Severe Thunderstorm Warning 248, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

985 
WWUS52 KGSP 010011
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
711 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

NCC025-059-159-179-010030-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0248.000000T0000Z-161201T0030Z/
ROWAN NC-UNION NC-CABARRUS NC-DAVIE NC-
711 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM EST
FOR ROWAN...UNION...EASTERN CABARRUS AND DAVIE COUNTIES...

AT 711 PM EST...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF MOCKSVILLE TO 9 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF MONROE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MONROE...SALISBURY...MOCKSVILLE...UNIONVILLE...WINGATE...SPENCER...
MARSHVILLE...GRANITE QUARRY...ROCKWELL AND MT PLEASANT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF BRIEF...WEAK
TORNADOES. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN INTERIOR ROOM.

A FEW TREES AND POWER LINES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN IN THE WARNED AREA.
STORMS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL...AND LITTLE OR NO
LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN INTERIOR ROOM.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL
FREE...1...800... 2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK
PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD
DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3550 8030 3519 8051 3516 8044 3519 8028
      3481 8032 3482 8061 3504 8058 3521 8055
      3531 8055 3537 8054 3567 8059 3605 8069
      3606 8046 3590 8037 3588 8042 3584 8039
      3583 8049 3574 8046 3571 8033 3551 8018
TIME...MOT...LOC 0011Z 228DEG 26KT 3601 8045 3486 8046 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

RWH

338 
WWUS52 KGSP 010025
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
725 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

NCC025-059-159-179-010035-
/O.EXP.KGSP.SV.W.0248.000000T0000Z-161201T0030Z/
ROWAN NC-UNION NC-CABARRUS NC-DAVIE NC-
725 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR ROWAN...UNION...EASTERN
CABARRUS AND DAVIE COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 730 PM EST...
    
THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3550 8030 3519 8051 3516 8044 3519 8028
      3481 8032 3482 8061 3504 8058 3521 8055
      3531 8055 3537 8054 3567 8059 3605 8069
      3606 8046 3590 8037 3588 8042 3584 8039
      3583 8049 3574 8046 3571 8033 3551 8018
TIME...MOT...LOC 0025Z 247DEG 50KT 3608 8025 3493 8026 

$$

RWH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
245 PM EST Wed Nov 30 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will move swiftly east across the region this evening.
Drier and cooler conditions will return tonight through Thursday and
persist through Saturday. Moisture should return from the west for
the latter half of the weekend and possibly linger into early next
week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
At 2 PM Wednesday: An upper trough will broaden and extend across
the Southern Appalachians overnight, with zonal flow resulting across
the southern tier of the USA resulting by Thursday. A weakening vort
lobe will pass cross the Central Appalachians overnight.

At the surface, a cold front will approach from the west this
afternoon, preceded by moist inflow from the Gulf of Mexico. Upslope
flow and modest isentropic upglide over the southern appalachians
will support moderate rainfall amounts, but the expected
acceleration of the front should preclude excessive rainfall.
Although instability is somewhat limited, enough shear will be
present to prevent completely excluding the chance of severe weather
across the area. The front should clear our area by late tonight,
followed by winds veering from south to northwest, and drier air
moving and clearer skies moving in. Minimum temperatures tonight
will run above normal. Maximum temperatures on Thursday will run
near normal.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of Noon EST Wednesday: Zonal flow will be in place aloft across
the eastern CONUS Thursday night through Friday. Meanwhile, shallow
NW flow moisture may persist along the TN border in the northern
mountains into Friday, but will carry no PoPs given the weak WNW
upslope character and very shallow moisture. Cold temperatures would
support flurries or snow, however, if more moisture arrives than
progged. Otherwise, surface high pressure will gradually build east
toward the Appalachian chain and keep profiles dry across the region.

A broad but shallow ridge will then develop through Saturday across
the southeast. Although model differences persist with the expected
upstream low pressure development across TX and the western gulf
coast, there is good agreement on little if any upglide moisture
returning through 00Z Sunday. Will thus keep the forecast dry
through Saturday afternoon. Temperatures Friday through Saturday
will be near to just below climo, slightly cooler Saturday than
Friday.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 230 PM EST Wednesday...the medium range portion of the
forecast continues to be plagued with uncertainty among the global
models. The extended period kicks off 00z Sunday with our area under
a weak upper ridge, with a surface high centered over the OH River
Valley and an upper low over the Baha Peninsula. A plume of moisture
associated with a gulf surface low begins to extend into the CWA
overnight Saturday, with pops ramping up to the chance category by
Sunday morning.

Models diverge at this point on the handling of the progression and
depth of the upper low as it ejects out of the desert Southwest,
which has fairly significant implications as far as pops/QPF in our
area. As WPC mentioned in today's extended discussion, the faster
ECMWF has displayed poorer run-to-run consistency than the GFS, so
confidence is generally higher in the 12Z GFS solution and the
forecast is weighted more heavily toward it and its ensemble mean,
which is also in relatively good agreement on the handling of the
upper low.

The first possible round of rainfall, associated with a gulf low and
weak front, will arrive Sunday night and last into Monday morning.
There may be a brief lull in the precip Monday during the day before
the upper low ejecting from the desert southwest develops a surface
reflection and frontal structure, and ramps up rain chances Tuesday
once again. Another lull in pops in anticipated Wednesday before
another frontal system arrives Thursday, though confidence in this
lull is low enough that low-end chance pops are carried through the
entire extended period. Bottom line...next week looks like it will
favor a rather wet pattern, though QPF totals are uncertain for the
time being. The temperature forecast is also uncertain to say the
least at the moment, though there is a good feeling that the medium
range will begin with temps about 5 degrees below normal. A
moderating trend back to average seems like the most likely solution
for the rest of the extended period at this point, though there are
some hints at much colder air arriving over the area towards the end
of the next work week, with some mixed precip possible over the
higher terrain. This will of course be re-evaluated in future
forecast cycles.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: Model guidance supports rain induced
afternoon vsby restrictions at Foothill sites and KAVL as a cold
front moves across the area, but keeps KCLT VFR. Convection is
possible at all sites. As the front moves through overnight, winds
veer from south to northwest in NC, and west in SC, remaining just
strong enough to keep daybreak vsby restrictions from occurring. IFR
vsby restrictions this afternoon will lift to low VFR this evening
before eroding completely overnight.

Outlook: Dry high pressure returns in the wake of the front for
Thursday thru Saturday.

Confidence Table...

            19-01Z        01-07Z        07-13Z        13-18Z
KCLT       High  91%     High  96%     High 100%     High 100%
KGSP       Med   70%     High  99%     High 100%     High 100%
KAVL       Med   70%     High  95%     High 100%     High 100%
KHKY       Med   74%     High  90%     High 100%     High 100%
KGMU       Med   66%     High  99%     High 100%     High 100%
KAND       Med   79%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%

The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts
are available at the following link:

www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...Wind Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for NCZ033-048>053-
     058-059-062>064-505.
SC...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HG
NEAR TERM...JAT
SHORT TERM...HG
LONG TERM...LEV
AVIATION...JAT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
612 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501>510-
SCZ001>007-010>012-019-012315-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-
MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-
GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-GREENWOOD-
612 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-SCZ009-014-012315-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-YORK-CHESTER-
612 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND
THE EASTERN UPSTATE OF SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE QUICKLY THROUGH THE INTERSTATE
77 CORRIDOR EARLY THIS EVENING. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO RELAY ANY REPORTS OF DAMAGING
WINDS...TORNADOES...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

SCZ008-013-012315-
CHEROKEE-UNION-
612 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 514 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO RELAY ANY REPORTS OF DAMAGING
WINDS...TORNADOES...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

HG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
615 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0532 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 W HICKORY             35.74N 81.38W
11/30/2016                   CATAWBA            NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DOWN ON POWER LINE ON 2ND AVE. NW NEAR HICKORY
            REGIONAL AIRPORT

&&

JMP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
618 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 PM     TORNADO          SIMPSONVILLE            34.73N 82.26W
11/30/2016                   GREENVILLE         SC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            EXTERIOR WALL COLLAPSE AT BAILEYS HEATING AND AIR

&&

LVISIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
619 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 PM     TORNADO          SIMPSONVILLE            34.73N 82.26W
11/30/2016                   GREENVILLE         SC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            SIDING TORN OFF OF HOME IN MORNING MIST SUBDIVISION

&&

LVISIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
621 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0548 PM     TSTM WND GST     5 S LONGVIEW            35.65N 81.38W
11/30/2016  E60 MPH          CATAWBA            NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WIND GUSTS OVER 60MPH BREAKING OFF TREE LIMBS NEAR THE
            MOUNTAIN VIEW COMMUNITY AT THE INTERSECTION OF NC-127 AND
            DEERFIELD LN.

&&

JMP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
625 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 PM     TSTM WND DMG     7 N STATESVILLE         35.89N 80.89W
11/30/2016                   IREDELL            NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN ON HWY 21 NORTH OF STATESVILLE

&&

LVISIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
641 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0605 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CLOVER                  35.11N 81.23W
11/30/2016                   YORK               SC   911 CALL CENTER

            SEVERAL CLUSTERS OF TREES DOWN AROUND CLOVER.

&&

HG