Severe Thunderstorm Warning 204, NWS Jackson, MS

239 
WWUS54 KJAN 112108
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
408 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

MSC053-083-112118-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0204.000000T0000Z-160411T2145Z/
HUMPHREYS MS-LEFLORE MS-
408 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL HUMPHREYS AND SOUTHERN
LEFLORE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR
NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3328 9000 3309 8997 3306 9043 3311 9042
      3310 9042 3310 9040 3309 9038 3309 9037
      3311 9038 3313 9038 3313 9037 3309 9035
      3310 9035 3312 9036 3314 9033 3325 9033
      3335 9027
TIME...MOT...LOC 2108Z 259DEG 53KT 3324 9015 

$$

MSC051-112145-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0204.000000T0000Z-160411T2145Z/
HOLMES MS-
408 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM CDT
FOR CENTRAL HOLMES COUNTY...

AT 408 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR TCHULA...OR 9
MILES SOUTHWEST OF BLACK HAWK...MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
CENTRAL HOLMES COUNTY...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS: CRUGER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3328 9000 3309 8997 3306 9043 3311 9042
      3310 9042 3310 9040 3309 9038 3309 9037
      3311 9038 3313 9038 3313 9037 3309 9035
      3310 9035 3312 9036 3314 9033 3325 9033
      3335 9027
TIME...MOT...LOC 2108Z 259DEG 53KT 3324 9015 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

DB

301 
WWUS54 KJAN 112133
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
433 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

MSC051-112145-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0204.000000T0000Z-160411T2145Z/
HOLMES MS-
433 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM CDT
FOR CENTRAL HOLMES COUNTY...

AT 433 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER VAIDEN...OR 12
MILES SOUTH OF WINONA...MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LEXINGTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3309 8997 3308 9020 3313 9014 3319 8999
TIME...MOT...LOC 2133Z 259DEG 53KT 3331 8971 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

CME

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
942 AM CDT MON APR 11 2016

.UPDATE...LATEST SATELLITE AND UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOWED A
SPLIT FLOW PATTERN WITH A BROAD UPPER TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE
SOUTHWEST US TO THE SOUTHERN PLANS. A SERIES OF SHORT WAVES WAS
MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN STREAM. MID TO UPPER DIVERGENCE FROM THE
ACTIVE SUBSTROPICAL JET WAS COMING OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE
LOWER MISS VALLEY. A STRONG MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE WAS PUSHING TOWARD
THE REGION FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.  WE WERE GETTING PRETTY GOOD
RETURN FLOW OF 35 TO 40 KNOTS OVER THE REGION. ON THE SURFACE WE HAD
AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY OVER SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AND A WEAK WARM FRONT
OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS. WPC HAS INCREASED THE
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL RISK AREA TO INCLUDE MOST OF THE CWA AS BOTH
BOUNDARIES CONVERGE TOWARD ONE ANOTHER FOR SOME LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL POTENTIAL. LOOKING AT AREA 12 SNDGS WE WERE GETTING STRONG
STEEP LAPSE RATES AROUND 8C IN THE MID LEVELS. WE WERE GETTING SOME
DECENT LOW LEVEL SHEAR. 0-1 SHEAR WAS AROUND 30 KNOTS. AREA RADARS
WERE PICKING UP THE FIRST WAVE OF WARM ADVECTION SHOWERS MOVING
ACROSS THE CWA. AREA RADARS WERE ALSO PICKING UP SOME STRONG
CONVECTION NEAR THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
OVER ARKANSAS. THE AIRMASS WITH THE FORCING AND INSTABILITY SHOULD
BE ABLE TO RECOVER FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
RISK FOR THIS AFTERNOON GOING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE LATEST
HRRR KEEPS THE HEAVIEST RAINS NORTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR. LATE
MORNING TEMPS WERE IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. TEMPS SHOULD BE ABLE TO
REACH WELL INTO THE 70S OVER MOST AREA FOR THIS AFTERNOON. SO WITH
THIS IN MIND THE GENERAL FORECAST LOOKS TO BE ON TRACK./17/

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CIGS THIS MORNING WILL GRADUALLY BECOME MVFR BY THIS
AFTERNOON AS NUMEROUS SHRA AND SCATTERED TSRA DEVELOP ACROSS THE
AREA. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT WITH VSBYS
BECOMING IMPACTED AFTER 11/21Z IN HEAVIER TSRA THAT DEVELOP TONIGHT.
GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTH LATER TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH FROM NORTH TO
SOUTH./26/

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...446 AM CDT MON APR 11 2016

.DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...A RATHER COMPLICATED
FORECAST IS SHAPING UP FOR THE REGION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS A
POTENT UPPER DISTURBANCE TRAVERSES A COLD FRONT SAGGING INTO THE
REGION FROM THE NORTH.

BUT FIRST THIS MORNING...THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT REMAINS WELL NORTH
OF THE REGION EXTENDING FROM THE GREAT LAKES SOUTH/WESTWARD THROUGH
MISSOURI INTO OKLAHOMA. A STRONG SOUTHERLY BREEZE HAS PERSISTED
OVERNIGHT AS A RATHER TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS OVER THE AREA.
THIS GRADIENT WILL ACTUALLY RELAX SOMEWHAT THROUGH THE DAY, AND BUFR
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THE MIXED LAYER WILL NOT BE AS DEEP AS THE PAST FEW
DAYS. SOME WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 30 KT WILL BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE DELTA, BUT GRADIENT WINDS AREN'T EXPECTED TO BE AS
WIDESPREAD A CONCERN AS YESTERDAY.

A FEW SHOWERS ARE ALREADY BEGINNING TO MOVE INTO OUR WESTERN ZONES.
THESE ARE ASSOCIATED WITH FORCING FROM A LEAD SHORTWAVE THAT BROUGHT
SEVERE STORMS TO OK/AR OVERNIGHT. THIS INITIAL WAVE WILL PRIMARILY
PUSH NORTH OF THE AREA DURING THE DAY WITH ONLY MODEST HEIGHT FALLS
HERE. HOWEVER, UPPER DIVERGENCE WILL BE CONSIDERABLE ON THE NOSE OF
A BUILDING SUBTROPICAL JET. THIS SHOULD PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY, ESPECIALLY OVER
THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA. THERE HAS BEEN SOMEWHAT OF A SOUTHWARD
SHIFT IN QPF IN RECENT MODEL RUNS. DAYTIME POPS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED
UPWARD OVER MUCH OF THE AREA TO REFLECT THIS THINKING. AS THE FRONT
REMAINS NORTH OF THE CWA UNTIL AFTER SUNSET, THE AXIS OF SHOWERS/
STORMS COULD HANG UP ACROSS THIS SAME AREA WELL INTO THE EVENING
PRESENTING SOME POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED FLOODING. OUR LIMITED FLOOD
THREAT WILL BE EXTENDED A BIT FARTHER SOUTH TOWARD THE I-20 CORRIDOR,
WHICH WILL LINE UP CLOSE TO A WPC DAY 1 SLIGHT RISK FOR EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL.

AS A MORE POTENT SHORTWAVE SWINGS INTO THE REGION LATER ON TONIGHT,
IT WILL SHOVE THE COLD FRONT SOUTHWARD, PUSHING THE CORRIDOR OF
CONVECTION SOUTHWARD TO THE I-20 CORRIDOR BY AROUND MIDNIGHT AND
THROUGH THE PINE BELT BY MORNING. THERE COULD BE SOME REDEVELOPMENT
OF SHOWERS AND STORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON IN THE PINE BELT, BUT THIS
ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE PARTICULARLY ROBUST AS MODEL CONSENSUS
HAS THE COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA ALREADY. MOST AREAS WILL SEE A
BREAK IN PRECIP FROM THE DAYTIME TUESDAY THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING,
BUT A FEW SHOWERS MAY SNEAK INTO THE MISSLOU REGION BY WED MORNING AS
A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS ALONG THE TX COAST.

WITH REGARDS TO SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL...THE ANTICIPATION OF
NUMEROUS SHOWERS EARLIER IN THE DAY THAN PREVIOUSLY ANTICIPATED
COMPLICATES AN ALREADY MURKY SITUATION WITH RELATIVELY WEAK FORCING
AND A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL THAT SUCH
DEVELOPMENT COULD LIMIT INSTABILITY OVER SOME PORTION OF THE AREA,
THUS LIMITING THE SEVERE THREAT. HOWEVER, UNTIL WE ACTUALLY SEE WHERE
THINGS ARE DEVELOPING, IT IS TOO SOON TO MAKE ANY ADJUSTMENT TO
SEVERE THREAT AREAS. GENERALLY...THE BEST OVERLAY OF SHEAR AND
INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR AND WEST OF THE MS RIVER THIS
AFTERNOON, SO THIS IS WHERE WE WILL KEEP AN ELEVATED THREAT. SOME
ADJUSTMENTS WILL BE MADE TO TIMING, HOWEVER, TO SHOW MORE OPPORTUNITY
EARLIER IN THE DAY OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA. DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AND LOWER-END SEVERE HAIL REMAIN THE PRIMARY THREATS, WITH
TORNADOES ALSO POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG/WEST OF THE MS RIVER. THE
SEVERE THREAT WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AS INSTABILITY
WANES AND GREATER SHEAR MOVES EAST OF THE AREA. /DL/

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...THE WEATHER PATTERN IN THE
LONG RANGE WILL INITIALLY FEATURE AN ACTIVE SOUTHERN STREAM RESULTING
IN CONTINUED UNSETTLED WEATHER WITH SEASONABLY MILD TEMPERATURES. THE
POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT OF A REX BLOCK OVER THE EASTERN CONUS WOULD
SLOW DOWN THE PROGRESSION OF WEATHER FEATURES...AND IT WOULD MAKE FOR
LOWER FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THE DETAILS AS WE GO INTO THE WEEKEND.

THE STRONG GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS FOR WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY IS
THAT NORTHERN GULF LOW DEVELOPMENT WILL FOCUS THE BEST CHANCES FOR
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE ARKLAMISS. THE LOW
AMPLITUDE OF THE WAVE COMBINED WITH LIMITED AIRMASS RECOVERY AHEAD
OF THE TROUGH FURTHER SUPPORT THIS IDEA. SO WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY
MENTION OF HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE HWO/GRAPHIC...BUT THIS COULD BE
SOMETHING TO MONITOR ALONG/SOUTH OF THE HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR
DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH RAIN FALLS THERE WITH THE EARLY WEEK SYSTEM.

AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SLOWS DOWN OVER THE ARKLAMISS REGION FROM
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...RAIN CHANCES COULD INCREASE SOME...BUT
RAINFALL SHOULD BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE WITH LITTLE IMPACT EXPECTED.
GOING INTO THE WEEKEND...CONSENSUS IS THAT THE REX BLOCK WOULD
EVOLVE INTO MORE OF AN OMEGA BLOCK WITH THE MID LEVEL RIDGE ALONG
THE MS RIVER VALLEY. IF THIS VERIFIES...IT WOULD HELP TO KEEP THE
FORECAST AREA DRY BY DEFLECTING SUBSEQUENT SHORTWAVE ACTIVITY. /EC/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       77  63  70  53 /  77  83  20  12
MERIDIAN      77  64  72  51 /  57  85  20  10
VICKSBURG     78  61  68  55 /  83  81  16  16
HATTIESBURG   79  66  78  57 /  55  87  51  14
NATCHEZ       78  65  70  54 /  74  69  21  19
GREENVILLE    73  53  65  50 /  91  92  12  10
GREENWOOD     74  56  67  49 /  91  93  15   9

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

17/26/DL/EC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
222 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-025-MSZ018-019-025-034>036-
040>043-047>049-053>055-059-121930-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-TENSAS-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-
WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-JEFFERSON-
222 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND TUESDAY

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT

FLOODING
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH
THIS EVENING. TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED INTO THIS EVENING. TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF RAIN
ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE WHICH COULD RESULT
IN FLASH FLOODING.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

MSZ026>033-037>039-044>046-050>052-056>058-121930-
GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-
ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-SCOTT-NEWTON-
LAUDERDALE-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-
222 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND TUESDAY

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

FLOODING
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH
THIS EVENING. TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT AS WELL.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED INTO THIS EVENING. TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF RAIN
ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE WHICH COULD RESULT
IN FLASH FLOODING.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

LAZ024-026-MSZ060>064-121930-
CATAHOULA-CONCORDIA-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-
JEFFERSON DAVIS-
222 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND TUESDAY

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH
THIS EVENING. TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

MSZ065-066-072>074-121930-
COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
222 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND TUESDAY

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT.
A TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

26

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*TORNADOES*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN STRONG TORNADOES WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
SIGNIFICANT...STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN TORNADOES.
LIMITED...TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
SIGNIFICANT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF
 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60
 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.

*FLOODING*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING.
SIGNIFICANT...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN FLOODING.
LIMITED...FLOODING POSSIBLE.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/
SPC...MESO ANALYSIS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/#
SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/
SPC...STORM REPORTS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/
NWS JAN CURRENT SVR/TOR WATCHES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
159 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

ARZ075-LAZ008-009-MSZ034-040-111930-
CHICOT AR-EAST CARROLL LA-WEST CARROLL LA-ISSAQUENA MS-WASHINGTON MS-
159 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL CHICOT COUNTY...
NORTHEASTERN WEST CARROLL AND NORTHEASTERN EAST CARROLL PARISHES...
SOUTHWESTERN WASHINGTON AND NORTHWESTERN ISSAQUENA COUNTIES UNTIL 230
PM CDT...

AT 159 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR OAK GROVE...OR 12 MILES NORTHWEST OF LAKE PROVIDENCE...MOVING EAST
AT 60 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  SHELBURN AROUND 205 PM CDT.
  MILLIKIN AND GASSOWAY AROUND 210 PM CDT.
  GLEN ALLAN AROUND 220 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE KILBOURNE AND
MAYERSVILLE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS...NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...AND NORTHWESTERN
MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3298 9144 3299 9145 3318 9095 3291 9097
      3284 9142 3296 9146
TIME...MOT...LOC 1859Z 251DEG 51KT 3292 9135

CME

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
214 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

LAZ007-111945-
MOREHOUSE LA-
214 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN MOREHOUSE PARISH
UNTIL 245 PM CDT...

AT 213 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR SWARTZ...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHWESTERN
MOREHOUSE PARISH...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS: COLLINSTON.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA.

LAT...LON 3281 9181 3256 9177 3257 9181 3254 9184
      3254 9191 3261 9193 3263 9192 3265 9192
      3266 9191 3267 9193 3266 9194 3268 9196
      3271 9197 3271 9200 3269 9205
TIME...MOT...LOC 1913Z 249DEG 44KT 3258 9206

CME

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
223 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

ARZ074-LAZ007-112000-
ASHLEY AR-MOREHOUSE LA-
223 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT ASHLEY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN
ARKANSAS AND NORTHWESTERN MOREHOUSE PARISHES UNTIL 300 PM CDT...

AT 223 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR FOUNTAIN HILL TO NEAR LAPILE.
MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 60 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  FOUNTAIN HILL AND OLD MILO AROUND 230 PM CDT.
  HAMBURG AROUND 235 PM CDT.
  CROSSETT AND SNYDER AROUND 240 PM CDT.
  PORTLAND...MONTROSE AND BERLIN AROUND 250 PM CDT.
  WILMOT AND JONES AROUND 300 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE BONITA AND
BLANCHTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS...AND NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA.

LAT...LON 3315 9211 3316 9214 3319 9214 3321 9213
      3321 9208 3324 9209 3325 9205 3328 9204
      3331 9198 3335 9199 3336 9197 3340 9196
      3339 9146 3288 9161 3296 9209 3301 9207
      3303 9209 3303 9211 3307 9211 3309 9214
TIME...MOT...LOC 1923Z 281DEG 54KT 3336 9195 3309 9223

CME

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
259 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

MSZ035-036-112030-
HOLMES MS-HUMPHREYS MS-
259 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EAST CENTRAL HUMPHREYS AND
NORTHERN HOLMES COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM CDT...

AT 259 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR MIDNIGHT...OR NEAR BELZONI...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  THORNTON AROUND 310 PM CDT.
  TCHULA AND HOWARD AROUND 315 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE SILVER CITY AND
CRUGER.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR
NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3321 8988 3302 9051 3311 9061 3334 9022
TIME...MOT...LOC 1959Z 240DEG 49KT 3308 9048

DB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
343 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

MSZ037-112115-
ATTALA MS-
343 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN ATTALA COUNTY UNTIL 415
PM CDT...

AT 343 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR POSSUMNECK...OR NEAR DURANT...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  HESTERVILLE AROUND 355 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE ETHEL.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR
NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3328 8943 3310 8943 3310 8982 3311 8982
      3312 8980 3313 8980 3316 8979 3318 8978
      3319 8978 3320 8976 3326 8972 3326 8971
      3328 8970
TIME...MOT...LOC 2043Z 258DEG 40KT 3317 8980

DB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
344 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0328 PM     HAIL             1 N LEXINGTON           33.13N 90.05W
04/11/2016  E1.00 INCH       HOLMES             MS   PUBLIC

&&

CME