Alert archive / Michigan / Special Weather Statements in 2016

Special Weather Statement, NWS Grand Rapids, MI

March 31, 2016Mecosta County, Michigan

NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued this special weather statement at Mar 31, 2016, 11:18 AM EDT for Mecosta County, Michigan. It was in force for 42 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 31, 2016, 11:18 AM EDT (15:18 UTC)
Expired
Mar 31, 2016, 12:00 PM EDT
In force
42 min
Issued by
NWS Grand Rapids, MI

County Mecosta County, MI

The radar

The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 3.3 hours before the alert went out and 202 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2016-03-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2016-03-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 464 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
476 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
464 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
478 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Rapids, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Mar 31, 10:15 AM EDT, 1 hour 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 31, 10:15 AM EDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 31, 9:30 AM EDT, 1 hour 48 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
930 AM EDT THU MAR 31 2016

MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-011045-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-
INGHAM-VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
930 AM EDT THU MAR 31 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...ESPECIALLY BETWEEN NOON AND ABOUT
800PM. IT IS NOT OUT THE QUESTION THAT SOME OF THE STRONGEST
THUNDERSTORMS MAY HAVE SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND OR HAIL TO 1 INCH IN
DIAMETER NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 96 DURING THIS TIME. MORE
LIKELY THROUGH MOST OF THE STORMS WILL BE STRONG WITH HAIL TO AROUND
A HALF INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH. CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY
TODAYS STORMS AS WELL. STORMS TODAY WILL RACE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST
AT 40 TO 50 MPH.

LOCALIZED FLOODING IS POSSIBLE TODAY IN LOW LYING AREAS AND ALONG
SOME RIVERS AND STREAMS THAT ALREADY HAVE ELEVATED LEVELS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

COLDER WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
ACCUMULATING SNOW IS POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY AND AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY.

RIVER LEVELS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED INTO THIS WEEKEND AT LEAST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS UNLIKELY TODAY.

LMZ844>849-011045-
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-
WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-
930 AM EDT THU MAR 31 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WINDS AND WAVES WILL BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALLER CRAFT BOTH TODAY AND
TONIGHT ON LAKE MICHIGAN. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE
LAKE FROM MIDDAY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. STORMS WILL CONTAIN
CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTNING STRIKES AND POTENTIALLY SMALL HAIL AND
GUSTY WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

WINDS AND WAVES WILL INCREASE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY BEHIND A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
SYSTEM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS UNLIKELY TODAY.

DUKE WDM

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 31, 9:56 AM EDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before
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Local storm report, Mar 31, 10:10 AM EDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Mar 31, 11:18 AM EDT, 0 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 30, 10:18 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningGRRNewaygo6 days
Mar 30, 10:45 PM EDTRiver Flood AdvisoryGRRKent8 days
Mar 31, 11:03 AM EDTRiver Flood AdvisoryGRRKent7 days
Mar 31, 11:03 AM EDTRiver Flood AdvisoryGRRIonia7 days
Mar 31, 11:03 AM EDTRiver Flood AdvisoryGRRKent4 days
Mar 31, 11:03 AM EDTRiver Flood AdvisoryGRRMecosta59 hr
Mar 31, 1:36 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRLake, Mason, Oceana54 min
Mar 31, 2:50 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningGRR40 min
Mar 31, 3:05 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRMuskegon, Newaygo, Oceana55 min
Mar 31, 3:24 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRIsabella, Mecosta66 min
Mar 31, 3:29 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningGRR46 min
Mar 31, 3:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRAllegan, Ottawa51 min
Mar 31, 3:49 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRBarry, Eaton56 min
Mar 31, 4:16 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRKent44 min
Mar 31, 4:49 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRBarry, Gratiot, Ionia, Isabella, Montcalm56 min
Mar 31, 5:26 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRCalhoun, Kalamazoo94 min
Mar 31, 5:51 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRREaton39 min
Mar 31, 6:20 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRIngham, Jackson85 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Michigan, 2016Every special weather statement in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.