River Flood Warning 92, NWS Jackson, MS

894 
WGUS44 KJAN 310145 CCA
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS Corrected Tabular data
842 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016


...The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in Mississippi... 

  Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County
  Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County
  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. 24 hours of forecast rainfall is being used for 
the Pearl River.

Additional information is available at:  
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC079-010742-
/O.COR.KJAN.FL.W.0091.160402T2159Z-160405T1124Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.160402T2159Z.160403T1800Z.160404T2024Z.NO/
842 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Pearl River At Edinburg
* from Saturday afternoon to Tuesday morning.
* At  7:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...Forecast rainfall from 2.5 to 3 inches will cause the river
  to rise above flood stage by Saturday afternoon and will continue
  to rise to near 21.0 feet by Sunday evening. 
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Minor over bank flooding continues in areas 
  south of the river.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding is occurring south 
  of the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Edinburg       20   9.8 Wed 08 PM  11.7  18.3  19.4  21.0 07 PM 04/03


&&


LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
      3273 8932 3268 8946             



$$

MSC079-010741-
/O.COR.KJAN.FL.W.0092.160401T2000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.160401T2000Z.160404T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
842 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Pearl River Near Carthage
* from Friday afternoon until further notice.
* At  7:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The Forecast rainfall from 2.5 to 3 inches will cause the river
  to rise above flood stage by Friday afternoon and will continue to rise
  to near 18.0 feet by early Monday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of low areas along 
  and near the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Carthage       17  11.0 Wed 08 PM  11.4  16.0  17.5  18.0 01 AM 04/04


&&


LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
      3266 8952 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-010741-
/O.COR.KJAN.FL.W.0093.160402T0508Z-160403T2100Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.160402T0508Z.160402T1800Z.160403T0600Z.NO/
842 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* from late Friday night to Sunday afternoon.
* At  8:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 13.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...Forecast rainfall around 2 inches will cause the river
  to rise above flood stage by early Saturday morning and will continue
  to rise to near 25.5 feet by early Saturday afternoon. 
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and 
  near the river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  13.5 Wed 08 PM  14.1  21.0  25.4  25.5 01 PM 04/02


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$

594 
WGUS84 KJAN 311500
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1000 AM CDT THU MAR 31 2016


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers 
in Mississippi...
 
  Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County
  Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County
  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County




PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for the
Pearl River.

Additional information is available at:  
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC079-311530-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-160405T1124Z/
/ENBM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1000 AM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Pearl River At Edinburg.
* At  8:45 AM Thursday the stage was 10.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 17.8 feet 
  early Monday afternoon.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Edinburg       20  10.0 Thu 09 AM  14.3  15.4  16.7            


&&


LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
      3273 8932 3268 8946             



$$

MSC079-311530-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-160331T1500Z/
/CARM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1000 AM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Pearl River Near Carthage.
* At  8:45 AM Thursday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 16.6 feet 
  early Tuesday morning.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Carthage       17  11.1 Thu 09 AM  13.3  14.9  15.2  16.6 01 AM 04/05


&&


LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
      3266 8952 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-311530-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-160403T2100Z/
/WTGM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1000 AM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove.
* At  9:00 AM Thursday the stage was 13.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 24.5 feet 
  Saturday evening.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  13.6 Thu 09 AM  15.3  23.3  23.8  24.5 07 PM 04/02


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
530 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

...POTENTIAL SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK UNFOLDING FOR
TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING AND
SIGNIFICANT SEVERE...

.UPDATE...THERE IS INCREASING CONCERN FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG
TORNADOES ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LATEST 18Z
NAM/GFS INDICATE STRONGER LOW LEVEL SHEAR THAN PREVIOUS RUNS ALONG
WITH LAPSE RATES OF 7.0-7.5 C/KM. SIG TOR PARAMETERS ARE ALSO
INCREASING WITH EACH RUN. THE HWO/GRAPHICAST HAVE ALREADY BEEN
UPDATED. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND UPDATES
FOR THIS POTENTIAL SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT./15/

.SHORT TERM...
THE LARGE SURFACE TROUGH IS STILL LOCATED OVER THE 4 CORNERS REGION
WITH COLD FRONT STRETCHING THROUGH THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS.
SCATTERED SHOWERS HAVE BROKEN OUT ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
TEMPS ARE CURRENTLY IN THE 70S WITH DEWPOINTS ALL IN THE 60S NOW.
CLOUDS HAVE SOMEWHAT DETERRED SURFACE HEATING TODAY SO THAT MORE
STORMS HAVE NOT BROKEN OUT. A TORNADO WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN PLACE FOR
THE ARKLATEX REGION JUST TO OUR WEST. DO NOT EXPECT ANY MAJOR
ACTIVITY TO START AFFECTING OUR AREA UNTIL 6 PM OR SO.

TONIGHT...A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL BRING MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF
CONVECTION TO THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY. WAA WILL CONTINUE PUMPING
MOISTURE INTO OUR CWA THROUGH THE NIGHT. PW VALUES BY 00Z WILL BE IN
THE 1.75 INCH RANGE...MUCH ABOVE NORMAL. THE EXIT REGION OF THE UPPER
LEVEL JET CURRENTLY OVER THE ARKLATEX WILL SHIFT EASTWARD OVERNIGHT
INTO THE ARKLAMISS. THIS WILL BE WHERE THE FOCUS OF SEVERE WEATHER
OVERNIGHT WILL BE. CAPE VALUES WILL BE MARGINAL BUT VERY STRONG LOW
LEVEL SHEAR WILL SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELLS AT FIRST. A
BOUNDARY WILL EVENTUALLY EVOLVE AND PUSH EAST (ACCORDING TO CURRENT
HI-RES MODELS). THE MAIN THREAT OVERNIGHT WILL BE TORNADOES WITH
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS A LARGE THREAT TOO.

THURSDAY...AFTER THE MORNING STORMS DIMINISH AND PUSH EAST, THE
ATMOSPHERE WILL NEED TO RECOVER. WITH GOOD LOW LEVEL FLOW AND
CONTINUED WAA, RECOVERY SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF
SEVERE WEATHER THURSDAY NIGHT. THE SHEAR WILL BE OVERALL LESS
IMPRESSIVE THAN THE NIGHT BEFORE BUT STILL PRETTY GOOD. CAPE VALUES
OF +2000 J/KG AND LAPSE RATE VALUES MORE THAN 7 C/KM ARE MUCH
GREATER. DEWPOINTS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S BY THEN. SIG SEVERE
PARAMETERS INDICATE THE MAIN THREATS THURSDAY EVENING WILL BE VERY
LARGE HAIL IN THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA, UP TO BASEBALL SIZE. THE
POTENTIAL FOR A FEW TORNADOES EXISTS AS WELL.

HEAVY RAINFALL...ALL OF THIS SEVERE WEATHER SAID...HEAVY RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED. THE ENTIRE CWA STILL HAS NOT QUITE DRIED OUT FROM THE
FLOODING EVENT THREE WEEKS AGO. THE MODELS ARE SHOWING RAINFALL
BULLSEYES OVER THE DELTA BUT HAVE ALSO SOMEWHAT TRENDED NORTH OF THE
CWA. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN EXPANDED TO INCLUDE THE WHOLE
AREA. WIDESPREAD AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY
HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. /10/

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
CONVECTION ONGOING AT THE START OF THE PERIOD SHOULD BE MAKING ITS
WAY TO THE SOUTHEASTERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA AS THE SFC FRONT
PUSHES ITS WAY INTO THE DELTA REGION. WHILE CONVECTION MAY NOT BE THE
STRONGEST OF THE NIGHT...THERE DOES REMAIN SOME SMALL POTENTIAL FOR
STRONG/SEVERE STORMS EARLY BEFORE THE FRONT COMPLETELY MOVES THROUGH
THE REGION. INSTABILITY PER THE ECMWF LOOKS SUFFICIENT AS MUCAPE WILL
BE AROUND 800J/KG AND SBCAPE WILL BE AROUND 400J/KG. WHILE LOWER
LEVEL SHEAR DOESNT LOOK IMPRESSIVE FOR TORNADOES...THERE REMAINS
DECENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF AROUND 40-50KTS. LAPSE RATES REMAIN SOLID
WITH MID- LEVEL LAPSE RATES AROUND 7.5C/KM AND VERTICAL TOTALS AROUND
28C...WHICH MAY RESULT IN A HAIL AND SOME WIND THREAT VERY EARLY IN
THE PERIOD FOR A FEW HOURS. THIS THREAT WILL SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST AS
THE FRONT MAKES ITS SLOW TREK THAT WAY. HOWEVER MODELS CONTINUE TO
SLOW THE FRONT/STALL IT JUST SOUTH OF MY CWA THROUGH FRIDAY. THE
ECMWF HAS IT MUCH CLOSER TO MY CWA WHILE THE GFS IS FASTER IN MOVING
IT COMPLETELY THROUGH. IT ISN'T UNTIL A SFC LOW DEVELOPS AND RIDES
NORTHEAST ALONG IT ACROSS SOUTHERN LA/MS/AL THAT IT BEGINS TO PUSH
FURTHER EAST LATER FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY EVENING. THIS WILL KEEP SOME
RAIN/STORMS CHANCES IN MY SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE EARLY PARTS OF
FRIDAY...BUT MOST OF THIS SHOULD BE POST FRONTAL BEYOND THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS. CURRENT DAY 3 SPC OUTLOOK PUTS A VERY SMALL PART OF MY
SOUTHEAST IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR THIS STORM POTENTIAL NOTED ABOVE.
GIVEN HOW ACTIVE THE AREA WILL BE IN THE SHORT TERM...WILL HOLD OFF
ON MENTIONING THIS IN THE HWO/GRAPHICS AT THIS TIME AND WILL
REEVALUATE ADDING IT IF THESE TRENDS CONTINUE.

THE FRONT FINALLY PUSHES FURTHER SOUTH INTO THE GULF SATURDAY AND
THE UPPER TROUGH WILL PUSH THROUGH. HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SFC WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. MODELS DIFFER IN HOW
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BE BETWEEN RIDGING PER THE GFS AND SOME
COMBO OF ZONAL/NORTHWEST FLOW PER THE ECMWF BUT OVERALL NO MAJOR
WEATHER SYSTEMS LOOK TO MOVE THROUGH OUR AREA FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE PERIOD. THIS WILL LEAD TO DRY WEATHER(WHICH WILL COME AS A HAPPY
BREAK FOR MANY). TEMPERATURES WILL BE VERY PLEASANT WITH HIGHS
MOSTLY IN THE 70S AND LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S/LOWER 50S. /28/

&&

.AVIATION...
FLIGHT CONDITIONS ARE GRADUALLY DETERIORATING ACROSS THE REGION AS A
DECK OF MVFR STRATUS BUILDS IN FROM THE SOUTH AND WEST. MANY SITES
REMAIN AT VFR THIS AFTERNOON, BUT ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO MVFR BY
LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF TSRA/SHRA ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPACTING THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING
INTO THURSDAY. THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING STORMS THE GREATEST
POTENTIAL FOR STORMS WILL BE JAN/GTR AND WEST...SPREADING EASTWARD
OVERNIGHT TO IMPACT LOCATIONS FARTHER EAST. THURSDAY...STORMS ARE
POSSIBLE AT ALL TAF SITES. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD SEVERE WITH 50
KT WIND GUSTS, LARGE HAIL, AND TORNADOES. IFR VISBYS WILL BE POSSIBLE
AT TIMES IN +RA AND TS. /DL/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       65  78  59  75 /  87  88  77  31
MERIDIAN      63  77  60  76 /  68  93  83  41
VICKSBURG     67  79  56  73 /  88  87  62  20
HATTIESBURG   66  80  65  74 /  53  86  76  63
NATCHEZ       68  78  59  74 /  82  85  61  39
GREENVILLE    65  79  53  68 /  93  90  53  15
GREENWOOD     65  78  53  71 /  95  90  74  12

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR MSZ030>033-037>039.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR MSZ018-019-
     025>029-034>036-040>042-047.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR
     MSZ043>046-048>066-072>074.

LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR LAZ007>009-015-
     016-023>026.

AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR ARZ074-075.

&&

10/DL/28

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
327 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-MSZ018-019-034-040-041-047-
312030-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-WASHINGTON-ISSAQUENA-
SHARKEY-WARREN-
327 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE ARKLAMISS
DELTA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON

TORNADOES
THREAT...SIGNIFICANT
TIMING...TONIGHT (ELEVATED THREAT THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING)

FLOODING
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS, HAIL
TO GOLF BALL SIZE, AND TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THIS
EVENING THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS THURSDAY. STRONG TORNADOES
ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

ADDITIONAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS, LARGE HAIL, AND TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE HAIL TO THE
SIZE OF BASEBALLS, MAINLY FOR AREAS EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STORMS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON WILL
RESULT IN THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS THE AREA, WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING
AND PROLONG CURRENT RIVER FLOODING.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY

THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLASH FLOODING WILL LINGER
INTO THE EARLY PART OF THURSDAY NIGHT, WITH THESE THREATS ENDING
BEFORE MIDNIGHT. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD, THE PROBABILITY
FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

MSZ025>033-036>039-042>046-312030-
LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-
OKTIBBEHA-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-
NESHOBA-KEMPER-
327 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY

FLOODING
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

TORNADOES
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING (LIMITED THREAT LATE TONIGHT)

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...SIGNIFICANT
TIMING...THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING (ELEVATED THREAT LATE
TONIGHT)

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
QUARTER SIZE HAIL ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT
INTO THURSDAY MORNING. SOME TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

ADDITIONAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS, LARGE HAIL, AND TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE HAIL TO THE
SIZE OF BASEBALLS.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STORMS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON
WILL RESULT IN THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS THE AREA, WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN FLASH
FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY

THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLASH FLOODING WILL LINGER
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD, THE PROBABILITY
FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

LAZ024>026-MSZ035-048>050-053-054-059-060-312030-
CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-HUMPHREYS-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-CLAIBORNE-
COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-
327 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL LOUISIANA
AND CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING

FLOODING
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
QUARTER SIZE HAIL ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT
INTO THURSDAY MORNING. SOME TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

ADDITIONAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS, GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL, AND TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STORMS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON
WILL RESULT IN THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS THE AREA, WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN FLASH
FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY

THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLASH FLOODING WILL LINGER
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD, THE PROBABILITY
FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

MSZ051-052-055>058-061>066-072>074-312030-
NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
327 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI AND THE PINE BELT.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY

FLOODING
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING (LIMITED THREAT EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING)

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
QUARTER SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING MAINLY NORTHWEST OF I-59. A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS, GOLF
BALL SIZE HAIL, AND TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STORMS EARLY THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT WILL RESULT IN TWO TO FIVE INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS THE AREA,
WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN
FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=3)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY

THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLASH FLOODING WILL LINGER
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD, THE PROBABILITY
FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

DL

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*TORNADOES*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN STRONG TORNADOES WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
SIGNIFICANT...STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN TORNADOES.
LIMITED...TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
SIGNIFICANT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF
 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60
 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.

*FLOODING*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING.
SIGNIFICANT...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN FLOODING.
LIMITED...FLOODING POSSIBLE.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/
SPC...MESO ANALYSIS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/#
SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/
SPC...STORM REPORTS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/
NWS JAN CURRENT SVR/TOR WATCHES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
340 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

LAZ024-302115-
CATAHOULA LA-
340 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN CATAHOULA PARISH UNTIL
415 PM CDT...

AT 340 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR WALTERS...OR 10 MILES NORTH OF LARTO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35
MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  JONESVILLE AROUND 355 PM CDT.
  WALLACE RIDGE AROUND 405 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE HARRISONBURG.

LAT...LON 3192 9190 3182 9163 3174 9168 3174 9170
      3171 9170 3162 9176 3165 9178 3162 9181
      3157 9183 3155 9180 3150 9184 3149 9186
      3146 9186 3140 9190 3147 9201 3165 9201
TIME...MOT...LOC 2040Z 217DEG 30KT 3152 9194

DB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
607 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

MSZ060-061-302345-
ADAMS MS-FRANKLIN MS-
607 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WESTERN FRANKLIN AND EAST
CENTRAL ADAMS COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM CDT...

AT 607 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
OVER GARDEN CITY...OR 18 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NATCHEZ...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  GARDEN CITY AROUND 610 PM CDT.
  KIRBY AND HAMBURG AROUND 635 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE MEADVILLE AND ROXIE.

LAT...LON 3135 9115 3135 9121 3137 9122 3136 9126
      3137 9126 3136 9128 3136 9130 3161 9116
      3154 9080 3133 9103 3133 9106 3134 9107
      3133 9107 3132 9112
TIME...MOT...LOC 2307Z 217DEG 30KT 3136 9118

DB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
621 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

ARZ074-310000-
ASHLEY AR-
621 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WESTERN ASHLEY COUNTY UNTIL 700
PM CDT...

AT 621 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
OVER CROSSETT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  NORTH CROSSETT AROUND 625 PM CDT.
  HAMBURG AND OLD MILO AROUND 635 PM CDT.
  FOUNTAIN HILL AROUND 640 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

&&

LAT...LON 3328 9203 3329 9200 3330 9200 3330 9198
      3331 9198 3335 9199 3335 9197 3338 9196
      3339 9198 3340 9198 3339 9166 3301 9192
      3301 9195 3308 9212
TIME...MOT...LOC 2321Z 205DEG 47KT 3312 9199

BYB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
717 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0710 PM     HAIL             1 E KIRBY               31.51N 90.96W
03/30/2016  E1.00 INCH       FRANKLIN           MS   PUBLIC

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT SMITHS GROCERY EAST OF
            KIRBY.

&&

DCOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
757 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0744 PM     HAIL             SW PLEASANT HILL        31.72N 90.74W
03/30/2016  E1.00 INCH       JEFFERSON          MS   PUBLIC

            REPORT OF PENNY TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL AT PLEASANT HILL
            GROCERY IN UNION CHURCH.

&&

DCOX