Severe Thunderstorm Warning 247, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

915 
WWUS52 KGSP 302340
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
640 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

NCC003-035-071-109-SCC023-091-302349-
/O.CAN.KGSP.SV.W.0247.000000T0000Z-161201T0000Z/
CATAWBA NC-GASTON NC-ALEXANDER NC-LINCOLN NC-YORK SC-CHESTER SC-
640 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CATAWBA...GASTON...
SOUTHEASTERN ALEXANDER...LINCOLN...YORK AND CHESTER COUNTIES IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3550 8030 3519 8051 3519 8028 3481 8032
      3482 8080 3494 8078 3511 8093 3506 8106
      3534 8099 3536 8092 3537 8099 3562 8092
      3578 8111 3596 8100 3604 8045 3589 8037
      3583 8049 3574 8046 3571 8033 3551 8018
TIME...MOT...LOC 2339Z 262DEG 23KT 3603 8056 3573 8078 3557 8087 3510
8077 3454 8073

$$

NCC025-059-097-119-159-179-010000-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0247.000000T0000Z-161201T0000Z/
MECKLENBURG NC-ROWAN NC-UNION NC-CABARRUS NC-IREDELL NC-DAVIE NC-
640 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EST
FOR MECKLENBURG...ROWAN...UNION...CABARRUS...IREDELL AND DAVIE
COUNTIES...

AT 639 PM EST...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF YADKINVILLE TO 7 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF STATESVILLE TO 10 MILES NORTH OF HUNTERSVILLE TO 10 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF UPTOWN CHARLOTTE TO 13 MILES SOUTH OF LANCASTER...MOVING
EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
UPTOWN CHARLOTTE...HUNTERSVILLE...KANNAPOLIS...DOWNTOWN CONCORD...
MONROE...SALISBURY...STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...CENTRAL CHARLOTTE AND
SOUTH CHARLOTTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF BRIEF...WEAK
TORNADOES. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN INTERIOR ROOM.

A FEW TREES AND POWER LINES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN IN THE WARNED AREA.
STORMS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL...AND LITTLE OR NO
LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN INTERIOR ROOM.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL
FREE...1...800... 2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK
PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD
DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3550 8030 3519 8051 3519 8028 3481 8032
      3482 8080 3494 8078 3511 8093 3506 8106
      3534 8099 3536 8092 3537 8099 3562 8092
      3578 8111 3596 8100 3604 8045 3589 8037
      3583 8049 3574 8046 3571 8033 3551 8018
TIME...MOT...LOC 2339Z 262DEG 23KT 3603 8056 3573 8078 3557 8087 3510
8077 3454 8073

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

RWH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
245 PM EST Wed Nov 30 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will move swiftly east across the region this evening.
Drier and cooler conditions will return tonight through Thursday and
persist through Saturday. Moisture should return from the west for
the latter half of the weekend and possibly linger into early next
week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
At 2 PM Wednesday: An upper trough will broaden and extend across
the Southern Appalachians overnight, with zonal flow resulting across
the southern tier of the USA resulting by Thursday. A weakening vort
lobe will pass cross the Central Appalachians overnight.

At the surface, a cold front will approach from the west this
afternoon, preceded by moist inflow from the Gulf of Mexico. Upslope
flow and modest isentropic upglide over the southern appalachians
will support moderate rainfall amounts, but the expected
acceleration of the front should preclude excessive rainfall.
Although instability is somewhat limited, enough shear will be
present to prevent completely excluding the chance of severe weather
across the area. The front should clear our area by late tonight,
followed by winds veering from south to northwest, and drier air
moving and clearer skies moving in. Minimum temperatures tonight
will run above normal. Maximum temperatures on Thursday will run
near normal.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of Noon EST Wednesday: Zonal flow will be in place aloft across
the eastern CONUS Thursday night through Friday. Meanwhile, shallow
NW flow moisture may persist along the TN border in the northern
mountains into Friday, but will carry no PoPs given the weak WNW
upslope character and very shallow moisture. Cold temperatures would
support flurries or snow, however, if more moisture arrives than
progged. Otherwise, surface high pressure will gradually build east
toward the Appalachian chain and keep profiles dry across the region.

A broad but shallow ridge will then develop through Saturday across
the southeast. Although model differences persist with the expected
upstream low pressure development across TX and the western gulf
coast, there is good agreement on little if any upglide moisture
returning through 00Z Sunday. Will thus keep the forecast dry
through Saturday afternoon. Temperatures Friday through Saturday
will be near to just below climo, slightly cooler Saturday than
Friday.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 230 PM EST Wednesday...the medium range portion of the
forecast continues to be plagued with uncertainty among the global
models. The extended period kicks off 00z Sunday with our area under
a weak upper ridge, with a surface high centered over the OH River
Valley and an upper low over the Baha Peninsula. A plume of moisture
associated with a gulf surface low begins to extend into the CWA
overnight Saturday, with pops ramping up to the chance category by
Sunday morning.

Models diverge at this point on the handling of the progression and
depth of the upper low as it ejects out of the desert Southwest,
which has fairly significant implications as far as pops/QPF in our
area. As WPC mentioned in today's extended discussion, the faster
ECMWF has displayed poorer run-to-run consistency than the GFS, so
confidence is generally higher in the 12Z GFS solution and the
forecast is weighted more heavily toward it and its ensemble mean,
which is also in relatively good agreement on the handling of the
upper low.

The first possible round of rainfall, associated with a gulf low and
weak front, will arrive Sunday night and last into Monday morning.
There may be a brief lull in the precip Monday during the day before
the upper low ejecting from the desert southwest develops a surface
reflection and frontal structure, and ramps up rain chances Tuesday
once again. Another lull in pops in anticipated Wednesday before
another frontal system arrives Thursday, though confidence in this
lull is low enough that low-end chance pops are carried through the
entire extended period. Bottom line...next week looks like it will
favor a rather wet pattern, though QPF totals are uncertain for the
time being. The temperature forecast is also uncertain to say the
least at the moment, though there is a good feeling that the medium
range will begin with temps about 5 degrees below normal. A
moderating trend back to average seems like the most likely solution
for the rest of the extended period at this point, though there are
some hints at much colder air arriving over the area towards the end
of the next work week, with some mixed precip possible over the
higher terrain. This will of course be re-evaluated in future
forecast cycles.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: Model guidance supports rain induced
afternoon vsby restrictions at Foothill sites and KAVL as a cold
front moves across the area, but keeps KCLT VFR. Convection is
possible at all sites. As the front moves through overnight, winds
veer from south to northwest in NC, and west in SC, remaining just
strong enough to keep daybreak vsby restrictions from occurring. IFR
vsby restrictions this afternoon will lift to low VFR this evening
before eroding completely overnight.

Outlook: Dry high pressure returns in the wake of the front for
Thursday thru Saturday.

Confidence Table...

            19-01Z        01-07Z        07-13Z        13-18Z
KCLT       High  91%     High  96%     High 100%     High 100%
KGSP       Med   70%     High  99%     High 100%     High 100%
KAVL       Med   70%     High  95%     High 100%     High 100%
KHKY       Med   74%     High  90%     High 100%     High 100%
KGMU       Med   66%     High  99%     High 100%     High 100%
KAND       Med   79%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%

The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts
are available at the following link:

www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...Wind Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for NCZ033-048>053-
     058-059-062>064-505.
SC...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HG
NEAR TERM...JAT
SHORT TERM...HG
LONG TERM...LEV
AVIATION...JAT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
612 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501>510-
SCZ001>007-010>012-019-012315-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-
MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-
GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-GREENWOOD-
612 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-SCZ009-014-012315-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-YORK-CHESTER-
612 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND
THE EASTERN UPSTATE OF SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE QUICKLY THROUGH THE INTERSTATE
77 CORRIDOR EARLY THIS EVENING. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO RELAY ANY REPORTS OF DAMAGING
WINDS...TORNADOES...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

SCZ008-013-012315-
CHEROKEE-UNION-
612 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 514 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO RELAY ANY REPORTS OF DAMAGING
WINDS...TORNADOES...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

HG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
550 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 E PLEASANT GROVE      35.64N 81.52W
11/30/2016                   BURKE              NC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREES DOWN AT ADDRESS 7904 NC 18.

&&

JMP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
551 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 S ANDERSON            34.45N 82.63W
11/30/2016                   ANDERSON           SC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREE DOWN ON HICKORY LN

&&

LVISIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
555 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SSE BELTON            34.49N 82.48W
11/30/2016                   ANDERSON           SC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREE DOWN ON CLAMP RD

&&

LVISIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
602 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     TSTM WND DMG     7 SSE ANDERSON          34.43N 82.58W
11/30/2016                   ANDERSON           SC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREE DOWN ON MARTIN DR

&&

LVISIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
610 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SIMPSONVILLE            34.73N 82.26W
11/30/2016                   GREENVILLE         SC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            POWER LINES DOWN HAVE STARTED A FIRE IN SIMPONVILLE

0455 PM     TORNADO          SIMPSONVILLE            34.73N 82.26W
11/30/2016                   GREENVILLE         SC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            POWER LINES DOWN STARTED A FIRE IN SIMPSONVILLE

&&

LVISIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
611 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 S TAYLORSVILLE        35.89N 81.17W
11/30/2016                   ALEXANDER          NC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            A TREE IS BLOCKING OLD LANDFILL RD NEAR TAYLORSVILLE.

&&

JMP