Severe Thunderstorm Warning 57, NWS Goodland, KS

409 
WWUS53 KGLD 082232
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
532 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2016

KSC153-193-082315-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0057.000000T0000Z-160508T2315Z/
RAWLINS KS-THOMAS KS-
532 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN RAWLINS AND NORTHWESTERN THOMAS COUNTIES...

AT 532 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTH OF
LEVANT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
SOUTHWESTERN RAWLINS AND NORTHWESTERN THOMAS COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF ONE IS SPOTTED ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE
OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR NORTHWESTERN
KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3967 10096 3945 10113 3950 10139 3957 10139
      3957 10140 3976 10140
TIME...MOT...LOC 2232Z 204DEG 19KT 3951 10121 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

LUNDQUIST

524 
WWUS53 KGLD 082256
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
556 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2016

KSC153-193-082315-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0057.000000T0000Z-160508T2315Z/
RAWLINS KS-THOMAS KS-
556 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN RAWLINS AND NORTH CENTRAL THOMAS COUNTIES...

AT 556 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES SOUTH OF MCDONALD TO 13 MILES NORTH OF COLBY...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
SOUTHWESTERN RAWLINS AND NORTH CENTRAL THOMAS COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF ONE IS SPOTTED ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE
OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR NORTHWESTERN
KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3967 10096 3948 10111 3962 10139 3976 10140
TIME...MOT...LOC 2256Z 217DEG 12KT 3964 10133 3958 10110 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

LUNDQUIST

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
259 PM MDT SUN MAY 8 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1159 AM MDT SUN MAY 8 2016

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE EASTWARD INTO THE PLAINS THROUGH THE
DAY TODAY AND INTO MONDAY WITH A COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTHEASTWARD
OUT OF EASTERN COLORADO. A DRYLINE WILL DEVELOP OUT AHEAD OF THIS
FRONT WITH GOOD INSTABILITY IN AREAS EAST OF THE DRYLINE. SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM MAINLY EAST OF HWY 83 IN KANSAS. WE ARE
EXPECTING THE POSSIBILITY OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND
PERHAPS A FEW TORNADOES. THESE STORMS WILL START AS INDEPENDENT
CELLS OR SUPERCELLS THIS AFTERNOON THEN FORM INTO A BROKEN LINE
AS THEY MOVE NORTHEASTWARD INTO CENTRAL AND NORTHCENTRAL KANSAS
TONIGHT. RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES DIMINISH AFTER MIDNIGHT
WITH AREAS OF FOG OR MIST POSSIBLE MONDAY MORNING.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 258 PM MDT SUN MAY 8 2016

MONDAY EVENING THERE MAY BE SOME LINGERING SHOWERS OVER THE
NORTHEAST PART OF THE AREA AHEAD OF SUBSIDENCE THAT WILL BE MOVING
THROUGH BEHIND THE CLOSED LOW MOVES THROUGH.  A SHORT WAVE RIDGE
WILL MOVE THROUGH OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

TUESDAY MORNING WILL START OUT DRY AS THE SHORT WAVE RIDGE MOVES
THROUGH.  BEHIND THE RIDGE A CLOSED LOW OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS
WILL FOLLOW THE SHORT WAVE RIDGE EAST.  ROTATING AROUND THE BASE OF
THE CLOSED LOW IS A SHORT WAVE TROUGH.  DURING THE LATTER HALF OF
THE MORNING STORMS WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP OVER THE WEST PART OF THE
AREA/MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST...AS A SHORT WAVE TROUGH
ROTATES AROUND THE CLOSED LOW AND INTO THE AREA.

AT THE SURFACE A COLD FRONT WILL BE OVER THE NORTHWEST PART OF THE
AREA...A LOW PRESSURE WILL BE CENTERED OVER SOUTHWEST KANSAS WITH A
DRY LINE EAST OF IT.  ANTICIPATE THE FRONT TO SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR
STORM DEVELOPMENT...WITH MORE SCATTERED COVERAGE SOUTH OF THE FRONT
UNDER THE BROAD LIFT OF THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH.  THIS SURFACE PATTERN
IS VERY SIMILAR TO TODAY...HOWEVER THE ENVIRONMENT WILL NOT BE AS
STABLE DUE TO THE CLOSED LOW BEING OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS.  AM
EXPECTING GENERAL THUNDERSTORMS AS A RESULT OF THE MORE STABLE
ENVIRONMENT.  EXPECT THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AS LIFT OVER THE AREA STRENGTHENS.

ON A SIDE NOTE...SIDED WITH THE MODELS WHICH HAD THE SURFACE LOW
OVER SOUTHEAST COLORADO.  WITH THIS LAST SEVERE WEATHER
EVENT...NEARLY ALL THE MODELS HAD THE SURFACE LOW TOO FAR NORTH OVER
NORTHEAST COLORADO INSTEAD OF OVER SOUTHEAST COLORADO.  FOLLOWING
THE FURTHER SOUTH SOLUTION GIVES THE ENTIRE TRI-STATE AREA A BETTER
SHOT AT RECEIVING RAINFALL SINCE THE FRONT WILL BE OVER MORE OF THE
AREA INSTEAD OF NORTH OF THE AREA.

TUESDAY EVENING STORM COVERAGE WILL PEAK AS LIFT OVER THE AREA
REACHES ITS FULL POTENTIAL.  STORM ACTIVITY WILL SHIFT EAST THROUGH
THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES EASTWARD AND
SUBSIDENCE MOVES INTO THE AREA BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.

THERE COULD BE SOME TRAINING THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ALONG THE FRONT...DUE TO THE MEAN WIND BEING PARALLEL TO
THE COLD FRONT.  IF STORMS TRACK OVER THE SAME LOCATION LONG ENOUGH
THIS COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE
OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN.  FOR THE MOST PART THE PERIOD WILL BE DRY.
THERE WILL BE SOME WITH SOME MINIMAL CHANCES FOR RAINFALL THROUGH
THE WEEK AS WEAK LIFT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A BROAD UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE GREAT BASIN.  A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER THE PRESENCE OF THE RIDGE WEST OF THE TRI-
STATE AREA AND FAIRLY DRY ENVIRONMENT WILL LIMIT THE RAIN POTENTIAL
OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.

THE NEXT CHANCE DECENT CHANCE FOR RAINFALL WILL BE NEXT WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. A COUPLE DEEPER UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGHS MOVE
OVER THE TRI-STATE AREA AND 700-500MB MIXING RATIOS INCREASE.
THESE STRONGER SHORT WAVE TROUGHS FLATTEN THE RIDGE...ALLOWING THE
INCREASED MOISTURE TO MOVE OVER THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1119 AM MDT SUN MAY 8 2016

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON AT BOTH TAF
SITES. MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE STARTING AROUND 21Z AT BOTH
KGLD AND KMCK AS THUNDERSTORMS BEGIN TO FORM IN THE REGION.
COVERAGE WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES.
SHOWERS COULD LINGER IN THE REGION INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON
MONDAY WITH MIST OR FOG POSSIBLE BETWEEN 09Z AND 14Z WITH POSSIBLE
IFR CONDITIONS MAINLY AT KMCK THROUGH MID MORNING ON MONDAY.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...TL
LONG TERM...JTL
AVIATION...TL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
309 PM MDT SUN MAY 8 2016

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-092115-
YUMA COUNTY-KIT CARSON COUNTY-CHEYENNE COUNTY-CHEYENNE-RAWLINS-
DECATUR-NORTON-SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-
GREELEY-WICHITA-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
309 PM MDT SUN MAY 8 2016 /409 PM CDT SUN MAY 8 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...
EXTREME SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND NORTHWEST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE EAST OF HIGHWAY 25. THE
MAIN THREAT WITH ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE LARGE HAIL UP TO
BASEBALL SIZE AND DAMAGING WINDS. HOWEVER A FEW TORNADOES CANNOT
BE RULED OUT EAST OF HIGHWAY 25. A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR THIS AREA AS RESULT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
ALONG A COLD FRONT. REPEATED ROUNDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL
ALONG THE FRONT MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING EAST OF THE COLORADO
BORDER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ANY
WEATHER REPORTS THROUGH SOCIAL MEDIA OR BY PHONE ARE GREATLY
APPRECIATED.

JTL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
356 PM MDT SUN MAY 8 2016

KSZ027-041-042-082215-
WALLACE KS-GREELEY KS-WICHITA KS-
356 PM MDT SUN MAY 8 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN WALLACE...
NORTHEASTERN GREELEY AND NORTHWESTERN WICHITA COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM
MDT/515 PM CDT/...

AT 356 PM MDT/456 PM CDT/...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM 12 MILES NORTH OF TRIBUNE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHEASTERN
WALLACE...NORTHEASTERN GREELEY AND NORTHWESTERN WICHITA COUNTIES.

LAT...LON 3857 10169 3867 10181 3884 10165 3867 10145
TIME...MOT...LOC 2156Z 231DEG 15KT 3864 10171

HUSTED

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
359 PM MDT SUN MAY 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0347 PM     HAIL             4 W OAKLEY              39.13N 100.93W
05/08/2016  E1.00 INCH       LOGAN              KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

            HAIL WAS ATLEAST QUARTER SIZE. LASTED ROUGHLY 10 MINUTES.

&&

JLUNDQUIST

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
401 PM MDT SUN MAY 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0350 PM     HAIL             13 SSW RULETON          39.15N 101.93W
05/08/2016  E1.00 INCH       SHERMAN            KS   PUBLIC

&&

BWARREN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
403 PM MDT SUN MAY 8 2016

COZ090-082215-
YUMA COUNTY CO-
403 PM MDT SUN MAY 8 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL YUMA COUNTY UNTIL
415 PM MDT...

AT 403 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5
MILES SOUTHEAST OF WRAY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WRAY AND LAIRD.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 385 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 234 AND 246.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4021 10213 4013 10205 3994 10205 3989 10219
      4003 10233
TIME...MOT...LOC 2203Z 232DEG 14KT 4001 10219

HUSTED

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
408 PM MDT SUN MAY 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0353 PM     HAIL             5 W OAKLEY              39.13N 100.95W
05/08/2016  E0.75 INCH       LOGAN              KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

BWARREN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
414 PM MDT SUN MAY 8 2016

COZ090-082230-
YUMA COUNTY CO-
414 PM MDT SUN MAY 8 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL YUMA COUNTY UNTIL
430 PM MDT...

AT 414 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4
MILES SOUTHEAST OF WRAY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WRAY AND LAIRD.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 385 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 236 AND 246.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3998 10205 3990 10219 4007 10231 4023 10205
TIME...MOT...LOC 2214Z 239DEG 16KT 4003 10217

LUNDQUIST