River Flood Warning 101, NWS Jackson, MS

091 
WGUS84 KJAN 120220
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
920 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.


The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC099-130820-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0101.160412T1500Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.160412T1500Z.160413T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
920 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* from Tuesday morning until further notice.
* At  8:45 PM Monday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by late tomorrow 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 14.5 feet by early 
  Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Most of the camping areas and roadways in 
  Burnside Lake Water Park are covered by flood water.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside 
  Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water 
  Park.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13   9.4 Mon 09 PM  12.7  14.3  14.3  14.5 01 PM 04/13


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

496 
WGUS84 KJAN 121513
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1013 AM CDT TUE APR 12 2016


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County 
  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County 
  Yockanookany River Near Kosciusko affecting Attala County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River At Jackson affecting Hinds and Rankin Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC099-132113-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0101.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.160413T0430Z.160414T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT TUE APR 12 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* until further notice.
* At  9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 11.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tonight and 
  will continue to rise to near 14.5 feet by Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Most of the camping areas and roadways in 
  Burnside Lake Water Park are covered by flood water.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside 
  Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water 
  Park.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  11.7 Tue 10 AM  13.4  14.5  14.3  14.5 07 AM 04/14


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-132113-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0105.160415T0515Z-000000T0000Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.160415T0515Z.160416T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT TUE APR 12 2016

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Edinburg
* from late Thursday night until further notice.
* At  9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early Friday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 21.5 feet by Friday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Minor over bank flooding continues in areas 
  south of the river.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding is occurring south 
  of the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Edinburg       20  15.8 Tue 10 AM  16.8  18.0  20.7  21.5 07 PM 04/15


&&


LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
      3273 8932 3268 8946             



$$

MSC079-132113-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0106.160414T1559Z-000000T0000Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.160414T1559Z.160416T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT TUE APR 12 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Carthage
* from Thursday morning until further notice.
* At  9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by late Thursday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 20.0 feet by early 
  Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Widespread flooding of lowlands upstream and
  downstream of the State Highway 35 bridge is occurring.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of low areas along 
  and near the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Carthage       17  15.1 Tue 10 AM  15.7  16.8  18.3  20.0 01 PM 04/16


&&


LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
      3266 8952 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-132112-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0107.000000T0000Z-160416T2100Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.160412T1905Z.160414T0600Z.160416T0600Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT TUE APR 12 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At  9:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 24.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by this afternoon 
  and will continue to rise to near 27.0 feet by early Thursday 
  morning. 
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Agricultural land along the river is 
  flooding.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and 
  near the river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  24.4 Tue 09 AM  26.4  27.0  26.8  27.0 01 AM 04/14


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$

MSC007-132112-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0108.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KSCM6.1.ER.000000T0000Z.160413T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT TUE APR 12 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Kosciusko
* until further notice.
* At  9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 13.2 feet.
* Flood Stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to flood stage by tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Water approaches the Natchez Trace Parkway 
  south of Kosciusko. Water floods lowlands along the reach of the 
  river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Kosciusko     15.0 13.2 Tue 10 AM  14.8  13.5  12.3  15.0 01 AM 04/13


&&


LAT...LON 3295 8972 3308 8964 3328 8945 3320 8933
      3305 8950 3293 8958             



$$

MSC079-132112-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0109.160414T1400Z-160417T1500Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.160414T1400Z.160415T0600Z.160417T0000Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT TUE APR 12 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from Thursday morning to Sunday morning.
* At  9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by late Thursday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 20.0 feet by early Friday
  morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  15.1 Tue 10 AM  17.4  18.8  20.0  20.0 01 AM 04/15


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$

MSC049-121-132112-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0110.160414T0800Z-000000T0000Z/
/JACM6.1.ER.160414T0800Z.160419T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT TUE APR 12 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Jackson
* from late Wednesday night until further notice.
* At  7:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 25.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Thursday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 29.5 feet by Monday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Water backs up into several creeks and 
  streams in the Jackson area. Water is under some homes near the 
  river in the Byram area.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Farmland in southern Rankin County begins to
  flood and water begins to affect home access near the river in the 
  Byram area.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Minor flooding of lowland near the river is 
  occurring. Water begins to back up into several creeks and streams 
  in the Jackson area.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Roads near the river in Lefleurs Bluff State
  Park begin to flood.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...The Jackson waste water treatment plant 
  loses its natural outflow and must initiate pumping.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Jackson        28  25.1 Tue 07 AM  26.8  28.2  28.9  29.5 07 PM 04/18


&&


LAT...LON 3193 9025 3212 9034 3243 9013 3237 9002
      3213 9020 3198 9012             



$$

203 
WGUS84 KJAN 130150
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
850 PM CDT TUE APR 12 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County 
  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River At Jackson affecting Hinds and Rankin Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.


The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC099-140750-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0101.000000T0000Z-160419T0300Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.160413T0900Z.160414T1200Z.160417T2100Z.NO/
850 PM CDT TUE APR 12 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* until Monday evening.
* At  7:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early tomorrow 
  and will continue to rise to near 14.5 feet by Thursday morning. 
  The river will fall below flood stage by Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Most of the camping areas and roadways in 
  Burnside Lake Water Park are covered by flood water.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside 
  Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water 
  Park.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  12.5 Tue 08 PM  13.2  14.5  14.1  14.5 07 AM 04/14


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-140750-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0105.160415T0600Z-160418T0059Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.160415T0600Z.160416T0000Z.160417T0959Z.NO/
850 PM CDT TUE APR 12 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Edinburg
* from late Thursday night to Sunday evening.
* At  7:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 15.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early Friday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 21.5 feet by Friday 
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage by Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Minor over bank flooding continues in areas 
  south of the river.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding is occurring south 
  of the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Edinburg       20  15.3 Tue 08 PM  15.5  17.5  20.8  21.5 07 PM 04/15


&&


LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
      3273 8932 3268 8946             



$$

MSC079-140750-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0106.160414T2159Z-000000T0000Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.160414T2159Z.160416T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
850 PM CDT TUE APR 12 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Carthage
* from Thursday afternoon until further notice.
* At  7:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 15.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Thursday 
  afternoon and will continue to rise to near 20.0 feet by early 
  Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Widespread flooding of lowlands upstream and
  downstream of the State Highway 35 bridge is occurring.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of low areas along 
  and near the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Carthage       17  15.5 Tue 08 PM  15.8  16.5  18.8  20.0 01 PM 04/16


&&


LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
      3266 8952 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-140750-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0107.000000T0000Z-160418T0147Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.160413T0150Z.160414T1800Z.160417T1047Z.NO/
850 PM CDT TUE APR 12 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* until Sunday evening.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by this evening 
  and will continue to rise to near 27.0 feet by Thursday evening. 
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Agricultural land along the river is 
  flooding.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and 
  near the river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  25.0 Tue 08 PM  25.6  26.8  27.0  27.0 07 PM 04/14


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-140750-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0109.160414T1300Z-160416T2100Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.160414T1300Z.160415T0600Z.160416T0600Z.NO/
850 PM CDT TUE APR 12 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from Thursday morning to Saturday afternoon.
* At  7:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 15.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Thursday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 20.0 feet by early Friday
  morning. 
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  15.5 Tue 08 PM  16.2  18.9  20.0  20.0 01 AM 04/15


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$

MSC049-121-140750-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0110.160415T2100Z-000000T0000Z/
/JACM6.1.ER.160415T2100Z.160419T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
850 PM CDT TUE APR 12 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Jackson
* from Friday afternoon until further notice.
* At  8:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 26.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Friday 
  afternoon and will continue to rise to near 29.5 feet by Monday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Water backs up into several creeks and 
  streams in the Jackson area. Water is under some homes near the 
  river in the Byram area.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Farmland in southern Rankin County begins to
  flood and water begins to affect home access near the river in the 
  Byram area.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Minor flooding of lowland near the river is 
  occurring. Water begins to back up into several creeks and streams 
  in the Jackson area.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Jackson        28  26.2 Tue 08 PM  26.6  26.7  27.6  29.5 07 PM 04/18


&&


LAT...LON 3193 9025 3212 9034 3243 9013 3237 9002
      3213 9020 3198 9012             



$$

224 
WGUS84 KJAN 131437
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
937 AM CDT WED APR 13 2016




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County 
  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River At Jackson affecting Hinds and Rankin Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC099-142037-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0101.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.160413T1207Z.160414T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
937 AM CDT WED APR 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* until further notice.
* At  8:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 13.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 14.5 feet just
  after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside 
  Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  13.2 Wed 09 AM  14.5  14.2  13.9  14.5 01 AM 04/14


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-142037-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0105.160415T0520Z-160418T0600Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.160415T0520Z.160416T0000Z.160417T1500Z.NO/
937 AM CDT WED APR 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Edinburg
* from late Thursday night to late Sunday night.
* At  8:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 15.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early Friday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 21.5 feet by Friday 
  evening. 

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Edinburg       20  15.4 Wed 09 AM  17.1  21.0  21.4  21.5 07 PM 04/15


&&


LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
      3273 8932 3268 8946             



$$

MSC079-142037-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0106.160415T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.160415T0600Z.160417T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
937 AM CDT WED APR 13 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Carthage
* from late Thursday night until further notice.
* At  8:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 15.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early Friday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 20.0 feet by Saturday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Widespread flooding of lowlands upstream and
  downstream of the State Highway 35 bridge is occurring.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of low areas along 
  and near the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Carthage       17  15.7 Wed 09 AM  16.2  17.4  19.6  20.0 07 PM 04/16


&&


LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
      3266 8952 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-142037-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0107.000000T0000Z-160418T2300Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.160413T0200Z.160414T1800Z.160418T0800Z.NO/
937 AM CDT WED APR 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* until Monday evening.
* At  9:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 25.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 26.5 feet by 
  early tomorrow afternoon. 
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Agricultural land along the river is 
  flooding.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and 
  near the river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  25.7 Wed 09 AM  26.4  26.5  26.5  26.5 01 PM 04/14


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-142036-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0109.160416T0000Z-160416T2100Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.160416T0000Z.160416T0000Z.160416T0600Z.NO/
937 AM CDT WED APR 13 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from Friday evening to Saturday afternoon.
* At  8:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will fall through afternoon before rising 
  once again to to near flood stage Friday evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  15.0 Wed 09 AM  16.9  18.8  18.7  19.0 07 PM 04/15


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$

MSC049-121-142036-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0110.160415T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/JACM6.1.ER.160415T0600Z.160419T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
937 AM CDT WED APR 13 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Jackson
* from late Thursday night until further notice.
* At  9:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 26.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early Friday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 29.0 feet by early 
  Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Farmland in southern Rankin County begins to
  flood and water begins to affect home access near the river in the 
  Byram area.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Minor flooding of lowland near the river is 
  occurring. Water begins to back up into several creeks and streams 
  in the Jackson area.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Jackson        28  26.7 Wed 09 AM  27.6  28.1  28.2  29.0 01 PM 04/19


&&


LAT...LON 3193 9025 3212 9034 3243 9013 3237 9002
      3213 9020 3198 9012             



$$

295 
WGUS84 KJAN 140121
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
821 PM CDT WED APR 13 2016


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County 
  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River At Jackson affecting Hinds and Rankin Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.


The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC099-150721-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0101.000000T0000Z-160419T1800Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.160413T1207Z.160414T0600Z.160418T1200Z.NO/
821 PM CDT WED APR 13 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At  7:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 14.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 14.5 feet by just
  after midnight tonight. 
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Most of the camping areas and roadways in 
  Burnside Lake Water Park are covered by flood water.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside 
  Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  14.4 Wed 08 PM  14.5  14.2  13.8  14.5 01 AM 04/14


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-150721-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0105.160415T0224Z-160418T1030Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.160415T0224Z.160416T0000Z.160417T1930Z.NO/
821 PM CDT WED APR 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Edinburg
* from Thursday evening to late Sunday night.
* At  7:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by late tomorrow 
  evening  and will continue to rise to near 21.5 feet by Friday 
  evening. 
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Minor over bank flooding continues in areas 
  south of the river.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding is occurring south 
  of the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Edinburg       20  16.5 Wed 08 PM  17.6  21.2  21.4  21.5 07 PM 04/15


&&


LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
      3273 8932 3268 8946             



$$

MSC079-150721-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0106.160415T0112Z-000000T0000Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.160415T0112Z.160417T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
821 PM CDT WED APR 13 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Carthage
* from Thursday evening until further notice.
* At  7:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 15.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow 
  evening and will continue to rise to near 20.0 feet by Saturday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Widespread flooding of lowlands upstream and
  downstream of the State Highway 35 bridge is occurring.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of low areas along 
  and near the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Carthage       17  15.7 Wed 08 PM  16.2  17.9  19.6  20.0 07 PM 04/16


&&


LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
      3266 8952 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-150721-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0107.000000T0000Z-160416T1300Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.160413T0200Z.160414T0600Z.160415T2200Z.NO/
821 PM CDT WED APR 13 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* until Saturday morning.
* At  8:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 26.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is near its crest and will fall below flood 
  stage Friday afternoon. 
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and 
  near the river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  26.2 Wed 08 PM  26.3  25.8  21.7    Near Crest        


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-150721-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0109.160416T0000Z-160416T1500Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.160416T0000Z.160416T0000Z.160416T0000Z.NO/
821 PM CDT WED APR 13 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from Friday evening to Saturday morning.
* At  7:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 14.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Friday
  evening and crest around flood stage. 
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  14.5 Wed 08 PM  15.5  18.3  18.6  19.0 07 PM 04/15


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$

MSC049-121-150720-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0110.160415T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/JACM6.1.ER.160415T0600Z.160419T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
821 PM CDT WED APR 13 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Jackson
* from late Thursday night until further notice.
* At  7:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 27.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early Friday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 29.0 feet by early 
  Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Farmland in southern Rankin County begins to
  flood and water begins to affect home access near the river in the 
  Byram area.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Minor flooding of lowland near the river is 
  occurring. Water begins to back up into several creeks and streams 
  in the Jackson area.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Jackson        28  27.2 Wed 07 PM  27.5  28.1  28.3  29.0 01 PM 04/19


&&


LAT...LON 3193 9025 3212 9034 3243 9013 3237 9002
      3213 9020 3198 9012             



$$

740 
WGUS84 KJAN 141532
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1032 AM CDT THU APR 14 2016




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County 
  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River At Jackson affecting Hinds and Rankin Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC099-152132-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0101.000000T0000Z-160419T1800Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.160413T1207Z.160414T1115Z.160418T1200Z.NO/
1032 AM CDT THU APR 14 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At  9:45 AM Thursday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has crested and will begin a slow fall.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Most of the camping areas and roadways in 
  Burnside Lake Water Park are covered by flood water.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside 
  Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water 
  Park.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  14.6 Thu 10 AM  14.3  13.8  13.5  Crested       


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-152131-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0105.160415T0520Z-160418T0900Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.160415T0520Z.160416T0000Z.160417T1800Z.NO/
1032 AM CDT THU APR 14 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Edinburg
* from late tonight to late Sunday night.
* At  9:45 AM Thursday the stage was 17.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by just after 
  midnight tonight and will continue to rise to near 21.5 feet by 
  early Saturday morning. 
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Minor over bank flooding continues in areas 
  south of the river.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding is occurring south 
  of the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Edinburg       20  17.2 Thu 10 AM  21.1  21.5  20.3  21.5 01 AM 04/16


&&


LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
      3273 8932 3268 8946             



$$

MSC079-152131-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0106.160415T0900Z-000000T0000Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.160415T0900Z.160417T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1032 AM CDT THU APR 14 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Carthage
* from late tonight until further notice.
* At  9:45 AM Thursday the stage was 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early tomorrow 
  and will continue to rise to near 20.0 feet by Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Widespread flooding of lowlands upstream and
  downstream of the State Highway 35 bridge is occurring.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of low areas along 
  and near the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Carthage       17  16.0 Thu 10 AM  17.2  19.7  19.7  20.0 07 PM 04/16


&&


LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
      3266 8952 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-152131-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0107.000000T0000Z-160416T1630Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.160413T0200Z.160414T0615Z.160416T0130Z.NO/
1032 AM CDT THU APR 14 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* until Saturday morning.
* At 10:00 AM Thursday the stage was 26.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has crested and will begin a slow fall.
  The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow afternoon.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  26.1 Thu 10 AM  25.6  24.4  20.7  Crested        


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-152131-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0109.160416T0600Z-160416T2100Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.160416T0600Z.160416T0600Z.160416T0600Z.NO/
1032 AM CDT THU APR 14 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from late Friday night to Saturday afternoon.
* At  9:45 AM Thursday the stage was 15.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  15.8 Thu 10 AM  17.9  18.8  17.4  19.0 01 AM 04/16


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$

MSC049-121-150900-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0110.160414T1800Z-160415T0900Z/
/JACM6.1.ER.160414T1800Z.160414T1800Z.160414T1800Z.NO/
1032 AM CDT THU APR 14 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Jackson
* until late tonight.
* At  9:30 AM Thursday the stage was 27.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage this 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Minor flooding of lowland near the river is 
  occurring. Water begins to back up into several creeks and streams 
  in the Jackson area.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Jackson        28  27.9 Thu 09 AM  27.6  27.4  27.4  28.0 01 PM 04/14


&&


LAT...LON 3193 9025 3212 9034 3243 9013 3237 9002
      3213 9020 3198 9012             



$$

336 
WGUS84 KJAN 150121
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
821 PM CDT THU APR 14 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.


The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC099-160721-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0101.000000T0000Z-160419T2100Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.160413T1207Z.160414T1115Z.160418T1500Z.NO/
821 PM CDT THU APR 14 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At  7:45 PM Thursday the stage was 14.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below 
  flood stage by late Monday morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside 
  Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water 
  Park.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  14.4 Thu 08 PM  14.2  13.9  13.5    Falling          


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-160720-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0105.160416T0824Z-160418T2100Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.160416T0824Z.160417T0600Z.160418T0600Z.NO/
821 PM CDT THU APR 14 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Edinburg
* from late Friday night to Monday afternoon.
* At  7:45 PM Thursday the stage was 17.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Saturday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 21.5 feet by early Sunday
  morning. 
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Minor over bank flooding continues in areas 
  south of the river.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding is occurring south 
  of the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Edinburg       20  17.7 Thu 08 PM  18.5  20.3  21.4  21.5 01 AM 04/17


&&


LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
      3273 8932 3268 8946             



$$

MSC079-160720-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0106.160415T1200Z-160420T0747Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.160415T1200Z.160417T0000Z.160419T1647Z.NO/
821 PM CDT THU APR 14 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Carthage
* from Friday morning to late Tuesday night.
* At  7:45 PM Thursday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 20.0 feet by Saturday 
  evening. 
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Widespread flooding of lowlands upstream and
  downstream of the State Highway 35 bridge is occurring.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of low areas along 
  and near the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Carthage       17  16.2 Thu 08 PM  17.0  19.5  19.8  20.0 07 PM 04/16


&&


LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
      3266 8952 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-160720-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0109.160416T0600Z-160417T0300Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.160416T0600Z.160416T0600Z.160416T1200Z.NO/
821 PM CDT THU APR 14 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from late Friday night to Saturday evening.
* At  7:45 PM Thursday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  17.1 Thu 08 PM  18.1  19.0  17.6  19.0 01 AM 04/16


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$

085 
WGUS84 KJAN 151524
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1024 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2016


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 
Additional information is available at:  
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC099-162124-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0101.000000T0000Z-160419T1800Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.160413T1207Z.160414T1115Z.160418T1200Z.NO/
1024 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At  9:45 AM Friday the stage was 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will contineu to fall and will fall 
  below flood stage on Monday.
&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  14.0 Fri 10 AM  13.7  13.3  13.0           


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-162124-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0105.160416T0130Z-160419T0600Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.160416T0130Z.160417T1200Z.160418T1500Z.NO/
1024 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Edinburg
* from this evening to late Monday night.
* At  9:45 AM Friday the stage was 19.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by this evening 
  and will continue to rise to near 21.5 feet by Sunday morning. 

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Edinburg       20  19.1 Fri 10 AM  20.6  21.5  20.2  21.5 07 AM 04/17


&&


LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
      3273 8932 3268 8946             



$$

MSC079-162124-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-160420T1500Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.160415T1700Z.160417T0600Z.160420T0000Z.NO/
1024 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Carthage
* until Wednesday morning.
* At  9:45 AM Friday the stage was 16.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by this afternoon 
  and will continue to rise to near 20.0 feet by early Sunday 
  morning. 

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Carthage       17  16.8 Fri 10 AM  18.8  19.9  18.9  20.0 01 AM 04/17


&&


LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
      3266 8952 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-162123-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0109.160415T2000Z-160419T0000Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.160415T2000Z.160416T1200Z.160418T0900Z.NO/
1024 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from this afternoon to Monday evening.
* At  9:45 AM Friday the stage was 18.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by late this 
  afternoon and will continue to rise to near 19.5 feet by tomorrow 
  morning. 
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  18.6 Fri 10 AM  19.5  19.4  18.9  19.5 07 AM 04/16


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$

542 
WGUS84 KJAN 160206
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
906 PM CDT FRI APR 15 2016


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.


The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC099-170805-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0101.000000T0000Z-160419T1200Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.160413T1207Z.160414T1115Z.160418T0600Z.NO/
906 PM CDT FRI APR 15 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* until Tuesday morning.
* At  8:45 PM Friday the stage was 13.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below 
  flood stage by early Monday morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside 
  Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water 
  Park.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  13.6 Fri 09 PM  13.5  13.1  12.9    Falling         


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-170805-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0105.000000T0000Z-160419T1200Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.160415T2345Z.160417T0600Z.160418T2100Z.NO/
906 PM CDT FRI APR 15 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Edinburg
* until Tuesday morning.
* At  8:45 PM Friday the stage was 20.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.5 feet by 
  Sunday morning. 
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Minor over bank flooding continues in areas 
  south of the river.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding is occurring south 
  of the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Edinburg       20  20.1 Fri 09 PM  20.8  21.5  20.6  21.5 07 AM 04/17


&&


LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
      3273 8932 3268 8946             



$$

MSC079-170805-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-160420T1947Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.160415T1945Z.160418T0000Z.160420T0447Z.NO/
906 PM CDT FRI APR 15 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Carthage
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At  8:45 PM Friday the stage was 17.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.0 feet by 
  early Monday morning. 
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Widespread flooding of lowlands upstream and
  downstream of the State Highway 35 bridge is occurring.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of low areas along 
  and near the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Carthage       17  17.3 Fri 09 PM  17.9  19.5  19.8  20.0 01 AM 04/18


&&


LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
      3266 8952 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-170805-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0109.000000T0000Z-160418T0600Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.160415T2100Z.160416T1200Z.160417T1500Z.NO/
906 PM CDT FRI APR 15 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* until late Sunday night.
* At  8:45 PM Friday the stage was 19.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.5 feet by 
  early tomorrow afternoon. 
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  19.2 Fri 09 PM  19.5  19.1  18.3  19.5 01 PM 04/16


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$

873 
WGUS84 KJAN 161619
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1119 AM CDT SAT APR 16 2016




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.


Additional information is available at:  
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC099-172219-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0101.000000T0000Z-160418T0600Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.160413T1207Z.160414T1115Z.160417T0000Z.NO/
1119 AM CDT SAT APR 16 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* until late Sunday night.
* At 10:45 AM Saturday the stage was 13.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water 
  Park.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  13.2 Sat 11 AM  12.7  12.1  11.6     falling          


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-172218-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0105.000000T0000Z-160418T0500Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.160415T2345Z.160416T1800Z.160417T1400Z.NO/
1119 AM CDT SAT APR 16 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Edinburg
* until late Sunday night.
* At 10:45 AM Saturday the stage was 20.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.7 feet by this
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Minor over bank flooding continues in areas 
  south of the river.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding is occurring south 
  of the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Edinburg       20  20.6 Sat 11 AM  20.1  18.6  16.9  20.7 01 PM 04/16


&&


LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
      3273 8932 3268 8946             



$$

MSC079-172218-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-160419T0600Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.160415T1945Z.160417T0600Z.160418T1500Z.NO/
1119 AM CDT SAT APR 16 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Carthage
* until late Monday night.
* At 10:45 AM Saturday the stage was 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 18.5 feet just
  after midnight.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of low areas along 
  and near the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Carthage       17  18.0 Sat 11 AM  18.4  17.2  15.7  18.5 01 AM 04/17


&&


LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
      3266 8952 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-172218-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0109.000000T0000Z-160419T0500Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.160415T2100Z.160416T1800Z.160418T1400Z.NO/
1119 AM CDT SAT APR 16 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* until late Monday night.
* At 10:45 AM Saturday the stage was 19.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.0 feet by this
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  19.9 Sat 11 AM  20.0  19.1  17.7  20.0 01 PM 04/16


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$

859 
WGUS84 KJAN 170207
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
907 PM CDT SAT APR 16 2016


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers 
in Mississippi...
 
  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC099-170237-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0101.000000T0000Z-160418T0600Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.160413T1207Z.160414T1115Z.160417T0045Z.NO/
907 PM CDT SAT APR 16 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia.
* At  8:45 PM Saturday the stage was 12.97 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at 8:45 PM Saturday.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 12.0 feet by Monday 
  morning.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  12.9 Sat 09 PM  12.7  12.0  11.2     Falling          


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
942 AM CDT MON APR 11 2016

.UPDATE...LATEST SATELLITE AND UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOWED A
SPLIT FLOW PATTERN WITH A BROAD UPPER TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE
SOUTHWEST US TO THE SOUTHERN PLANS. A SERIES OF SHORT WAVES WAS
MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN STREAM. MID TO UPPER DIVERGENCE FROM THE
ACTIVE SUBSTROPICAL JET WAS COMING OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE
LOWER MISS VALLEY. A STRONG MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE WAS PUSHING TOWARD
THE REGION FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.  WE WERE GETTING PRETTY GOOD
RETURN FLOW OF 35 TO 40 KNOTS OVER THE REGION. ON THE SURFACE WE HAD
AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY OVER SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AND A WEAK WARM FRONT
OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS. WPC HAS INCREASED THE
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL RISK AREA TO INCLUDE MOST OF THE CWA AS BOTH
BOUNDARIES CONVERGE TOWARD ONE ANOTHER FOR SOME LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL POTENTIAL. LOOKING AT AREA 12 SNDGS WE WERE GETTING STRONG
STEEP LAPSE RATES AROUND 8C IN THE MID LEVELS. WE WERE GETTING SOME
DECENT LOW LEVEL SHEAR. 0-1 SHEAR WAS AROUND 30 KNOTS. AREA RADARS
WERE PICKING UP THE FIRST WAVE OF WARM ADVECTION SHOWERS MOVING
ACROSS THE CWA. AREA RADARS WERE ALSO PICKING UP SOME STRONG
CONVECTION NEAR THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
OVER ARKANSAS. THE AIRMASS WITH THE FORCING AND INSTABILITY SHOULD
BE ABLE TO RECOVER FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
RISK FOR THIS AFTERNOON GOING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE LATEST
HRRR KEEPS THE HEAVIEST RAINS NORTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR. LATE
MORNING TEMPS WERE IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. TEMPS SHOULD BE ABLE TO
REACH WELL INTO THE 70S OVER MOST AREA FOR THIS AFTERNOON. SO WITH
THIS IN MIND THE GENERAL FORECAST LOOKS TO BE ON TRACK./17/

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CIGS THIS MORNING WILL GRADUALLY BECOME MVFR BY THIS
AFTERNOON AS NUMEROUS SHRA AND SCATTERED TSRA DEVELOP ACROSS THE
AREA. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT WITH VSBYS
BECOMING IMPACTED AFTER 11/21Z IN HEAVIER TSRA THAT DEVELOP TONIGHT.
GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTH LATER TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH FROM NORTH TO
SOUTH./26/

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...446 AM CDT MON APR 11 2016

.DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...A RATHER COMPLICATED
FORECAST IS SHAPING UP FOR THE REGION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS A
POTENT UPPER DISTURBANCE TRAVERSES A COLD FRONT SAGGING INTO THE
REGION FROM THE NORTH.

BUT FIRST THIS MORNING...THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT REMAINS WELL NORTH
OF THE REGION EXTENDING FROM THE GREAT LAKES SOUTH/WESTWARD THROUGH
MISSOURI INTO OKLAHOMA. A STRONG SOUTHERLY BREEZE HAS PERSISTED
OVERNIGHT AS A RATHER TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS OVER THE AREA.
THIS GRADIENT WILL ACTUALLY RELAX SOMEWHAT THROUGH THE DAY, AND BUFR
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THE MIXED LAYER WILL NOT BE AS DEEP AS THE PAST FEW
DAYS. SOME WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 30 KT WILL BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE DELTA, BUT GRADIENT WINDS AREN'T EXPECTED TO BE AS
WIDESPREAD A CONCERN AS YESTERDAY.

A FEW SHOWERS ARE ALREADY BEGINNING TO MOVE INTO OUR WESTERN ZONES.
THESE ARE ASSOCIATED WITH FORCING FROM A LEAD SHORTWAVE THAT BROUGHT
SEVERE STORMS TO OK/AR OVERNIGHT. THIS INITIAL WAVE WILL PRIMARILY
PUSH NORTH OF THE AREA DURING THE DAY WITH ONLY MODEST HEIGHT FALLS
HERE. HOWEVER, UPPER DIVERGENCE WILL BE CONSIDERABLE ON THE NOSE OF
A BUILDING SUBTROPICAL JET. THIS SHOULD PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY, ESPECIALLY OVER
THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA. THERE HAS BEEN SOMEWHAT OF A SOUTHWARD
SHIFT IN QPF IN RECENT MODEL RUNS. DAYTIME POPS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED
UPWARD OVER MUCH OF THE AREA TO REFLECT THIS THINKING. AS THE FRONT
REMAINS NORTH OF THE CWA UNTIL AFTER SUNSET, THE AXIS OF SHOWERS/
STORMS COULD HANG UP ACROSS THIS SAME AREA WELL INTO THE EVENING
PRESENTING SOME POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED FLOODING. OUR LIMITED FLOOD
THREAT WILL BE EXTENDED A BIT FARTHER SOUTH TOWARD THE I-20 CORRIDOR,
WHICH WILL LINE UP CLOSE TO A WPC DAY 1 SLIGHT RISK FOR EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL.

AS A MORE POTENT SHORTWAVE SWINGS INTO THE REGION LATER ON TONIGHT,
IT WILL SHOVE THE COLD FRONT SOUTHWARD, PUSHING THE CORRIDOR OF
CONVECTION SOUTHWARD TO THE I-20 CORRIDOR BY AROUND MIDNIGHT AND
THROUGH THE PINE BELT BY MORNING. THERE COULD BE SOME REDEVELOPMENT
OF SHOWERS AND STORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON IN THE PINE BELT, BUT THIS
ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE PARTICULARLY ROBUST AS MODEL CONSENSUS
HAS THE COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA ALREADY. MOST AREAS WILL SEE A
BREAK IN PRECIP FROM THE DAYTIME TUESDAY THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING,
BUT A FEW SHOWERS MAY SNEAK INTO THE MISSLOU REGION BY WED MORNING AS
A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS ALONG THE TX COAST.

WITH REGARDS TO SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL...THE ANTICIPATION OF
NUMEROUS SHOWERS EARLIER IN THE DAY THAN PREVIOUSLY ANTICIPATED
COMPLICATES AN ALREADY MURKY SITUATION WITH RELATIVELY WEAK FORCING
AND A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL THAT SUCH
DEVELOPMENT COULD LIMIT INSTABILITY OVER SOME PORTION OF THE AREA,
THUS LIMITING THE SEVERE THREAT. HOWEVER, UNTIL WE ACTUALLY SEE WHERE
THINGS ARE DEVELOPING, IT IS TOO SOON TO MAKE ANY ADJUSTMENT TO
SEVERE THREAT AREAS. GENERALLY...THE BEST OVERLAY OF SHEAR AND
INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR AND WEST OF THE MS RIVER THIS
AFTERNOON, SO THIS IS WHERE WE WILL KEEP AN ELEVATED THREAT. SOME
ADJUSTMENTS WILL BE MADE TO TIMING, HOWEVER, TO SHOW MORE OPPORTUNITY
EARLIER IN THE DAY OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA. DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AND LOWER-END SEVERE HAIL REMAIN THE PRIMARY THREATS, WITH
TORNADOES ALSO POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG/WEST OF THE MS RIVER. THE
SEVERE THREAT WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AS INSTABILITY
WANES AND GREATER SHEAR MOVES EAST OF THE AREA. /DL/

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...THE WEATHER PATTERN IN THE
LONG RANGE WILL INITIALLY FEATURE AN ACTIVE SOUTHERN STREAM RESULTING
IN CONTINUED UNSETTLED WEATHER WITH SEASONABLY MILD TEMPERATURES. THE
POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT OF A REX BLOCK OVER THE EASTERN CONUS WOULD
SLOW DOWN THE PROGRESSION OF WEATHER FEATURES...AND IT WOULD MAKE FOR
LOWER FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THE DETAILS AS WE GO INTO THE WEEKEND.

THE STRONG GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS FOR WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY IS
THAT NORTHERN GULF LOW DEVELOPMENT WILL FOCUS THE BEST CHANCES FOR
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE ARKLAMISS. THE LOW
AMPLITUDE OF THE WAVE COMBINED WITH LIMITED AIRMASS RECOVERY AHEAD
OF THE TROUGH FURTHER SUPPORT THIS IDEA. SO WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY
MENTION OF HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE HWO/GRAPHIC...BUT THIS COULD BE
SOMETHING TO MONITOR ALONG/SOUTH OF THE HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR
DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH RAIN FALLS THERE WITH THE EARLY WEEK SYSTEM.

AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SLOWS DOWN OVER THE ARKLAMISS REGION FROM
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...RAIN CHANCES COULD INCREASE SOME...BUT
RAINFALL SHOULD BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE WITH LITTLE IMPACT EXPECTED.
GOING INTO THE WEEKEND...CONSENSUS IS THAT THE REX BLOCK WOULD
EVOLVE INTO MORE OF AN OMEGA BLOCK WITH THE MID LEVEL RIDGE ALONG
THE MS RIVER VALLEY. IF THIS VERIFIES...IT WOULD HELP TO KEEP THE
FORECAST AREA DRY BY DEFLECTING SUBSEQUENT SHORTWAVE ACTIVITY. /EC/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       77  63  70  53 /  77  83  20  12
MERIDIAN      77  64  72  51 /  57  85  20  10
VICKSBURG     78  61  68  55 /  83  81  16  16
HATTIESBURG   79  66  78  57 /  55  87  51  14
NATCHEZ       78  65  70  54 /  74  69  21  19
GREENVILLE    73  53  65  50 /  91  92  12  10
GREENWOOD     74  56  67  49 /  91  93  15   9

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

17/26/DL/EC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
555 AM CDT MON APR 11 2016

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-025-MSZ018-019-025-034-035-
040>042-047-121100-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-TENSAS-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-
WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-WARREN-
555 AM CDT MON APR 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE ARKLAMISS DELTA
OF NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA, SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS, AND WESTERN
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING

FLOODING
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION LATE
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING. TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. ONE TO
THREE INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE WHICH COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TODAY
THROUGH TONIGHT.

MSZ026>033-036>039-043>046-048>052-121100-
GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-
HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-
555 AM CDT MON APR 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
AND EAST MISSISSIPPI, INCLUDING THE GOLDEN TRIANGLE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING

FLOODING
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION LATE
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING. TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT AS
WELL.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. ONE TO
THREE INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE WHICH COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TODAY
THROUGH TONIGHT.

MSZ054>066-072>074-121100-
COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-
LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-
FORREST-
555 AM CDT MON APR 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT.
A TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

LAZ024-026-MSZ053-121100-
CATAHOULA-CONCORDIA-CLAIBORNE-
555 AM CDT MON APR 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION LATE
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING. TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TODAY
THROUGH TONIGHT.

DL

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*TORNADOES*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN STRONG TORNADOES WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
SIGNIFICANT...STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN TORNADOES.
LIMITED...TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
SIGNIFICANT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF
 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60
 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.

*FLOODING*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING.
SIGNIFICANT...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN FLOODING.
LIMITED...FLOODING POSSIBLE.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/
SPC...MESO ANALYSIS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/#
SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/
SPC...STORM REPORTS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/
NWS JAN CURRENT SVR/TOR WATCHES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!