Alert archive / Texas / River Flood Warnings in 2016
River Flood Warning 67, NWS Fort Worth, TX
NWS Fort Worth, TX issued this river flood warning at Apr 20, 2016, 7:12 AM CDT for Palo Pinto County, Texas. It took effect at Apr 20, 2016, 12:45 PM CDT. It was in force for 23 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 20, 2016, 7:12 AM CDT (12:12 UTC)
- In effect from
- Apr 20, 2016, 12:45 PM CDT
- Expired
- Apr 21, 2016, 12:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 23 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Fort Worth, TX
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Palo Pinto County, TX
The radar
The Dyess AFB radar (KDYX), 92 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Brazos River near Palo Pinto (PLOT2). The gauge peaked at 15.98 ft at Apr 20, 2016, 4:00 PM CDT.
- Action stage
- 14 ft
- Minor stage
- 16 ft
- Moderate stage
- 18 ft
- Major stage
- 22 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 08089000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
713 WGUS44 KFWD 201212 FLWFWD BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 712 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016 ...The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a Flood Warning for the following areas in Texas... Brazos River Near Palo Pinto Affecting Palo Pinto County Brazos River Near Dennis Affecting Parker County PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks. Stay tuned to NOAA All Hazards Radio for the latest river forecasts. && TXC363-210012- /O.NEW.KFWD.FL.W.0067.160420T1745Z-160421T1700Z/ /PLOT2.1.ER.160420T1745Z.160421T0000Z.160421T0500Z.NO/ 712 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016 The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a * Flood Warning for The Brazos River Near Palo Pinto. * from this afternoon to Thursday afternoon...Or until the warning is cancelled. * At 0615 AM Wednesday the stage was 13.38 feet. * Flood stage is 16.0 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river should rise above flood stage by Wednesday afternoon and continue to rise to a crest near 16.5 feet by Wednesday evening. The river should fall below flood stage by Thursday after midnight. && LAT...LON 3276 9842 3281 9822 3292 9822 3286 9837 $$ TXC367-210011- /O.NEW.KFWD.FL.W.0068.160420T2000Z-160423T0025Z/ /DNNT2.1.ER.160420T2000Z.160421T1800Z.160422T1225Z.NO/ 712 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016 The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a * Flood Warning for The Brazos River Near Dennis. * from this afternoon to Friday evening...Or until the warning is cancelled. * At 0630 AM Wednesday the stage was 20.05 feet. * Flood stage is 21.0 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river should rise above flood stage by Wednesday afternoon and continue to rise to a crest near 24 feet by Thursday afternoon. The river should fall below flood stage by Friday morning. && LAT...LON 3262 9805 3253 9785 3262 9776 3269 9794 $$
3 follow-up statements
147 WGUS84 KFWD 201502 FLSFWD FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 1002 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016 ...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following areas in Texas... Little River At Cameron Affecting Milam County ...The Flood Warning continues for the following areas in Texas... Brazos River Near Palo Pinto Affecting Palo Pinto County Brazos River Near Dennis Affecting Parker County Navasota River Near Easterly Affecting Leon and Robertson Counties PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks. Stay tuned to NOAA All Hazards Radio for the latest river forecasts. && TXC363-210302- /O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0067.160420T2207Z-160421T1917Z/ /PLOT2.1.ER.160420T2207Z.160421T0000Z.160421T0717Z.NO/ 1002 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Brazos River Near Palo Pinto. * At 0915 AM Wednesday the stage was 13.94 feet. * Flood stage is 16 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by late Wednesday afternoon and crest near 16.5 feet by Wednesday evening. The river should fall below flood stage by Thursday after midnight. && LAT...LON 3276 9842 3281 9822 3292 9822 3286 9837 $$ TXC367-210301- /O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0068.160420T1457Z-160423T0210Z/ /DNNT2.1.ER.160420T1435Z.160421T1800Z.160422T1410Z.NO/ 1002 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Brazos River Near Dennis. * At 0930 AM Wednesday the stage was 20.98 feet. * Flood stage is 21 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by Wednesday morning and crest near 24 feet by Thursday afternoon. The river should fall below flood stage by Friday morning. && LAT...LON 3262 9805 3253 9785 3262 9776 3269 9794 $$ TXC331-201532- /O.CAN.KFWD.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-160421T0318Z/ /CMNT2.2.ER.160418T1013Z.160419T0100Z.160420T1216Z.NO/ 1002 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016 The Flood Warning is cancelled for The Little River At Cameron. * At 0946 AM Wednesday the stage was 27.86 feet. * Flood stage is 30 feet. * Fell below flood stage at 7 AM Wednesday. * Forecast...The river will continue to fall to near 14 feet by Thursday morning. $$ TXC289-395-210301- /O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-160425T1500Z/ /EAST2.2.ER.160419T0342Z.160420T1215Z.160425T0300Z.NO/ 1002 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Navasota River Near Easterly. * At 0900 AM Wednesday the stage was 23.09 feet. * Flood stage is 19 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river was cresting Wednesday morning near 23 feet and will begin to recede Wednesday afternoon. The river should fall below flood stage by Sunday night. && LAT...LON 3132 9638 3102 9631 3105 9619 3132 9626 $$
773 WGUS84 KFWD 201941 FLSFWD FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 241 PM CDT WED APR 20 2016 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following areas in Texas... Brazos River Near Palo Pinto Affecting Palo Pinto County Brazos River Near Dennis Affecting Parker County Leon River Near Deleon Affecting Comanche County Navasota River Near Easterly Affecting Leon and Robertson Counties PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks. Stay tuned to NOAA All Hazards Radio for the latest river forecasts. && TXC363-210741- /O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0067.160420T2015Z-160421T1800Z/ /PLOT2.1.ER.160420T2015Z.160421T0000Z.160421T0600Z.NO/ 241 PM CDT WED APR 20 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Brazos River Near Palo Pinto. * At 215 PM Wednesday the stage was 15.92 feet. * Flood stage is 16 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by Wednesday afternoon and crest near 16 feet by Wednesday evening. The river should fall below flood stage by Thursday after midnight. * At 16 feet, Minor flooding is expected. Out buildings at the canoe rental near the river will begin to flood. && LAT...LON 3276 9842 3281 9822 3292 9822 3286 9837 $$ TXC367-210740- /O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-160423T0316Z/ /DNNT2.1.ER.160420T1433Z.160421T1200Z.160422T1516Z.NO/ 241 PM CDT WED APR 20 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Brazos River Near Dennis. * At 230 PM Wednesday the stage was 21.91 feet. * Flood stage is 21 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river will continue rising to a crest near 24 feet by Thursday afternoon. The river should fall below flood stage late Friday morning. && LAT...LON 3262 9805 3253 9785 3262 9776 3269 9794 $$ TXC093-210740- /O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-160423T2200Z/ /DLLT2.1.ER.160420T1640Z.160421T1800Z.160423T1000Z.NO/ 241 PM CDT WED APR 20 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Leon River Near Deleon. * At 130 PM Wednesday the stage was 11.43 feet. * Flood stage is 12 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by Wednesday night and crest near 13 feet by Thursday afternoon. The river should fall below flood stage by early Saturday morning. && LAT...LON 3221 9864 3204 9855 3207 9843 3227 9853 $$ TXC289-395-210740- /O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-160424T1900Z/ /EAST2.2.ER.160419T0342Z.160420T1215Z.160424T0700Z.NO/ 241 PM CDT WED APR 20 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Navasota River Near Easterly. * At 2 PM Wednesday the stage was 22.80 feet. * Flood stage is 19 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river has crested and will continue to recede and fall below flood stage by Sunday after midnight. && LAT...LON 3132 9638 3102 9631 3105 9619 3132 9626 $$
742 WGUS84 KFWD 210125 FLSFWD FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 825 PM CDT WED APR 20 2016 ...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following areas in Texas... Brazos River Near Palo Pinto Affecting Palo Pinto County ...The Flood Warning continues for the following areas in Texas... Brazos River Near Dennis Affecting Parker County Navasota River Near Easterly Affecting Leon and Robertson Counties Leon River Near Deleon Affecting Comanche County PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks. Stay tuned to NOAA All Hazards Radio for the latest river forecasts. && TXC363-210155- /O.CAN.KFWD.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-160421T1800Z/ /PLOT2.1.ER.160420T2005Z.160420T2115Z.160420T2200Z.NO/ 825 PM CDT WED APR 20 2016 The Flood Warning is cancelled for The Brazos River Near Palo Pinto. * At 715 PM Wednesday the stage was 15.81 feet. * Flood stage is 16 feet. * Fell below flood stage at 5 PM Wednesday. * Forecast...The river will continue to fall to near 11 feet by Friday morning. * At 16 feet, Minor flooding is expected. Out buildings at the canoe rental near the river will begin to flood. && LAT...LON 3276 9842 3281 9822 3292 9822 3286 9837 $$ TXC367-211324- /O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-160423T0234Z/ /DNNT2.1.ER.160420T1433Z.160421T1800Z.160422T1434Z.NO/ 825 PM CDT WED APR 20 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Brazos River Near Dennis. * At 730 PM Wednesday the stage was 22.29 feet. * Flood stage is 21 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river will continue rising to a crest near 24 feet by Thursday afternoon. The river should fall below flood stage Friday morning. && LAT...LON 3262 9805 3253 9785 3262 9776 3269 9794 $$ TXC093-211324- /O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-160423T2200Z/ /DLLT2.1.ER.160420T1640Z.160421T0015Z.160423T1000Z.NO/ 825 PM CDT WED APR 20 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Leon River Near Deleon. * At 730 PM Wednesday the stage was 12.71 feet. * Flood stage is 12 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river will continue rising to a crest near 13 feet by Thursday morning. The river should fall below flood stage early Saturday morning. && LAT...LON 3221 9864 3204 9855 3207 9843 3227 9853 $$ TXC289-395-211324- /O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-160424T1912Z/ /EAST2.2.ER.160419T0342Z.160420T1215Z.160424T0712Z.NO/ 825 PM CDT WED APR 20 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Navasota River Near Easterly. * At 8 PM Wednesday the stage was 22.51 feet. * Flood stage is 19 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...The river has crested and will continue to recede and fall below flood stage by Sunday after midnight. && LAT...LON 3132 9638 3102 9631 3105 9619 3132 9626 $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 20, 6:58 AM CDT, 14 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 20, 6:58 AM CDT, 14 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 658 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016 .AVIATION... /12Z TAFS/ BACK EDGE OF LARGE STRATIFORM RAIN SHIELD IS NOW MOVING EAST ACROSS THE DFW AREA...AND SHOULD SEE A CESSATION OF -RA AT ALL METROPLEX TAF SITES BY 13Z. CIGS ARE PRIMARILY ABOVE 030...WITH SCT LOWER LAYERS PREVALENT. WIDESPREAD MVFR CIGS EXIST WELL NW OF THE DFW AREA...AND THINK PORTIONS OF THIS WILL ADVECT INTO THE METROPLEX TAFS BY MID/LATE MORNING. WE SHOULD SEE CIGS SCT AND RISE ABOVE VFR AT MOST SITES BY 19Z HOWEVER. WINDS AT DFW-AREA SITES HAVE BEEN CHALLENGING...WITH A MODEST SOUTHERLY REGIME ESTABLISHED OWING TO A MESOHIGH CENTERED IN THE WACO AREA. BELIEVE THESE SLY WINDS WILL WEAKEN AND BECOME VARIABLE SOON...LIKELY BEFORE 1330Z...WITH A SHIFT TO NWLY FLOW OCCURRING AFTER 15Z. TIMING AT WACO WILL LAG BEHIND THAT OF THE DFW SITES BY A FEW HOURS. ALL LINGERING TSRA SHOULD EXIT THE WACO AREA BY 13Z...BUT -SHRA WILL PERSIST THRU AT LEAST 14-15Z BEFORE ENDING. MVFR CIGS WILL HANG TOUGH AT WACO UNTIL EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE RISING TO VFR CATEGORY. GUIDANCE STILL SUGGESTS ANOTHER ROUND OF CONVECTION MOVING INTO NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS AFTER 06Z TONIGHT...SO INSERTED VCTS TO ALL TAFS TO INDICATE THIS POTENTIAL. BRADSHAW && .SYNOPSIS... OUR MORNING QLCS CONTINUES MOVING OFF TO THE EAST AND THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT HAS LARGELY DIMINISHED WITH THE EXCEPTION OF POSSIBLY SOME STRONG WINDS. HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AS THE SYSTEM SLOWS DOWN AND CONTINUES TO EFFICIENTLY PRODUCE RAINFALL. ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS IS LIKELY OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING AS THE MASSIVE UPPER LOW THAT HAS IMPACTED OUR WEATHER FOR THE LAST WEEK BRINGS THIS ONE FINAL FORECAST CHALLENGE. OTHERWISE...A NICE START TO THE WEEKEND IS EXPECTED WITH SUNNY SKIES AND HIGHS MOSTLY IN THE LOW 80S FORECAST FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. && .SHORT TERM... AT 4AM...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED TO MOVE ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS. THIS ACTIVITY WAS INITIATED AND HAS BEEN MAINTAINED BY STRONG UPPER FORCING FROM A SHORTWAVE TROUGH ROTATING AROUND THE LARGE UPPER LOW POSITIONED OVER WESTERN NEBRASKA. INCREASED MOISTURE TRANSPORT OWING TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN 850MB LOW IN SOUTHERN KS HAS PROVIDED AMPLE MOISTURE TO FUEL THIS MCS AS IT CONTINUES ITS JOURNEY EASTWARD. AT THIS POINT...THE MAIN THREAT HAS SHIFTED TO HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING AS THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWED DOWN AND THE SYSTEM'S AXIS HAS BECOME ORIENTED MORE PARALLEL TO THE STORM MOTION. IN AREAS WHERE THE MCS REMAINS MORE PERPENDICULAR TO THE STORM MOTION...STRONG WINDS COULD REMAIN A THREAT FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. ELSEWHERE...LIGHT RAIN WILL CONTINUE IN THE WAKE OF THE LINE WHICH WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH MIDDAY. THE MCS MAY BEGIN TO DECAY BEFORE REACHING OUR SOUTHEASTERN ZONES...IN WHICH CASE...THE ENVIRONMENT WILL REMAIN UNSCATHED FOR THIS AFTERNOON. ALL GUIDANCE IS POINTING TOWARD A PRETTY RAPID RECOVERY OF THE ENVIRONMENT THIS AFTERNOON WITH SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS EXPECTED DURING PEAK HEATING. MOISTURE CONTENT WILL REMAIN HIGH WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS EXPECTED TO RECOVER INTO THE 60S ONCE AGAIN. THESE CONDITIONS WILL YIELD SBCAPE OF 2000-3000J/KG THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE HIGHEST VALUES IN OUR SOUTHEAST ZONES WHERE DEWPOINTS SHOULD BE THE HIGHEST. 0-6KM SHEAR WILL REMAIN AROUND 30KTS OR LESS TODAY WITH THE UPPER LEVEL SPEED MAX DEPARTING OFF TO THE NORTHEAST ACCOMPANYING THE SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE. AS FAR AS LIFT IS CONCERNED...IT APPEARS WE WILL BE LARGELY SUBSIDENT ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE DEPARTING SHORTWAVE TROUGH FROM THIS MORNING'S SYSTEM...AND IT APPEARS UNLIKELY THAT ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT WILL OCCUR DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY. IF ANY STORMS WOULD HAPPEN TO DEVELOP...THEY SHOULD TAKE THE FORM OF MULTICELL CLUSTERS CAPABLE OF BORDERLINE SEVERE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS. IF THIS MORNING'S LINE DOES NOT REACH OUR SOUTHEAST ZONES...RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES MAY BE CAPABLE OF IGNITING CONVECTION DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THIS POTENTIAL IS FAIRLY LOW AND HAVE LEFT LOW POPS WITH BELOW AVERAGE CONFIDENCE. THERE IS HIGHER CONFIDENCE IN ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS MOVING THROUGH OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING AS ONE LAST DISTURBANCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW FIRES OFF ANOTHER ROUND OF CONVECTION IN THE TX PANHANDLE LATE THIS EVENING. ANOTHER MCS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE WICHITA FALLS AREA AND THEN INTO NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS BY MIDNIGHT. AT THIS POINT...THE TIMING APPEARS IT MAY BE A COUPLE HOURS LATER THAN THIS MORNING'S SYSTEM WITH THE MCS IMPACTING THE I-35 CORRIDOR BETWEEN 2AM AND 7AM. THERE WILL BE AROUND 1500J/KG OF ELEVATED INSTABILITY AVAILABLE FOR THIS MCS WITH HAIL AND WIND BEING THE PRIMARY CONCERNS ONCE AGAIN...WITH A VERY LOW TORNADO THREAT. OUR MAIN ISSUE MAY WIND UP BEING LOCALIZED FLOODING IF SOME LOCATIONS PICK UP A QUICK 1/2 TO 1 INCH OF RAIN OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...DO NOT FEEL THAT ANY FLOODING WOULD BE WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO WARRANT A FLASH FLOOD WATCH AT THIS TIME. THE NAM SOLUTION WOULD CERTAINLY POSE A HYDRO PROBLEM WITH ITS OVERDONE AMOUNTS OF 3 INCHES IN 3 HOURS FOR MANY LOCATIONS...BUT HAVE LARGELY THROWN IT OUT SINCE IT IS THE OUTLIER BY FAR AND ITS SOLUTION DOES NOT APPEAR REALISTIC. HAVE STUCK CLOSER TO THE TTU WRF SOLUTION AND THE GFS/SREF REGARDING RAINFALL AMOUNTS. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD EXIT OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES AROUND MIDDAY WITH LINGERING CHANCES FOR A FEW SHOWERS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. && .LONG TERM... LATE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE WILL OVERSPREAD THE CENTRAL PLAINS AS THE MASSIVE UPPER LOW FINALLY DEPARTS THE REGION TO THE NORTHEAST. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN WITH LIGHT WINDS IN PLACE BY THURSDAY NIGHT. DEWPOINTS WILL STILL BE IN THE 50S AND 60S FOR MUCH OF THE AREA ON FRIDAY MORNING...AND WITH LIGHT WINDS...MAY LEAD TO PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT ON FRIDAY MORNING. ANY FOG OR LOW CLOUDS SHOULD MIX OUT LEADING TO A PLEASANT FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND TEMPERATURES CLIMBING INTO THE UPPER 70S AND 80S. FAIR WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON SATURDAY AS UPPER RIDGING PREVAILS WITH TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN FRIDAY. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN TO THE FORECAST ON SUNDAY AS ANOTHER DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO GENERATE CONVECTION ACROSS FAR WEST TEXAS. SHOWERS AND STORMS SHOULD PERSIST AND MOVE EAST/NORTHEAST AND LIKELY INTO AT LEAST OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES ON SUNDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AREA-WIDE SUNDAY EVENING. WE MAY BE DEALING WITH SEVERAL OPPORTUNITIES FOR DRYLINE CONVECTION DURING THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK AS ANOTHER UPPER LOW MOVES INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. THE GFS AND ECMWF STILL DISAGREE ON THE PLACEMENT AND SPEED OF THIS SYSTEM WHICH DRASTICALLY AFFECTS THE RESULTING CONVECTION THAT THEY ARE PRODUCING. THIS WILL BEAR WATCHING BUT IT APPEARS A FEW ROUNDS OF STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH NEXT WEEK. STALLEY && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DALLAS-FT. WORTH 79 62 76 57 81 / 30 60 40 5 0 WACO 79 63 76 56 80 / 50 60 50 10 0 PARIS 76 61 73 55 78 / 50 60 50 5 0 DENTON 76 60 75 54 80 / 30 60 40 5 0 MCKINNEY 76 61 75 55 80 / 40 60 50 5 0 DALLAS 79 63 77 57 81 / 40 60 40 5 0 TERRELL 78 62 76 57 80 / 50 60 50 10 0 CORSICANA 78 64 75 57 81 / 70 50 50 10 0 TEMPLE 78 64 76 57 79 / 60 60 50 20 0 MINERAL WELLS 76 60 75 53 81 / 20 60 30 5 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 20, 4:11 AM CDT, 3 hours 1 minute before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 411 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-210915- MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN- HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS- ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL- JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO- FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE- LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON- 411 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS AREAS SOUTHEAST OF A PARIS TO COMANCHE LINE THIS MORNING. THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE HEAVY RAIN LEADING TO LOCALIZED FLOODING...BUT STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AREA-WIDE THIS AFTERNOON IF RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES ARE CAPABLE OF INITIATING ANY THUNDERSTORMS. IF STORMS DEVELOP...THEY COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL. THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR STORMS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE LOCATED SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20. ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM NEAR THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS OVERNIGHT. SOME STORMS WITH THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAIN MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO EFFECT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL TEXAS ON THURSDAY MORNING WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING...SMALL HAIL...AND STRONG WINDS POSSIBLE. AFTER A FEW QUIET DAYS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN TO THE AREA SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THIS MORNING SOUTHEAST OF A PARIS TO COMANCHE LINE. TONIGHT...SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED AREA-WIDE BEGINNING AFTER 11PM. STALLEY
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Apr 20, 1:43 AM CDT, 5 hours 29 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 143 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016 TXZ117-118-200730- PARKER TX-TARRANT TX- 143 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN PARKER AND TARRANT COUNTIES UNTIL 230 AM CDT... AT 142 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM RENO TO NEAR LAKESIDE TO 8 MILES NORTH OF GODLEY. MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 40 MPH. WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH AND PEA SIZED HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... FORT WORTH...ARLINGTON...GRAND PRAIRIE...MANSFIELD...EULESS...BEDFORD... GRAPEVINE...HALTOM CITY...KELLER...COPPELL...HURST...BURLESON...SOUTHLAKE... WEATHERFORD...WATAUGA...COLLEYVILLE...BENBROOK...SAGINAW...WHITE SETTLEMENT AND CROWLEY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO REDUCING VISIBILITIES FOR DRIVERS. THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO CLOSELY MONITOR FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION OR POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. && LAT...LON 3298 9703 3255 9704 3256 9772 3300 9773 TIME...MOT...LOC 0642Z 265DEG 36KT 3297 9759 3277 9754 3257 9756 JLDUNN
Special weather statement, Apr 20, 2:15 AM CDT, 4 hours 57 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 215 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016 TXZ141-200745- COMANCHE TX- 215 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN COMANCHE COUNTY UNTIL 245 AM CDT... AT 214 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER MAY...OR 17 MILES NORTH OF EARLY...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... COMANCHE...DE LEON AND GORMAN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. && LAT...LON 3208 9892 3223 9862 3188 9837 3177 9872 TIME...MOT...LOC 0714Z 275DEG 28KT 3199 9890 JLDUNN
Special weather statement, Apr 20, 2:30 AM CDT, 4 hours 42 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
230 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016
TXZ133-145-200830-
JOHNSON TX-HILL TX-
230 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN JOHNSON AND HILL
COUNTIES UNTIL 330 AM CDT...
AT 230 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR VENUS TO NEAR WHITNEY. MOVEMENT WAS EAST
AT 25 MPH.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HILLSBORO...WHITNEY...ITASCA...GRANDVIEW...COVINGTON...BYNUM...CARL'S
CORNER...ABBOTT...MALONE...PENELOPE AND MERTENS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.
&&
LAT...LON 3173 9695 3186 9704 3183 9711 3200 9741
3243 9718 3228 9709 3226 9708 3205 9694
3207 9689 3205 9688 3172 9693
TIME...MOT...LOC 0730Z 266DEG 23KT 3238 9714 3200 9737
JLDUNNSpecial weather statement, Apr 20, 3:20 AM CDT, 3 hours 52 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
320 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016
TXZ121-134-135-146-200915-
NAVARRO TX-KAUFMAN TX-ELLIS TX-HENDERSON TX-
320 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN ELLIS...NAVARRO...WESTERN
HENDERSON AND KAUFMAN COUNTIES UNTIL 415 AM CDT...
AT 320 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR COMBINE TO NEAR BARRY TO 8 MILES NORTHWEST
OF DAWSON. MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 25 MPH.
WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CORSICANA...ENNIS...SEAGOVILLE...KAUFMAN...GUN BARREL CITY...MABANK...
CRANDALL...TOOL...COMBINE...KERENS...SEVEN POINTS...KEMP...TRINIDAD...
BLOOMING GROVE...DAWSON...BARDWELL...ANGUS...GRAYS PRAIRIE...ALMA AND
ENCHANTED OAKS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.
&&
LAT...LON 3180 9649 3181 9670 3207 9689 3220 9674
3255 9659 3255 9652 3267 9652 3266 9608
3201 9607
TIME...MOT...LOC 0820Z 279DEG 20KT 3253 9647 3213 9667 3199 9682
JLDUNNSpecial weather statement, Apr 20, 4:27 AM CDT, 2 hours 45 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
427 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016
TXZ122-201030-
VAN ZANDT TX-
427 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR VAN ZANDT COUNTY UNTIL 530 AM
CDT...
AT 427 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7
MILES SOUTHWEST OF CANTON...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.
NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CANTON...WILLS POINT...GRAND SALINE...VAN...EDGEWOOD...FRUITVALE...EDOM...
LAKE TAWAKONI STATE PARK AND PURTIS CREEK STATE PARK.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
&&
LAT...LON 3236 9607 3284 9608 3284 9593 3282 9592
3277 9585 3277 9577 3275 9576 3275 9571
3271 9566 3272 9564 3271 9561 3268 9559
3248 9560 3236 9545
TIME...MOT...LOC 0927Z 251DEG 28KT 3247 9595
30Special weather statement, Apr 20, 4:46 AM CDT, 2 hours 26 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
446 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016
TXZ135-146-201045-
NAVARRO TX-HENDERSON TX-
446 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN NAVARRO AND
HENDERSON COUNTIES UNTIL 545 AM CDT...
AT 446 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
TRINIDAD...OR 14 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ATHENS...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ATHENS...GUN BARREL CITY...MABANK...CHANDLER...MALAKOFF...TOOL...SEVEN
POINTS...BROWNSBORO...EUSTACE...BERRYVILLE...TRINIDAD...EDOM...ENCHANTED
OAKS...COFFEE CITY...CANEY CITY...PAYNE SPRINGS...LOG CABIN...MURCHISON...
STAR HARBOR AND POYNOR.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
&&
LAT...LON 3200 9612 3218 9619 3221 9615 3220 9619
3225 9624 3226 9629 3230 9630 3235 9645
3236 9545 3229 9545 3223 9549 3218 9546
3215 9548 3209 9543
TIME...MOT...LOC 0946Z 250DEG 17KT 3212 9608
30The office that day
Everything else NWS Fort Worth, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 8:02 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | FWD | Hunt | 51 hr |
| Apr 19, 8:02 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | FWD | Hunt, Rockwall | 48 hr |
| Apr 19, 9:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Young | 67 min |
| Apr 19, 10:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Jack, Montague, Wise | 50 min |
| Apr 19, 11:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Cooke, Montague, Wise | 46 min |
| Apr 19, 11:23 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Young | 37 min |
| Apr 19, 11:38 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Denton | 67 min |
| Apr 19, 11:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Cooke | 49 min |
| Apr 19, 11:58 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Palo Pinto | 32 min |
| Apr 19, 11:59 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | FWD | Cooke, Montague | 3 hr |
| Apr 20, 12:03 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Eastland, Stephens | 42 min |
| Apr 20, 12:16 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | FWD | Palo Pinto, Stephens | 3 hr |
| Apr 20, 12:20 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Grayson | 40 min |
| Apr 20, 12:33 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Palo Pinto, Parker | 57 min |
| Apr 20, 12:36 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Palo Pinto, Stephens | 4 hr |
| Apr 20, 12:44 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Palo Pinto, Parker | 61 min |
| Apr 20, 12:52 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Palo Pinto, Parker | 23 min |
| Apr 20, 1:30 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | FWD | Collin, Denton, Grayson, Wise | 3 hr |
| Apr 20, 1:30 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | FWD | Collin, Denton, Grayson, Wise | 3 hr |
| Apr 20, 1:43 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Tarrant | 47 min |
| Apr 20, 1:48 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | FWD | Parker, Tarrant | 3 hr |
| Apr 20, 2:01 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Johnson, Tarrant | 44 min |
| Apr 20, 2:15 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Comanche | 30 min |
| Apr 20, 2:17 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | FWD | Erath, Hood, Johnson, Somervell | 3 hr |
| Apr 20, 2:27 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Ellis, Johnson | 63 min |
| Apr 20, 2:30 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Hill | 60 min |
| Apr 20, 2:36 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Dallas, Tarrant | 54 min |
| Apr 20, 2:57 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | FWD | Dallas, Ellis | 3 hr |
| Apr 20, 3:20 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Kaufman, Navarro | 55 min |
| Apr 20, 4:05 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | FWD | Henderson, Hunt, Kaufman, Navarro, Rains, Rockwall and 1 more | 3 hr |
| Apr 20, 4:20 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | FWD | Bosque, Coryell, Hamilton, Hill, Lampasas, McLennan and 1 more | 3 hr |
| Apr 20, 4:24 AM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | FWD | Palo Pinto, Stephens | 3 hr |
| Apr 20, 4:27 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Van Zandt | 63 min |
| Apr 20, 4:46 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | FWD | Henderson | 59 min |
| Apr 20, 4:52 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | FWD | Dallas | 24 hr |
| Apr 20, 5:26 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | FWD | Bell, Falls, Limestone | 3 hr |
| Apr 20, 6:11 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | FWD | Delta, Hopkins | 38 hr |
| Apr 20, 6:31 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | FWD | Denton | 52 hr |
| Apr 20, 6:31 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | FWD | Collin | 27 hr |
| Apr 20, 7:12 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | FWD | Parker | 60 hr |
| Apr 20, 7:19 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | FWD | Collin | 40 hr |
| Apr 20, 9:10 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | FWD | Comanche | 4 days |
| Apr 20, 9:37 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | FWD | Stephens | 22 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Texas, 2016Every river flood warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.