River Flood Warning 64, NWS Fort Worth, TX

827 
WGUS84 KFWD 201431
FLSFWD
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
931 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following areas in Texas...
 
  South Sulphur River Near Cooper Affecting Delta and Hopkins Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. 
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Stay tuned to NOAA All Hazards Radio for the latest river forecasts. 

&&

TXC119-223-210231-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-160422T0900Z/
/COPT2.1.ER.160420T0844Z.160420T1800Z.160421T2100Z.NO/
931 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The South Sulphur River Near Cooper.
* At 0915 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.81 feet.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to a crest near 19 feet 
  by Wednesday afternoon. The river should fall below flood stage 
  late Thursday afternoon.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3329 9557 3330 9548 3341 9549 3341 9556
      3337 9567

$$

579 
WGUS84 KFWD 210105
FLSFWD
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
805 PM CDT WED APR 20 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following areas in Texas...
 
  South Sulphur River Near Cooper Affecting Delta and Hopkins Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DDo not drive cars through flooded areas. 
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Stay tuned to NOAA All Hazards Radio for the latest river forecasts. 

&&

TXC119-223-211305-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-160422T1400Z/
/COPT2.1.ER.160420T0844Z.160420T2015Z.160422T0200Z.NO/
805 PM CDT WED APR 20 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The South Sulphur River Near Cooper.
* At 715 PM Wednesday the stage was 18.89 feet.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river has crested and will continue to recede and 
  fall below flood stage by Thursday night.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3329 9557 3330 9548 3341 9549 3341 9556
      3337 9567

$$

647 
WGUS84 KFWD 211423
FLSFWD
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
923 AM CDT THU APR 21 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following areas in Texas...
 
  South Sulphur River Near Cooper Affecting Delta and Hopkins Counties
  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. 
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Stay tuned to NOAA All Hazards Radio for the latest river forecasts. 


&&

TXC119-223-220222-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-160422T1200Z/
/COPT2.1.ER.160420T0844Z.160420T2015Z.160422T0000Z.NO/
923 AM CDT THU APR 21 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The South Sulphur River Near Cooper.
* At 0915 AM Thursday the stage was 17.09 feet.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river has crested and will continue to recede and 
  fall below flood stage by Thursday evening.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3329 9557 3330 9548 3341 9549 3341 9556
      3337 9567

$$

946 
WGUS84 KFWD 211927
FLSFWD
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
227 PM CDT THU APR 21 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following areas in Texas...
 
  West Fork Trinity River Near Jacksboro Affecting Jack County 
  Denton Creek Near Justin Affecting Denton County 
  Chambers Creek Near Rice Affecting Navarro County 
  Trinity River Near Rosser Affecting Ellis and Kaufman Counties 
  Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood) Affecting Anderson...
  Freestone and Leon Counties 
  South Sulphur River Near Cooper Affecting Delta and Hopkins 
  Counties 
  West Fork Trinity River Near Boyd Affecting Wise County 
  Trinity River At Dallas Affecting Dallas County 
  Trinity River At Trinidad Affecting Henderson and Navarro Counties
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. 
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Stay tuned to NOAA All Hazards Radio for the latest river forecasts. 

&&

TXC119-223-220727-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-160422T1200Z/
/COPT2.1.ER.160420T0844Z.160420T2015Z.160422T0000Z.NO/
227 PM CDT THU APR 21 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The South Sulphur River Near Cooper.
* At 215 PM Thursday the stage was 16.47 feet.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Forecast...The river has crested and will continue to recede and 
  fall below flood stage by Thursday evening.
* At 16 feet, Minor out of bank flooding will occur. A few rural roads
  will begin to flood. Minor flooding will occur to farm and ranch 
  land adjacent to the river.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3329 9557 3330 9548 3341 9549 3341 9556
      3337 9567

$$

TXC237-220726-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-160424T0430Z/
/JAKT2.2.ER.160418T0021Z.160419T1300Z.160423T1630Z.NO/
227 PM CDT THU APR 21 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Fork Trinity River Near Jacksboro.
* At 2 PM Thursday the stage was 22.33 feet.
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river has crested and will continue to recede and 
  fall below flood stage by late Saturday morning.
* At 22 feet, Moderate flooding along the river reach is expected.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3330 9822 3321 9803 3329 9795 3339 9814

$$

TXC497-220726-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOYT2.1.ER.160418T0948Z.160420T2230Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
227 PM CDT THU APR 21 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Fork Trinity River Near Boyd.
* At 215 PM Thursday the stage was 19.27 feet.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will remain near 19 feet for the next few 
  days.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3319 9774 3300 9758 3305 9746 3316 9756

$$

TXC121-220726-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-160423T0045Z/
/DCJT2.1.ER.160420T0813Z.160421T1100Z.160422T1245Z.NO/
227 PM CDT THU APR 21 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Denton Creek Near Justin.
* At 2 PM Thursday the stage was 11.91 feet.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river has crested and will continue to recede and 
  fall below flood stage by Friday morning.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3311 9738 3302 9727 3307 9715 3315 9726

$$

TXC349-220726-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-160423T1434Z/
/RCET2.1.ER.160418T1605Z.160419T1315Z.160423T0234Z.NO/
227 PM CDT THU APR 21 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chambers Creek Near Rice.
* At 2 PM Thursday the stage was 25.42 feet.
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to a crest near 26 feet 
  by Friday after midnight. The river should fall below flood stage 
  Friday night.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3217 9663 3212 9648 3218 9638 3227 9656

$$

TXC113-220726-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DALT2.1.ER.160417T2301Z.160421T1445Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
227 PM CDT THU APR 21 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Trinity River At Dallas.
* At 2 PM Thursday the stage was 35.84 feet.
* Flood stage is 30 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage near 35 feet
  by Friday morning.
* At 35 feet, Some low water crossings inundated with cattle and 
  grazing and low water areas under water.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3275 9693 3281 9693 3283 9683 3275 9671
      3269 9676 3278 9687

$$

TXC139-257-220726-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-160424T0000Z/
/RSRT2.1.ER.160419T1915Z.160421T0430Z.160423T1200Z.NO/
227 PM CDT THU APR 21 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Trinity River Near Rosser.
* At 130 PM Thursday the stage was 31.93 feet.
* Flood stage is 31 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to a crest near 32 feet 
  by Friday afternoon. The river should fall below flood stage 
  Saturday morning.
* At 31 feet, Minor flooding of farm and ranch land is expected near 
  the river. A few rural roads will be inundated.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3247 9657 3236 9652 3236 9639 3249 9645 

$$

TXC213-349-220726-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TDDT2.2.ER.160418T2312Z.160424T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
227 PM CDT THU APR 21 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Trinity River At Trinidad.
* At 2 PM Thursday the stage was 40.79 feet.
* Flood stage is 33 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to a crest near 42 feet 
  by Tuesday after midnight then begin falling but remain above flood
  stage.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3219 9626 3206 9613 3207 9600 3223 9613

$$

TXC001-161-289-220726-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0052.160422T1424Z-000000T0000Z/
/LOLT2.2.ER.160422T1424Z.160426T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
227 PM CDT THU APR 21 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood).
* At 130 PM Thursday the stage was 30.64 feet.
* Flood stage is  35 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by 
  Friday morning and continue to rise to near 41 feet by Tuesday 
  afternoon. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* At 40 feet, Moderate flooding of ranches along the river is 
  expected. The coffield prison farm and ranch lands will be 
  moderately flooded.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3170 9593 3150 9580 3149 9562 3173 9580

$$

305 
WGUS84 KFWD 220106
FLSFWD
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
806 PM CDT THU APR 21 2016

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following areas in Texas...
 
  South Sulphur River Near Cooper Affecting Delta and Hopkins 
  Counties
  South Fork Sabine River Near Quinlan Affecting Hunt and Rockwall 
  Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. 
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Stay tuned to NOAA All Hazards Radio for the latest river forecasts. 

&&

TXC119-223-220136-
/O.CAN.KFWD.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-160422T1200Z/
/COPT2.1.ER.160420T0844Z.160420T2015Z.160421T2345Z.NO/
806 PM CDT THU APR 21 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The South Sulphur River Near Cooper.
* At 715 PM Thursday the stage was 15.95 feet.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 7 PM Thursday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to near  15 feet by 
  Saturday morning.


$$

TXC231-397-220136-
/O.CAN.KFWD.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-160422T0905Z/
/QLAT2.1.ER.160420T1147Z.160420T2215Z.160421T2016Z.NO/
806 PM CDT THU APR 21 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The South Fork Sabine River Near Quinlan.
* At 745 PM Thursday the stage was 12.80 feet.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 3 PM Thursday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to near   7 feet by 
  Saturday morning.


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
402 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
OUR MORNING QLCS CONTINUES MOVING OFF TO THE EAST AND THE SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT HAS LARGELY DIMINISHED WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
POSSIBLY SOME STRONG WINDS. HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL
BE THE MAIN CONCERN THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AS THE SYSTEM SLOWS
DOWN AND CONTINUES TO EFFICIENTLY PRODUCE RAINFALL. ANOTHER ROUND
OF STORMS IS LIKELY OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY
MORNING AS THE MASSIVE UPPER LOW THAT HAS IMPACTED OUR WEATHER FOR
THE LAST WEEK BRINGS THIS ONE FINAL FORECAST CHALLENGE.
OTHERWISE...A NICE START TO THE WEEKEND IS EXPECTED WITH SUNNY
SKIES AND HIGHS MOSTLY IN THE LOW 80S FORECAST FOR FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
AT 4AM...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED TO MOVE ACROSS NORTH
AND CENTRAL TEXAS. THIS ACTIVITY WAS INITIATED AND HAS BEEN
MAINTAINED BY STRONG UPPER FORCING FROM A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
ROTATING AROUND THE LARGE UPPER LOW POSITIONED OVER WESTERN
NEBRASKA. INCREASED MOISTURE TRANSPORT OWING TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF
AN 850MB LOW IN SOUTHERN KS HAS PROVIDED AMPLE MOISTURE TO FUEL
THIS MCS AS IT CONTINUES ITS JOURNEY EASTWARD. AT THIS POINT...THE
MAIN THREAT HAS SHIFTED TO HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING AS
THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWED DOWN AND THE SYSTEM'S AXIS HAS BECOME
ORIENTED MORE PARALLEL TO THE STORM MOTION. IN AREAS WHERE THE
MCS REMAINS MORE PERPENDICULAR TO THE STORM MOTION...STRONG WINDS
COULD REMAIN A THREAT FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. ELSEWHERE...LIGHT
RAIN WILL CONTINUE IN THE WAKE OF THE LINE WHICH WILL GRADUALLY
TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH MIDDAY. THE MCS MAY BEGIN TO
DECAY BEFORE REACHING OUR SOUTHEASTERN ZONES...IN WHICH CASE...THE
ENVIRONMENT WILL REMAIN UNSCATHED FOR THIS AFTERNOON.

ALL GUIDANCE IS POINTING TOWARD A PRETTY RAPID RECOVERY OF THE ENVIRONMENT
THIS AFTERNOON WITH SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS EXPECTED DURING PEAK
HEATING. MOISTURE CONTENT WILL REMAIN HIGH WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS
EXPECTED TO RECOVER INTO THE 60S ONCE AGAIN. THESE CONDITIONS WILL
YIELD SBCAPE OF 2000-3000J/KG THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE HIGHEST
VALUES IN OUR SOUTHEAST ZONES WHERE DEWPOINTS SHOULD BE THE
HIGHEST. 0-6KM SHEAR WILL REMAIN AROUND 30KTS OR LESS TODAY WITH
THE UPPER LEVEL SPEED MAX DEPARTING OFF TO THE NORTHEAST
ACCOMPANYING THE SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE. AS FAR AS LIFT IS
CONCERNED...IT APPEARS WE WILL BE LARGELY SUBSIDENT ON THE BACK
SIDE OF THE DEPARTING SHORTWAVE TROUGH FROM THIS MORNING'S
SYSTEM...AND IT APPEARS UNLIKELY THAT ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT
WILL OCCUR DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY. IF ANY STORMS WOULD
HAPPEN TO DEVELOP...THEY SHOULD TAKE THE FORM OF MULTICELL
CLUSTERS CAPABLE OF BORDERLINE SEVERE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS. IF
THIS MORNING'S LINE DOES NOT REACH OUR SOUTHEAST ZONES...RESIDUAL
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES MAY BE CAPABLE OF IGNITING CONVECTION DURING
THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THIS POTENTIAL IS FAIRLY LOW AND HAVE LEFT
LOW POPS WITH BELOW AVERAGE CONFIDENCE.

THERE IS HIGHER CONFIDENCE IN ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS MOVING
THROUGH OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING AS ONE
LAST DISTURBANCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW FIRES OFF ANOTHER
ROUND OF CONVECTION IN THE TX PANHANDLE LATE THIS EVENING. ANOTHER
MCS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE WICHITA FALLS AREA AND THEN INTO
NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS BY MIDNIGHT. AT THIS POINT...THE TIMING
APPEARS IT MAY BE A COUPLE HOURS LATER THAN THIS MORNING'S SYSTEM
WITH THE MCS IMPACTING THE I-35 CORRIDOR BETWEEN 2AM AND 7AM.
THERE WILL BE AROUND 1500J/KG OF ELEVATED INSTABILITY AVAILABLE
FOR THIS MCS WITH HAIL AND WIND BEING THE PRIMARY CONCERNS ONCE
AGAIN...WITH A VERY LOW TORNADO THREAT. OUR MAIN ISSUE MAY WIND UP
BEING LOCALIZED FLOODING IF SOME LOCATIONS PICK UP A QUICK 1/2 TO
1 INCH OF RAIN OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...DO NOT FEEL THAT ANY FLOODING
WOULD BE WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO WARRANT A FLASH FLOOD WATCH AT THIS
TIME. THE NAM SOLUTION WOULD CERTAINLY POSE A HYDRO PROBLEM WITH
ITS OVERDONE AMOUNTS OF 3 INCHES IN 3 HOURS FOR MANY
LOCATIONS...BUT HAVE LARGELY THROWN IT OUT SINCE IT IS THE OUTLIER
BY FAR AND ITS SOLUTION DOES NOT APPEAR REALISTIC. HAVE STUCK
CLOSER TO THE TTU WRF SOLUTION AND THE GFS/SREF REGARDING
RAINFALL AMOUNTS. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD EXIT OUR SOUTHEASTERN
COUNTIES AROUND MIDDAY WITH LINGERING CHANCES FOR A FEW SHOWERS
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.LONG TERM...
LATE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE WILL OVERSPREAD
THE CENTRAL PLAINS AS THE MASSIVE UPPER LOW FINALLY DEPARTS THE
REGION TO THE NORTHEAST. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN WITH
LIGHT WINDS IN PLACE BY THURSDAY NIGHT. DEWPOINTS WILL STILL BE
IN THE 50S AND 60S FOR MUCH OF THE AREA ON FRIDAY MORNING...AND
WITH LIGHT WINDS...MAY LEAD TO PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT ON FRIDAY
MORNING. ANY FOG OR LOW CLOUDS SHOULD MIX OUT LEADING TO A
PLEASANT FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND
TEMPERATURES CLIMBING INTO THE UPPER 70S AND 80S. FAIR WEATHER
WILL CONTINUE ON SATURDAY AS UPPER RIDGING PREVAILS WITH
TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN FRIDAY.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN TO THE FORECAST ON SUNDAY AS
ANOTHER DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO GENERATE CONVECTION ACROSS FAR
WEST TEXAS. SHOWERS AND STORMS SHOULD PERSIST AND MOVE
EAST/NORTHEAST AND LIKELY INTO AT LEAST OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES ON
SUNDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AREA-WIDE
SUNDAY EVENING.

WE MAY BE DEALING WITH SEVERAL OPPORTUNITIES FOR DRYLINE
CONVECTION DURING THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK AS ANOTHER UPPER
LOW MOVES INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. THE GFS AND ECMWF STILL
DISAGREE ON THE PLACEMENT AND SPEED OF THIS SYSTEM WHICH
DRASTICALLY AFFECTS THE RESULTING CONVECTION THAT THEY ARE
PRODUCING. THIS WILL BEAR WATCHING BUT IT APPEARS A FEW ROUNDS OF
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH NEXT WEEK.

STALLEY

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1221 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016/
/06Z TAFS/

EARLIER 00Z TAF TRENDS WITH WEAKENING CONVECTIVE COMPLEX TIMING
STILL LOOKS GOOD. ESE WINDS WILL PREVAIL AT DFW UNTIL BETWEEN 08Z
AND 12Z...WHEN N/NW OUTFLOW WINDS UP TO 10 KTS WILL OCCUR WITH
TSRA MOVING THROUGH AND CIGS DROPPING INTO MVFR LEVELS. AS
SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED COMPLEX MOVE INTO CENTRAL TEXAS BY
SUNRISE...A FEW SHRA WILL LINGER THROUGH MID MORNING BEFORE
SLOWING VFR CONDITIONS RETURN WITH LIGHT N/NE FLOW AROUND 5 KTS
BECOME SOUTHERLY BY 00Z WED AND AFTER.

AT WACO...SIMILAR TRENDS...JUST DELAYED 1-2 HOURS. CONFIDENCE ON
MVFR CIGS AND DURATION ARE NOT HIGH WITH ALL THE MIXING GOING ON
FROM LIFT AND CONVECTION. HOWEVER...WE ARE FAIRLY CONFIDENT ON
TIMING OF TSRA.

05/

&&

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

EARLIER 00Z TAF TRENDS WITH WEAKENING CONVECTIVE COMPLEX TIMING
STILL LOOKS GOOD. ESE WINDS WILL PREVAIL AT DFW UNTIL BETWEEN 08Z
AND 12Z...WHEN N/NW OUTFLOW WINDS UP TO 10 KTS WILL OCCUR WITH
TSRA MOVING THROUGH AND CIGS DROPPING INTO MVFR LEVELS. AS
SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED COMPLEX MOVE INTO CENTRAL TEXAS BY
SUNRISE...A FEW SHRA WILL LINGER THROUGH MID MORNING BEFORE
SLOWING VFR CONDITIONS RETURN WITH LIGHT N/NE FLOW AROUND 5 KTS
BECOME SOUTHERLY BY 00Z WED AND AFTER.

AT WACO...SIMILAR TRENDS...JUST DELAYED 1-2 HOURS. CONFIDENCE ON
MVFR CIGS AND DURATION ARE NOT HIGH WITH ALL THE MIXING GOING ON
FROM LIFT AND CONVECTION. HOWEVER...WE ARE FAIRLY CONFIDENT ON
TIMING OF TSRA.

05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH    79  62  76  57  81 /  30  60  40   5   0
WACO                79  63  76  56  80 /  50  60  50  10   0
PARIS               76  61  73  55  78 /  50  60  50   5   0
DENTON              76  60  75  54  80 /  30  60  40   5   0
MCKINNEY            76  61  75  55  80 /  40  60  50   5   0
DALLAS              79  63  77  57  81 /  40  60  40   5   0
TERRELL             78  62  76  57  80 /  50  60  50  10   0
CORSICANA           78  64  75  57  81 /  70  50  50  10   0
TEMPLE              78  64  76  57  79 /  60  60  50  20   0
MINERAL WELLS       76  60  75  53  81 /  20  60  30   5   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

30/77

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
411 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-210915-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
411 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS
AREAS SOUTHEAST OF A PARIS TO COMANCHE LINE THIS MORNING. THE MAIN
THREAT WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE HEAVY RAIN LEADING TO LOCALIZED
FLOODING...BUT STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AREA-WIDE THIS AFTERNOON IF
RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES ARE CAPABLE OF INITIATING ANY
THUNDERSTORMS. IF STORMS DEVELOP...THEY COULD BECOME STRONG TO
SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL. THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR
STORMS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE LOCATED SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20.

ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY MORNING. A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM NEAR THE
TEXAS PANHANDLE AND MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL
TEXAS OVERNIGHT. SOME STORMS WITH THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME STRONG
TO SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL POSSIBLE. IN
ADDITION...HEAVY RAIN MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO EFFECT PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL TEXAS ON THURSDAY MORNING WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING...SMALL
HAIL...AND STRONG WINDS POSSIBLE.

AFTER A FEW QUIET DAYS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
WILL RETURN TO THE AREA SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THIS MORNING SOUTHEAST OF A
PARIS TO COMANCHE LINE. TONIGHT...SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED AREA-WIDE
BEGINNING AFTER 11PM.

STALLEY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
143 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016

TXZ117-118-200730-
PARKER TX-TARRANT TX-
143 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN PARKER AND TARRANT
COUNTIES UNTIL 230 AM CDT...

AT 142 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM RENO TO NEAR LAKESIDE TO 8 MILES NORTH OF
GODLEY. MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH AND PEA SIZED HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FORT WORTH...ARLINGTON...GRAND PRAIRIE...MANSFIELD...EULESS...BEDFORD...
GRAPEVINE...HALTOM CITY...KELLER...COPPELL...HURST...BURLESON...SOUTHLAKE...
WEATHERFORD...WATAUGA...COLLEYVILLE...BENBROOK...SAGINAW...WHITE
SETTLEMENT AND CROWLEY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS. THE HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO REDUCING VISIBILITIES FOR DRIVERS.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO CLOSELY MONITOR FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION OR POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3298 9703 3255 9704 3256 9772 3300 9773
TIME...MOT...LOC 0642Z 265DEG 36KT 3297 9759 3277 9754 3257 9756

JLDUNN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
215 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016

TXZ141-200745-
COMANCHE TX-
215 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN COMANCHE COUNTY UNTIL 245
AM CDT...

AT 214 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
MAY...OR 17 MILES NORTH OF EARLY...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COMANCHE...DE LEON AND GORMAN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3208 9892 3223 9862 3188 9837 3177 9872
TIME...MOT...LOC 0714Z 275DEG 28KT 3199 9890

JLDUNN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
230 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016

TXZ133-145-200830-
JOHNSON TX-HILL TX-
230 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN JOHNSON AND HILL
COUNTIES UNTIL 330 AM CDT...

AT 230 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR VENUS TO NEAR WHITNEY. MOVEMENT WAS EAST
AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HILLSBORO...WHITNEY...ITASCA...GRANDVIEW...COVINGTON...BYNUM...CARL'S
CORNER...ABBOTT...MALONE...PENELOPE AND MERTENS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3173 9695 3186 9704 3183 9711 3200 9741
      3243 9718 3228 9709 3226 9708 3205 9694
      3207 9689 3205 9688 3172 9693
TIME...MOT...LOC 0730Z 266DEG 23KT 3238 9714 3200 9737

JLDUNN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
320 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016

TXZ121-134-135-146-200915-
NAVARRO TX-KAUFMAN TX-ELLIS TX-HENDERSON TX-
320 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN ELLIS...NAVARRO...WESTERN
HENDERSON AND KAUFMAN COUNTIES UNTIL 415 AM CDT...

AT 320 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR COMBINE TO NEAR BARRY TO 8 MILES NORTHWEST
OF DAWSON. MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CORSICANA...ENNIS...SEAGOVILLE...KAUFMAN...GUN BARREL CITY...MABANK...
CRANDALL...TOOL...COMBINE...KERENS...SEVEN POINTS...KEMP...TRINIDAD...
BLOOMING GROVE...DAWSON...BARDWELL...ANGUS...GRAYS PRAIRIE...ALMA AND
ENCHANTED OAKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3180 9649 3181 9670 3207 9689 3220 9674
      3255 9659 3255 9652 3267 9652 3266 9608
      3201 9607
TIME...MOT...LOC 0820Z 279DEG 20KT 3253 9647 3213 9667 3199 9682

JLDUNN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
427 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016

TXZ122-201030-
VAN ZANDT TX-
427 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR VAN ZANDT COUNTY UNTIL 530 AM
CDT...

AT 427 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7
MILES SOUTHWEST OF CANTON...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CANTON...WILLS POINT...GRAND SALINE...VAN...EDGEWOOD...FRUITVALE...EDOM...
LAKE TAWAKONI STATE PARK AND PURTIS CREEK STATE PARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3236 9607 3284 9608 3284 9593 3282 9592
      3277 9585 3277 9577 3275 9576 3275 9571
      3271 9566 3272 9564 3271 9561 3268 9559
      3248 9560 3236 9545
TIME...MOT...LOC 0927Z 251DEG 28KT 3247 9595

30

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
446 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016

TXZ135-146-201045-
NAVARRO TX-HENDERSON TX-
446 AM CDT WED APR 20 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN NAVARRO AND
HENDERSON COUNTIES UNTIL 545 AM CDT...

AT 446 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
TRINIDAD...OR 14 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ATHENS...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ATHENS...GUN BARREL CITY...MABANK...CHANDLER...MALAKOFF...TOOL...SEVEN
POINTS...BROWNSBORO...EUSTACE...BERRYVILLE...TRINIDAD...EDOM...ENCHANTED
OAKS...COFFEE CITY...CANEY CITY...PAYNE SPRINGS...LOG CABIN...MURCHISON...
STAR HARBOR AND POYNOR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3200 9612 3218 9619 3221 9615 3220 9619
      3225 9624 3226 9629 3230 9630 3235 9645
      3236 9545 3229 9545 3223 9549 3218 9546
      3215 9548 3209 9543
TIME...MOT...LOC 0946Z 250DEG 17KT 3212 9608

30