marginal so far, but the line is moving into an area of stronger and increasing instability and DCAPE, as clouds have broken and temps have climbed into the 70s. Actual cold front is back across Illinois, just this side of Interstate 55, with a decent line of convection along it. All modes of severe weather remain on the table, but with surface winds now veered to the SSW the tornado threat is decreasing absent any locally backed winds. Thus SPC outlook has been downgraded to slight, which seems reasonable. Otherwise, there remains enough instability and decent shear to support large hail and damaging winds. Better DCAPE is over south-central KY and expected to improve with continued heating, so expect the wind threat to be greater there. Mid-level lapse rates are better over Illinois and Indiana, so northern counties would be more favored for hail potential. First line should move east across southern Indiana and central Kentucky between now and early evening. Later in the evening, a weaker second wave along the front will mainly affect the I-64 corridor and north, while storms lifting out of Tennessee will scrape south-central Kentucky. There's a substantial chance that some part of central Kentucky will get gapped between these two lines. Precip tapers off after midnight, leaving us a transitional day on Friday with dry surface ridging oriented west to east, but the upper trof axis still to our north and west. Temps will actually run just on the high side of climo, with breezy west winds especially north of the Parkways. Ridging continues to build Fri night, but with a decent surface low over Wisconsin, winds will stay up enough to keep temps from bottoming out. .LONG TERM (Saturday through Thursday)... Issued at 300 PM EDT Thu Mar 31 2016 Progressive, mainly NW flow is expected for much of the long term period. Saturday will be cool and breezy in the cold advection behind a Clipper pushing through the Great Lakes. However, the main impact over the weekend will be frost/freeze potential late Sat night into Sun morning with the surface high draped across the Ohio Valley. Will include patchy frost wording in the forecast, but not enough confidence in a freeze for any headlines or HWO mention. Another Clipper will pass by to our north Monday, but will be moisture-starved. Still close enough to the dynamics to warrant chance POPs Monday into Monday night. Tuesday looks to be the coolest day in the forecast as a 1033mb high pushes a quick shot of Canadian air into the Ohio Valley. Temps will recover quickly under shortwave ridging on Wednesday, but precip chances return late Wednesday and stick around through Thursday as a full-latitude upper trof digs into the eastern CONUS. && .AVIATION (18Z TAF Update)... Updated at 1246 PM EDT Thu Mar 31 2016 A cold front will continue to approach the region today and move through tonight. The morning's rain continues to push off to the east and will be east of LEX by TAF issuance time. Focus then turns to the potential for storms this afternoon. Looking at the most recent model runs and current storm development, it looks like storms will move in an hour or two earlier than previously forecast, so moved up the time for the TS this afternoon. Scattered storms are possible this afternoon and early evening. There will then be another round of rain with maybe some storms moving through with the front later in the evening. Right now it looks like the afternoon activity will be the strongest with the potential for the biggest impact if a storm moves across the terminal. All precipitation should move out through the overnight hours. Ceilings will improve to VFR at LEX after the rain moves out and have already improved at BWG and SDF. Mainly VFR conditions are expected except in any storms. Winds will continue to be gusty out of the south today. They will relax and shift to west-northwesterly tonight in the wake of the front. && .LMK Watches/Warnings/Advisories... KY...NONE. IN...NONE. && Short Term........RAS Long Term.........RAS Aviation..........EER
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 31, 3:30 PM EDT, 38 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 330 PM EDT THU MAR 31 2016 INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067- 070>078-081-082-011930- ORANGE-WASHINGTON-SCOTT-JEFFERSON-DUBOIS-CRAWFORD-PERRY-HARRISON- FLOYD-CLARK-HANCOCK-BRECKINRIDGE-MEADE-OHIO-GRAYSON-HARDIN-BULLITT- OLDHAM-TRIMBLE-HENRY-SHELBY-FRANKLIN-SPENCER-ANDERSON-WOODFORD- FAYETTE-BOURBON-NICHOLAS-NELSON-MERCER-JESSAMINE-LARUE-MARION-BOYLE- GARRARD-MADISON-BUTLER-EDMONSON-HART-GREEN-TAYLOR-CASEY-LINCOLN- LOGAN-WARREN-SIMPSON-ALLEN-BARREN-MONROE-METCALFE-ADAIR-RUSSELL- CUMBERLAND-CLINTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...SALEM...SCOTTSBURG...MADISON... JASPER...ENGLISH...TELL CITY...CORYDON...NEW ALBANY... JEFFERSONVILLE...LEWISPORT...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG... BRANDENBURG...HARTFORD...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN... SHEPHERDSVILLE...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...BEDFORD...MILTON... NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...CYNTHIANA... TAYLORSVILLE...LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...PARIS... CARLISLE...BARDSTOWN...SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG...NICHOLASVILLE... WINCHESTER...HODGENVILLE...LEBANON...DANVILLE...LANCASTER... RICHMOND...MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE...HORSE CAVE...GREENSBURG... CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...STANFORD...RUSSELLVILLE...BOWLING GREEN... FRANKLIN...PROVIDENCE...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW...TOMPKINSVILLE... EDMONTON...COLUMBIA...JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE...ALBANY 330 PM EDT THU MAR 31 2016 /230 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2016/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY THROUGH THIS EVENING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...BUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS ALSO POSSIBLE. WHILE THE THREAT EXISTS THROUGHOUT THE AREA...THE HAIL THREAT WILL BE GREATEST OVER SOUTHERN INDIANA...WHILE THE WIND THREAT WILL BE GREATEST OVER CENTRAL KENTUCKY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RAS
In the hours before
Local storm report, Mar 31, 11:03 AM EDT, 5 hours 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1103 AM EDT THU MAR 31 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1055 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 ESE MILLERSBURG 38.28N 84.10W
03/31/2016 M54 MPH NICHOLAS KY MESONET
MEASURED AT THE NICHOLAS COUNTY KENTUCKY
MESONET SITE.
&&
NWS LOUISVILLE KY
IRIS SYSTEMLocal storm report, Mar 31, 11:06 AM EDT, 5 hours 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1106 AM EDT THU MAR 31 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1050 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NNW WINCHESTER 38.04N 84.20W
03/31/2016 M52 MPH CLARK KY MESONET
MEASURED AT THE CLARK COUNTY KENTUCKY
MESONET SITE.
&&
NWS LOUISVILLE KY
IRIS SYSTEMLocal storm report, Mar 31, 11:37 AM EDT, 4 hours 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1137 AM EDT THU MAR 31 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1021 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 E VERSAILLES 38.04N 84.60W
03/31/2016 M51 MPH FAYETTE KY ASOS
MEASURED AT THE KLEX ASOS.
&&
NWS LOUISVILLE KY
IRIS SYSTEMSpecial weather statement, Mar 31, 3:11 PM EDT, 57 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
311 PM EDT THU MAR 31 2016
INZ089-KYZ023>028-061-062-311945-
PERRY-BUTLER-EDMONSON-OHIO-HARDIN-MEADE-HANCOCK-GRAYSON-BRECKINRIDGE-
311 PM EDT THU MAR 31 2016
...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN PERRY...
WESTERN MEADE...OHIO...WEST CENTRAL HARDIN...GRAYSON...
BRECKINRIDGE...HANCOCK...BUTLER AND NORTHWESTERN EDMONSON COUNTIES...
AT 310 PM EDT/210 PM CDT/...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR ROCKPORT TO 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF
CENTRAL CITY TO 6 MILES NORTH OF ELKTON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT
55 MPH.
WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TELL CITY...LEITCHFIELD...HARTFORD...MORGANTOWN...HARDINSBURG...
HAWESVILLE...CASEY...WEBSTER...LEE AND BEAVER DAM.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
LAT...LON 3767 8682 3771 8687 3779 8682 3784 8685
3784 8691 3788 8689 3791 8694 3789 8699
3790 8699 3815 8632 3766 8617 3719 8639
3717 8647 3718 8662 3714 8662 3708 8691
3716 8693 3719 8689 3736 8702 3756 8704
TIME...MOT...LOC 1910Z 244DEG 56KT 3781 8703 3734 8700 3690 8718
SCHOETTMERLocal storm report, Mar 31, 3:50 PM EDT, 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
350 PM EDT THU MAR 31 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0325 PM TSTM WND DMG PATESVILLE 37.78N 86.72W
03/31/2016 HANCOCK KY PUBLIC
TREE DOWN ACROSS HIGHWAY 1700 NEAR
QUISENBERRY ROAD.
&&
MRCSpecial weather statement, Mar 31, 4:08 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
408 PM EDT THU MAR 31 2016
INZ091-092-KYZ029>042-045>049-057-312030-
FLOYD-CLARK-BOURBON-HENRY-WOODFORD-JEFFERSON-HARRISON-FAYETTE-CLARK-
BULLITT-ANDERSON-WASHINGTON-MERCER-FRANKLIN-SCOTT-OLDHAM-SHELBY-
NELSON-SPENCER-TRIMBLE-MADISON-JESSAMINE-
408 PM EDT THU MAR 31 2016
...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE LOUISVILLE
METRO...FRANKFORT...AND SHELBYVILLE AREAS....
AT 405 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS 9 MILES EAST OF
BRANDENBURG...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LOUISVILLE...LEXINGTON...GEORGETOWN...FRANKFORT...JEFFERSONVILLE...NEW
ALBANY...NICHOLASVILLE...JEFFERSONTOWN...WINCHESTER AND ST. MATTHEWS.
LAT...LON 3771 8534 3850 8596 3850 8589 3855 8585
3861 8553 3859 8543 3862 8544 3865 8526
3858 8521 3860 8508 3856 8501 3851 8503
3851 8498 3843 8496 3846 8492 3838 8490
3834 8479 3854 8448 3856 8437 3792 8399
TIME...MOT...LOC 2005Z 263DEG 86KT 3796 8600
JDGThe office that day
Everything else NWS Louisville, KY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 3:11 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Breckinridge, Butler, Grayson, Hancock, Ohio | 34 min |
| Mar 31, 3:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Butler, Grayson, Ohio | 27 min |
| Mar 31, 3:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Breckinridge, Hancock, Meade, Ohio | 36 min |
| Mar 31, 3:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Bullitt, Hardin, Jefferson, Meade | 36 min |
| Mar 31, 4:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Jefferson, Oldham, Shelby | 34 min |
| Mar 31, 4:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Anderson, Bullitt, Hardin, Larue, Marion, Meade and 3 more | 33 min |
| Mar 31, 4:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Henry, Oldham, Trimble | 36 min |
| Mar 31, 4:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Bullitt, Jefferson, Shelby, Spencer | 32 min |
| Mar 31, 4:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Butler, Logan, Simpson, Warren | 24 min |
| Mar 31, 4:43 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | LMK | Shelby, Spencer | 17 min |
| Mar 31, 4:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Franklin, Henry, Oldham, Shelby | 29 min |
| Mar 31, 4:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Edmonson, Logan, Simpson, Warren | 35 min |
| Mar 31, 4:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Anderson, Franklin, Scott, Shelby, Woodford | 32 min |
| Mar 31, 5:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Franklin, Harrison, Scott | 35 min |
| Mar 31, 5:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Barren, Edmonson, Green, Hart, Metcalfe | 24 min |
| Mar 31, 5:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Bourbon, Harrison, Nicholas, Scott | 36 min |
| Mar 31, 5:32 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LMK | Warren | 118 min |
| Mar 31, 5:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Adair, Barren, Edmonson, Green, Hart, Metcalfe | 30 min |
| Mar 31, 6:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Adair, Casey, Cumberland, Green, Metcalfe, Russell and 1 more | 48 min |
| Mar 31, 6:44 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Allen, Monroe | 31 min |
| Mar 31, 7:26 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Clinton, Cumberland | 34 min |
| Mar 31, 7:38 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LMK | Dubois | 37 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Kentucky, 2016Special Weather Statements in Indiana, 2016Every special weather statement in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.