Alert archive / Georgia / Special Weather Statements in 2016

Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

July 18, 20164 counties in Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this special weather statement at Jul 18, 2016, 6:29 PM EDT for 4 counties in Georgia. It was in force for 31 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 18, 2016, 6:29 PM EDT (22:29 UTC)
Expired: Jul 18, 2016, 7:00 PM EDT
In force: 31 min
Issued by: NWS Atlanta, GA

Counties Bleckley County, GA, Dodge County, GA, Laurens County, GA, Pulaski County, GA

The radar

The Robins AFB radar (KJGX), 30 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 160 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 124 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -136 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1308 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 9 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -25 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: -24 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 18, 2:43 PM EDT, 3 hours 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 18, 2:43 PM EDT, 3 hours 46 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
243 PM EDT MON JUL 18 2016

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Tuesday Night/...
Models are pretty similar with the overall pattern of the H5 ridge
building over the central part of the national keep the CWA in a
weak northwest flow. A weak front will move into the CWA Tuesday.
While overall instability is not as good as it is today...the added
lift provided by the weak front should be enough to keep coverage
very similar to this afternoon. Will maintain chance pops Tuesday.
Convection should diminish this evening as well as Tuesday evening.
Max temps are expected to be a little warmer Tuesday however
dewpoints will be low enough to keep heat index values from reaching
advisory criteria. None-the-less Heat Index values will still reach
the 100 to 104 range across much of the CWA with spotty 105 values.

17

.LONG TERM /Wednesday through Monday/...
Little change in the overall pattern is expected by mid week as a
broad sub-tropical ridge of high pressure sits over the central and
southern Plains. Georgia and the Southeast region will continue to
be on the eastern periphery of the High - in an area where any one
given upper level disturbance can enhance diurnally-driven
(afternoon and evening) showers and thunderstorms.

On Wednesday, there are hints of drier air entering the state from
the north which could limit daytime convection - to at least south
of I-20. However, by Thursday and Friday, the deeper moisture
returns as will the more widespread coverage of showers and
thunderstorms. Overall severe threat will remain low, but cannot
rule out isolated severe storms with damaging winds - as is often
the case when you have a hot/humid airmass in place.

The other concern/story will be the persistent HEAT! As the upr
ridge builds/strengthens, temps will climb a few degrees by
Wednesday and Thursday. Drier air could hold humidity and heat
indices down a bit, but actual air temperatures will likely be in
the mid to upr 90s area-wide with a few locations flirting with 100F

DJN.83

&&

AVIATION...
18Z Update...
Convection continues to increase in coverage...mainly across north
and northeast GA. This area will shift southward through the
afternoon dissipating after sunset. Scattered AC will be
intermittent through tonight ahead of the weak front that will
move into the forecast area Tuesday. Expect coverage of convection
Tuesday at or a little greater than today...mainly in the
afternoon.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium on timing of convection.
High on remaining elements.

17

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          73  95  71  95 /  30  40  40  20
Atlanta         74  93  72  95 /  30  40  40  10
Blairsville     67  90  67  90 /  30  40  40  20
Cartersville    72  95  71  95 /  30  40  40  10
Columbus        74  96  73  96 /  30  40  40  20
Gainesville     73  93  72  93 /  30  40  40  20
Macon           73  95  71  97 /  30  40  40  20
Rome            71  95  71  96 /  30  40  40   5
Peachtree City  72  94  70  94 /  30  40  40  20
Vidalia         74  94  74  94 /  30  40  40  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....DJN.83
AVIATION...17

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 18, 6:10 PM EDT, 19 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
610 PM EDT MON JUL 18 2016

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-191015-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
610 PM EDT MON JUL 18 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS
OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...THROUGH AROUND 10 PM BEFORE
TAPERING OFF.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...
FREQUENT LIGHTNING...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AMD MINOR URBAN FLOODING
POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. SOME STORMS MAY PRODUCE ISOLATED AREAS OF DAMAGING WINDS
AND VERY HEAVY RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED BUT SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED
TO SUBMIT REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THE WEB BY GOING TO
WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA OR ON TWITTER USING THE HANDLE AT NWSATLANTA
OR HASHTAG GAWX.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 18, 5:50 PM EDT, 39 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
550 PM EDT MON JUL 18 2016

GAZ006-007-182215-
GILMER GA-FANNIN GA-
550 PM EDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR GILMER AND SOUTHEASTERN FANNIN
COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM EDT...

AT 549 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR CHERRY LOG...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

  HAZARD...UP TO 40 MPH WIND...PEA SIZED HAIL AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO
           GROUND LIGHTNING.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF LIGHT...
           UNSECURED OBJECTS. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING
           KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE
           CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. ELECTRICAL
           APPLIANCES SHOULD NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
EAST ELLIJAY...THE STOVER CREEK SHELTER...ROY...PISGAH...DIAL...
CARTECAY...THE BLACK GAP SHELTER...MARGRET...CHERRY LOG AND THE
SPRINGER MOUNTAIN SHELTER.

LAT...LON 3479 8409 3462 8418 3458 8432 3458 8434
      3457 8436 3478 8453 3484 8448
TIME...MOT...LOC 2149Z 305DEG 14KT 3477 8441

Special weather statement, Jul 18, 5:52 PM EDT, 37 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
552 PM EDT MON JUL 18 2016

GAZ096-097-109-182230-
DODGE GA-BLECKLEY GA-LAURENS GA-
552 PM EDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN DODGE...EASTERN
BLECKLEY AND WESTERN LAURENS COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM EDT...

AT 551 PM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED FROM NEAR
DUBLIN TO NEAR EASTMAN...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH.

  HAZARD...UP TO 40 MPH WIND...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
           AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF LIGHT...
           UNSECURED OBJECTS. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING
           KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE
           CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. ELECTRICAL
           APPLIANCES SHOULD NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY.
           LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS
           IS ALSO POSSIBLE. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE
           PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO
           HYDROPLANING.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE
DUBLIN...EASTMAN...CHESTER...DEXTER...DUDLEY...CADWELL...RENTZ...
REBIE...HARLOW...ROWLAND...YONKERS...GRESSTON AND PLAINFIELD.

LAT...LON 3263 8303 3253 8314 3235 8325 3221 8328
      3218 8306 3249 8287
TIME...MOT...LOC 2151Z 119DEG 5KT 3247 8295 3222 8311

Special weather statement, Jul 18, 6:09 PM EDT, 20 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
609 PM EDT MON JUL 18 2016

GAZ074-076-085-086-097-182300-
JOHNSON GA-WASHINGTON GA-LAURENS GA-EMANUEL GA-JEFFERSON GA-
609 PM EDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR JOHNSON...SOUTHEASTERN
WASHINGTON...NORTHEASTERN LAURENS...NORTHWESTERN EMANUEL AND
SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM EDT...

AT 608 PM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED FROM NEAR
WADLEY TO SOUTHWEST OF BARTOW TO WRIGHTSVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
5 MPH.

  HAZARD...UP TO 40 MPH WIND...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
           AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF LIGHT...
           UNSECURED OBJECTS. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING
           KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE
           CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. ELECTRICAL
           APPLIANCES SHOULD NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY.
           LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS
           IS ALSO POSSIBLE. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE
           PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO
           HYDROPLANING.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE
DUBLIN...WRIGHTSVILLE...EAST DUBLIN...WADLEY...HARRISON...BARTOW...
SUMMERTOWN...KITE...TUCKERS CROSSROAD...BLUNDALE...MEEKS...DONOVAN...
MOXLEY...BREWTON...NEW HOME...LOVETT...SPANN...PRINGLE AND DELLWOOD.

LAT...LON 3274 8225 3263 8245 3253 8281 3260 8292
      3275 8295 3275 8294 3288 8268 3296 8228
      3293 8227 3284 8232 3283 8230
TIME...MOT...LOC 2208Z 310DEG 5KT 3280 8241 3281 8255 3271 8281

Special weather statement, Jul 18, 6:16 PM EDT, 13 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jul 18, 6:21 PM EDT, 8 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jul 18, 6:29 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
629 PM EDT MON JUL 18 2016

GAZ083-084-095>097-105-107>109-182300-
TWIGGS GA-DODGE GA-BLECKLEY GA-WILKINSON GA-LAURENS GA-WILCOX GA-
HOUSTON GA-DOOLY GA-PULASKI GA-
629 PM EDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN TWIGGS...DODGE...
BLECKLEY...SOUTHEASTERN WILKINSON...LAURENS...NORTHWESTERN WILCOX...
SOUTHEASTERN HOUSTON...NORTHEASTERN DOOLY AND PULASKI COUNTIES UNTIL
700 PM EDT...

AT 627 PM EDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED FROM NEAR DUBLIN TO
SOUTHEAST OF UNADILLA...MOVING SOUTH AT 5 MPH.

  HAZARD...UP TO 40 MPH WIND...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
           AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF LIGHT...
           UNSECURED OBJECTS. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING
           KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE
           CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. ELECTRICAL
           APPLIANCES SHOULD NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY.
           LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS
           IS ALSO POSSIBLE. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE
           PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO
           HYDROPLANING.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE
DUBLIN...COCHRAN...EASTMAN...HAWKINSVILLE...UNADILLA...CHESTER...
DEXTER...DUDLEY...CADWELL...PINEVIEW...RENTZ...MONTROSE...
ALLENTOWN...UNION...PULASKI STATE PRISON...THE OCMULGEE PUBLIC
FISHING AREA...ROYAL...POPE CITY AND MOBLEY CROSSING.

LAT...LON 3232 8379 3273 8296 3272 8295 3271 8296
      3271 8295 3235 8274 3217 8298 3199 8357
TIME...MOT...LOC 2227Z 012DEG 5KT 3258 8292 3222 8362

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 17, 8:06 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Towns	24 min
Jul 17, 8:15 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Walton	30 min
Jul 17, 8:19 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Laurens	41 min
Jul 17, 8:22 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Crisp, Wilcox	38 min
Jul 17, 8:43 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Morgan, Walton	32 min
Jul 17, 8:59 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Dooly	46 min
Jul 17, 9:18 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Fayette	27 min
Jul 17, 9:31 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Butts	29 min
Jul 17, 9:42 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Morgan, Newton, Walton	33 min
Jul 17, 9:49 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Fayette, Spalding	26 min
Jul 18, 12:38 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Banks	37 min
Jul 18, 2:22 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Clarke, Oconee	38 min
Jul 18, 2:25 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Putnam	50 min
Jul 18, 2:27 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Hall	48 min
Jul 18, 2:43 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Oglethorpe	47 min
Jul 18, 2:46 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Gilmer	44 min
Jul 18, 2:52 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Baldwin, Hancock	38 min
Jul 18, 2:53 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Wilkes	37 min
Jul 18, 2:55 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	White	35 min
Jul 18, 3:13 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Wilkes	47 min
Jul 18, 3:35 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Cherokee	25 min
Jul 18, 3:52 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Wilkes	38 min
Jul 18, 4:01 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Barrow, Gwinnett, Walton	44 min
Jul 18, 4:05 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Forsyth	40 min
Jul 18, 4:20 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Catoosa	40 min
Jul 18, 4:23 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Glascock, Jefferson	37 min
Jul 18, 4:25 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Barrow, Gwinnett, Rockdale, Walton	50 min
Jul 18, 4:30 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Fannin, Lumpkin	45 min
Jul 18, 4:55 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	DeKalb	35 min
Jul 18, 5:01 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Wilcox	44 min
Jul 18, 5:13 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Gwinnett, Morgan, Newton, Rockdale, Walton	47 min
Jul 18, 5:15 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Johnson	45 min
Jul 18, 5:35 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Johnson, Laurens, Washington	40 min
Jul 18, 5:42 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	DeKalb	33 min
Jul 18, 5:45 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Towns	45 min
Jul 18, 5:50 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Gilmer	25 min
Jul 18, 5:52 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Laurens	38 min
Jul 18, 6:09 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Johnson	51 min
Jul 18, 6:16 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Bleckley, Dodge, Pulaski	44 min
Jul 18, 6:21 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Towns, Union	39 min
Jul 18, 6:36 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Bleckley, Dodge, Laurens	39 min
Jul 18, 6:59 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Towns, White	31 min
Jul 18, 7:03 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Bleckley, Houston, Laurens, Pulaski	42 min
Jul 18, 7:10 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Floyd	35 min
Jul 18, 7:38 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Dooly	22 min
Jul 18, 7:45 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Houston, Peach	30 min
Jul 18, 7:48 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Muscogee	27 min
Jul 18, 7:55 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Dooly, Sumter	35 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Georgia, 2016 Every special weather statement in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.