Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2016

River Flood Warning 102, NWS Jackson, MS

April 11, 2016Noxubee County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Apr 11, 2016, 9:09 PM CDT for Noxubee County, Mississippi. It took effect at Apr 12, 2016, 3:24 PM CDT. It was in force for 39 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 11, 2016, 9:09 PM CDT (02:09 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 12, 2016, 3:24 PM CDT
Expired
Apr 14, 2016, 6:24 AM CDT
In force
39 hr
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Noxubee County, MS

The radar

The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 94 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Noxubee River at Macon (MCNM6).

Action stage
27 ft
Minor stage
28 ft
Moderate stage
35 ft
Major stage
37 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02448000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

025 
WGUS44 KJAN 120209
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
909 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016


...The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in Mississippi... 

  Noxubee River At Macon affecting Noxubee County



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.


Additional information is available at:  
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC103-130809-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0102.160413T1112Z-160414T1124Z/
/MCNM6.1.ER.160413T1112Z.160413T1800Z.160414T0524Z.NO/
909 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Noxubee River At Macon
* from Wednesday morning to Thursday morning.
* At  9:00 PM Monday the stage was 10.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Wednesday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 27.3 feet by early 
  Wednesday afternoon. 
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Low land near the river is flooded.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Noxubee River 
Macon          26  10.1 Mon 09 PM  11.9  26.4  24.9  27.3 01 PM 04/13


&&


LAT...LON 3300 8852 3307 8862 3314 8875 3320 8867
      3313 8855 3304 8845             



$$
2 follow-up statements
622 
WGUS84 KJAN 121623
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1122 AM CDT TUE APR 12 2016




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee affecting Clay County 
  Noxubee River At Macon affecting Noxubee County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC025-132222-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0098.160414T0000Z-160414T1200Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.160414T0000Z.160414T0000Z.160414T0600Z.NO/
1122 AM CDT TUE APR 12 2016


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee
* from Wednesday evening to Thursday morning.
* At 10:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 18.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  tomorrow evening.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Tibbee Creek
Tibbee         23  18.0 Tue 10 AM  22.0  22.9  21.8  23.0 07 PM 04/13


&&


LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             



$$

MSC103-132221-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0102.160412T2024Z-160414T1822Z/
/MCNM6.1.ER.160412T2024Z.160413T1200Z.160414T1222Z.NO/
1122 AM CDT TUE APR 12 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Noxubee River At Macon
* from this afternoon to Thursday afternoon.
* At 11:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 24.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by late this 
  afternoon and will continue to rise to near 29.2 feet by tomorrow 
  morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Farm land near the river begins to flood.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Low land near the river is flooded.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Noxubee River 
Macon          26  24.8 Tue 11 AM  29.2  26.1  21.2  29.2 07 AM 04/13


&&


LAT...LON 3300 8852 3307 8862 3314 8875 3320 8867
      3313 8855 3304 8845             



$$
484 
WGUS84 KJAN 130152
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
852 PM CDT TUE APR 12 2016

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following river in Mississippi...
 
  Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee affecting Clay County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.


The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC025-130222-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0098.000000T0000Z-160414T1200Z/
/TBBM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
852 PM CDT TUE APR 12 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee.
* At  8:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 19.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 22.5 feet 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Flooding in low areas on the left bank is 
  occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Tibbee Creek
Tibbee         23  19.0 Tue 08 PM  22.1  22.3  21.3  22.5 07 PM 04/13


&&


LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 11, 8:50 PM CDT, 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 11, 8:50 PM CDT, 19 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
850 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

.UPDATE...SEVERAL UPDATES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE FORECAST TO EXPIRE
AND ISSUE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCHES. AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM
CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON HAS FOCUSED THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY THIS EVENING GENERALLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM BASTROP
LOUISIANA TO JACKSON AND LAUREL MISSISSIPPI. SEVERE STORMS WITH
DAMAGING WINDS AND QUARTER SIZED HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS BUT
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT FOR THIS AREA.
WL CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT THE FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL IN OUR HWO BUT A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED. A SHORTWAVE NOTED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY APPROACHING THE ARKLATEX WL CONTINUE TO SWING EAST TONIGHT
AND HELP SUPPORT A COLD FRONT THAT WL BEGIN PUSHING THE CONVECTION
SOUTH LATER THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURE CURVES WERE ADJUSTED AS THE
RAIN HAS COOLED THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA A LITTLE MORE THAN
EXPECTED. /22/

&&

.AVIATION...NUMEROUS SHRA AND TSRA WERE OBSERVED OVER THE AREA AT
130Z. THIS WAS RESULTING IN VARYING FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS. MVFR/IFR
CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ALONG WITH TSRA ACTIVITY AFTER 06Z. THE
TSRA ACTIVITY WL SHIFT SOUTH AFTER 06Z AS A COLD FRONT DROPS THROUGH
THE AREA. WINDS WL SHIFT TO THE NORTH IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT.
/22/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 352 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016/

..SEVERE WEATHER AND LOCALIZED FLOODING IS EXPECTED FOR THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...

SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)...THE PRIMARY CONCERN
WILL BE OUR CHANCES OF SEVERE WEATHER AND SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING
THROUGH TONIGHT.

LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED A SPLIT FLOW PATTERN WITH A BROAD
UPPER TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTHWEST US TO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.
THE BEST COLD TOPS WAS NOTED OVER SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS INTO THE
NORTHWEST DELTA REGION. STRONG ASCENT FROM THE SUBTROPICAL JET WAS
MOVING INTO THE REGION. A STRONG SHORT WAVE WAS NOTED ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS. MID TO UPPER DIVERGENCE FROM THE ACTIVE SUBTROPICALJET
WAS COMING OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE LOWER MISS VALLEY. AREA
RADARS WERE PICKING UP SOME CONVECTION ACROSS THE REGION. ON THE
SURFACE A COLD FRONT WAS NOTED ACROSS ARKANSAS HEADING SLOWLY TOWARD
THE NORTHWEST DELTA. PWATS OF AROUND 1.8 OVER SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA WAS
SURGING TOWARD THE REGION.

LOOKING AT THE SEVERE POTENTIAL. FOR THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT SPC
HAS A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR OUR WESTERN AREAS
ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 55 UNTIL 7 PM. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW
GOOD LOW LEVEL AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION WITH MIDLEVEL
LAPSE RATES OF AROUND 6-7C. MODEL SNDGS CONTINUE TO SHOW A DECENT
CURVE IN THE HODOGRAPHS FOR SOME TORNADO POTENTIAL. SO THERE WILL BE
ENOUGH INSTABILITY AND SHEAR FOR SOME SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL AS
THE COLD FRONT COMES DOWN TONIGHT. CONVECTIVE MODE MODELS SHOWS SOME
SUPERCELLS MOVING ACROSS THE REGION FOR THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A CONVECTIVE LINE COMING IN AHEAD
OF THE COLD FRONT. A WAVE WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO
SLOW IT DOWN SOME BEFORE IT FINALLY PUSHES THROUGH. SO WITH THE
GRAPHICAST WE WILL KEEP THE ELEVATED RISK GENERALLY JUST EAST OF THE
I-55 CORRIDOR WITH THE LIMITED RISK TO THE EAST. THE PRIMARY RISK
WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE AND
SOME TORNADOES.

LOOKING AT THE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL. AS THE FRONT MOVES
THROUGH TONIGHT A WAVE WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT WHICH WILL SLOW
IT DOWN. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SOME TRAINING OF CELLS AROUND THE
BOUNDARY...BEFORE THE FRONT IS ABLE TO MOVE. THE CONVECTIVE MODE
MODELS HAVE BEEN ALL OVER THE PLACE AS FAR AS FAR AS THE PLACEMENT
OF THE HEAVY RAINS...ANYWHERE FROM NORTH OF I-20 TO SOUTH OF I-20.
DURING THE LAST FEW HOURS THE SHORT TERM MODEL HAS SHOWN THE
HEAVIEST RAINFALL SPREAD OVER MOST OF THE REGION...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 4 PLUS INCHES. WE ARE GENERALLY EXPECTING AROUND 2
TO 4 INCHES ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION. THE HEAVIER RAINS SHOULD BE
TAPERING OFF FROM THE WEST BY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

FOR TUESDAY THE FRONT WILL BE EXITING THE REGION DURING THE MORNING
AS THE STRONG SHORT WAVE MOVES THROUGH THE CWA. THE CONVECTION WILL
BE TAPERING OFF FROM THE NORTHWEST DURING THE MORNING AND MAY LINGER
SOME IN THE SOUTHEAST DURING THE AFTERNOON BEFORE ENDING BY TUESDAY
NIGHT. A COOLER AIRMASS WILL PUSH INTO THE REGION. HIGHS WILL RANGE
FROM THE MIDDLE 60S NORTH TO THE MIDDLE 70S SOUTHEAST. FOR TUESDAY
NIGHT WE WILL GET A BRIEF BREAK IN THE RAINS BEFORE A SOUTHERN STREAM
SYSTEM WITH A COASTAL SURFACE LOW APPROACHES. IT WILL PROVIDE SOME
ISENTROPIC LIFT FOR SOME SHOWERS IN THE SOUTHWEST...MAINLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT. WITH THE CLOUDS HANGING AROUND IT WILL HINDER NIGHT TIME
LOWS SOME. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S NORTH TO THE MIDDLE
50S SOUTH.

AS WE MOVE INTO WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT ANOTHER SHORTWAVE
COMING FROM THE PLAINS WILL PUSH ANOTHER SYSTEM INTO THE REGION WITH
A COASTAL SURFACE LOW. MODELS HAVE BEEN PERSISTENT IN KEEPING THE
HIGHER RAINFALL TOTALS SOUTH OF THE CWA. THERE WILL BE ENOUGH
INSTABILITY FOR SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS SYSTEM. DO
NOT SEE ANY SEVERE POTENTIAL WITH THIS SYSTEM AT THIS TIME. HIGHS ON
WEDNESDAY WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S NORTH TO THE LOWER 70S SOUTH.
LOWS FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO UPPER 50S./17/

LONG TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...WE WILL CONTINUE WITH OUR
SOUTHERN STREAM SYSTEM AFFECTING THE ARKLAMISS FROM WEDNESDAY. THE
LATEST 12Z MODELS SHOWS THE POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT OF A REX BLOCK OVER
THE EASTERN CONUS WHICH WOULD SLOW DOWN THE PROGRESSION OF WEATHER
FEATURES...AND IT WOULD MAKE FOR LOWER FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THE
DETAILS AS WE GO INTO THE WEEKEND. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW THE BEST
CHANCES OF RAIN TO BE CONFINED TO THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
ARKLAMISS. SO WITH THIS IN MIND WILL NOT MENTION ANY HEAVY RAINFALL
POTENTIAL FOR THE MIDWEEK PERIOD FOR THE HWO/GRAPHIC. THIS COULD BE
SOMETHING TO MONITOR ALONG/SOUTH OF THE HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR DEPENDING
ON HOW MUCH RAIN FALLS THERE WITH THE EARLY WEEK SYSTEM. WE SHOULD
GET A BREAK IN THE WEATHER FOR FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AS
THE REX BLOCK HOLDS A SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. OUR RAIN
CHANCES WILL COME BACK IN THE WEST AS THE REX BLOCK WEAKENS TO A
BLOCKING RIDGE FOR SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT./17/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       63  70  55  71 /  90  26  12  46
MERIDIAN      64  72  53  72 /  90  33   9  45
VICKSBURG     61  68  55  71 /  82  20  16  42
HATTIESBURG   66  78  59  74 /  87  52  14  56
NATCHEZ       64  70  55  71 /  74  25  19  53
GREENVILLE    53  65  51  68 /  89  16   9  26
GREENWOOD     56  67  50  70 /  85  19   8  25

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

22/17
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 11, 2:22 PM CDT, 6 hours 47 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
222 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-025-MSZ018-019-025-034>036-
040>043-047>049-053>055-059-121930-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-TENSAS-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-
WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-JEFFERSON-
222 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND TUESDAY

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT

FLOODING
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH
THIS EVENING. TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED INTO THIS EVENING. TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF RAIN
ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE WHICH COULD RESULT
IN FLASH FLOODING.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

MSZ026>033-037>039-044>046-050>052-056>058-121930-
GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-
ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-SCOTT-NEWTON-
LAUDERDALE-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-
222 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND TUESDAY

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

FLOODING
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH
THIS EVENING. TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT AS WELL.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED INTO THIS EVENING. TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF RAIN
ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE WHICH COULD RESULT
IN FLASH FLOODING.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

LAZ024-026-MSZ060>064-121930-
CATAHOULA-CONCORDIA-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-
JEFFERSON DAVIS-
222 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND TUESDAY

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH
THIS EVENING. TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

MSZ065-066-072>074-121930-
COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
222 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND TUESDAY

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT.
A TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT.

26

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*TORNADOES*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN STRONG TORNADOES WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
SIGNIFICANT...STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN TORNADOES.
LIMITED...TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
SIGNIFICANT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF
 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60
 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.

*FLOODING*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING.
SIGNIFICANT...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN FLOODING.
LIMITED...FLOODING POSSIBLE.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/
SPC...MESO ANALYSIS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/#
SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/
SPC...STORM REPORTS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/
NWS JAN CURRENT SVR/TOR WATCHES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 11, 7:56 PM CDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
756 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0328 PM     HAIL             1 N LEXINGTON           33.13N 90.05W
04/11/2016  E1.00 INCH       HOLMES             MS   PUBLIC

0343 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 W BELZONI             33.18N 90.59W
04/11/2016                   HUMPHREYS          MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROOF DAMAGE TO A HOME ON 16 SECTION RD.

0353 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 N BELZONI             33.19N 90.49W
04/11/2016                   HUMPHREYS          MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWER POLES DOWN AND ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES ALONG HWY 7.

0430 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SE SATARTIA           32.64N 90.51W
04/11/2016                   YAZOO              MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN ON MECHANICSBURG RD

0430 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NW BENTON             32.85N 90.28W
04/11/2016                   YAZOO              MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A FEW TREES DOWN ACROSS HWY 433N AND 432.

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 ENE BENTONIA          32.66N 90.32W
04/11/2016                   YAZOO              MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN ON GRIFFIN SPUR RD

0500 PM     TSTM WND DMG     POCAHONTAS              32.47N 90.29W
04/11/2016                   HINDS              MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREE DOWN ON POCOHONTAS ROAD REPORTED BY MEDIA.

0503 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 E POCAHONTAS          32.47N 90.25W
04/11/2016                   HINDS              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN ON JOE COKER ROAD AND JOE COKER CIRCLE
            REPORTED BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

0510 PM     TSTM WND DMG     11 WSW CARTHAGE         32.70N 89.72W
04/11/2016                   LEAKE              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE DOWN ON HWY 16 W NEAR MADISON CO LINE.

0512 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CARTHAGE                32.74N 89.53W
04/11/2016                   LEAKE              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE DOWN IN TOWN

0515 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 N JACKSON             32.35N 90.21W
04/11/2016                   HINDS              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE DOWN ON A HOME AT N STATE AND NORTHSIDE

0520 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 NE FLOWOOD            32.38N 90.04W
04/11/2016                   RANKIN             MS   PUBLIC

            AWNING BLOWN OFF A GAS STATION NEAR HUGH WARD AND
            SPILLWAY ROAD. REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

0524 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 SE LEARNED            32.15N 90.49W
04/11/2016                   HINDS              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            A TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN AT KAY BROADWATER AND BOYD ROAD.

0524 PM     TSTM WND GST     5 WNW BRANDON           32.31N 90.08W
04/11/2016  M48.00 MPH       RANKIN             MS   ASOS

0530 PM     HAIL             1 S MORTON              32.34N 89.66W
04/11/2016  E1.00 INCH       SCOTT              MS   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORTED QUARTER SIZED HAIL AROUND MORTON.

0530 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BASTROP                 32.77N 91.91W
04/11/2016                   MOREHOUSE          LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS ROADS IN THE CITY OF BASTROP HAVE WATER OVER
            THEM. ADDITIONAL ROAD FLOODING INCLUDED GOATWALK ROAD,
            HORSESHOE LAKE ROAD, AND VINEY WOODS ROAD.

0530 PM     HAIL             CLINTON                 32.34N 90.33W
04/11/2016  E0.88 INCH       HINDS              MS   PUBLIC

            NICKEL SIZED HAIL REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

0535 PM     HAIL             FANNIN                  32.42N 89.96W
04/11/2016  E0.50 INCH       RANKIN             MS   PUBLIC

            MARBLE SIZED HAIL REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

0543 PM     FLASH FLOOD      PIONEER                 32.74N 91.44W
04/11/2016                   WEST CARROLL       LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER WAS OBSERVED OVER HIGHWAY 17 IN TOWN.

0550 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BRANDON                 32.28N 90.00W
04/11/2016                   RANKIN             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PART OF THE ROOF WAS DOWN AT THE LAKELAND CLUBHOUSE WITH
            A TREE BLOWN DOWN.

0600 PM     FLASH FLOOD      JACKSON                 32.32N 90.21W
04/11/2016                   HINDS              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLOODING AT FARRISH AND FORTIFICATION.

0610 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 NE JACKSON            32.35N 90.17W
04/11/2016                   HINDS              MS   PUBLIC

            WATER WAS COVERING PORTIONS OF RIDGEWOOD ROAD NEAR
            JACKSON ACADEMY.

0612 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GLUCKSTADT              32.52N 90.10W
04/11/2016                   MADISON            MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            PUBLIC REPORTED AWNING COVERING A PICNIC AREA RELAYED BY
            MEDIA.

0620 PM     HAIL             LAKE                    32.34N 89.33W
04/11/2016  E0.50 INCH       SCOTT              MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            PUBLIC REPORTED DIME SIZED HAIL RELAYED BY MEDIA.

0625 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 N JACKSON             32.33N 90.21W
04/11/2016                   HINDS              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PESON TRAPPED IN VEHICLE AND RESCUED NEAR STATE AND
            MITCHELL STREET.

0626 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MERIDIAN                32.38N 88.71W
04/11/2016                   LAUDERDALE         MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN IN MERIDIAN

0630 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 NE MERIDIAN           32.43N 88.65W
04/11/2016                   LAUDERDALE         MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN IN THE DALEWOOD COMMUNITY NEAR ALICE
            DRIVE.

0643 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 E LOUIN               32.07N 89.18W
04/11/2016                   JASPER             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN ON COUNTY ROAD 16 EAST OF LOUIN AS WELL AS
            COUNTY ROAD 31 AREA.

0643 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BAY SPRINGS             31.98N 89.28W
04/11/2016                   JASPER             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN ALONG WITH POWER OUTAGES INSIDE THE
            CITY ALONG HIGHWAY 528.

0645 PM     TSTM WND GST     N MERIDIAN STATION      32.55N 88.62W
04/11/2016  M65.00 MPH       LAUDERDALE         MS   ASOS

0645 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 S STONEWALL           32.08N 88.80W
04/11/2016                   CLARKE             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            A TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN ON HIGHWAY 513.

0700 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BOLTON                  32.35N 90.46W
04/11/2016                   HINDS              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            BOLTON BROWNSVILLE ROAD FLOODED DUE TO CREEK OUT OF ITS
            BANKS.

&&

CME
Local storm report, Apr 11, 7:58 PM CDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
758 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0657 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BRANDON                 32.28N 90.00W
04/11/2016                   RANKIN             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORTS OF STREET FLOODING IN THE CITY.

&&

17
Local storm report, Apr 11, 8:09 PM CDT, 1 hour before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
809 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 N TOOMSUBA            32.45N 88.51W
04/11/2016                   LAUDERDALE         MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ACROSS MULTIPLE ROADS ACROSS THE E
            HALF OF LAUDERDALE CO.

&&

CME
Local storm report, Apr 11, 8:24 PM CDT, 45 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
824 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     TSTM WND DMG     POLKVILLE               32.19N 89.69W
04/11/2016                   SMITH              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN ALONG HWY 13 AND 538.

0605 PM     TSTM WND DMG     7 N RALEIGH             32.13N 89.52W
04/11/2016                   SMITH              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN OFF HWY 35 AND THE N CENTRAL PART OF
            THE CO. POWER LINES DOWN AS WELL. A LUMBER CO HAD TIN OFF
            A SHED AND A TIN WALL DOWN. POSSIBLE TORNADO.

0610 PM     TSTM WND DMG     8 NE RALEIGH            32.11N 89.43W
04/11/2016                   SMITH              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN ALONG MUCH OF HWY 504

&&

CME
Local storm report, Apr 11, 8:29 PM CDT, 40 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
829 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0512 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GLUCKSTADT              32.52N 90.10W
04/11/2016                   MADISON            MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            PUBLIC REPORTED AWNING COVERING A PICNIC AREA RELAYED BY
            MEDIA.

0520 PM     FLASH FLOOD      STARKVILLE              33.46N 88.82W
04/11/2016                   OKTIBBEHA          MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            WATER WAS COVERING PEEPLES STREET. REPORTED BY MEDIA.

0555 PM     HAIL             4 S PELAHATCHIE         32.26N 89.80W
04/11/2016  E1.00 INCH       RANKIN             MS   PUBLIC

            SHOWERS OF PEA TO DIME SIZED HAIL WITH SOME QUARTER SIZED
            HAIL. REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

0730 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BRANDON                 32.28N 90.00W
04/11/2016                   RANKIN             MS   PUBLIC

            WATER COVER SEVERAL ROADS IN A TRAILER PARK. REPORTED VIA
            SOCIAL MEDIA.

0820 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 S MATHISTON           33.51N 89.13W
04/11/2016                   CHOCTAW            MS   PUBLIC

            WATER COVERING CROSSROADS CHURCH ROAD. REPORTED BY
            PUBLIC.

&&
Special weather statement, Apr 11, 8:53 PM CDT, 16 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
853 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

MSZ048-049-120230-
HINDS MS-RANKIN MS-
853 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT RANKIN AND SOUTHEASTERN HINDS
COUNTIES UNTIL 930 PM CDT...

AT 853 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
OVER JACKSON...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  FLOWOOD AROUND 900 PM CDT.
  PEARL AND MONTEREY AROUND 905 PM CDT.
  BRANDON AROUND 910 PM CDT.
  PELAHATCHIE AROUND 925 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT FOR
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3215 9035 3238 9032 3240 9020 3240 9007
      3242 9007 3242 9006 3247 8980 3220 8973
      3213 8973
TIME...MOT...LOC 0153Z 275DEG 45KT 3229 9025

DB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 11, 7:52 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANIssaquena3 hr
Apr 11, 7:55 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANCovington, Jasper, Jones, Smith9 hr
Apr 11, 8:39 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANHinds, Madison, Rankin3 hr
Apr 11, 8:53 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANRankin37 min
Apr 11, 9:13 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANMadison, Yazoo12 days
Apr 11, 9:13 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANHinds, Warren14 days
Apr 11, 9:17 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake6 days
Apr 11, 9:17 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake8 days
Apr 11, 9:17 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake4 days
Apr 11, 9:17 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANAttala24 hr
Apr 11, 9:17 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake6 days
Apr 11, 9:19 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANHinds, Rankin71 hr
Apr 11, 9:19 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANCopiah, Simpson9 days
Apr 11, 9:40 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANIssaquena, Warren3 hr
Apr 11, 10:47 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningJANIssaquena12 hr
Apr 11, 11:11 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANClarke59 hr
Apr 11, 11:48 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningJANHinds, Madison, Rankin6 hr
Apr 12, 12:47 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningJANIssaquena, Warren3 hr
Apr 12, 5:02 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningJANCovington, Jasper, Jones, Smith3 hr
Apr 12, 5:50 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANLamar25 min
Apr 12, 10:23 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANLawrence9 days
Apr 12, 10:23 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANMarion9 days
Apr 12, 10:23 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANSimpson50 hr
Apr 12, 10:30 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANJones48 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2016Every river flood warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.