Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 246, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

November 30, 20166 counties in South Carolina; 10 counties in North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Nov 30, 2016, 5:26 PM EST for 6 counties in South Carolina; 10 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 49 min. 8 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Nov 30, 2016, 5:26 PM EST (22:26 UTC)
Expired
Nov 30, 2016, 6:15 PM EST
In force
49 min
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Possible
Hail
0.75 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Alexander County, NC, Burke County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, Catawba County, NC, Cleveland County, NC, Davie County, NC, Gaston County, NC, Iredell County, NC, Lincoln County, NC, Rutherford County, NC, Cherokee County, SC, Chester County, SC, Laurens County, SC, Spartanburg County, SC, Union County, SC, York County, SC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 103 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Nov 30, 5:30 PM ESTTSTM WND DMG2 S Taylorsville, NCA TREE IS BLOCKING OLD LANDFILL RD NEAR TAYLORSVILLE.
Nov 30, 5:30 PM ESTTSTM WND DMG3 E Pleasant Grove, NCTREES DOWN AT ADDRESS 7904 NC 18.
Nov 30, 5:32 PM ESTTSTM WND DMG3 W Hickory, NCTREE DOWN ON POWER LINE ON 2ND AVE. NW NEAR HICKORY REGIONAL AIRPORT
Nov 30, 5:35 PM ESTTSTM WND DMG6 S Taylorsville, NCTREES DOWN IN WITTENBURG COMMUNITY IN THE VICINITY OF NC-16 AND FRIENDSHIP CHURCH RD.
Nov 30, 5:48 PM ESTTSTM WND GST 605 S Longview, NCWIND GUSTS OVER 60MPH BREAKING OFF TREE LIMBS NEAR THE MOUNTAIN VIEW COMMUNITY AT THE INTERSECTION OF NC-127 AND DEERFIELD LN.
Nov 30, 5:58 PM ESTTSTM WND DMG6 Se Hickory Grove, SCTREES DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 97
Nov 30, 6:05 PM ESTTSTM WND DMGClover, SCSEVERAL CLUSTERS OF TREES DOWN AROUND CLOVER.
Nov 30, 6:15 PM ESTTSTM WND DMG7 N Statesville, NCTREES DOWN ON HWY 21 NORTH OF STATESVILLE

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 8 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 4 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Nov 30, 3:23 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC3 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 150 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2016-11-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 57 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2016-11-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 283 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
57 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-81 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
623 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
56 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
283 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
254 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

921 
WUUS52 KGSP 302226
SVRGSP
NCC003-023-027-035-045-059-071-097-109-161-SCC021-023-059-083-087-
091-302315-
/O.NEW.KGSP.SV.W.0246.161130T2226Z-161130T2315Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
526 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN CALDWELL COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
  SOUTHEASTERN BURKE COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
  EASTERN RUTHERFORD COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
  CATAWBA COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...
  GASTON COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...
  CLEVELAND COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...
  IREDELL COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...
  ALEXANDER COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...
  LINCOLN COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...
  NORTHWESTERN DAVIE COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...
  SOUTHEASTERN LAURENS COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
  UNION COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
  YORK COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
  EASTERN SPARTANBURG COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
  CHEROKEE COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
  CHESTER COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 615 PM EST

* AT 526 PM EST...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
  EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES EAST OF TAYLORSVILLE TO 14 MILES NORTH OF
  SHELBY TO 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF FOREST CITY TO 5 MILES SOUTH OF
  UNION TO 8 MILES WEST OF NEWBERRY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  GASTONIA...ROCK HILL...HICKORY...SPARTANBURG...STATESVILLE...
  SHELBY...NEWTON...GAFFNEY...LINCOLNTON AND UNION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF BRIEF...WEAK
TORNADOES. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN INTERIOR ROOM.

A FEW TREES AND POWER LINES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN IN THE WARNED AREA.
STORMS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL...AND LITTLE OR NO
LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN INTERIOR ROOM.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL
FREE...1...800... 2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK
PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD
DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3605 8055 3585 8076 3557 8094 3537 8099
      3536 8092 3534 8099 3516 8100 3514 8105
      3504 8104 3511 8094 3506 8090 3455 8087
      3457 8142 3450 8142 3445 8154 3453 8164
      3431 8188 3527 8199 3570 8174 3605 8101
TIME...MOT...LOC 2226Z 240DEG 47KT 3595 8104 3550 8153 3524 8177 3464
8164 3428 8177

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

RWH
2 follow-up statements
703 
WWUS52 KGSP 302242
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
542 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

SCC059-083-302252-
/O.CAN.KGSP.SV.W.0246.000000T0000Z-161130T2315Z/
LAURENS SC-SPARTANBURG SC-
542 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN LAURENS AND
EASTERN SPARTANBURG COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EST FOR
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3585 8076 3557 8094 3537 8099 3536 8092
      3534 8099 3516 8100 3514 8105 3504 8104
      3511 8094 3506 8090 3455 8087 3457 8142
      3450 8142 3445 8154 3453 8164 3517 8176
      3553 8173 3587 8139 3605 8101 3605 8055
TIME...MOT...LOC 2242Z 240DEG 47KT 3604 8084 3559 8133 3533 8157 3473
8144 3437 8158

$$

NCC003-023-027-035-045-059-071-097-109-161-SCC021-023-087-091-302315-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0246.000000T0000Z-161130T2315Z/
CALDWELL NC-BURKE NC-RUTHERFORD NC-CATAWBA NC-GASTON NC-CLEVELAND NC-
IREDELL NC-ALEXANDER NC-LINCOLN NC-DAVIE NC-UNION SC-YORK SC-
CHEROKEE SC-CHESTER SC-
542 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM EST
FOR SOUTHEASTERN CALDWELL...SOUTHEASTERN BURKE...EAST CENTRAL
RUTHERFORD...CATAWBA...GASTON...CLEVELAND...IREDELL...ALEXANDER...
LINCOLN...NORTHWESTERN DAVIE...UNION...YORK...CHEROKEE AND CHESTER
COUNTIES...

AT 542 PM EST...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF YADKINVILLE TO 8 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF NEWTON TO 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF SHELBY TO 10 MILES EAST OF UNION TO
6 MILES NORTH OF NEWBERRY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GASTONIA...ROCK HILL...HICKORY...STATESVILLE...SHELBY...NEWTON...
GAFFNEY...LINCOLNTON...UNION AND YORK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF BRIEF...WEAK
TORNADOES. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN INTERIOR ROOM.

A FEW TREES AND POWER LINES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN IN THE WARNED AREA.
STORMS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL...AND LITTLE OR NO
LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN INTERIOR ROOM.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL
FREE...1...800... 2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK
PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD
DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3585 8076 3557 8094 3537 8099 3536 8092
      3534 8099 3516 8100 3514 8105 3504 8104
      3511 8094 3506 8090 3455 8087 3457 8142
      3450 8142 3445 8154 3453 8164 3517 8176
      3553 8173 3587 8139 3605 8101 3605 8055
TIME...MOT...LOC 2242Z 240DEG 47KT 3604 8084 3559 8133 3533 8157 3473
8144 3437 8158

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

RWH
348 
WWUS52 KGSP 302307
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
607 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

NCC023-027-045-161-SCC021-087-302316-
/O.CAN.KGSP.SV.W.0246.000000T0000Z-161130T2315Z/
CALDWELL NC-BURKE NC-RUTHERFORD NC-CLEVELAND NC-UNION SC-CHEROKEE SC-
607 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN CALDWELL...
SOUTHEASTERN BURKE...EAST CENTRAL RUTHERFORD...CLEVELAND...UNION AND
CHEROKEE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EST FOR
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3557 8094 3537 8099 3536 8092 3534 8099
      3516 8100 3514 8105 3504 8104 3511 8094
      3506 8090 3455 8087 3457 8142 3473 8149
      3503 8149 3505 8141 3526 8132 3557 8153
      3580 8133 3589 8134 3605 8101 3605 8055
TIME...MOT...LOC 2306Z 240DEG 47KT 3619 8051 3574 8100 3548 8124 3488
8111 3452 8126

$$

NCC003-035-059-071-097-109-SCC023-091-302315-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0246.000000T0000Z-161130T2315Z/
CATAWBA NC-GASTON NC-IREDELL NC-ALEXANDER NC-LINCOLN NC-DAVIE NC-
YORK SC-CHESTER SC-
607 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM EST
FOR CATAWBA...GASTON...IREDELL...ALEXANDER...LINCOLN...NORTHWESTERN
DAVIE...YORK AND CHESTER COUNTIES...

AT 606 PM EST...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR EAST BEND TO 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF STATESVILLE TO
NEAR LINCOLNTON TO 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ROCK HILL TO 12 MILES SOUTH
OF CHESTER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GASTONIA...ROCK HILL...HICKORY...STATESVILLE...NEWTON...LINCOLNTON...
YORK...CHESTER...TAYLORSVILLE AND MT HOLLY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF BRIEF...WEAK
TORNADOES. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN INTERIOR ROOM.

A FEW TREES AND POWER LINES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN IN THE WARNED AREA.
STORMS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL...AND LITTLE OR NO
LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN INTERIOR ROOM.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL
FREE...1...800... 2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK
PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD
DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3557 8094 3537 8099 3536 8092 3534 8099
      3516 8100 3514 8105 3504 8104 3511 8094
      3506 8090 3455 8087 3457 8142 3473 8149
      3503 8149 3505 8141 3526 8132 3557 8153
      3580 8133 3589 8134 3605 8101 3605 8055
TIME...MOT...LOC 2306Z 240DEG 47KT 3619 8051 3574 8100 3548 8124 3488
8111 3452 8126

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

RWH

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Nov 30, 2:45 PM EST, 2 hours 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 30, 2:45 PM EST, 2 hours 41 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
245 PM EST Wed Nov 30 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will move swiftly east across the region this evening.
Drier and cooler conditions will return tonight through Thursday and
persist through Saturday. Moisture should return from the west for
the latter half of the weekend and possibly linger into early next
week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
At 2 PM Wednesday: An upper trough will broaden and extend across
the Southern Appalachians overnight, with zonal flow resulting across
the southern tier of the USA resulting by Thursday. A weakening vort
lobe will pass cross the Central Appalachians overnight.

At the surface, a cold front will approach from the west this
afternoon, preceded by moist inflow from the Gulf of Mexico. Upslope
flow and modest isentropic upglide over the southern appalachians
will support moderate rainfall amounts, but the expected
acceleration of the front should preclude excessive rainfall.
Although instability is somewhat limited, enough shear will be
present to prevent completely excluding the chance of severe weather
across the area. The front should clear our area by late tonight,
followed by winds veering from south to northwest, and drier air
moving and clearer skies moving in. Minimum temperatures tonight
will run above normal. Maximum temperatures on Thursday will run
near normal.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of Noon EST Wednesday: Zonal flow will be in place aloft across
the eastern CONUS Thursday night through Friday. Meanwhile, shallow
NW flow moisture may persist along the TN border in the northern
mountains into Friday, but will carry no PoPs given the weak WNW
upslope character and very shallow moisture. Cold temperatures would
support flurries or snow, however, if more moisture arrives than
progged. Otherwise, surface high pressure will gradually build east
toward the Appalachian chain and keep profiles dry across the region.

A broad but shallow ridge will then develop through Saturday across
the southeast. Although model differences persist with the expected
upstream low pressure development across TX and the western gulf
coast, there is good agreement on little if any upglide moisture
returning through 00Z Sunday. Will thus keep the forecast dry
through Saturday afternoon. Temperatures Friday through Saturday
will be near to just below climo, slightly cooler Saturday than
Friday.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 230 PM EST Wednesday...the medium range portion of the
forecast continues to be plagued with uncertainty among the global
models. The extended period kicks off 00z Sunday with our area under
a weak upper ridge, with a surface high centered over the OH River
Valley and an upper low over the Baha Peninsula. A plume of moisture
associated with a gulf surface low begins to extend into the CWA
overnight Saturday, with pops ramping up to the chance category by
Sunday morning.

Models diverge at this point on the handling of the progression and
depth of the upper low as it ejects out of the desert Southwest,
which has fairly significant implications as far as pops/QPF in our
area. As WPC mentioned in today's extended discussion, the faster
ECMWF has displayed poorer run-to-run consistency than the GFS, so
confidence is generally higher in the 12Z GFS solution and the
forecast is weighted more heavily toward it and its ensemble mean,
which is also in relatively good agreement on the handling of the
upper low.

The first possible round of rainfall, associated with a gulf low and
weak front, will arrive Sunday night and last into Monday morning.
There may be a brief lull in the precip Monday during the day before
the upper low ejecting from the desert southwest develops a surface
reflection and frontal structure, and ramps up rain chances Tuesday
once again. Another lull in pops in anticipated Wednesday before
another frontal system arrives Thursday, though confidence in this
lull is low enough that low-end chance pops are carried through the
entire extended period. Bottom line...next week looks like it will
favor a rather wet pattern, though QPF totals are uncertain for the
time being. The temperature forecast is also uncertain to say the
least at the moment, though there is a good feeling that the medium
range will begin with temps about 5 degrees below normal. A
moderating trend back to average seems like the most likely solution
for the rest of the extended period at this point, though there are
some hints at much colder air arriving over the area towards the end
of the next work week, with some mixed precip possible over the
higher terrain. This will of course be re-evaluated in future
forecast cycles.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: Model guidance supports rain induced
afternoon vsby restrictions at Foothill sites and KAVL as a cold
front moves across the area, but keeps KCLT VFR. Convection is
possible at all sites. As the front moves through overnight, winds
veer from south to northwest in NC, and west in SC, remaining just
strong enough to keep daybreak vsby restrictions from occurring. IFR
vsby restrictions this afternoon will lift to low VFR this evening
before eroding completely overnight.

Outlook: Dry high pressure returns in the wake of the front for
Thursday thru Saturday.

Confidence Table...

            19-01Z        01-07Z        07-13Z        13-18Z
KCLT       High  91%     High  96%     High 100%     High 100%
KGSP       Med   70%     High  99%     High 100%     High 100%
KAVL       Med   70%     High  95%     High 100%     High 100%
KHKY       Med   74%     High  90%     High 100%     High 100%
KGMU       Med   66%     High  99%     High 100%     High 100%
KAND       Med   79%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%

The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts
are available at the following link:

www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...Wind Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for NCZ033-048>053-
     058-059-062>064-505.
SC...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HG
NEAR TERM...JAT
SHORT TERM...HG
LONG TERM...LEV
AVIATION...JAT
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 30, 3:53 PM EST, 1 hour 33 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
353 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>064-505-012100-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
353 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MOST OF THE MOUNTAINS OF
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ035>037-056-065-068-069-501>504-506>510-012100-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-
353 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAIN
LOCATIONS EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE...THE NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS
AND NORTHWEST PIEDMONT.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

BANDS OF SHOWERS...WITH A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS...WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT OF THE CAROLINAS THROUGH EARLY
EVENING. A FEW CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE POSSIBLE.
SOME OF THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG
WIND GUSTS THAT COULD KNOCK DOWN TREES AND LIMBS. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ018-026-028-029-SCZ001>008-010>013-019-012100-
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-
UNION-GREENWOOD-
353 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 514 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND UPSTATE
SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

GAZ010-017-012100-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-
353 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHEAST
GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND BRIEFLY GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON BEFORE TAPERING OFF.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ057-070>072-082-SCZ009-014-012100-
ROWAN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-YORK-CHESTER-
353 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND
THE EASTERN UPSTATE OF SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

BANDS OF SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CROSS THE
CHARLOTTE METRO AREA EARLY THIS EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE
STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH IN THE STRONGEST
THUNDERSTORMS. CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD
BLOW DOWN TREES AND LIMBS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

GERAPETRITIS

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 30, 4:59 PM EST, 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
459 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 WSW SIMPSONVILLE      34.72N 82.30W
11/30/2016  E0 MPH           GREENVILLE         SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            CAR PICKED UP AND SPUN AROUND ON WEST GEORGIA RD.

&&

LVISIN
Local storm report, Nov 30, 5:03 PM EST, 23 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
503 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0458 PM     TSTM WND GST     SIMPSONVILLE            34.73N 82.26W
11/30/2016  E0 MPH           GREENVILLE         SC   AMATEUR RADIO

            LARGE LIMBS DOWN AT SOUTH ST. AND WOODSIDE RD.

&&

LVISIN
Local storm report, Nov 30, 5:06 PM EST, 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
506 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0458 PM     TSTM WND GST     SIMPSONVILLE            34.73N 82.26W
11/30/2016  E0 MPH           GREENVILLE         SC   AMATEUR RADIO

            LARGE OAK TREE DOWN AT SOUTH ST. AND COLLEGE ST.

&&

LVISIN
Local storm report, Nov 30, 5:17 PM EST, 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
517 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0505 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SIMPSONVILLE            34.73N 82.26W
11/30/2016                   GREENVILLE         SC   AMATEUR RADIO

            LARGE TREE BROKEN OFF 15 FT ABOVE THE GROUND ON SOUTH
            ALMOND DRIVE

&&

LVISIN
Local storm report, Nov 30, 5:19 PM EST, 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
519 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0452 PM     TORNADO          3 ENE SIMPSONVILLE      34.75N 82.22W
11/30/2016                   GREENVILLE         SC   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORTS NUMEROUS TREES AND POWER LINES SNAPPED AT
            THE INTERSECTION OF E GEORGIA RD. AND LEE VAUGHN RD.

&&

JMP
Local storm report, Nov 30, 5:25 PM EST, 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
525 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0450 PM     TORNADO          SIMPSONVILLE            34.73N 82.26W
11/30/2016                   GREENVILLE         SC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ON BUILDINGS IN SIMPSONVILLE, LARGE
            TREE UPROOTED ON CURTIS ST NEAR CITY PARK, LARGE TREE
            DOWN ON HEDGE ST BLOCKING THE ROAD BEHIND SIMPSONVILLE
            METHODIST CHURCH, AWNING RIPPED OFF OF BUILDING, AND
            NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES IN DOWNTOWN SIMPSONVILLE

&&

LVISIN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 30, 2:28 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPOconee32 min
Nov 30, 2:45 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPOconee45 min
Nov 30, 3:16 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAnderson, Oconee44 min
Nov 30, 3:27 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPOconee, Pickens48 min
Nov 30, 3:59 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAbbeville, Anderson, Greenville, Oconee, Pickens46 min
Nov 30, 4:12 PM ESTTornado WarningGSPAnderson, Greenville48 min
Nov 30, 4:41 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAbbeville, Anderson, Cherokee, Greenville, Greenwood, Laurens and 2 more49 min
Nov 30, 4:54 PM ESTTornado Warning Tornado observedGSPGreenville, Laurens, Spartanburg36 min
Nov 30, 5:04 PM ESTTornado WarningGSPCherokee, Spartanburg26 min
Nov 30, 5:50 PM ESTTornado WarningGSPChester, Union40 min
Nov 30, 5:53 PM ESTTornado WarningGSPChester, York37 min
Nov 30, 6:13 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPChester, York47 min
Nov 30, 6:26 PM ESTTornado WarningGSPYork34 min
Nov 30, 7:47 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPGraham, Haywood, Jackson, Macon, Swain, Transylvania73 min
Nov 30, 9:37 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPGraham53 min
Nov 30, 10:47 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPMadison43 min
Nov 30, 12:53 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPGraham37 min
Nov 30, 1:28 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPSwain32 min
Nov 30, 1:37 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPJackson, Macon23 min
Nov 30, 2:01 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPHaywood, Jackson, Macon29 min
Nov 30, 3:00 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPBuncombe, Henderson, Transylvania30 min
Nov 30, 6:56 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCabarrus, Davie, Rowan, Union34 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in South Carolina, 2016Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.