River Flood Warning 31, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

187 
WGUS84 KEWX 190727
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
227 AM CDT THU MAY 19 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas..
  San Antonio River Near Elmendorf Affecting Bexar and Wilson Counties
  Cibolo Creek Near Falls City Affecting Karnes County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC029-493-192015-
/O.CON.KEWX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-160519T2015Z/
/ELMT2.1.ER.160518T1312Z.160518T2200Z.160519T0815Z.NO/
227 AM CDT THU MAY 19 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the San Antonio River Near Elmendorf.
* At 1:30 AM Thursday the stage was 35.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early this 
  morning. However a second rise is possible later today and tonight from 
  forecasted rainfall.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding inundates crop and pastureland 
  below San Antonio to below Floresville..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
  Elmendorf         33   35   35.6   Thu 01 AM  33.7  34.7  26.3  17.0  15.6


&&

LAT...LON 2919 9838 2926 9835 2920 9817 2899 9804
      2894 9813 2915 9825             

$$

TXC255-200127-
/O.CON.KEWX.FL.W.0031.160519T2321Z-160521T0720Z/
/FCTT2.1.ER.160519T2321Z.160520T0600Z.160520T1920Z.NO/
227 AM CDT THU MAY 19 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Cibolo Creek Near Falls City.
* At  2:15 AM Thursday the stage was 7.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to rise to near
  19.8 feet by after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage by
  tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Livestock are cut off and potentially drowned in low 
  areas below Stockdale to below Panna Maria. Lower areas of Goliad State Park 
  downstream flood..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
  Falls City         6   17    7.9   Thu 02 AM   9.6  19.4  11.1   4.5   2.6


&&

LAT...LON 2914 9803 2917 9794 2894 9780 2892 9790


$$

150 
WGUS84 KEWX 191346
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
846 AM CDT THU MAY 19 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  San Antonio River Near Elmendorf Affecting Bexar and Wilson Counties
  Cibolo Creek Near Falls City Affecting Karnes County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC029-493-200746-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-160521T0200Z/
/ELMT2.1.ER.160518T1312Z.160518T2200Z.160520T1400Z.NO/
846 AM CDT THU MAY 19 2016

 The flood warning continues for the San Antonio River Near Elmendorf.
* At  8:30 AM Thursday the stage was 33.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by early Friday morning and continue
  to rise to near 35.2 feet around 7 AM Friday morning. The river is expected to
  then fall below flood stage by late Friday morning.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding inundates crop and pastureland 
  below San Antonio to below Floresville..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue
 Elmendorf          33   35   33.8   Thu 08 AM  35.2  26.4  16.5  15.8  15.4


&&

LAT...LON 2919 9838 2926 9835 2920 9817 2899 9804
      2894 9813 2915 9825             

$$

TXC255-200745-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0031.160520T0108Z-160520T2340Z/
/FCTT2.1.ER.160520T0108Z.160520T0600Z.160520T1140Z.NO/
846 AM CDT THU MAY 19 2016

 The flood warning continues for the Cibolo Creek Near Falls City.
* At  8:15 AM Thursday the stage was 11.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage Thursday evening and continue to rise to near
  18.7 feet during the early morning hours on Friday. The river is then expected
  to fall below flood stage by around 7 AM Friday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding of crop and pastureland damages
  irrigation pumps and any equipment near the channel. Livestock are cut off in 
  low areas..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue
 Falls City          6   17   11.3   Thu 08 AM  16.9  13.8   4.3   2.5   2.1


&&

LAT...LON 2914 9803 2917 9794 2894 9780 2892 9790


$$

sbs

460 
WGUS84 KEWX 191940
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
240 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  San Antonio River Near Elmendorf Affecting Bexar and Wilson Counties
  Cibolo Creek Near Falls City Affecting Karnes County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC029-493-201340-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-160521T1050Z/
/ELMT2.1.ER.160518T1312Z.160520T1200Z.160520T2250Z.NO/
240 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2016

 The flood warning continues for the San Antonio River Near Elmendorf.
* At  1:30 PM Thursday the stage was 34.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage Thursday afternoon and continue to rise to 
  near 38.1 feet by Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage by 
  Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 39.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding damages crops and floods 
  pastureland below San Antonio to below Floresville. Secondary roads and low 
  bridges, irrigation pumps, oil field pump jacks and tank batteries flood. 
  Livestock are cut off in low areas..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue
 Elmendorf          33   35   34.5   Thu 01 PM  38.1  28.6  19.4  17.1  16.2


&&

LAT...LON 2919 9838 2926 9835 2920 9817 2899 9804
      2894 9813 2915 9825             

$$

TXC255-201340-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0031.160520T0000Z-160521T0426Z/
/FCTT2.1.ER.160520T0000Z.160520T0600Z.160520T1626Z.NO/
240 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2016

 The flood warning continues for the Cibolo Creek Near Falls City.
* At  2:15 PM Thursday the stage was 14.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by Thursday evening and continue to rise to near
  19.2 feet during the early morning hours on Friday. The river will fall below flood
  stage by late Friday morning.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Livestock are cut off and potentially drowned in low 
  areas below Stockdale to below Panna Maria. Lower areas of Goliad State Park 
  downstream flood..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue
 Falls City          6   17   14.5   Thu 02 PM  18.7  14.7   5.6   2.7   2.2


&&

LAT...LON 2914 9803 2917 9794 2894 9780 2892 9790


$$

sbs

368 
WGUS84 KEWX 200154
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
854 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Cibolo Creek Near Falls City Affecting Karnes County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC255-201954-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-160521T0318Z/
/FCTT2.1.ER.160519T2327Z.160520T0600Z.160520T1518Z.NO/
854 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the Cibolo Creek Near Falls City.
* At  8:15 PM Thursday the stage was 18.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.3 feet after midnight 
  tonight. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow late morning.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Livestock are cut off and potentially drowned in low 
  areas below Stockdale to below Panna Maria. Lower areas of Goliad State Park 
  downstream flood..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue
 Falls City          6   17   18.1   Thu  8 PM  18.6  10.3   6.3   2.3   2.2


&&

LAT...LON 2914 9803 2917 9794 2894 9780 2892 9790


$$

198 
WGUS84 KEWX 201543
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1043 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Medina River At Hwy 281 Affecting Bexar County
  San Antonio River Near Elmendorf Affecting Bexar and Wilson Counties
  Cibolo Creek Near Falls City Affecting Karnes County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC029-210610-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-160521T0610Z/
/SAAT2.1.ER.160520T0957Z.160520T1430Z.160520T1810Z.NO/
1043 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the Medina River At Hwy 281.
* At 10:15 AM Friday the stage was 20.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Friday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches the Farm to Market 1937
  bridge floor..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Hwy 281            16   20   20.7   Fri 10 AM   9.6   5.8   5.2   5.1   5.0


&&

LAT...LON 2922 9857 2929 9857 2926 9835 2919 9838


$$

TXC029-493-210942-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-160521T1406Z/
/ELMT2.2.ER.160518T1312Z.160520T0415Z.160521T0206Z.NO/
1043 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the San Antonio River Near Elmendorf.
* At 10:30 AM Friday the stage was 38.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Friday.
* Impact...At 39.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding damages crops and floods 
  pastureland below San Antonio to below Floresville. Secondary roads and low 
  bridges, irrigation pumps, oil field pump jacks and tank batteries flood. 
  Livestock are cut off in low areas..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Elmendorf          33   35   38.9   Fri 10 AM  29.5  18.7  16.6  15.7  15.1


&&

LAT...LON 2919 9838 2926 9835 2920 9817 2899 9804
      2894 9813 2915 9825             

$$

TXC255-210942-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-160522T1538Z/
/FCTT2.1.ER.160519T2327Z.160520T0800Z.160522T0338Z.NO/
1043 AM CDT FRI MAY 20 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the Cibolo Creek Near Falls City.
* At 10:15 AM Friday the stage was 18.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 19.5 feet by Saturday afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage late Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Livestock are cut off and potentially drowned in low 
  areas below Stockdale to below Panna Maria. Lower areas of Goliad State Park 
  downstream flood..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Falls City          6   17   18.7   Fri 10 AM  18.8   8.4   3.2   1.9   1.8


&&

LAT...LON 2914 9803 2917 9794 2894 9780 2892 9790


$$

sbs

619 
WGUS44 KEWX 210213
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
913 PM CDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued 
 a flood warning for the... 

  Cibolo Creek 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 
 
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 
 
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 
 
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 
 
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC255-212013-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-160523T0144Z/
/FCTT2.2.ER.160519T2327Z.160522T0000Z.160522T1344Z.NO/
913 PM CDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity... 
The flood warning continues for 
 the Cibolo Creek Near Falls City.
* until Sunday evening...or until the warning is cancelled. 
* At  8:15 PM Friday the stage was 17.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.6 feet by tomorrow 
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Livestock are cut off and potentially drowned in low 
  areas below Stockdale to below Panna Maria. Lower areas of Goliad State Park 
  downstream flood..
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 21.5 feet on Nov 1 
  2015.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Falls City          6   17   17.2   Fri  8 PM  19.5  18.8   4.2   2.1   1.8


&&

LAT...LON 2914 9803 2917 9794 2894 9780 2892 9790


$$

060 
WGUS84 KEWX 211529
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1029 AM CDT SAT MAY 21 2016

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Texas...
  San Antonio River Near Elmendorf Affecting Bexar and Wilson Counties
  
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
  Cibolo Creek Near Falls City Affecting Karnes County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC029-493-211559-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-160521T2336Z/
/ELMT2.2.ER.160518T1312Z.160520T0415Z.160521T0743Z.NO/
1029 AM CDT SAT MAY 21 2016

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the San Antonio River Near Elmendorf.
* At  9:30 AM Saturday the stage was 31.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 24.1 feet by Sunday morning.


&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
 Elmendorf          33   35   31.1   Sat 09 AM  24.1  19.9  17.5  16.2  15.4


&&

LAT...LON 2919 9838 2926 9835 2920 9817 2899 9804
      2894 9813 2915 9825             

$$

TXC255-220929-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-160523T0135Z/
/FCTT2.2.ER.160519T2327Z.160522T0000Z.160522T1335Z.NO/
1029 AM CDT SAT MAY 21 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the Cibolo Creek Near Falls City.
* At 10:15 AM Saturday the stage was 19.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.2 feet by Saturday evening. 
  The river is expected to fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Livestock are cut off and potentially drowned in low 
  areas below Stockdale to below Panna Maria. Lower areas of Goliad State Park 
  downstream flood..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
 Falls City          6   17   19.1   Sat 10 AM  18.9   4.5   2.3   1.9   1.7


&&

LAT...LON 2914 9803 2917 9794 2894 9780 2892 9790


$$

sbs

932 
WGUS84 KEWX 220240
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
940 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Cibolo Creek Near Falls City Affecting Karnes County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC255-222040-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-160522T2136Z/
/FCTT2.1.ER.160519T2327Z.160521T2300Z.160522T0936Z.NO/
940 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the Cibolo Creek Near Falls City.
* At  9:15 PM Saturday the stage was 19.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The has made a secondary crest and has begun to fall. The 
  river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Livestock are cut off and potentially drowned in low 
  areas below Stockdale to below Panna Maria. Lower areas of Goliad State Park 
  downstream flood..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
 Falls City          6   17   19.8   Sat 09 PM  15.4   3.8   2.2   1.9   1.8


&&

LAT...LON 2914 9803 2917 9794 2894 9780 2892 9790


$$

866 
WGUS84 KEWX 221359
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
859 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2016

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Texas...
  Cibolo Creek Near Falls City Affecting Karnes County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC255-221429-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-160522T2136Z/
/FCTT2.1.ER.160519T2327Z.160521T2300Z.160522T0845Z.NO/
859 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2016

The flood warning is cancelled for the Cibolo Creek Near Falls City.
* At  8:15 AM Sunday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall and is expected to go below
  bankfull by Sunday evening and continue falling.


&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Falls City          6   17   12.0   Sun 08 AM   3.2   2.4   2.1   1.7   1.6


&&

LAT...LON 2914 9803 2917 9794 2894 9780 2892 9790


$$

sbs

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1258 AM CDT THU MAY 19 2016

.UPDATE...06z Aviation Discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...700-1500FT ceilings have developed across the Hill
Country and Central Texas late this evening, including the AUS
area. 1500-3000FT ceilings were expanding into the Rio Grande and
far southern areas, with a pocket of VFR conditions currently
over the SAT area. This pocket will gradually fill in the next 1-2
hours with MVFR ceilings and eventually IFR. SHRAs are expected to
develop across the DRT area 06Z-08Z and SAT/AUS area 08Z-12Z. A
line of TSRAs will impact the DRT terminal 09Z-12Z and the SAT/AUS
terminals 13Z-15Z. Locally heavy rain, IFR ceilings and visibility
and wind gusts in excess of 25KT will be possible in heavier
storms. Trailing stratiform rain and embedded SHRAs will be
possible through roughly 16Z at DRT and 20Z at SAT/AUS. IFR to
MVFR ceilings will persist through the afternoon. NE to E winds
5-10KT likely to turn north 10-15KT behind the line of storms for
a few hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 939 PM CDT WED MAY 18 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Area radars show little or no activity across south central Texas.
Will reduce pops for the remainder of this evening to 20 percent.
Large scale upward forcing develops after midnight over the Rio
Grande and progresses eastward with the upper level trough. 18z
model runs and recent runs of the HRRR and RAP continue trends of
locally heavy rains out west overnight and spreading across the
remainder of south central Texas on Thursday. Forecast reasoning
below has not changed for overnight through Thursday. However,
recent hi-res models have trended a little more progressive.
Temperatures/dewpoints in the Hill Country a little cooler than
forecast and have reestablished trends for the overnight as
temperatures may rise a little toward morning.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 253 PM CDT WED MAY 18 2016/

SHORT TERM (Tonight through Thursday Night)...
Upper air analysis this morning showed a positively tilted trough
over the southwest with south-southwesterly flow over Texas. At
the surface, a stationary front was stretched across South Texas.
Winds across our CWA were from the northeast. Dew point
temperatures were five to 10 degrees lower than 24 hours ago. The
upper trough will move into and across Texas tonight and Thursday.
A surface trough will move across central Texas tonight increasing
chances for showers and thunderstorms. PW values will increase to
around 1.5 inches which should be sufficient to produce locally
heavy rain. Best chances tonight will over the western third of
the CWA. This chance will spread to the east Thursday as the front
to our south moves back north. Locally heavy rain will be possible
over most of the CWA. Over the first 36 hours of this forecast
period widespread rainfall totals of one to three inches are
likely with higher amounts possible in a few locations. This will
likely lead to some flash flooding and we will issue a flash flood
watch with this forecast package. In addition to the flash flood
threat, there should be sufficient instability and deep layer wind
shear for some strong to severe thunderstorms. The best location
for any severe storms will be south and east of a line from
Giddings to Universal City to Pleasanton where SPC has issued a
slight chance. North and west of this line there will be a lower
chance. The most likely threats will be damaging wind gusts, large
hail, and isolated tornadoes. Strong to sever storms are most
likely during the afternoon and evening. Thursday night rain
should move away to the east ending from west to east.

LONG TERM (Friday through Wednesday)...
Friday into the weekend an upper level ridge will try to build
over the southern plains, but will be fairly weak. This should
lead to mainly dry weather Friday and Saturday, but there will
still be a slight chance for thunderstorms as the atmosphere will
remain conditionally unstable. A deep upper trough will move
through the west beginning Sunday turning the upper flow to the
southwest for the early part of next week. This will bring more
unsettled weather with low chances for thunderstorms. There is no
focus for any organized weather.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              75  62  82  64  86 /  90  50  10  10  10
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  75  62  82  64  86 /  90  50  10  10  10
New Braunfels Muni Airport     76  63  83  65  86 /  80  50  10  10  20
Burnet Muni Airport            70  60  80  62  84 /  90  40  10  10  10
Del Rio Intl Airport           80  64  85  69  87 /  60  20  10  20  20
Georgetown Muni Airport        71  60  80  63  85 /  90  50  10  10  10
Hondo Muni Airport             77  63  84  66  86 /  80  30  10  10  20
San Marcos Muni Airport        74  63  82  65  85 /  80  50  10  10  20
La Grange - Fayette Regional   76  66  82  66  86 /  80  60  20  10  10
San Antonio Intl Airport       76  64  83  66  85 /  80  30  10  10  20
Stinson Muni Airport           78  66  84  67  86 /  80  40  10  10  20

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through this evening for the following counties:
Atascosa...Bandera...Bastrop...Bexar...Blanco...Burnet...Caldwell...
Comal...De Witt...Dimmit...Edwards...Fayette...Frio...Gillespie...
Gonzales...Guadalupe...Hays...Karnes...Kendall...Kerr...Kinney...
Lavaca...Lee...Llano...Maverick...Medina...Real...Travis...Uvalde...
Val Verde...Williamson...Wilson...Zavala.

&&

Mesoscale/Aviation...Runyen
Synoptic/Grids...17

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
241 PM CDT WED MAY 18 2016

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-191945-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
241 PM CDT WED MAY 18 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A LINE OF STORMS SHOULD DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN AREAS
OVERNIGHT. THE MAIN HAZARD WITH THIS ACTIVITY IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
HEAVY RAINFALL. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT BEGINNING AT 1
AM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE LINE OF STORMS WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS
DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY. THERE IS A MARGINAL TO SLIGHT RISK
SOME STORMS DURING THIS TIME COULD BECOME SEVERE...PRODUCING
DAMAGING HAIL AND WIND GUSTS. AN ISOLATED TORNADO CAN NOT BE
RULED OUT...ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES. THE THREAT
FOR HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO CONTINUE ON THURSDAY. ON AVERAGE 1 TO 3
INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED...WITH LOCALIZED POCKETS OF 3 TO 4
INCHES POSSIBLE. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 10 PM
THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER OR FLOODING
REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.