Severe Thunderstorm Warning 59, NWS Goodland, KS

952 
WWUS53 KGLD 082304
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
604 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2016

KSC065-082330-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0059.000000T0000Z-160508T2330Z/
GRAHAM KS-
604 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN GRAHAM COUNTY...

AT 603 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF
VODA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT WIND 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HILL CITY AND BOGUE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR NORTHWESTERN
KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3913 9973 3913 10007 3937 9992 3938 9960
      3924 9961
TIME...MOT...LOC 2303Z 213DEG 17KT 3916 9992 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

HUSTED

060 
WWUS53 KGLD 082318
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
618 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2016

KSC065-082330-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0059.000000T0000Z-160508T2330Z/
GRAHAM KS-
618 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN GRAHAM COUNTY...

AT 618 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES SOUTH OF
HILL CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT WIND 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HILL CITY AND BOGUE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR NORTHWESTERN
KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3913 9973 3913 9993 3926 9999 3937 9992
      3938 9960 3924 9961
TIME...MOT...LOC 2318Z 216DEG 16KT 3921 9987 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

HUSTED

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
259 PM MDT SUN MAY 8 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1159 AM MDT SUN MAY 8 2016

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE EASTWARD INTO THE PLAINS THROUGH THE
DAY TODAY AND INTO MONDAY WITH A COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTHEASTWARD
OUT OF EASTERN COLORADO. A DRYLINE WILL DEVELOP OUT AHEAD OF THIS
FRONT WITH GOOD INSTABILITY IN AREAS EAST OF THE DRYLINE. SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM MAINLY EAST OF HWY 83 IN KANSAS. WE ARE
EXPECTING THE POSSIBILITY OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND
PERHAPS A FEW TORNADOES. THESE STORMS WILL START AS INDEPENDENT
CELLS OR SUPERCELLS THIS AFTERNOON THEN FORM INTO A BROKEN LINE
AS THEY MOVE NORTHEASTWARD INTO CENTRAL AND NORTHCENTRAL KANSAS
TONIGHT. RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES DIMINISH AFTER MIDNIGHT
WITH AREAS OF FOG OR MIST POSSIBLE MONDAY MORNING.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 258 PM MDT SUN MAY 8 2016

MONDAY EVENING THERE MAY BE SOME LINGERING SHOWERS OVER THE
NORTHEAST PART OF THE AREA AHEAD OF SUBSIDENCE THAT WILL BE MOVING
THROUGH BEHIND THE CLOSED LOW MOVES THROUGH.  A SHORT WAVE RIDGE
WILL MOVE THROUGH OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

TUESDAY MORNING WILL START OUT DRY AS THE SHORT WAVE RIDGE MOVES
THROUGH.  BEHIND THE RIDGE A CLOSED LOW OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS
WILL FOLLOW THE SHORT WAVE RIDGE EAST.  ROTATING AROUND THE BASE OF
THE CLOSED LOW IS A SHORT WAVE TROUGH.  DURING THE LATTER HALF OF
THE MORNING STORMS WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP OVER THE WEST PART OF THE
AREA/MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST...AS A SHORT WAVE TROUGH
ROTATES AROUND THE CLOSED LOW AND INTO THE AREA.

AT THE SURFACE A COLD FRONT WILL BE OVER THE NORTHWEST PART OF THE
AREA...A LOW PRESSURE WILL BE CENTERED OVER SOUTHWEST KANSAS WITH A
DRY LINE EAST OF IT.  ANTICIPATE THE FRONT TO SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR
STORM DEVELOPMENT...WITH MORE SCATTERED COVERAGE SOUTH OF THE FRONT
UNDER THE BROAD LIFT OF THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH.  THIS SURFACE PATTERN
IS VERY SIMILAR TO TODAY...HOWEVER THE ENVIRONMENT WILL NOT BE AS
STABLE DUE TO THE CLOSED LOW BEING OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS.  AM
EXPECTING GENERAL THUNDERSTORMS AS A RESULT OF THE MORE STABLE
ENVIRONMENT.  EXPECT THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AS LIFT OVER THE AREA STRENGTHENS.

ON A SIDE NOTE...SIDED WITH THE MODELS WHICH HAD THE SURFACE LOW
OVER SOUTHEAST COLORADO.  WITH THIS LAST SEVERE WEATHER
EVENT...NEARLY ALL THE MODELS HAD THE SURFACE LOW TOO FAR NORTH OVER
NORTHEAST COLORADO INSTEAD OF OVER SOUTHEAST COLORADO.  FOLLOWING
THE FURTHER SOUTH SOLUTION GIVES THE ENTIRE TRI-STATE AREA A BETTER
SHOT AT RECEIVING RAINFALL SINCE THE FRONT WILL BE OVER MORE OF THE
AREA INSTEAD OF NORTH OF THE AREA.

TUESDAY EVENING STORM COVERAGE WILL PEAK AS LIFT OVER THE AREA
REACHES ITS FULL POTENTIAL.  STORM ACTIVITY WILL SHIFT EAST THROUGH
THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES EASTWARD AND
SUBSIDENCE MOVES INTO THE AREA BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.

THERE COULD BE SOME TRAINING THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ALONG THE FRONT...DUE TO THE MEAN WIND BEING PARALLEL TO
THE COLD FRONT.  IF STORMS TRACK OVER THE SAME LOCATION LONG ENOUGH
THIS COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE
OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN.  FOR THE MOST PART THE PERIOD WILL BE DRY.
THERE WILL BE SOME WITH SOME MINIMAL CHANCES FOR RAINFALL THROUGH
THE WEEK AS WEAK LIFT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A BROAD UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE GREAT BASIN.  A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER THE PRESENCE OF THE RIDGE WEST OF THE TRI-
STATE AREA AND FAIRLY DRY ENVIRONMENT WILL LIMIT THE RAIN POTENTIAL
OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.

THE NEXT CHANCE DECENT CHANCE FOR RAINFALL WILL BE NEXT WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. A COUPLE DEEPER UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGHS MOVE
OVER THE TRI-STATE AREA AND 700-500MB MIXING RATIOS INCREASE.
THESE STRONGER SHORT WAVE TROUGHS FLATTEN THE RIDGE...ALLOWING THE
INCREASED MOISTURE TO MOVE OVER THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1119 AM MDT SUN MAY 8 2016

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON AT BOTH TAF
SITES. MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE STARTING AROUND 21Z AT BOTH
KGLD AND KMCK AS THUNDERSTORMS BEGIN TO FORM IN THE REGION.
COVERAGE WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES.
SHOWERS COULD LINGER IN THE REGION INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON
MONDAY WITH MIST OR FOG POSSIBLE BETWEEN 09Z AND 14Z WITH POSSIBLE
IFR CONDITIONS MAINLY AT KMCK THROUGH MID MORNING ON MONDAY.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...TL
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...TL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
309 PM MDT SUN MAY 8 2016

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-092115-
YUMA COUNTY-KIT CARSON COUNTY-CHEYENNE COUNTY-CHEYENNE-RAWLINS-
DECATUR-NORTON-SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-
GREELEY-WICHITA-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
309 PM MDT SUN MAY 8 2016 /409 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...
EXTREME SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND NORTHWEST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE EAST OF HIGHWAY 25. THE
MAIN THREAT WITH ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE LARGE HAIL UP TO
BASEBALL SIZE AND DAMAGING WINDS. HOWEVER A FEW TORNADOES CANNOT
BE RULED OUT EAST OF HIGHWAY 25. A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR THIS AREA AS RESULT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
ALONG A COLD FRONT. REPEATED ROUNDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL
ALONG THE FRONT MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING EAST OF THE COLORADO
BORDER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ANY
WEATHER REPORTS THROUGH SOCIAL MEDIA OR BY PHONE ARE GREATLY
APPRECIATED.

JTL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
434 PM MDT SUN MAY 8 2016

COZ090-082245-
YUMA COUNTY CO-
434 PM MDT SUN MAY 8 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN YUMA COUNTY UNTIL
445 PM MDT...

AT 434 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5
MILES NORTHEAST OF WRAY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WRAY AND LAIRD.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 385 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 245 AND 252.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4025 10205 4014 10205 4004 10209 4011 10230
      4030 10219
TIME...MOT...LOC 2234Z 204DEG 18KT 4014 10216

LUNDQUIST

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
437 PM MDT SUN MAY 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0435 PM     HAIL             1 S GOVE                38.95N 100.49W
05/08/2016  E0.50 INCH       GOVE               KS   STORM CHASER

&&

BWARREN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
440 PM MDT SUN MAY 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0439 PM     HAIL             GOODLAND                39.35N 101.71W
05/08/2016  E1.00 INCH       SHERMAN            KS   NWS EMPLOYEE

            NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED.

&&

JMARTIN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
543 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2016

KSZ001-002-082315-
CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS KS-
543 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL RAWLINS AND CENTRAL
CHEYENNE COUNTIES IN NORTHWESTERN KANSAS UNTIL 615 PM CDT...

AT 543 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES SOUTH OF HAIGLER TO 5 MILES SOUTH OF
BIRD CITY. MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ST. FRANCIS...BIRD CITY...MCDONALD AND WHEELER.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR NORTHWESTERN
KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3979 10135 3958 10151 3988 10205 3989 10205
      4000 10194 4000 10185
TIME...MOT...LOC 2243Z 221DEG 21KT 3989 10196 3968 10154

LUNDQUIST

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
445 PM MDT SUN MAY 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     HAIL             3 S GRAINFIELD          39.07N 100.48W
05/08/2016  E0.25 INCH       GOVE               KS   STORM CHASER

&&

BWARREN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
449 PM MDT SUN MAY 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0444 PM     HAIL             GOODLAND                39.35N 101.71W
05/08/2016  E0.50 INCH       SHERMAN            KS   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

BWARREN