River Flood Warning 94, NWS Jackson, MS

968 
WGUS84 KJAN 010140
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
840 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2016




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC067-020740-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0094.160401T1948Z-160404T0700Z/
/LURM6.1.ER.160401T1948Z.160402T0600Z.160403T1600Z.NO/
840 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* from Friday afternoon to late Sunday night.
* At  7:45 PM Thursday the stage was 6.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early tomorrow 
  afternoon and will continue to rise to near 14.5 feet by early 
  Saturday morning. 
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Agricultural and lowland flooding is 
  becoming more widespread along and near the creek.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13   6.9 Thu 08 PM  11.4  14.4  13.4  14.5 01 AM 04/02


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

728 
WGUS84 KJAN 011335
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
835 AM CDT FRI APR 1 2016




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC067-021935-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0094.160402T0332Z-160403T1330Z/
/LURM6.1.ER.160402T0332Z.160402T1200Z.160402T2230Z.NO/
835 AM CDT FRI APR 1 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* from this evening to Sunday morning.
* At  7:45 AM Friday the stage was 8.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tonight and 
  will continue to rise to near 14.5 feet by tomorrow morning. 
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Agricultural and lowland flooding is 
  becoming more widespread along and near the creek.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Water begins to overflow banks.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13   8.9 Fri 08 AM  14.5   9.4   8.6  14.5 07 AM 04/02


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

174 
WGUS84 KJAN 020157
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
857 PM CDT FRI APR 1 2016


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County 
  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC067-030757-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0094.160402T1625Z-160405T1500Z/
/LURM6.1.ER.160402T1625Z.160403T0600Z.160405T0000Z.NO/
857 PM CDT FRI APR 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel
* from Saturday morning to Tuesday morning.
* At  8:45 PM Friday the stage was 8.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by late tomorrow 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 14.5 feet by early Sunday
  morning. 
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Agricultural and lowland flooding is 
  becoming more widespread along and near the creek.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Water begins to overflow banks.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13   8.6 Fri 09 PM  11.6  14.4  13.2  14.5 01 AM 04/03


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

MSC023-030757-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0096.160402T1017Z-160404T0412Z/
/ENSM6.1.ER.160402T1017Z.160402T1800Z.160403T1312Z.NO/
857 PM CDT FRI APR 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise
* from late tonight to Sunday evening.
* At  8:00 PM Friday the stage was 23.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early tomorrow 
  and will continue to rise to near 25.5 feet by tomorrow evening. 
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Water beginning to overflow banks from the 
  confluence of Chunky River and Okatibbee Creek to approximately 3 
  miles downstream.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  23.5 Fri 08 PM  25.2  25.1  21.1  25.5 07 PM 04/02


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$

148 
WGUS84 KJAN 021622
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1122 AM CDT SAT APR 2 2016


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers 
in Mississippi...
 
  Tallahala Creek At Laurel affecting Jones County




PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.


Additional information is available at:  
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC067-021652-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-160405T1500Z/
/LURM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1122 AM CDT SAT APR 2 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Tallahala Creek At Laurel.
* At 10:45 AM Saturday the stage was 8.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 8.9 feet.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Tallahala Creek
Laurel         13   8.1 Sat 11 AM   7.4   7.4   8.6     below flood          


&&


LAT...LON 3137 8915 3156 8923 3181 8913 3182 8902
      3156 8911 3140 8914             



$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1017 AM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

.UPDATE...KJAN MORNING SOUNDING SHOWING A MAUL AROUND 750 MB WHICH
HAS LED TO ABOUT 730 J/KG OF ELEVATED CAPE ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE
OVERNIGHT CONVECTIVE AREA MOVING OUT AT PRESENT. VIS IMAGERY SHOWING
SHOWING THE REALIZATION OF THIS CAPE IN THE BUBBLY APPEARANCE OF
ENHANCED CU AND TCU OVER MAINLY THE EASTERN CWA. AREA RADARS SHOW
SOME LIGHT SHOWERS OVER THE EAST AND NORTH...BUT QUICKLY MOVING EAST
AS WELL.

VIS IMAGERY INDICATING SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER WHICH WILL
LEAD TO A RECHARGING OF THE ATMOSPHERE BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE HRRR
IS INDICATING MORE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT BY 20Z OVER NE LA WHICH
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CWA DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON INTO
THE EVENING. SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE WITH ANY CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT AS 0-1KM SHEAR OF 45 KNOTS WITH CURVED HODOGRAPHS AND
OVER 500 M2/S2 OF 0-1 KM SRH. IMPRESSIVE MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES OF
7.5-8 C/KM (VERTICAL TOTALS NEAR 30) WILL ALSO EXIST OVERTOP OF SURFACE
TEMPS NEAR 80 AND DEWPOINTS AROUND 70./26/

&&

.AVIATION...MIXED MVFR/VFR CIGS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSRA WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD AS WELL
WITH AN UPTICK IN COVERAGE AFTER 31/18Z. WHERE TSRA OCCURS...IFR
CIGS/VSBYS WILL BE SEEN...BUT ONLY FOR BRIEF PERIODS OF TIME./26

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 543 AM CDT THU MAR 31 2016/

UPDATE...TO INCLUDE AVIATION...MVFR/IFR CONDS WL PREVAIL THROUGH 14Z
AS SCT-NUMEROUS TSRA MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA. AFTER 14Z A BRIEF
PERIOD OF VFR CONDS ARE EXPECTED BEFORE ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF
TSRA/SHRA OCCUR FROM AFTN THROUGH TONIGHT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT.
SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE WITH 50 KT WIND GUSTS...LARGE
HAIL...AND TORNADOES. MVFR/IFR CONDS WL LIKELY PREVAIL WITH THE
CONVECTION INTO FRIDAY MORNING. /22/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 431 AM CDT THU MAR 31 2016/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...LARGE SWATH OF MODERATE
TO HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS IS MOVING THROUGH THE REGION EARLY
THIS MORNING. THE VAST MAJORITY OF THIS ACTIVITY AS OF CURRENT
WRITING IS SUB-SEVERE BUT PRODUCING FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND SOME
GUSTY WINDS. HOWEVER...GIVEN SUFFICIENT WIND SHEAR...ANOTHER TORNADO
WATCH FOR EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI HAS BEEN ISSUED. ALL
OF THIS ACTIVITY IS STILL EXPECTED TO EXIT EASTERN MISSISSIPPI
DURING THE MORNING HOURS BETWEEN 7 AND 10AM. THERE WILL BE A SHORT
LULL IN THE ACTIVITY DURING THE LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON WHEN
THE ATMOSPHERE CAN BECOME PRIME YET AGAIN FOR THE NEXT ROUND OF
STORMS AND SEVERE WEATHER DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE 130KT
SUBTROPICAL JET WILL REORIENT ITSELF WHERE THE LEFT FRONT QUADRANT
WILL NOSE INTO THE ARKLAMISS REGION. THIS WILL COMBINE WITH A RATHER
MOIST AIRMASS IN PLACE THAT WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY DEWPOINTS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 60S AND EVEN LOWER 70S ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF
THE AREA. AS SOME HEATING CAN OCCUR DURING THE LATE MORNING AND INTO
THE AFTERNOON WITH TEMPERATURES REACHING INTO THE UPPER 70S AND LOW
80S...THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME VERY UNSTABLE WITH MUCAPE AROUND
2000-2500K/KG AND LIFTED INDICES AROUND -7 TO -11C. SOME WARM
ADVECTION SHOWERS MAY OCCUR DURING THIS LULL BUT THE PRIMARY
CONVECTION LOOKS TO INITIATE AROUND 18Z ACROSS MY WESTERN
COUNTIES/PARISHES. SOME OF THE HI-RES GUIDANCE SHOWS IT LATER
AROUND 21Z BUT THINK THIS LIKELY TOO LATE.

ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE RATHER ROBUST AND THE THREAT FOR
SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD BE MORE SIGNIFICANT THAN WHAT WE SAW TODAY
WITH THE BEST POTENTIAL BEING GENERALLY NORTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR.
SHEAR VALUES ARE LOWER DURING THE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON BUT
INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON TO WHERE DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE
AROUND 50KTS. VERTICAL TOTALS WILL BE AROUND 27-31C AND MID-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES WILL BE PUSHING 8C/KM. SOME OF THE RECENT RUNS OF THE
EXPERIMENTAL HRRR ALSO SHOW SOME POCKETS OF 50KTS 80M WINDS...WHICH
SUGGEST SOLID DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL ACROSS MOSTLY NORTHERN COUNTIES
BUT THERE ARE A FEW POCKETS FURTHER SOUTH OF I-20. LARGE HAIL
PARAMETERS ALSO INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT HAIL ACROSS
THE NORTHERN COUNTIES WITH SIZES UP TO 2 INCHES OR LARGER POSSIBLE.
IN ADDITION TO THE SIGNIFICANT HAIL AND WIND POTENTIAL...THERE IS
ALSO A RISK FOR TORNADOES WITH SOME POTENTIALLY BEING STRONG AGAIN
MAINLY NORTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR. AS SHEAR INCREASES...SO DOES
HELICITY WITH VALUES AROUND 200-300M2/S2 0-1KM AND 200-500M2/S2
0-3KM. IN ADDITION...THE SIG TOR PARAMETER DEPICTS A BULLSEYE ACROSS
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AROUND 4...WHICH WHEN LOOKING AT THE NORTHERN
GRADIENT THAT IS MORE FAVORABLE FOR ACTUAL OCCURRENCE...THIS WOULD
PLACE IT ACROSS AGAIN MY NORTHERN COUNTIES. ALL OF THIS MATCHES WELL
WITH THE DAY 1 SPC OUTLOOK.

IN TERMS OF THE FLOODING RISK...VERY GOOD MOISTURE TRANSPORT
CONTINUES TO OCCUR OVER OUR REGION AND IS CONTINUED TO BE IN THE
99TH TO MAX PERCENTILES PER THE NAEFS. THIS WILL LEAD TO PW VALUES
AROUND 1.6-1.8 INCHES WHICH IS NEAR RECORD LEVELS FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR. AGAIN THE GREATEST AREA OF CONCERN WILL BE ACROSS COUNTIES
NORTH OF I-20. FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN TACT BUT FEEL THE BEST
AREA FOR FLOODING AT LEAST FOR TODAY WILL BE IN THE NORTH AND MAY
ADJUST HAZARDS AND GRAPHICS TO REFLECT THIS CONFIDENCE. THROUGH
TONIGHT...AN ADDITIONAL 2-3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH
OVER WHAT HAS ALREADY FALLEN THIS MORNING/OVERNIGHT.
ELSEWHERE...AROUND AN INCH LOOKS FEASIBLE WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MAKE ITS WAY INTO THE REGION LATER
TONIGHT. THE MOST ROBUST STORMS SHOULD EXIT THE CWA BY AROUND 9-10PM
OR SO BUT THERE COULD CONTINUE TO BE SOME STORMS LINGERING INTO THE
NIGHT AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. MODELS CONTINUE TO DEPICT THIS
FRONT MOVING SLOWLY ACROSS MY SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES AND
LINGERING/STALLING SOMEWHERE IN THE VICINITY OF THE PINE BELT. GIVEN
THE MOIST AND UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE STILL IN PLACE AS DEPICTED BY
MUCAPE VALUES AROUND 1500J/KG...VERTICAL TOTALS STILL AROUND 28-30C
AND GOOD DEEP LAYER SHEAR...CANNOT COMPLETELY RULE OUT POTENTIAL FOR
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS AHEAD OF THIS FRONT INTO THE EARLY PARTS OF
FRIDAY BEFORE IT COMPLETELY PUSHES THROUGH THE CWA. AT THIS POINT IT
IS UNCERTAIN JUST WHERE THIS FRONT WILL LINGER OR HOW FAST OR SLOW
IT MAY GET THROUGH THE CWA. EXPECT SOME POST FRONTAL RAIN TO LINGER
FURTHER INTO THE AFTERNOON BUT THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD BE LOWER BY
THAT POINT WITH CONDITIONS EVENTUALLY DRYING BY EARLY MORNING
SATURDAY. /28/

LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...COME SATURDAY MORNING THE
COLD FRONT WILL BE WELL SOUTH OF OUR CWA BUT THE SOUTHERN BRANCH OF
THE JET STREAM WILL REMAIN OVER THE GULF COAST STATES WHILE A
NORTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE TROUGH PASSES ACROSS OUR CWA. THE 00Z NAM
GENERATED RAINFALL ACROSS OUR WHOLE CWA WITH THIS SHORTWAVE BUT WAS
AN OUTLIER AS MODEL CONSENSUS REMAINED DRY. WL NOT INTRODUCE POPS
SATURDAY AND MAINTAIN COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY
WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE WILL
SUPPORT ANOTHER COLD FRONT MONDAY NIGHT BUT THIS COLD FRONT LOOKS TO
PASS THROUGH AS A DRY FRONT AS WELL. IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO OUR REGION THEN SHIFT QUICKLY TO THE
EAST. RETURN FLOW WILL COMMENCE WEDNESDAY AND ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL
BE PRESENT OVER OUR AREA WHEN ANOTHER COLD FRONT DROPS IN WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. THE GFS IS FASTER THAN THE ECMWF WITH FRONT BUT RAIN CHANCES
LOOK TO LINGER INTO THURSDAY BEFORE COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER
RETURNS. /22/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       79  59  73  49 /  71  70  42  32
MERIDIAN      77  61  74  49 /  88  73  56  42
VICKSBURG     79  58  71  49 /  74  63  28  23
HATTIESBURG   78  66  72  52 /  86  63  79  60
NATCHEZ       79  61  71  49 /  75  58  51  40
GREENVILLE    77  54  68  46 /  74  53  20  21
GREENWOOD     78  54  71  45 /  80  80  21  20

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR MSZ030>033-037>039-
     043>046-048>066-072>074.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR MSZ018-019-
     025>029-034>036-040>042-047.

LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LAZ007>009-015-
     016-023>026.

AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ARZ074-075.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
256 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

ARZ074-075-MSZ018-019-025>029-034-035-012000-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-
MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-
256 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE ARKLAMISS
DELTA AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND FRIDAY

TORNADOES
THREAT...SIGNIFICANT (MAINLY EAST OF THE MS RIVER)
TIMING...THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...SIGNIFICANT
TIMING...THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT

FLOODING
THREAT...SIGNIFICANT
TIMING...THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS, LARGE HAIL, AND TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
BASEBALLS. STRONG TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE, MAINLY EAST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

IN ADDITION...ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN AREAS THAT RECEIVED SEVERAL INCHES OF
RAIN LAST NIGHT INTO THIS MORNING. THIS COULD RESULT IN FLASH
FLOODING, WITH SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE IN AREAS THAT FLOODED
THIS MORNING.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION REMAINDER
OF THE AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

LAZ007>009-MSZ030>033-036>046-012000-
MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-
OKTIBBEHA-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-
MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
256 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND FRIDAY

TORNADOES
THREAT...SIGNIFICANT
TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...SIGNIFICANT
TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING

FLOODING
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS, LARGE HAIL, AND TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
BASEBALLS, AND STRONG TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

IN ADDITION...ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ON TOP OF RAIN THAT OCCURRED LAST NIGHT INTO
THIS MORNING. THIS COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION REMAINDER
OF THE AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

LAZ015-016-023-025-MSZ047>050-012000-
RICHLAND-MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-TENSAS-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-
256 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND THE I-2O CORRIDOR IN MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND FRIDAY

TORNADOES
THREAT...SIGNIFICANT
TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...SIGNIFICANT
TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING

FLOODING
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS, LARGE HAIL, AND TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
BASEBALLS. STRONG TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

IN ADDITION...ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE...WHICH COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION REMAINDER
OF THE AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

LAZ024-026-MSZ051>057-059>063-012000-
CATAHOULA-CONCORDIA-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-
SMITH-JASPER-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-
256 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL LOUISIANA
AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND FRIDAY

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...THROUGH MIDNIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...THROUGH MIDNIGHT

FLOODING
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...THROUGH MIDNIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AND GOLFBALL SIZED HAIL ARE EXPECTED. SOME TORNADOES ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

IN ADDITION...ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE...WHICH COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION REMAINDER
OF THE AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

MSZ058-064>066-072>074-012000-
CLARKE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
256 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST MISSISSIPPI
AND THE PINE BELT.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND FRIDAY

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT

FLOODING
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AND GOLFBALL SIZED HAIL ARE EXPECTED. SOME TORNADOES ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

IN ADDITION...ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE...WHICH COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION REMAINDER
OF THE AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY.

DL

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*TORNADOES*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN STRONG TORNADOES WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
SIGNIFICANT...STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN TORNADOES.
LIMITED...TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
SIGNIFICANT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF
 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60
 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.

*FLOODING*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING.
SIGNIFICANT...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN FLOODING.
LIMITED...FLOODING POSSIBLE.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/
SPC...MESO ANALYSIS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/#
SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/
SPC...STORM REPORTS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/
NWS JAN CURRENT SVR/TOR WATCHES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1124 AM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 AM     FLASH FLOOD      TRIBBETT                33.35N 90.80W
03/31/2016                   WASHINGTON         MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MULTIPLE ROADS REMAINED FLOODED IN WASHINGTON COUNTY

0630 AM     FLASH FLOOD      MOORHEAD                33.45N 90.51W
03/31/2016                   SUNFLOWER          MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROADS REMAINED FLOODED AROUND MOORHEAD...SUNFLOWER...AND
            INVERNESS

&&

DL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1126 AM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 AM     FLASH FLOOD      GREENWOOD               33.52N 90.19W
03/31/2016                   LEFLORE            MS   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FLOODED ROADS IN GREENWOOD INCLUDING US HWY 82

&&

DL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1138 AM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 AM     FLASH FLOOD      5 NW CLARKSON           33.68N 89.21W
03/31/2016                   WEBSTER            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            A FEW ROADS WERE FLOODED IN DISTRICTS 2 AND 5 IN WEBSTER
            CO

&&

DL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
103 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0845 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 W HATTIESBURG         31.31N 89.34W
03/31/2016                   FORREST            MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            WATER ENTERED A HOME ALONG NAVAJO CIR

&&

DL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
254 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

MSZ055-063-064-312030-
SIMPSON MS-LAWRENCE MS-JEFFERSON DAVIS MS-
254 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL LAWRENCE...SOUTH CENTRAL
SIMPSON AND NORTHWESTERN JEFFERSON DAVIS COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM CDT...

AT 254 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR MONTICELLO...OR 20 MILES SOUTH OF PINOLA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
35 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  PROGRESS AROUND 300 PM CDT.
  PRENTISS AROUND 310 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE SILVER CREEK AND NEW
HEBRON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3156 9024 3184 8991 3164 8976 3161 8975
      3144 9013
TIME...MOT...LOC 1954Z 232DEG 32KT 3159 9006

DC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
303 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

MSZ042-043-312030-
MADISON MS-YAZOO MS-
303 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EAST CENTRAL YAZOO AND SOUTHERN
MADISON COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM CDT...

AT 302 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
OVER GLUCKSTADT...OR NEAR MADISON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  CANTON AROUND 310 PM CDT.
  SHARON AROUND 325 PM CDT.
  WAY AROUND 330 PM CDT.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3249 8997 3248 9002 3244 9005 3244 9007
      3242 9006 3242 9007 3240 9007 3240 9014
      3243 9025 3249 9025 3249 9032 3282 9021
      3267 8981
TIME...MOT...LOC 2002Z 210DEG 29KT 3254 9014

DC