Severe Thunderstorm Warning 227, NWS Kansas City, MO

473 
WWUS53 KEAX 022039
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
339 PM CDT WED NOV 2 2016

MOC047-095-177-022115-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0227.000000T0000Z-161102T2115Z/
RAY MO-JACKSON MO-CLAY MO-
339 PM CDT WED NOV 2 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN RAY...NORTHEASTERN JACKSON AND SOUTHEASTERN CLAY
COUNTIES...

AT 339 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER MISSOURI
CITY...OR 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF BUCKNER...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS. 

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
INDEPENDENCE...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...SUGAR CREEK...BUCKNER...ORRICK...
CRYSTAL LAKES...SIBLEY...MISSOURI CITY...LEVASY...RIVER BEND...WOODS
HEIGHTS...RAYVILLE...NAPOLEON...CAMDEN...MOSBY...FLEMING AND
PRATHERSVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
PLEASANT HILL.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3937 9405 3915 9402 3913 9406 3914 9410
      3912 9411 3914 9439 3933 9436
TIME...MOT...LOC 2039Z 264DEG 25KT 3923 9427 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

LG

856 
WWUS53 KEAX 022057
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
357 PM CDT WED NOV 2 2016

MOC047-095-177-022115-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0227.000000T0000Z-161102T2115Z/
RAY MO-JACKSON MO-CLAY MO-
357 PM CDT WED NOV 2 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN RAY...NORTHEASTERN JACKSON AND EAST CENTRAL CLAY
COUNTIES...

AT 357 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER ORRICK...OR
NEAR BUCKNER...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT DAMAGE 
         TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...BUCKNER...ORRICK...SIBLEY...LEVASY...WOODS
HEIGHTS...RAYVILLE...NAPOLEON...CAMDEN AND FLEMING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
PLEASANT HILL.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3937 9405 3915 9402 3913 9406 3914 9410
      3912 9411 3916 9428 3934 9425
TIME...MOT...LOC 2057Z 263DEG 24KT 3923 9417 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

LG

095 
WWUS53 KEAX 022108
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
408 PM CDT WED NOV 2 2016

MOC047-095-177-022117-
/O.EXP.KEAX.SV.W.0227.000000T0000Z-161102T2115Z/
RAY MO-JACKSON MO-CLAY MO-
408 PM CDT WED NOV 2 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN RAY...
NORTHEASTERN JACKSON AND EAST CENTRAL CLAY COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT
415 PM CDT...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE...THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER SMALL
HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
PLEASANT HILL.

LAT...LON 3937 9405 3915 9402 3913 9406 3914 9410
      3912 9411 3916 9428 3934 9425
TIME...MOT...LOC 2107Z 264DEG 25KT 3923 9412 

$$

LG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
Issued by National Weather Service SPRINGFIELD MO
253 PM CDT Wed Nov 2 2016

.Short Term...(This Evening through Thursday Night)
Issued at 215 PM CDT WED NOV 2 2016

Convection increased early this afternoon along and/or just ahead
of a sfc front that has moved southeast into far nw MO/ne KS. The
first wave of stronger convection is already propagating off to
the east of the cwfa. However, high res models are consistent in
developing additional showers/thunderstorms along the front,
especially over the southeastern portion of the cwfa as the sfc
front begins to advance to the southeast later this afternoon and
early this evening. A few stronger storms may still develop later
this afternoon while sfc based instability exists over parts of
west central into central MO where temperatures are still in the
mid-upper 70s. Vertical shear weakens as you head you head south
but could see some small hail/wind gusts with some stronger
updrafts/storms.

Once the front pushes all the way through the area this evening,
some post frontal lower clouds will give way to clearing late
tonight. Sfc high pressure will build into the area for Thu with
beautiful autumn weather returning.

.Long Term...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 215 PM CDT WED NOV 2 2016

A sharp upper level ridge axis will shift east from eastern KS through
MO Fri through early Sunday. Mild weather with light south winds
are expected through this period.

Medium range guidance is fairly consistent in taking a closed low
that is now meandering over the sw U.S. and opening it up while
lifting it northeast into the central High Plains by Sunday
night then shifting it slowly east as a positively tilted trough
by early Tue. By days 6 and 7 (Tue-Wed) guidance starts to diverge
on large scale features. Some chances for rain (still fairly low
pops) for late Sunday into Mon look reasonable. Whatever is left
of the weakening upper system by Tue may linger as a weak upper
level shear axis if the upper ridge builds back up to our east as
depicted by the ECMWF. In any case, a model blend dosen't yield
much in the way of rain chances at this time for Tue-Wed.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday Afternoon)
Issued at 1146 CDT WED NOV 2 2016

For the KMCI/KMKC/KSTJ/KIXD tafs: A sfc front that extends from
southern IA into far nw MO and ne KS. A wave of low pressure
along the front will move through nw MO (taf sites) early in the
taf period with winds gradually shifting the north toward 00z.
Some showers/a few thunderstorms will occur until the passage of
the sfc low and cold frontal passage. A period of mvfr or possibly
ifr ceilings will occur in the cooler air behind the front before
clearing occurs from the northwest between 09z-12z.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

Short Term...DSA (SGF)
Long Term...DSA (SGF)
Aviation...DSA (SGF)

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
453 AM CDT WED NOV 2 2016

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-031000-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
453 AM CDT WED NOV 2 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING.
A FEW STORMS MAY BE STRONG...WITH GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL TO NICKEL SIZE
THE PRIMARY CONCERN.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
310 PM CDT WED NOV 02 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0308 PM     HAIL             GLADSTONE               39.20N 94.56W
11/02/2016  E1.00 INCH       CLAY               MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

LAFLIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
311 PM CDT WED NOV 02 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0310 PM     HAIL             GLADSTONE               39.20N 94.56W
11/02/2016  E1.25 INCH       CLAY               MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

LAFLIN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
315 PM CDT WED NOV 2 2016

MOZ033-040-022045-
RANDOLPH MO-HOWARD MO-
315 PM CDT WED NOV 2 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN RANDOLPH AND NORTHERN
HOWARD COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM CDT...

AT 315 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
ARMSTRONG...OR NEAR FAYETTE...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MOBERLY...FAYETTE...GLASGOW...HIGBEE...CLARK...ARMSTRONG AND RENICK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN PLEASANT HILL.

&&

LAT...LON 3925 9232 3925 9243 3918 9246 3913 9281
      3926 9284 3929 9282 3933 9272 3932 9271
      3933 9270 3947 9233 3941 9230
TIME...MOT...LOC 2015Z 250DEG 28KT 3924 9268

LG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
322 PM CDT WED NOV 2 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0313 PM     HAIL             3 NNE OAKVIEW           39.25N 94.54W
11/02/2016  E0.88 INCH       CLAY               MO   NWS EMPLOYEE

            .

&&

SM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
326 PM CDT WED NOV 2 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0323 PM     HAIL             3 NW LIBERTY            39.27N 94.46W
11/02/2016  E1.75 INCH       CLAY               MO   PUBLIC

            VIDEO SUBMITTED VIA TWITTER SHOWED QUARTER
            TO GOLF BALL HAIL FALLING.

&&

SM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
327 PM CDT WED NOV 2 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0326 PM     HAIL             LIBERTY                 39.25N 94.42W
11/02/2016  U1.00 INCH       CLAY               MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            .

&&

SM